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Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN)

Q3 2016 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 27, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to today's program. Before we get started, let me remind you that today's conference call contains forward-looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and includes statements as to estimates, expectations, intentions, and predictions of future financial performance. Statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking. Participants are directed to Trinity's Form 10-K and other SEC filings for a description of certain of the business issues and risk. A change in any of which could cause actual results or outcome to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. It is now my pleasure to turn the program over to Ms. Gail Peck, Vice President of Finance and Treasurer.

Gail M. Peck - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Tunisia. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the Trinity Industries Third Quarter 2016 Results Conference Call. I'm Gail Peck, Vice President-Finance and Treasurer of Trinity. Thank you for joining us today. Similar to the format we have used on our recent earnings call, we will begin with an update on the Highway Products Litigation matter. We will then follow with our normal quarterly earnings conference call format. Today's speakers are Theis Rice, Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer; Tim Wallace, our Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and President; Bill McWhirter, Senior Vice President and Group President of the Construction Products, Energy Equipment, and Inland Barge Groups; Steve Menzies, Senior Vice President and Group President of the Rail and Railcar Leasing Groups; and James Perry, our Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Following their comments, we will then move to the Q&A session. Mary Henderson, our Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, is also in the room with us today. I will now turn the call over to Theis Rice.

S. Theis Rice - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Gail, and good morning, everyone. The False Claims Act judgment entered against Trinity Industries and Trinity Highway Products in October 2014 currently on appeal to the U.S. District Court of Appeals is fully briefed. Oral arguments are scheduled for December 7, 2016 at sometime after which the court will issue its ruling. A year-and-a-half ago, in April 2015, Trinity Industries and Trinity Highway Products received a subpoena from the U.S. Department of Justice through the U.S. Attorney for the District of Massachusetts. The subpoena requested documents relating to the company's ET-2000 and ET-Plus guardrail in terminal products. The company has cooperated fully with the government's inquiry. This year, in August 2016, we received confirmation from the U.S. Attorney for the District of Massachusetts that it had closed this investigation without taking enforcement action. Trinity Industries and Trinity Highway Products have also been named in the number of other suits involving highway products that we believe were groundless, and it represent opportunistic filings that seek to capitalize on the False Claims Act judgment now on appeal. For a more detailed review of these suits, please see Note 18 of the financial statements in Trinity's Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2016, which we expect to file today. Please also refer to etplusfax.com for additional information. I will now turn the call over to Tim.

Timothy R. Wallace - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Theis, and good morning, everyone. Our third quarter operational results were in line with our expectations. Our people are doing a good job of confronting the challenges associated with today's business environment. The oversupply of railcars and barges in North American market, combined with generally weak industrial demand drivers continues to impact new order volumes in our railcar and barge manufacturing businesses. As we move into next year, we expect continued reductions in year-over-year production volumes and product mix changes in these businesses. The railcar and barge markets are currently highly competitive and difficult to predict. We are preparing for an extended downturn of these businesses. Our businesses are very experienced at operating in fluctuating markets. I'm confident in our ability to navigate through the various stages of the business cycle. During cyclical downturns, we strive to maintain a strong cash position and liquid balance sheet. Our investment in leased railcars has been an effective avenue for deploying capital. Short terms yields on leased railcars are attractive and our investment provides potential source of liquidity through our railcar investment platform and our credit facilities. The base earnings generated by railcars and our lease fleet is valuable during lower demand cycles. These earnings help offset this cyclical earnings generated by our manufacturing businesses. At these times we have no plans to sell any of our leased railcars through the end of this year. Throughout the years, we have invested significant amount of capital to enhance the capabilities and performance of our portfolio of businesses. Our vision, to be a premier diversified industrial company. We define premier as it relates to the level of quality we achieved in everything we do and the value we provide for our stakeholders. The key objective in support of our vision is strengthening our…

William A. McWhirter - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Tim, and good morning, everyone. Our barge business received $25 million in orders from the third quarter, as compared to $84 million in the same quarter last year. The existing supply of those dry and liquid barges continues to outpace demand. As a result, we are preparing for a prolonged downturn in new barge orders. Total backlog stands at $177 million providing roughly two quarters of visibility at the current revenue run rate. Our barge team is focused on securing orders for 2017 in an extremely competitive environment. During the third quarter, year-over-year revenue and profit declined due to lower volume of barge deliveries and changes in product mix. We recently announced the closure of a second facility which will be completed by year-end. This will leave two facilities operating. Based on our current backlog, we are planning for a significant decline in production in the first quarter of 2017. We are prepared to make adjustments to our footprint as necessary. The investments we have made in recent years to enhance the manufacturing flexibility of our facilities greatly improves our ability to respond quickly when demand increases. The financial performance of the Energy Equipment Group reflects the mixed demand conditions for the products offered by the group. The decline in revenue and profits year-over-year was primarily due to lower volumes in utility structures and gas and liquid products. During the second quarter, we announced the receipt of a $940 million wind tower order that delivers over a three-year period beginning in 2017. We also received a small order for wind towers during the third quarter. Continued growth in the wind tower industry is expected due to production tax credit and improved wind power productivity. It is likely that future orders for this business will be specific to wind…

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Bill, and good morning. Trinity Rail's operating performance for the third quarter was in line with our expectations while facing growing challenges from weak market dynamics in the North American rail industry. The Rail Group delivered 6,595 railcars during the quarter and achieved a 14.4% operating margin, primarily as a result of improved productivity and efficiencies following major product line changeovers in the previous quarter. The Leasing Group continued to expand the lease fleet adding 2,230 railcars to our wholly-owned portfolio including approximately 1,900 new-built railcars. Weak railcar loadings, a large overhang of idle North American railcars, and excess railcar industry manufacturing capacity continued to negatively impact new railcar orders and pressure lease rates. During the third quarter, the Rail Group received orders for 1,260 railcars from industrial shippers and railroads. The orders represented a diverse mix of railcars serving a broad range of industries. Current railcar order inquiries are weak, consistent with the last few quarters. It's too early to indicate a market turnaround or bottom but demand conditions seem to have stabilized at current low levels. It is unlikely that a railcar market recovery will occur until railcar loadings demonstrate consistent improvement and the overhang of surplus railcars is reduced. Our order backlog at the end of the third quarter was approximately 34,870 railcars, valued at $3.7 billion. Current railcar industry fundamentals have led to customer requests for delivery deferrals in specific markets. In certain cases, we have provided accommodating solutions, receiving consideration in return. Open production slots from order deferrals can present opportunities to offer customers in other markets available delivery slots to meet their current needs. However, deferrals have impacted our planned production schedule to some degree for 2017. At the end of the third quarter, both 2017 and 2018 each account for approximately…

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Thank you, Steve, and good morning, everyone. Yesterday, we announced our results for the third quarter of 2016. For the quarter, the company reported revenues of more than $1.1 billion and earnings per share of $0.55 compared to revenues of more than $1.5 billion and EPS of $1.31 for the same period last year. Our results for the quarter were in line with our expectations and continue to reflect the year-over-year substantial volume reductions in our rail and barge manufacturing businesses, changes in product mix and ongoing weakness in the oil and gas related markets. Our performance this quarter was favorably impacted by strong results in our Construction Products Group, our wind towers business, and our Leasing and Management Services operations. In the third quarter, we did not sell any portfolios of leased railcars. As we've said throughout the year, we are continuously balancing the long-term returns generated by retaining leased railcars in our wholly-owned fleet compared to the returns achievable for portfolio sales. The yield our leased railcars generate while in our fleet are especially beneficial during down cycles in the industrial economy. During the third quarter, we invested in new railcars for our wholly-owned lease portfolio with a value of $207 million, bringing our year-to-date total to $742 million. We expect the full year value of new additions to our wholly-owned fleet to total approximately $1 billion with a cash investment of approximately $845 million. During the third quarter, we invested $21 million in capital expenditures across our manufacturing businesses and at the corporate level. We expect full year manufacturing capital expenditures in the range of $120 million to $140 million to support maintenance initiatives and growth investments. This range is somewhat lower than our previous projection. Included in our capital expenditures this year is the $25 million…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We'll go ahead and take our first question from Matt Elkott with Cowen and Company. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Matt Elkott - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Good morning. Thank you for taking my question, guys. I want to start with a question about orders. The 1,260 you received in the quarter is the lowest level you've had in many years, certainly in the last five years or so. I know orders can be lumpy, but how much lower do you think we have to go before we reach an order level that's necessary to meet replacement demand and basic new demand in a few markets where there is still some primary demand?

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yeah. Matt, this is Steve. As we've said many times, order levels are somewhat lumpy, particularly when you're dealing with low volume, so one order can really skew order levels. But suffice it to say, industry order levels that we're at right now, these are very, very low levels. And I don't see those changing anytime in the near future given the inquiries that we're seeing. As far as replacement demand, I think those things are lumpy as well. And I would say that a number of the orders that are currently being placed are indeed to replace some aging equipment and buyers taking advantage of weaker market conditions.

Matt Elkott - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Got it. But would it be safe to say that we've reached a – if we annualize this number, can it get worse from here or is there enough you think replacement demand to support at least this current level?

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Well, things can always get worse if you look at what the industry has done on a long-term historic basis, but again we've been pretty consistent the last few quarters at these order levels, and it feels like we've at least plateaued at this level for the time being.

Matt Elkott - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Got it. And, Steve, I'm sorry, if I missed it, but did you say what percentage of your current backlog right now you would say is you guys are in talks with customers about deferrals, cancelations, or conversion?

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yeah. Our backlog, as we've stated today, reflects any and all of those conversations to-date, and we'll certainly work with our customers as best we can as we look at orders and make our production plans.

Matt Elkott - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Okay. But you didn't say what percentage of the backlog. Is it all the backlog or is it half the backlog?

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yeah. I didn't really give a percentage on what ones we're in conversations with, but just really reflecting what we have done thus far.

Matt Elkott - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Got it. And just one last quick one. I know you guys gave guidance for the first half only, but given the industry contraction we're in, can we assume that the cadence of the full-year 2017 revenue and earnings results, excluding the sales of leased railcars, would kind of mirror the downward direction in the industry?

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Matt, this is James. I think given the uncertainty in some of our businesses and the visibility we have here in October looking to next year, we've only given first-half guidance. We'll give full-year guidance in the fourth quarter and wouldn't make any assumptions for the back half at this time.

Matt Elkott - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Great. Thank you, guys, very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And we'll go ahead and take our next question from Allison Poliniak with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Allison A. Poliniak-Cusic - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Hi, guys. Good morning.

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Good morning.

Allison A. Poliniak-Cusic - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Could you help us maybe understand – I understand you're doing the capacity drawdowns. It looks like barge is happening in Q4. What impact that's having to the margins? I'm assuming rails starts in the first half of next year. Try to put that in perspective for us.

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Allison, this is James. I think speaking across the board, when we look at competitive pricing as well as some of the reductions we had in footprint and the costs associated with that and the burden that we carry at some of those facilities which we certainly look to minimize, you had headwind in margins. Steve certainly alluded to that. We're already seeing that in the barge business. We've not provided specific guidance for those businesses in the first half, but clearly, as you know, in the past as we go into down cycles, you see those type of headwinds. And we'll be able to give a little more detail when we provide the fourth quarter earnings and as we look deeper into 2017.

Allison A. Poliniak-Cusic - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. So rail isn't really starting until the first half. So it's not a Q4 impact at this point?

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yeah. We gave the number for Q4 about 13% and that's mix as much as anything. And the year in total is 14.5%. And so you'll see the step down in volume from the 7,200 in Q4 down to the 7,000, 8,000 in the first half, that's when you'll see those type of impacts, Allison.

Allison A. Poliniak-Cusic - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. And then on Construction Products, I think this is a second quarter in a row that you've brought down your revenue expectations for that. What's driving that differential for you guys?

William A. McWhirter - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yeah, Allison. This is Bill. On Construction Products, it primarily relates to our Highway Products business. And as we talked about over several calls, we work to rationalize that footprint. And frankly, in rationalizing that footprint, that's put us in a position where some markets, some geographies were just not as competitive. And so we're probably moving less product, but we're having better overall economic results for the business.

Allison A. Poliniak-Cusic - Wells Fargo Securities LLC

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Great. Thanks, guys.

Timothy R. Wallace - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Gordon Johnson with Axiom Capital Management. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Gordon Johnson - Axiom Capital Management, Inc.

Analyst · Axiom Capital Management. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the question.

Timothy R. Wallace - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Good morning.

Gordon Johnson - Axiom Capital Management, Inc.

Analyst · Axiom Capital Management. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Good morning. I guess, I just wanted to get your insights into, I guess, the second half. This question was I think asked before. But what factors should we look for to gauge I guess expectations on how things are going to trend in the second half? Or what factors are you looking at with respect to how things are going to trend in the second half?

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Gordon, this is James. Good morning, again. I think as we look at second half of 2017 and beyond, it really looks at the overall economic environment. We don't, at this time, assume that things are going to improve. We're planning for an extended slowdown, as we mentioned earlier, looking at the appropriate footprint reductions as well as overall cost reductions in our businesses. As we look at the general indicator, as we look at what's in the backlog and when we plan to deliver those types of products, take into account the unsold production slots, but certainly as we look at order volumes across the portfolio of business that we have, that gives us more insight into 2017. We certainly have backlog for several of our businesses; others have less backlog. So we're used to managing the cyclical downturns, but we'll be, as you are, watching very carefully those indicators and having the direct customer conversations. Steve, do you want to add to that?

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yeah. Sure. Gordon, the other thing I would suggest is public information about the storage of idle equipment in the North American rail fleet. And we certainly watch that number as potential – a leading indicator for improved demand as those numbers might decrease.

Gordon Johnson - Axiom Capital Management, Inc.

Analyst · Axiom Capital Management. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. That's helpful. And then, as you guys are aware, there's been some speculation that there could potentially be large share repurchase announced on some of the assets you guys have. Is that something that you guys are considering?

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Gordon, I'm not sure I follow the question. I'm sorry.

Gordon Johnson - Axiom Capital Management, Inc.

Analyst · Axiom Capital Management. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. There was some speculation in the market that there was potentially going to be a large share repurchase from you guys backed by the assets you have. Is that something that you're considering?

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Share repurchase is part of our overall strategy. We've done some this year. We certainly have authorization, but we've never guided to or provided any insight into future plans for share repurchase.

Gordon Johnson - Axiom Capital Management, Inc.

Analyst · Axiom Capital Management. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. Thanks for the questions, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And we'll go ahead and take our next question from Justin Long with Stephens. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Justin Long - Stephens, Inc.

Analyst · Stephens. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Thanks, and good morning. So looking at the prior down-cycles, you've historically tended to see a decline in market share for new railcar orders and deliveries. I was just curious, looking out to the next down-cycle, do you anticipate that dynamic to change? And if not, what's the best way to think about your market share in a below replacement demand environment?

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Justin, this is Steve. As we've talked a number of times on this call, clearly, market share numbers really are not our focus in pursuing orders. We really want to pursue orders that extend production lines, allow us to improve our efficiencies and productivity, and give us give good solid returns. There's transaction in the marketplace where pricing becomes very weak and doesn't meet our return requirements. So, we do take the opportunity to be selective to see how it fits our overall plans. So, I think, competitive market share can get skewed quarter-to-quarter, and perhaps we'll evaluate on a longer-term basis to see how we're positioned in the market.

Justin Long - Stephens, Inc.

Analyst · Stephens. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. And, secondly, I wanted to ask about your longer-term view on the inland barge cycle. You gave some commentary about that market, and obviously, we're seeing some pressure right now, but do you have any opinion on when we could see this market start to show some signs of life? Is that a year away, two years away, something longer than that?

William A. McWhirter - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Hey, Justin, this is Bill. I think it's important for us to realize we're dealing with two markets, a liquid market and a dry market. The primary driver to the overhang on the liquid market was the substantial build over the past three or four years of 30,000-barrel barges for oil movements. During that period of time, we had obviously a strong decline in price of oil as well as we had many pipelines come on board. So that overhang and I know others have said is somewhere around 15% of the barges. That's going to take some time to work off absent a catalyst to cause usage of those barges. I'm not sure what the catalyst would be. On the dry side, really what you're seeing coupled with a strong U.S. dollar, weaker exports, and then, the decline in the use of coal, and the coal barges moving over to agricultural use, so kind of more of a balancing of the fleet, which I would tend to think would be a shorter-term issue, not willing to put a bracket around it one year, two years or so, but feels like a shorter-term issue.

Justin Long - Stephens, Inc.

Analyst · Stephens. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. Great. That's helpful color. And lastly, and kind of alluding to one of the earlier questions, there has been some discussion about your ability to lever up the lease fleet given your loan-to-value is fairly low, and I think you referenced that. Can you talk about the likelihood of that occurring as you weigh the benefits of having additional capital that you can put to work, whether it's through buybacks or acquisitions versus having the benefits of unencumbered railcars that you can sell?

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Justin, this is James. I think I'd look at that two ways. We clearly – and I mentioned it in my remarks – know that there's available liquidity in our wholly-owned lease fleet. And that gives us a lot of financial flexibility and nice benefits that allows us to, to your point, use leverage through credit facilities, committed facilities or the asset-backed market as Tim mentioned, as well as selling into the RIV portfolio or in the secondary market, as Steve mentioned. So keeping that unencumbered fleet right now is producing very nice yields for us without having the interest expense of leverage, gives us a nice financial flexibility opportunity. Secondly, I'd say that as we've always said we're prudent with our capital investments. We have a lot of capital available to us right now through liquidity and other access to capital markets. We review the sources and needs within our businesses and we continue to invest in our businesses, invest in our lease fleet itself. When you look at our investments in the lease fleet, our CapEx and return to shareholders is nearly $1 billion that we've invested through these things over the last 12 months or so. And we're opportunistic in balancing short-term value creation with looking at bigger opportunities. And as we've talked about the last few calls, we're looking at external opportunities, but we want to be sure the valuations are there and certainly that they make long-term strategic sense for us if we were to undertake, to your point, leverage or use of our capital.

Justin Long - Stephens, Inc.

Analyst · Stephens. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. That's helpful. I'll leave it at that. Appreciate the time.

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And we'll go ahead and take our next question from Bascome Majors with Susquehanna. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Bascome Majors - Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP

Analyst · Susquehanna. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Yes. Good morning. I was curious about the decision to pull back on sales of leased railcars last quarter and seemingly into the fourth quarter before restarting that in 2017. Is this just a judgment that the returns of holding those cars are better than the returns of selling them at today's prices? Are you potentially looking at losses on some of these if you sell today? Just help us think about why not for this six months and why you might restart in 2017?

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

So, Bascome, I'll start and Steve can tack on. We look at our portfolio on a broad basis. There's a lot of individual markets. There's been several transactions in the last few months that you've seen and heard about in the secondary market. These have been at nice margins, rather concentrated in certain market areas, and have been small- to mid-sized type transactions. Many of the sales that we've completed recently are larger in size, and so when we look at managing our portfolio and the opportunity to sell those cars, it's very different than the type of concentrated portfolios that you've seen in the market. And we continue to look at the diversification of our fleet, the earnings these assets provide, and it's really kind of a quarter-by-quarter decision and looking at the long-term strategic value of selling those cars into the market or to our RIV partners versus keeping those within our fleet.

Bascome Majors - Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP

Analyst · Susquehanna. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Understood. And you've had a couple of questions on your balance sheet flexibility and capital deployment strategy. Is this somewhere where you can or potentially would consider becoming more aggressive once you get past whatever decision is handed down from an appeals court hopefully early next year?

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yeah. I think, Bascome, we fall back to the same comments that I made a few minutes ago and we've made in prior quarters, we certainly have a very strong liquid balance sheet. And for us, that comes down to finding the right opportunities. We wouldn't peg it to specific things necessarily. We're always rather prudent with our capital and had been in cycles. And we've historically come out of down cycles stronger having made investments in the company both internally and externally.

Bascome Majors - Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP

Analyst · Susquehanna. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

So, just to put a finer point to that, are you saying that it's perhaps a lack of attractive options or attractive valuations more so than a potential call on that capital over the next three to six months?

Timothy R. Wallace - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Bascome, this is Tim. I stated in my call – comments that during cyclical downturns, we really strive to maintain a strong cash balance sheet and a liquid balance sheet. I'm in my 42nd year with the company, and we've been through a number of different cyclical downturns, and it just makes prudent sense when you're in the middle of a market like we're in and we're preparing for something that could be longer term that we be very cautious and prudent in our use of our capital. And so we've had numerous conversations at the board level and within our company, and we feel like the investment of our capital in the railcars, the way we have – given us a really decent yield right now and is providing earnings for us as well. And we're also freeing up working capital as our business comes down. So, we're not starved for capital. And when you're selling assets out of your leasing company, you're generating more capital on top of that. And so we're going to conservatively manage our capital until we get a little better reading on how long this downturn is going to take.

Bascome Majors - Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP

Analyst · Susquehanna. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Thank you for sharing those thoughts there. Just one last one. It probably makes sense for Tim here, for three months now, you've had an activist shareholder as your largest shareholder. You went out and commissioned a survey of sell-side analysts and buy-side investors a month or six weeks ago to kind of canvass perceptions on the company and your strategy. I'm just curious going forward, what have you learned from engaging with that shareholder and speaking or whatever results you got from that survey? Will there be any change to either your strategy or maybe even just your communication of that strategy going forward? Thank you.

Timothy R. Wallace - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Well, we learn a lot when we listen to our shareholders as well as our customers, and we tend to survey our customers and our shareholders on an annualized-type basis. And we then take that information in and we incorporate it into our internal discussions. And we meet with our investors on an ongoing basis and discuss the public information that we have out there in the marketplace and then we listen to their feedback. And at this time, it's all been incorporated into our long-term planning that we have for next year and the following year. But like I said, when we're in a market cycle like we're in, that as unpredictable as it is, and our business orders have fallen off as drastically as they can, then we know how to operate real well in that type of market and we're going to be cautious in the big moves that we make, unless there's something that comes on the horizon that's very opportunistic because we have made large acquisitions during down cycles and been very successful at acquiring companies. In Bill's comment and James' comment, they mentioned some aggregate reserves that we purchased earlier this year that was a really good investment, and we've been very successful in that business and acquiring reserves that could go on for several years. And we like that type of business because it's like having money in the bank except it's in the ground. And so, we will be looking at a lot of different alternatives.

Bascome Majors - Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP

Analyst · Susquehanna. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Thank you for the time this morning.

Timothy R. Wallace - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And we'll go ahead and take our next question from Matt Brooklier with Longbow Research. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Matt S. Brooklier - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Yeah. Thanks. Good morning. Steve, did you talk to the cadence of railcar deliveries in the first half, the 7,000 to 8,000 cars? Roughly, how are those going to deliver over the two respective quarters?

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

No. I did not, Matt. And again right now, we're just putting a fence post in the ground between 7,000 and 8,000 cars for the entire first half.

Matt S. Brooklier - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. And then, just moving over to your wind tower business. You mentioned that you guys received an additional order during third quarter. Could you talk to the size of that order?

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yeah. You're going to see the backlog in the Q and backlog sits right at $1 billion in the queue. So, the order was small, kind of to the $25 million range.

Matt S. Brooklier - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. And then, could you just remind us the $940 million order that you received in May expected to start working on that in 2017. What's the timing of that? Just trying to figure out if it's included in the first half guidance.

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

It's a three-year project beginning in January of 2017.

Matt S. Brooklier - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. Very good. Appreciate the time.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And we'll go ahead and take our next question from Steve Barger with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Steve Barger - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Hi. Good morning.

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Good morning.

Steve Barger - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Thinking about the one-half 2017 outlook you provided, can you tell us what you factored in for revenue and operating profit eliminations?

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

We don't have that level of detail that we've offered yet, Steve. When you look at the 7,000 to 8,000 railcars as Steve's talked about and you see the backlog we have in leasing, it's not too far off from what we've been doing in the past in terms of a pro rata-type level. But we've not provided that detail yet.

Steve Barger - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

But, well, I guess, you would expect to add cars to the leased fleet in the first half or it's too early to say?

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yes, we do plan to add lease cars in the first half of the year.

Steve Barger - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

And you said you expect to sell leased railcars in 2017. Do you have a target for deal size or EPS contribution for that next year?

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Steve, we don't at the time. As we've said, we really work with the institutional investors in our RIV platform and our own needs and desires in terms of looking at the diversification of our fleet. So, we didn't include that because it is difficult to predict the timing and levels here as we sit in October, but we do have plans to continue that process into 2017.

Steve Barger - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Well, I guess I'll try it this way. Would you expect – I mean, the last couple of years, it's been a fairly material contributor. Would you expect that it would be material in 2017 or smaller?

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yeah, Steve, I think it's too early to give a sense of what that looks like yet, and that's why we tried to just focus on the operational side. In February as we provide our fourth quarter numbers and give more insight into 2017, then we will provide more detail there.

Steve Barger - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. And just one more then. To the comment about looking for acquisitions in downturns, you in the past have talked about being focused on big metal products, infrastructure end markets for acquisitions. But have you considered anything more service oriented outside of leasing to further diversify or mitigate cyclicality?

Timothy R. Wallace - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Yes. This is Tim. We always look at service, technology, competencies that we could acquire from various companies that would enhance our business – our manufacturing platform, our leasing company and/or opportunities in the construction aggregates area.

Steve Barger - KeyBanc Capital Markets, Inc.

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay. Thanks.

James E. Perry - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Thanks, Steve.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And we'll go ahead and take our next question from Kristine Kubacki with CLSA. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Kristine Kubacki - CLSA Americas

Analyst · CLSA. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Good morning. Just a quick question on the utilization of the lease fleet. Obviously, it ticked up. I guess, traffic's gotten a little bit better. But can you give us a little color and your thoughts about kind of long term or trends into 2017 with the utilization? I understand you're kind of going short on duration. And then given the fact that there's still so much surplus of equipment sitting out there, just your thoughts on where utilization goes next year.

D. Stephen Menzies - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Kristine, this is Steve. As we've talked about, expirations are fairly well spread out over the forthcoming years. We don't have anything unusual from a lease expiration standpoint in 2017. We're going to work very hard to keep those cars on lease. Because of the overhang of equipment and weak demand conditions, there's going to be a lot of pressure on those lease rates. So, that is why you look to stay short and hope to execute renewals at probably lower lease rates. Keep in mind that some of the railcars that will be coming off of our leases are leases that we entered into at the peak of the market with very high lease rates. So, the comparison from the incumbent lease rate to the new lease rate will probably be fairly different. We were successful not only with our renewals during the quarter, but we're also successful in putting some other cars that were in storage back into service which helped improve our lease fleet utilization.

Kristine Kubacki - CLSA Americas

Analyst · CLSA. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Perfect. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And it does appear we have no further questions at this time. I will now hand the program back over to your speakers for any additional or closing remarks.

Gail M. Peck - Trinity Industries, Inc.

Management

Thank you. That concludes today's conference call. A replay of this call will be available after 1:00 Eastern Standard Time today through midnight on November 3. The access number is 402-220-2658. Also the replay will be available on the website located at www.trin.net. We look forward to visiting with you again on our next conference call. Thank you for joining us this morning.

Operator

Operator

And that does conclude today's program. We'd like to thank you for your participation. Have a wonderful day. And you may disconnect at anytime.