Chris Cartwright
Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead
Thanks, Aaron. And let me add my welcome and my best wishes that you and your families are healthy. As we started New Year, I want to once again thanks for more than 8,000 TransUnion associates, who continue to work diligently from their homes throughout this pandemic, in order to support the needs of our customers and consumers in these uncertain times. Our client service hasn't missed a beat and it's all due to their amazing efforts. I also I also appreciate how they've supported TransUnion’s embrace of social justice causes during this time of turmoil and transition in the U.S. We continue to focus on diversity and inclusion among our associates and in the communities we serve. On our last call, I discussed our total impact taskforce, more clearly conveyed the intention of the taskforce, we renamed it Racial Equity Taskforce. While the name is changed, the mission remains the same to combine and connect TransUnion’s efforts to support racial equity and social justice. The taskforce will amplify our advocacy and outreach through consumer tools and support designed to improve access to economic opportunity. For example, we partner with the credit builders alliance, which helps underserved communities to build credit. Additionally, we will double our corporate giving in 2021, in Chicago and Philadelphia, the locations of TransUnion’s two largest offices. We also have reallocated funds from sports partnerships to charities in our communities that support racial equity. We see further opportunities to partner with local organizations that promote grassroots targeted support for underserved communities, such as my block, my hood, my city in Chicago and the Covenant House in Philadelphia. The taskforce will also reexamine the use of data in our analytics and solutions to ensure that all uses are consistent with our values and the goal of financial inclusion in the economies that we serve. To that end, we engaged a specialized consultancy in the fourth quarter of last year to objectively assess our data and model development to identify opportunities to improve our practices. And finally, the task force working with TransUnion’s Chief Talent and Diversity Officer is formulating clear commitments for diversity in new hires and promotions. We've also expanded racial bias training throughout the organization and provided managers with direction and tools to build a more inclusive workplace. These actions support our public commitments, including the Chicago networks equity principles campaign and they pledge to work toward achieving gender equity and global leadership roles by 2030. And the CEO action for diversity and inclusion pledge to advance diversity and inclusion in our workplaces. In a short time, the taskforce has made encouraging progress and I have no doubt that we will achieve our goal of making TransUnion a truly diverse and inclusive organization that plays a positive role in the communities that we serve. Now I'd like to lay out the agenda for this morning's call. First, I will review the global organizational changes we've made and the considerable investments we are making in solutions, operations and technology to ensure that we continue to deliver strong growth and margins in the years ahead. Over the past 18 months, we established global centers of excellence and solutions, operations and technology. We also commenced project rise, a multiyear effort to streamline, standardize and migrate our technology stack to a hybrid public and private cloud model. [Plus known] are the considerable efforts and investments we've self funded to improve our core solutions and to establish an effective and share global operational spine, because these actions strengthen our foundation for future success. Next, I'll review the performance trends in the fourth quarter across the various geographies we serve. Throughout this presentation, you will hear a consistent story of TransUnion advancing our solutions, services and go-to-market approach to respond the current conditions, while also re-architecting our business to free resources to invest in future growth. Finally, I'll pass the baton to Todd to discuss our fourth quarter results in detail along with first quarter and full year ‘21 guidance. Now since taking over as CEO of TransUnion, my leadership and I have developed an ambitious set of initiatives to fundamentally strengthen TransUnion while navigating the challenges created by the global pandemic and the need to address social justice issues. Now, clearly we began with a strong business with a history of success. However, we’ve recognized the opportunity to raise our performance and create an even better version of key use for our stakeholders. Over the past year, you've heard me discuss the areas for improvement on which we're focused technology via project rise, global operations and global solutions. Today, I want to review the opportunities before us and our progress to-date. These various initiatives together form a transformational program to strengthen TransUnion. Internally, we refer to this program as our path to possible, meaning our path to building the best version possible up TransUnion and to maintain high rates of revenue growth and increasing margins into the future. So let's start with Project Rise, our accelerated initiative to make TransUnion’s technology more scalable, secure, efficient and effective. I begin here as technology forms the bedrock of TransUnion. And in many ways, we are a technology company, right built upon Project Spark, a systems migration from costly complicated mainframe technology to a modern, flexible, distributed and hybrid cloud architecture. And since Spark’s completion, we've implemented new technologies and tools as they became available to improve systems reliability and security. Importantly, we also integrated acquisitions, such as Callcredit, iovation and eBureau that utilize the public cloud, gaining important experience in hybrid public and private cloud architectures. This consistent investment in technology has laid the groundwork for Project Rise. So let me remind you of some of the expected benefits. First, like many technology enabled companies, we have the opportunity to further streamline our application ecosystem. We've already worked through more than 1,000 applications and determine their path forward, whether we re-factor, re-host for platform or retire that allowing us to simplify the delivery of IP on a global basis, reduced costs and increase our speed to market. Second, we'll implement a hybrid cloud infrastructure to create economies of scale around computing, and intellectual property distribution. Our on premise infrastructure currently operates at high levels of efficiency. And the additional use of public clouds helps us to optimize our computing capabilities. This approach has already allowed us to power key international opportunities in countries such as India and Chile, as well as to provide the spine for our media vertical, which I'll talk about in more detail shortly. Third, we will leverage the growing arsenal of innovative cloud based tools to enable faster product development. Examples include new compliance tools, analytic stacks, model training, machine learning and other cutting edge technologies. We've delivered the first set of foundational cloud services to our development teams and expect the first deployments into production in the second half of this year. Given our focus on talent and building continuity for the long-term, we continue to embrace up-skilling our workforce. In this regard, we've made considerable progress in training our internal teams with 80% having completed or currently enrolled in cloud training, including hundreds receiving full AWS certification in addition to the new hires that we brought on this past year. We believe developing our internal talent will make our company cloud native just like our technology. This will allow us to continuously evolve and stay nimble in the future. The only very attractive marketplace benefits, we expect Project Rise to deliver between $20 million and $30 million per year of operating expense reductions beginning in the year ‘23. Project Rise represents a critical evolution of our technology strategy and enables significant long-term opportunities and efficiencies for TransUnion. Global operations provides another way to deliver efficiencies and facilitate commercial success through centralization, process optimization and automation leading to a better customer experience as well as cost savings that we will reinvest in growth projects. Our team has identified three areas of greatest potential impact and they've made significant progress thus far. First, we expanded our disciplined procurement processes to all of our purchasing. We've renegotiated our largest contracts and recently began to focus on the remaining opportunities. We've reduced costs while adding features and functionality. We also have begun implementing a lifecycle procure-to-pay system from Coupa, enabling complete spin visibility globally. We've already deployed the tool in the U.S., Canada, in the U.K. and we'll add more of our major markets in ‘21. Second, we continue to expand on the success of our global capability center or GCC in Chennai, India, which now employs more than 900 associates. We added another center in Pune, India in the fourth quarter of last year focused on providing analytics services across our organization. In this year, we opened GCC in Johannesburg, South Africa to provide a range of business services in order to flex capacity and to create continuity safeguards. Each GCC meets the growing needs of our customers, while refining our delivery and support capabilities in eliminating concentration risk. They also allow us to cost effectively process more sophisticated and confidential work than we could using third-parties. And finally, we're focused on business process refinement and automation to enhance customer experience. Most significantly, we are implementing a standardized global CRM system that when coupled with our GCCs forms an effective technology and operational fulfillment spine for transparent, high quality customer support. Set another way we're creating a structure to efficiently process work, so we can focus on delivering the best experience for our customers. Together, we are confident that global operations will deliver significant effectiveness and cost benefits. And we will reinvest these in growth and enhanced margins in order to drive shareholder value. Now moving to global solutions. In a short time, this team has delivered some exciting successes along with an array of important partnerships and acquisitions. We've organized around key horizontal solutions, such as credit, fraud, analytics, decisioning and others and then staff these teams of experienced leaders develop and diffuse configurable platform solutions across our various geographies and vertical markets. First, let me talk about our internally generated opportunities. And then I'll turn to how we've leveraged our core capabilities into new areas to partnerships and acquisitions. So let's start with our refocus strategy and fraud. The second largest solution offering a TransUnion behind credit. We have an outstanding starting point with our suite of fraud solutions. In fact, in November of last year, Javelin Strategy & Research Ranks TransUnion best-in-class among 26 providers on its identity proofing scorecard. After hiring, security industry veteran, Shai Cohen, we undertook an extensive review of our solutions and market position. The outcome of this work suggested an opportunity to rebrand, standardize and integrate our various fraud mitigation products into a unified solution which utilizes our best capabilities. While this will require time and investment, we've already begun to rebrand all of our product solutions globally under the umbrella of TruValidate. We will also refocus our sales efforts on the most appropriate market segments and user profiles. This strategic repositioning represents a starting point for creating a truly integrated and global fraud mitigation business within TransUnion. I also want to share another recent success in solutions from our international markets. As COVID led to an explosion of ecommerce, many customers in emerging markets lack an integrated data enabled solution for activating new accounts. To meet this need, we created a digital on-boarding solution that bundles our suite of data pre-fill, ID verification, credit scoring and origination decisioning tools through a common orchestration layer. We deliver this tool in a single API that customers can deploy as a mobile application, as a mobile website, as a white label tool and integrated into their own platforms. The modular design allows them to buy a full solution or individual components based on their needs. The digital on-boarding solution suite represents a great example of our global diffusion strategy at work. We rapidly launched in India, South Africa, Colombia in the Philippines, creating a multimillion dollar business in under a year. We have a strong inventory of sales wins in these markets that will ramp this year. And we're also exploring applications in more developed markets. In addition to these two efforts, we brought to market several solutions to aid customers with the uncertainties created by the COVID pandemic, including our CreditVision Acute Relief attributes, which were adopted rapidly to enhance portfolio risk assessment as well as new customer acquisition. Now turning to how we've leveraged partnerships to create new growth sectors, let's talk about employment and income verification. On our October earnings call, we announced a partnership with MX, which aggregates financial information on more than 45 million consumers through consumer permission connectivity with a myriad of banks, credit unions and FinTech players. Through this partnership, which covers the U.S. and Canada, TransUnion will enable consumers to enrich their credit profiles, while helping lenders to make more informed decisions. I'll ask you to hold on to these thoughts about MX for a moment while I review another highly complementary partnership with the largest payroll provider in the U.S. Just a few days after our last earnings call, we announced this partnership in the [mainly] introduced a differentiated income and employment verification solution. We understood that our customers wanted these tools combined with their credit search in order to simplify their workflow. The solution we launched in late October did exactly that and customers have responded favorably. Since the announcement, we received numerous inbound inquiries from a variety of industries and lenders and closed multiple contracts with clients who have begun to transact. Now let's talk about how these two partnerships together. Fundamentally, they provide a more complete view of consumers to better informed decisions about customer acquisition and risk. More tangibly, we will create a solution that first pings our payroll processing partner. If we don't get hit there, we can then query MX to determine if they have checking account data that indicates employment and income. By doing so, we expand the universe of consumers that we can reliably verify. We expect this tailored solution to launch in the second half of ‘21. Verification solutions complement our credit based solutions thus expanding our addressable market and providing another long-term growth sector. Before I move on, I want to note that the solutions team also played an instrumental role in a number of other recent investments. We completed a minority equity investment and formed a commercial partnership with FinLocker, a secure online data store that enables consumers to gather their financial information online and then grant permission to lenders initially in mortgage to access it for underwriting purposes. We also partnered with socially determined, the Social Health Risk Analytics company to create tools to assess and mitigate health risk by using a combination of social risk and clinical data. This creates another growth path for our healthcare vertical. On the last earnings call, we highlighted our growth plans in media, which focused primarily on digital marketing solutions. We built the vertical through a series of acquisitions, true signal, signal and true optic that complement the array of data and world class linking and matching logic of TransUnion. Together these acquisitions in our in-house capabilities allow us to compete for audience segmentation and identity resolution market share to growing categories within the larger digital marketing ecosystem. As we scaled up this business, we've added new high caliber talent, like Jessica Hindlian, who recently joined us from Nielsen where she served as SVP of product for advanced video advertising and identity. She will lead our vertical specific channel and our product partnerships. We've also quickly realized meaningful commercial success. We have completed partnerships with Comscore to enable precision targeting in a cookie free environment and wide orbit to bring enhanced audience targeting to their streaming radio and podcast advertising solutions. And we have expanded in existing relationships, and will now power connectivity for leading retailers at marketplace. So this concludes my discussion of our significant investments. I'll reiterate that there are immense opportunities that we've created through Project Rise, Global Operations and Global Solutions. And we've accomplished a lot in a short time, giving us even greater confidence in the long-term impact from these initiatives. Now, I'd like to pivot to our fourth quarter results and walk you through some of the business and market trends. I'll start with U.S. markets. With a review of the online transaction volumes for financial services, our largest vertical market, volumes remain strong in mortgage improved in consumer lending, while auto in card held relatively stable quarter-over-quarter. I would note that in card, we continue to compare against strong volumes from the successful launch of a new card in the second half of 2019. Now excluding that impact, our volumes and card would better reflect the underlying market. I also want to let you know now that going forward, we do not intend to provide this level of volume detail. We introduced these slides in response to the severe impact of the pandemic on financial services. Given the relative stability in the market, and hopefully, the early stages of recovery, we will return to our normal disclosure practices beginning with the first quarter of 2021. Now let's spend some time on the key lending markets that comprise the vertical. So beginning with consumer lending, it continued to recover during the quarter, as larger FinTech lenders slowly returned to customer acquisition, fueled by solid levels of investor commitment to funding loans. Consumer demand remains tepid. As low credit card balances, cash out refinancings and stimulus payments have reduced the demand for certain installment products like debt consolidation and short-term loans. On the other hand, we continue to see significant growth with point-of-sale lenders both from their own success as well as share gains. Auto lending was relatively stable quarter-over-quarter, as new car sales picked up while the used car market tightened as inventory levels remain challenge. As digital auto retailing grows, we continue to see demand for our prequalification solutions, including auto payment shopper. And positively, we also have seen some early signs of lenders returning to marketing activities as their portfolios stabilized. The credit card market remains fairly stable as the industry showed modest signs of recovery from the sharp declines in the second quarter. We also continue to see a slow recovery in marketing and believe that there is considerable pent up consumer demand that should fuel this category in the future. Now I want to spend a minute taking a slightly deeper dive on our mortgage business, which delivered outstanding growth in 2020 on the strength of both refinancing and home purchase activities as interest rates remain historically low. On this chart, you can see the incredible growth in the market app over these last two years, creating a very challenging stack of comparisons as we enter 2021. As always, we have spent considerable time with our customers and advisory boards, while also incorporating an array of public data to develop our outlook for the market this year. Based on this rigorous work, we believe that the mortgage market will decline about 10% in 2021. More specifically, we anticipate continued strengthen mortgage in the first half of the year, particularly in the first quarter and then weaker second half as volumes taper off and comparisons remain very challenging. Now we will update you if our view changes as the year unfolds. I want to wrap up though with a quick view of our financial services sales pipeline. Despite the impact of the pandemic on our markets, our sales team delivered exceptionally strong results. Our healthy pipeline reflects our effective customer engagement and highly relevant product offerings, including a substantial number of credit visual wins that demonstrate the long runway for the solution. For the full year, we increased our new wins in dollars by almost 40% behind a win rate that's just shy of 50%. We attribute the success to the nimble changes our sales teams made to conduct business virtually along with our thought leadership that provided tangible assistance to customers and of course the strength and breadth of our product portfolio. And now shifting to our U.S. emerging verticals. Most of them saw trends generally improved or at least stabilized during the fourth quarter. Beginning with healthcare performance played out largely as we expected during the quarter. Front-end volumes continued to slowly recover, as providers saw outpatient volumes returned to pre-COVID levels. In-patient visits remain depressed but stable as patients showed caution about returning to the healthcare venues. Emergency Department continued to show weaker but stable trends. The impact of reduced front-end volumes negatively affects the back-end of the business resulting in a reduced number of potential coverage discovery opportunities. Despite the headwinds that we faced, the vertical only declined mid single-digits for the full year reflecting the importance of our offerings. And even if the U.S. Healthcare System lost more than $320 billion in 2020, we saw solid levels of new business wins last year. As our business helps providers recover cash, we remain well positioned to help healthcare providers protect their revenue and balance sheets. And as we look forward, we see no structural change to this market, such that we won't return to a more steady growth profile post-pandemic. Now shifting to insurance. This vertical defined slightly in the fourth quarter, as we had a modestly more challenging comparison than in the third quarter. However, the vertical delivered growth for the full year as a result of our successful diversification into areas such as commercial auto, life, group life and other types of property and casualty insurance. Notably, we realized significant growth in our sales pipeline with new business won in ‘20, exceeding our strong 2019 levels. Many of the deals involved multi product wins, reflecting our attractive suite of products. In our partnership with Neuro-ID began to generate revenue. As a reminder, Neuro-ID helps customers understand biometric behavior during the online application, providing insight into potential fraud based on how consumers enter data. The solution uses the same data to explain why consumers abandon applications, so processes can be refined. As online applications increase in insurance, this partnership positions us to capitalize on that trend. And public sector grew significantly as most government agencies operate as business as usual, providing meeting necessary support for their constituents. We posted strong new sales in the quarter at the State and Federal levels and also increased our opportunity pipeline. Our media vertical grew both on a reported and organic basis as we continue to make meaningful progress against the strategy I highlighted earlier. We also delivered growth in our screening business, which includes both tenant and employment screening. We saw solid performance in tenant screening as leasing companies remain active in our SmartMove screening product made additional inroads in the marketplace. Employment screening remains depressed as it mirrors employment trends. And the telco market recovered largely as we expected with consumers returning to more normal device purchasing levels. And finally, although collections is counter-cyclical over time, we don't expect any uptick in the near future as loan forbearance programs and collections moratoriums delay demand. Further, government payments during the pandemic has helped many consumers to stay current on their loans or reduce their debt loads. Now moving to consumer interactive, we delivered double-digit revenue growth in our direct business due to increased advertising and higher conversion rates on our -- to our subscription products. Consumers continue to value our credit health and identity protection services. Our indirect channel remains soft as financial products lead aggregators has experienced diminished demand from the lenders they serve for new client acquisition. Reduced acquisition levels has caused some of our clients to cut back on their own marketing causing a decline in their subscribers and negatively impacting our revenues, a portion of which are based on subscriber levels. Although the standard -- this dynamic is now stabilized and we are seeing some recovery it created a growth headwind for our business in 2020. Wrapping up with our international segment, let's look at revenue trends which illustrate the ongoing recovery across our geographic footprint. Generally, successful re-openings have allowed economies to restart, leading to increase overall economic activity. However, as we've all seen, the duration in the durability of re-openings varies greatly market-to-market. At the same time, our team's done an outstanding job partnering with customers to assist them in managing through the impacts of the pandemic. You'll hear about new products, new business wins and creative ways that we deliver thought leadership. Now, let me turn to the specifics for each region. In the U.K., we returned to growth, excluding the impact of a divestment earlier in the year. While lending markets remained depressed, they did improve in the fourth quarter, particularly for mortgage. As in previous quarters, the alternative lending market continues to see pressure. Though the burgeoning buy-now pay-later space has provided a source of growth as we hold a strong leadership position. Our fraud in gaming and gambling positions also showed further improvement and setting the stage for future growth. We have eight contracts with one of the U.K. is the largest lenders to provide them, the credit view platform and our open banking solution. Now our Canadian business grew again in the fourth quarter, despite generally weak lending markets and continually escalating COVID mitigation restrictions. Our good performance reflects the meaningful portfolio diversification that we've intentionally developed including insurance and public sector expansion, direct-to-consumer offerings and growth in the emerging FinTech market. And in India, the country has now fully reopened, resulting in slowly improving transaction volumes, including very strong volumes during the [valley], which typically drives the strongest business of the year. We continue to benefit from our diverse product portfolio as well as specific programs to address critical pandemic driven issues. For instance, we extended our string of significant business wins supporting the Indian government, as they work with lenders, small businesses and consumers to provide incremental oversight and stimulus during pandemic. We also engaged with our FinTech customers, by setting up our innovation lab on the cloud and inviting them to compete with our developers to see who can deliver the best performing models. And through our TGIF or TransUnion Great Insights Fridays, we've had interactions with more than 300 discrete lenders bringing them important insights about the market consumers in their own businesses. As we look ahead, India remains a singularly vibrant and innovative market with significant growth potential for years to come. As the lending market transitions from traditional products, the high velocity, short-term low dollar loans, we expect hundreds of millions of Indians to enter the credit economy. And in the case of small businesses only about $10 million of the $60 million currently have loans. These changes have meaningful implications for TransUnion’s addressable market and we remain extremely well positioned to benefit from them. In Latin America, we serve a variety of markets and most remain somewhat stable, albeit at depressed levels compared to last year. Notably, Colombia delivered a solid quarter of growth on the strength of our FinTech insurance and telco businesses. As we've discussed previously we expect to slow and long linear recovery in many of these markets. In Asia Pacific, the market in Hong Kong has stabilized so generally depressed levels as the fall-out from the pandemic and political unrest continues. We returned to growth on the strength of our re-launched direct-to-consumer offer. We expected to provide a meaningful source of growth in ‘21 likely exceeding the previous revenue run rate over time. Now rounding up APAC, the Philippines continues to face significant headwinds, as the country has struggled reopened, impacting consumers and our customers. Our team held its first lending summit to bring more sophisticated thought leadership to the market. Even as we roll-out credit vision which provides a superior tool for our customers to assess lending risk, particularly in this current environment. Longer term, we remained confident in optimistic that the Philippines will return to attractive growth. The South African economy remains challenged, particularly with the second wave of COVID spread causing further lockdowns recently. As in other markets, our team has responded by prioritizing our customers’ needs, like account management collections in ecommerce. They have successfully expanded uptake of key solutions, such as CreditVision, TruValidate and digital on-boarding to drive value for customers. Now, just taking you through how TransUnion has managed effectively through the global pandemic, while also accelerating investments that set up our path to what is possible. So I'll now turn it over to Todd to walk you through our financial results in detail and our first quarter and full year 2021 guidance. So over to you Todd.