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Tronox Holdings plc (TROX)

Q4 2013 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 27, 2014

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Tronox Limited Q4 2013 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. I would like to introduce your host for today's conference call, Mr. Brennen Arndt. You may begin, sir.

Brennen Arndt

Analyst

Thank you, and welcome, everyone, to Tronox Limited's Fourth Quarter 2013 Conference Call and Webcast. With me today are Tom Casey, Chairman and CEO, who will review our fourth quarter performance and business segment results; and Kathy Harper, Senior Vice President and CFO, who will report on our financial performance. Tom will conclude our remarks and then we'll take your questions. We'll be using slides today as we move through the conference call. Those of you listening by Internet broadcast through our website should already have them. And for those of you listening by telephone, if you haven't already done so, you can access them rather on our website at tronox.com. Let me begin with a reminder today that our discussion will include certain statements that are forward-looking and subject to various risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to the specific factors summarized in our 2012 Form 10-K, our most recent Form 10-Q and other SEC filings. This information represents our best judgment based on today's information. However, actual results may vary based on these risks and uncertainties. The company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. During today's conference call, we will refer to certain non-U.S. GAAP financial terms that we use in the management of our business, including EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per diluted share. EBITDA represents net income before net interest expense, income tax and depreciation, depletion and amortization expense. Adjusted EBITDA represents EBITDA as further adjusted for non-cash, unusual and nonrecurring items. Adjusted earnings per diluted share represents EPS adjusted for unusual or nonrecurring items on a fully diluted basis. A reconciliation is provided in our earnings release. It's now my pleasure to turn the call over to Tom Casey. Tom?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst

Thanks, Brennen, and thank you, all, for joining us today. As you saw in our earnings release, which we put out yesterday afternoon, our fourth quarter results provided a solid finish to 2013 and continue to reflect global pigment market conditions that began stabilizing earlier in 2013. Our adjusted EBITDA of $96 million, improved compared to both the prior year quarter and the sequentially prior quarter as did our adjusted EBITDA margin of 22%. Pigment sales volumes remain strong for the fourth consecutive quarter and exceeded production volumes in the quarter. As a result, our finished pigment inventories declined from Q3 and returned to close to normal seasonal levels. Our Pigment segment adjusted EBITDA was $9 million, a return to a positive contribution and a continuation of the significant sequential improvement seen in each of the last 4 quarters. Pigment selling prices remained relatively stable across all of 2013. Mineral Sands' adjusted EBITDA was $93 million and margin -- EBITDA margin was 38%. Essentially, equal to the third quarter performance. Global market conditions in zircon also reflected stability as sales volumes increased 12% and selling prices held constant versus the third quarter. We delivered strong operating cash flow in 2013. Cash provided by operating activities improved by $219 million at $337 million in 2013, up substantially from $118 million we reported in 2012. Now turning to some of the specifics. This is on Slide 4 of PowerPoint that any of you maybe following. This is -- we're talking fourth quarter financials specifically. Revenue in the what is usually the seasonably slower fourth quarter was $436 million compared to $482 million in the fourth quarter of '12 and $491 million in the third quarter of 2013. Our adjusted EBITDA of $96 million, however, improved from $71 million in the prior year…

Katherine Carolyn Harper

Analyst

Thanks, Tom. I'll review the Corporate and Other segment, and then move to major line items on our financial statement. Revenue in Corporate and Other, which includes our Electrolytic Manufacturing business was $31 million, level to that in the fourth quarter 2012.The Electrolytic business generated adjusted EBITDA of $4 million, which was offset by adjusted EBITDA of negative $21 million related to corporate operations for a net adjusted EBITDA in Corporate and Other of negative $17 million in the fourth quarter. The operating loss from Corporate and Other of $15 million compared to a $9 million loss in the prior year quarter and improved from a $20 million loss in the prior quarter. Other income in the quarter was $48 million, comprising of $34 million non-cash gains of cumulative translation adjustments from liquidation of nonoperating subsidiaries, favorable exchange of $10 million and $3 million interest income from third party. Selling, general and administrative expenses for the company in the fourth quarter were $50 million or 11% of revenue, versus $32 million or 7% of revenue in the prior year quarter. The year-on-year increase was driven primarily by capitalization of SAP cost moved to the balance sheet in December 2012 and year-on-year incentive compensation impact. Interest and debt expense was $36 million versus $25 million in the prior year quarter, primarily the result of higher debt levels. On December 31, 2013, gross consolidated debt was $2,413,000,000, and debt net of cash was $935 million. For the quarter, capital expenditures were $68 million and depreciation, depletion and amortization was $95 million. In Q4, we had a onetime adjustment to depreciation relating to our asset retirement obligation at KZN that totaled approximately $6 million, increased depletion in Australia of about $8 million and a higher base depreciation rate of about 4%. Cooljarloo, the…

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst

Thanks, Kathy. We call the new production and sales volume information disclosure, the Caroline Learmonth disclosure section. So Caroline, I told you I would -- we would try to be more on accommodating. Hopefully, that will be helpful. Let me close the call or the direct presentation part of the call by sharing some information on the tax shields that we have. We've been getting a fair amount of questions particularly after the judgment or the memorandum opinion and the Anadarko case was released on various aspects of this part of our financial situation, and I thought it would be useful to have at 1 place, 1 coherent, hopefully, explanation of what our NOL or tax shield situation is. So, first let me say, the tax shields that I will talk about here are not all net operating losses, and I'll describe individually what they are. They're also not recorded on our balance sheet and so they'll be -- we have described them in this year's 10-K that we'll be filing shortly. But -- obviously, there's more detail on there, but I'm going to try to explain them here. So that we have 1 coherent explanation for everybody at the same time. I would also remind you that I am not -- among many things that I'm not, I'm not a tax specialist. And so I may not understand all of the details or get them right as I'm explaining them, but we think that this attribute, these attributes are an important element in our value. And therefore, I'm going to try and I would encourage you to consolidate your own tax counsels, if and when you want to pursue this in any greater detail. Let me start with a very broad approximation of the total gross value of our…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Hamed Khorsand with BWS Financial.

Hamed Khorsand - BWS Financial Inc.

Analyst

I know you've been depleting your inventory. How comfortable are you as far as where inventory's going that we don't see selling prices decline in the Pigment segment?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst

I don't think that we would view a direct correlation between inventory levels and prices, although it's very, it's very correlated. So I agree with you sort on this sort of [ph] -- on that point. You're asking me about where inventory levels are going. We've been very focused on reducing inventory, we wanted to free up working capital. As Kathy said, about $100 million of working capital was freed up from inventory level reductions. I don't know what the other pigment operators are doing, obviously. But we're focused on this. So we're back down now to near-normal levels at this time of the year. Last time, I think we said that our inventory levels are 60 days or 60.5 days and we said here that the inventory levels declined from Q3 to Q4. So obviously, we are in the 50s somewhere. Whether -- what I think about price, I think we said that we expect price to -- on pigment to remain relatively stable, we had 1% per quarter moved on price for the last 3 quarters, I think. We don't expect dramatic moves up or down in the first half of 2014, but we do expect that the move -- the second half of the year will show some positive moment on the pigment price. And we'll have to see when we get there.

Hamed Khorsand - BWS Financial Inc.

Analyst

Okay. And do you think the industry churn as far as chloride and sulfate is going to still be more beneficial to the sulfate-based TiO2?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst

Well, I don't know if it's more beneficial. If you do a cost analysis of chloride versus sulfate, just at a very, very high level, you get -- if sulfate is at -- if ilmenite is at $200 or $225 a ton, let’s say $200 just because the numbers are easy to work with, and it takes 2 3/4 tons, that would be $450 for sulfate feedstock, whereas slag for ilmenite, you need a 1.1 tons of that. If that was at $800 or so, that would be $900 worth of feedstock. So you already -- you have for $450 cost disadvantage for chloride over sulfate at the feedstock level. But the process cost of sulfate are about 15% more expensive than the process cost for chloride, and that's probably somewhere in the vicinity of, say, $225 or $250. So you have a $250 net cost disadvantage. So if you're a chloride producer buying feedstock, buying high-grade feedstock in the market at market prices, you're going to have a cost disadvantage. Our situation is different than that because when we buy chloride feedstock at $900, in that example, a substantial amount of that is margined and therefore, our costs are better than the sulfate providers' cost. And so we're advantaged, if that's what you're asking.

Hamed Khorsand - BWS Financial Inc.

Analyst

No, I was referring more to your customers. Obviously, the customers buy more sulfate-based, right now. So I'm just trying to get a gauge as to when do they come back and buy more chloride-based TiO2 from those. Basically you guys see a boost to business?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst

I would -- I mean, the premise is not necessarily right. In various markets, the customers have responded to what happened on pricing a year ago in different ways. But for example, in the North American market, it has -- there was 95% or 98%, or some very, very high number chloride. It remains, essentially the same number market share for chloride. And that was true when prices were over $4,000 per ton, it is true now. In Europe, there has been a slight shift, I think, in terms of the market share of sulfate over chloride. In Asia, there's been very little movement in market share. So I don't think it's fair to say that there's been a material moment in any of the markets of the world where former chloride-purchasing customers have moved to sulfate.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Richard Hatch with RBC.

Richard Hatch - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · RBC.

Just 3 questions, if I may. Firstly, the $1.5 billion on the balance sheet in cash, can you talk through your thoughts on that, your thoughts on an M&A opportunity? And then secondly, can you give us a guide as to how you're seeing feedstock and pigment prices at the moment? Are they pretty flat from Q4?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · RBC.

Okay. With respect to the cash and the use of it, we have said all along that we believe that there's a value in being larger. If we can get larger and remain vertically integrated in a low cost work, so in a way that helps us achieve a lost-cost structure, because we think low-cost structure is going to be a critical element for a successful competition going forward. We continue to look at opportunities to do that. Obviously, we haven't announced anything yet, so we haven't reached any conclusion. I shared last quarter, that -- well, and in addition to just a pure M&A transaction, the Anadarko case where the judge ruled that damages would likely be between $5 billion and $14 billion. That's a very substantial amount of NOL-type tax deductions that we're going to get, and it is a substantial component of value creation. And so we need to think about ways in which we can optimize our realization of that value in the fastest possible way. Because obviously, if we can create greater cash out of our operating business -- we're operating at the same level than any competitor, any similarly situated peer. And that will mean we'll be valued more highly than any similarly situated peer and we can achieve that state without investing in either acquisitions or CapEx. And so that's a very efficient way to create value. And we're very sensitive to that. We're focused on -- about trying to make that happen. So the net of it is, we continue to think that there are ways to create value. We want to keep the cash that we have on the balance sheet to facilitate that when we arrive at an answer. And so right now, we have nothing to say about what we're going to do on either M&A or on the use of the cash. I would point out however, that in the third quarter earnings call, I did advise the lenders that I wouldn't -- if I were them, I wouldn't be counting on more than the normal principal and interest payments. I wouldn't count on special return of capital. So that's the $1.5 billion. Richard, what's the other question -- the next question?

Richard Hatch - RBC Capital Markets, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · RBC.

Just on what you're seeing for feedstock and pigment prices, how they're trading versus Q4.

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · RBC.

Pigment prices I think are soft, right now. They're declining somewhat, as they did at the end of 2013. And pigment prices are essentially flat, I think year-on-year, that is December-to-December, pigment prices will be up. And I think, feedstock prices will be up in the second half of the year to the first of the year. As the -- with respect to Mineral Sands prices, we talked earlier about -- that there are really only 3 major producers of high quality feedstock in the world: Rio Tinto, which is the major producer of slag and upgraded slag; and ourselves, as a producer of slag and synthetic rutile; and Iluka, who's a producer of synthetic rutile. We send the vast majority of our production to ourselves. So the producers in the market are Iluka and Rio Tinto, largely. Iluka has shut down most of its production because the market is soft and Rio has shut down some of its production. So as pigment operators begin to work their inventories down, and if volume stays strong, then the pigment operators will necessarily increase their utilization rates at the pigment plants. As they increase the utilization rates, their demand for feedstock will increase and their demand for feedstock is in a market in which feedstock supplies have been reduced from what they previously were by the slowdown or the shutdown of both Iluka and Rio Tinto. So I think it's fair to say that one can expect that as long as the pigment volume stays strong, which they have now for 4 quarters, that Mineral Sands' product, high-grade feedstock Mineral Sands prices will go up. That's different than the ilmenite. I think ilmenite is a different market, they sell to lower-quality pigment producers, sulfate producers largely. And the supply situation is different there. But for the high-grade feedstocks, which is the market that we're in, that's how I see it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Caroline Learmonth with Barclays.

Caroline Learmonth - Barclays Capital, Research Division

Analyst · Barclays.

3 questions please. Can you -- just inform us on what your utilization rates were at the pigment plants in the last quarter? And then you've spoken a little bit about price outlook, what prices are currently on both the pigments and feedstock side? What do you see in terms of volume outlook for 2014 in both of those? And then just finally, in terms of the U.S. GAAP conversion to IFRS numbers for the purposes of Exxaro reporting, when we will get the detail on that?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · Barclays.

Okay. The utilization rates in the fourth quarter were, I would say, mid-80s probably, low to mid-80s. Because, again, we were managing our business to take inventory down. And so when we do that we take a penalty on fixed-cost absorption. So that's the level there. With respect to volumes for 2014, I expect volume for 2014 to be higher than volume for 2013. But our sales were relatively high in 2014. They were almost -- not quite, but almost 400,000 tons. And so I would expect volumes in 2014 to be higher than that. When you'll see the conversion from GAAP to IFRS is a question that's well beyond my scope. Kathy?

Katherine Carolyn Harper

Analyst · Barclays.

We don't typically disclose the IFRS reconciliation. But Exxaro does have additional disclosures that you'll see in their release.

Brennen Arndt

Analyst · Barclays.

Which we provide to them.

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · Barclays.

Okay, Caroline, we provide Exxaro some reconciliation and then they disclose some of the reconciliation we provide. So talk to them.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ed Mally with Imperial Capital.

Edward P. Mally - Imperial Capital, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Imperial Capital.

Just one other question related to that. In terms of the progression of that case and the timing around further rulings of the judge. Do you have any expectations on the time horizon for final resolution of that situation?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · Imperial Capital.

No, is the honest answer. I don't know whether Kerr-McGee -- I mean Kerr-McGee has filed a brief. The trust has filed a brief. I don't know if Kerr-McGee gets the reply. If they do, that brief should be due relatively soon, within a matter of weeks. And then the judge will have to decide whether or not he wants to have an oral argument or whether he wants to decide it off the briefs. I just don't know, it's up to the judge now. But I would think that regardless of what he does we're talking about a matter of few months, not endless time.

Edward P. Mally - Imperial Capital, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Imperial Capital.

Okay, that's helpful. And I presume this is going to come down to a ruling by the judge rather than any sort of negotiated settlement, right? That the latter wouldn't be part of the mix.

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · Imperial Capital.

I don't know that. I'm not -- we're not -- the litigation involves the trust and Kerr-McGee/Anadarko. So we don't know what's going on necessarily internal to that group, and so I can't tell you anything about that. I have no insight into it, information about it, or opinion on it.

Edward P. Mally - Imperial Capital, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Imperial Capital.

And just second item, with regard to zircon, what are your pricing expectations for this year? It looks like your volumes that you reported are continuing to increase, but pricing is weak. Do you see any improvement in pricing on the horizon for zircon?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · Imperial Capital.

That's a very good question. Volumes on zircon have come back very, very strong and very quickly. And so, it's made up for some of the really dramatic price decrease that we saw in the same -- in the period last year to some degree. So the issue of when pricing will come back in zircon is really a function of -- what the inventory levels are and then how long it takes to get to move prices to the market. I expect any time you have very strong volumes on the constant source of supply, you would expect, over time, to see prices rise. When that will happen is a function of when the supply balances out with the demand. I don't expect to see it tomorrow.

Edward P. Mally - Imperial Capital, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Imperial Capital.

Alright, so then what do your inventories look like right now?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · Imperial Capital.

Our inventories are relatively flat for us. Because we managed them in 2013. Part of what we did in '13 was we took an EBITDA hit on below our fixed cost absorption, if you will, in order to move inventories down, and we freed up $100 million working capital in doing that. I don't know what other people are doing, so I can't speak to that. But our inventories are pretty close to where we want them to be at this time of the year in all of our products.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Rene Kleyweg with Deutsche Bank.

Rene Kleyweg - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

Just a couple of things. One, in terms of the other income of $48 million for the quarter. Could you provide any color on what that was? And expand a little bit on the Mineral Sands realized pricing, which is described as being effectively flat quarter-on-quarter, but we have seen continuous declines in terms of feedstock acquisition cost for the Pigment division for the last 2 or 3 quarters. So I'm just trying to reconcile the declining cost into the Pigment business versus the stable pricing on the Feedstock side.

Katherine Carolyn Harper

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

Okay, I'll address the other income, it was $48 million in the quarter. $34 million was the noncash gain of translation adjustment from liquidation of operating -- of nonoperating subsidiaries. $10 million was favorable exchange. And $3 million interest income from third party.

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

With respect to Mineral Sands pricing, we did say that our average purchase price in the quarter was I think $906 or $908, or...

Katherine Carolyn Harper

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

$906.

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

$906? $906 per ton. And then that's down from the prior quarters. So that does reflect -- our transfer price that we record is a price that is essentially based on market less a kind of a sales and marketing discount. I think it's a 5% discount to reflect the fact that there are no sales or marketing or credit risk associated with that sale. So that's a pretty good bellwether or pretty good measure of where the market is. And you see that prices went down from $1,188 to $1,048 to $906 across 3 quarters. We think that that's a blend of rutile, natural rutile synthetic rutile are slag, first of all. So all 3 materials are pricing differently, some are in South Africa. Obviously the natural rutile and the slag are South Africa-originated materials. The synthetic rutile is Australia. And the synthetic rutile market right now is pretty limited in the sense that Iluka, which is the other big manufacturer, has, in order to control its cost in the soft market, has cut dramatically back on its production. So when you look at these numbers declining, some of them are slag numbers, which you would -- I assume you're thinking about. But some of them are these other measures too.

Rene Kleyweg - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

Yes, sorry, I'm just referring to the first paragraph for the Mineral Sands breakdown, where you talk about relative to the prior quarter, as selling prices increased 1% compared to the third quarter for the Mineral Sands business, whereas 5, 6 months ago we've seen declining costs of feedstock purchases. So I'm just -- is that basically driven by the sales mix? Is that what you're suggesting...

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

Yes. And remember that, as the aggregate Mineral Sands pricing numbers also includes zircon, they include pig iron, they include -- my last response was focused just on the high-grade Titanium mix, but the aggregate mix contains those other measures too.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Edlain Rodriguez from UBS.

Edlain S. Rodriguez - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division

Analyst

Just one quick question. In terms of the dynamics between pricing in ore side or the pigment side, which one do you think is going to come first? I mean, does pigment prices needs support from ore prices to be moving higher?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst

I wouldn't think so. The market for pigment is different than the market for high-grade feedstocks. And so one would expect the competitors in each market to be pricing how they can to maximize their margins. That's what people should be doing. So you would think that in the market in which any of the cost elements are going down, whether it's chemicals or coke or coal or feedstocks, to the extent that the pigment operators can maintain price or increase price in their respective markets in the pigment market, they would do so and they would capture the benefit of the margin. An example of that is in the other chemical industries we see, when natural gas prices went down, so far. They maintained price to a degree and then they enjoyed very significant margins. So I don't think it's necessary that feedstock prices go up in order for pigment prices to go up.

Edlain S. Rodriguez - UBS Investment Bank, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And the last question was, essentially, you talked about that $1 billion from the lenders. You have that set date of end of Q1. Do you still hold by that or is that not going to happen anymore? The work [ph] for the first quarter is on a deadline anymore to return that cash?

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst

I never said it was the deadline to return the cash. I said it was a deadline -- I said we would never return it prior to that because we will pay a penalty to pay back the loans within the first year, and we were not going to do that. What I said was that by that time we will tell you what we intended to with the money. And if there was no -- if we thought there were no opportunities to spend it in a way that enhanced our value, then there was just no reason to pay the interest on it and we would probably then return it. So the point, again, what I tried to say was, after a year -- we're not going to return it within a year. After a year, we'll decide whether we think there are any opportunities. For each of the last 2 quarters, this one and the one before that, I have said we continue to see, I think, that there are opportunities. With respect to this Anadarko, $5 billion, minimum tax shield, we think that adds a very substantial amount to our value creation possibilities and we have to think of how we realize that value. And so that adds a universe of possibilities that we may not have been thinking about so carefully before. But so what I'm saying is, I don't think we ever said that a year was-- first quarter was a deadline. Actually, I think we said that we would tell you what we're going to do by then. And so far, I told you twice in 2 successful quarters that I wouldn't expect to receive the money back if I were the lender, except in normal principal and interest payments. And I would expect this to get them back [indiscernible]. I notice I'm not anticipatorily defaulting on.

Operator

Operator

And I'm not showing any further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Tom Casey for closing remarks.

Thomas J. Casey

Analyst

Terrific. Thank you very much, everyone. We appreciate your interest as always. We hope we've enhanced some of the information disclosure in this initial release and in this call. We hope that's been helpful to you. Thank you. Have a good day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does concludes today's presentation. You may now disconnect, and have a wonderful day.