Russell K. Girling
Analyst
I guess what I'd start with is, we're in the oil transportation business and so I can tell you what I know, is that we have 20-year contracts with our shippers to move crude oil from Western Canada and from the northwest United States to refineries in the Gulf Coast. What we know is that those refiners want to refine Canadian and U.S. oil. I think as you've heard me say before, and I said in my opening remarks, the U.S. Gulf Coast consumes some 7 million barrels a day of oil -- refines 7 million barrels a day of oil and imports 4 million of those. With the introduction of Keystone, what will happen is we will displace approximately 800,000 barrels a day of foreign crude oil with crude oil from Canada and from the United States. So there is -- none of this oil will actually be leaving. Now the question of whether or not some of those refined products get exported, that commerce occurs today and it will continue to occur, sort of, post-Keystone. But Keystone won't have any impact on the volumes that are -- of refined products that are either imported or exported. Today, there is some diesel exports and some refined product imports in order to balance the needs of the United States, both from a product slate perspective, as well, from a supply-demand perspective, through the recession, as demand has decreased in the United States, the United States has exported more product. But I would expect that as demand returns to more normal pre-recession levels, United States will export less. But that flexibility is built into the refineries, has nothing to do with the Keystone XL pipeline. The amount of oil, heavy oil that's refined in the Gulf Coast will stay the same, whether you build Keystone or not. So this link between somehow, that Keystone is going to change the nature of U.S. exports, is patently false. First of all, there will be no crude oil exported from Keystone XL shippers through to export points. We don't have any port access along the pipeline. With respect to refined products, I mean, that's a question better directed to the refineries as to what their plans are going forward. But what I can tell you is, incrementally, Keystone won't change that equation, it just replaces the source of crude oil. And as I've said before, it's -- do you want heavy oil from Canada and light oil from the Bakken region of the United States? Or do you want to import oil from Venezuela and from other OPEC nations to feed those refineries?