Mike Noonan
Analyst · Naved Khan with B. Riley Securities. Your line is open. Please go ahead
Thanks, Matt, and good morning. I'll start with a brief update on our new segment disclosures and revised P&L presentation, then I'll review the quarter and full year, and later, we'll provide our outlook for 2025 and Q1. As a reminder, all growth rates are relative to the comparable period of 2023, unless noted otherwise. First, as part of our earnings release this morning, we provided a table that includes additional segment-level details, reflecting our adoption of the new segment expense disclosure guideline. As part of this update, we'll use the opportunity to align our consolidated financials to the same line items, which we believe provides greater transparency between our segment and consolidated results. Now, turning to the results for the fourth quarter. Consolidated revenue was $411 million or 5% growth and at the high end of our expectations. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $73 million or 18% of revenue and was higher than our expectations due to performance at both Brand Tripadvisor and Viator. At Viator, revenue grew 16% to $186 million, which represented 6 points of sequential growth. The number of experiences booked grew 20%, and gross bookings value, or GBV, grew 17% to approximately $840 million, reflecting healthy travel demand in the quarter, driven by the Viator point-of-sale, which grew faster than total segment experiences booked and GBV. As a reminder, total segment growth is a function of relative size, of different growth and profit priorities across each point of sale. Our teams continue to leverage the strength of our brands to optimize our experiences offering globally, which we believe is an important differentiator in the category. On the Viator point-of-sale, repeat bookings growth once again outpaced new bookings growth, supporting the ongoing progression of Viator brand's unit economics as these bookings come at lower acquisition costs. Viator adjusted EBITDA was $20 million or 11% of revenue and was slightly better than expectations, primarily due to a nonrecurring credit to expenses related to indirect tax [ph]. At Brand Tripadvisor, revenue was $204 million, a decline of 6%. Branded hotels revenue was $125 million, a decline of 7% and an improvement over Q3, which exceeded our expectations due to more favorable pricing in Hotel Meta. We saw sequential improvement in both pricing and volume throughout the quarter, in particular in the paid channels. By geography, all regions strengthened throughout the quarter with Rest of World posting the strongest performance with modest growth year-over-year. Media and advertising revenue grew 3% to $36 million. Growth in off-platform revenue, which includes creative offerings and programmatic advertising, more than offset declines in traditional display advertising that correlates to traffic volume as well as the broader display advertising market, which is growing slower than other advertising revenues. Experiences and dining revenue was $35 million, a decline of 8%. Performance and dining continues to reflect balancing the ongoing product-led transition to a self-service sales model. In experiences, revenue performance continued to be driven by Brand Tripadvisor's segment-specific marketing strategy and ROI targets, as well as the impact of funnel optimization testing we embarked on last year. Importantly, experiences contribution profit margin remained healthy, reflecting stable paid margin ROIs combined with a traffic mix profile that is predominantly free. Other revenue was $8 million, a decline of approximately $2 million, primarily due to a business model shift in our vacation rental offerings to merchandise supply, solely from partners. Brand Tripadvisor adjusted EBITDA was $53 million, representing 26% of revenue. Relative to our outlook in November, adjusted EBITDA was higher than our expectations due to stronger volumes Hotel Meta and prudent fixed cost management across personnel, G&A and technology. At TheFork, revenue was $48 million or 23% growth and 26% growth in constant currency, up sequentially 6 points or 11 points in constant currency. Growth was driven by strong performance in both booking volumes as well as pricing. In Q4, booking volumes grew 9% with solid growth rates across all of our channels. Strong year over subscription revenue growth was driven by higher adoption of paid plans and reflective of the meaningful product investments we have made over the past several quarters that's translating to an improved value proposition for our restaurant partners. Additionally, Q4 performance benefited from the impact of partnerships with Vodafone and Mastercard both which initiated in the second half of 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was in line with expectations at breakeven for the quarter. The operating efficiencies we achieved with personnel and technology costs allowed us to make incremental investments in marketing that we believe will benefit growth in 2025. Turning to consolidated expenses for the quarter. Cost of revenue was 7% of revenue, consistent with last year. Marketing was 30% of revenue, an increase of approximately 500 basis points due to growth in marketing spend at Viator and TheFork, which outpaced consolidated revenue growth. Personnel increased 100 basis points to 36% of revenue, including share-based compensation of approximately $28 million. Absent share-based compensation, personnel was 29% of revenue, flat year-over-year. The increase in share-based compensation of $4 million was primarily due to timing differences in vesting schedules for employee equity grants. The Q4 2023 run rate was lower than usual due to a onetime acceleration of the vesting period our 2020 company-wide equity grants to 2 years from 4 years, as disclosed during 2020. Technology and G&A as a percent of revenue were flat year-over-year at 6% and 5%, respectively. As I'll discuss in a moment, we incurred restructuring costs of $21 million as a result of actions initiated in the fourth quarter. Turning briefly to the full year performance. Consolidated revenue was $1.8 billion or 3% growth. Revenue growth of 14% at Viator and 18% at TheFork was offset by an 8% revenue decline at Brand Tripadvisor. Our consolidated performance in 2024 illustrates our ongoing focus of diversifying our group revenue mix that will fuel long-term revenue and profit growth. In 2024, Viator and TheFork contributed 56% of Group revenue, up from 50% in 2023 and 41% in 2022. Full year consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $339 million or 18% of revenue, representing very modest deleverage of less than 50 basis points, as with revenue we see a growing diversification in our consolidated adjusted EBITDA as Viator and TheFork continued incremental $52 million in 2024 versus 2023. Adjusted EBITDA growth at Viator and TheFork was largely driven by marketing efficiencies at Viator and prudent personnel cost management at TheFork. Brand Tripadvisor delivered $301 million in adjusted EBITDA, a year-over-year decline due to the aforementioned revenue performance in hotel meta, combined with investments in data and AI that support our engagement-led strategy. Now turning to cash and liquidity, Q4 operating cash flow was negative $2 million and free cash flow was negative $25 million, an improvement of $10 million, driven by a refund from the previously described 2014 to 2016 IRS transfer pricing settlement and growth in deferred merchant payables, partially offset by interest payments and other working capital cost. For the full year, operating cash flow was $144 million and million and free cash flow was $70. The year-over-year decline in operating cash flow free cash flow were driven primarily by changes in working capital and non-recurring cash outflows related to the 2014, 2016 IRS transfer pricing settlement and other tax-related impact. We ended the year with approximately $1.1 billion in cash, and cash equivalents. During the fourth quarter, we announced a planned merger agreement with Liberty Tripadvisor, which will result in the retirement of approximately 27 million shares and the subsequent issuance of approximately three million shares to the Ultra Preferred stockholders. As part of our agreement, we expect total outlays of approximately $400 million in cash. We anticipate the transaction to close in Q2 2025. Details regarding the transaction can be found in the presentation to be posted in December. Now I'd like to turn to recent trends and our outlook for year. As Matt mentioned in his prepared remarks, our operating teams are focused on executing against a clear set of priorities in 2025 that we believe will position the Group for consistent revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth in the medium term and continued diversification of our portfolio. Each segment is well positioned to accelerate its strategic ambition this year that lay the foundation to deliver this financial profile. At Viator, we're investing to improve our products, both travelers and operators, as well as strengthen the depth and breadth of our supply catalog, which we believe will enable durable growth with sustained improvement in marketing efficiency that will drive ongoing margin, progression. At Brand Tripadvisor, we'll continue to manage near-term trade-off between growth and process with our strategy progression. In Q4, we initiated a broad restructuring plan that will keep personnel costs flat relative to 2024, while enabling an investment in marketing to begin scaling product-led growth initiatives across experiences, the app and membership that levers the product enhancements made last year. At TheFork, we will continue to leverage our investments in the product to drive growth while continuing to drive operating efficiencies to enable ongoing margin expansion. Now to our outlook. For 2025, we expect consolidated revenue growth of 5% to 7% and adjusted EBITDA margin of 16% to 18%. At Viator, we expect mid- to high-teens booking volume growth, which represents an acceleration from last year and reflects healthy underlying management. For revenue, we expect growth in the low to mid-teens, which incorporates approximately 2 points of FX headwinds at current rates. At Brand Tripadvisor, we expect an improvement year-over-year to low single-digit revenue declines. More specifically, we expect stronger year-over-year trends in the second half versus the first half due in part to the difficult first year -- first half year-over-year comps and the impact of our marketing sense. At TheFork, we expect revenue growth in the low double digits, which incorporates approximately 5 points of FX headwinds. On a constant currency basis, we expect stable year-over-year revenue growth. For consolidated adjusted EBITDA, we expect Viator to nearly double adjusted EBITDA and TheFork to nearly -- At Brand Tripadvisor, the revenue pressure from our legacy offerings will impact margins this year but we continue to manage costs in order to fund incremental investments, which we believe will set us up to accelerate both revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth in 2026. On a consolidated basis, this plan sets a clear path for the Group to accelerate revenue growth and a return to EBITDA growth in 2026. Now turning to Q1 2025 guidance. For consolidated revenue, we expect flat to low single-digit decline, which includes currency and holiday timing headwinds of approximately 2 points of growth. For consolidated adjusted EBITDA, we expect margins of approximately 5% to 7% of revenue. At Viator, we expect booking volume growth of 14% to 16% and revenue growth of 9% to 11%, which includes a revenue headwind of approximately 3 points due to holiday timing and approximately 2 points due to FX. For adjusted EBITDA at Viator, we expect margin improvement of approximately 600 basis points. At Brand Tripadvisor, we've observed stable pricing sequentially quarter-to-date in hotel meta but expect revenue decline in the low double digits due largely to a difficult comparison where we had this unusually robust pricing dynamics, which was unique to Q1 2024. For adjusted EBITDA Brand Tripadvisor, we expect margins to decline by approximately 10 points, primarily due to revenue declines and related impact to contribution profit. At TheFork, we expect revenue growth in the low teens which includes headwinds of approximately 5 points from currency and approximately 1 point due to Easter and other calendar timing. For adjusted EBITDA at TheFork, we expect modest margin improvement of approximately 50 basis points. Adjusted EBITDA performance at both TheFork -- at Viator and TheFork reflects typical seasonal investment in marketing spend. With that, I'd like to turn the call back over to operator to begin Q&A.