Stephen Kaufer
Analyst · Deepak Mathivanan of Wolfe Research. Your line is open
Thanks, Deepak. Thanks for your kind words. Two excellent questions in there, so how our conversations gone with hotel chains? Let me back it up and sort of point out or explain our supply perspective. When we were doing instant discounts, we needed to have the chain participation or chain blessing because it was actually lower than what was on their own, lower than what was on their own site. And we thought that would work because we would have a pay wall. This was a gated, a very, very closed user group. But it turns out that that wasn’t enough. Now that we’ve moved to a retail model, we would love, absolutely appreciate the chains participating but to be clear in our beta site right now, you see a lot of chain properties already on the system showing the exact same rate as is on the brand.com website. Because it’s a regular retail rate we’re not, it’s not bothering the chains in terms of violating any rate parity. That allows us through other aggregators, not the chains to be able to represent that we have some of the best properties in the world from the Hilton’s and the Marriott’s and HTs because we’re getting them through other sources, sometimes directly through channel managers, sometimes through other aggregators. And I’d say it’s safe. It’s not violating the rate parity piece. So while I invite all the chains to participate, we’re in conversations, some will join now, some will join later, I predict. But the point for more economic models, I don’t actually need them to participate because we have aggregators including our very public partnership with trip.com, who has access to a lot of global inventory and that inventory can show up on our site in a rate parity safe manner. To the second question, economics versus our CPC model, do we think that this will be accretive? We think it’s going to be wonderfully accretive. So part of the challenge/opportunity of having so many travelers looking at hotels on our site is that we offer a lot of kind of free browsing, and we don’t make much money because somebody doesn’t click. And then when the traveler does click on our meta offering over to an OTA, the vast, vast, vast majority of those clickers don’t actually book because they’re not ready to or whatever reason, and therefore, technically, we got paid on a CPC. But in reality, since it didn’t book it didn’t generate any profits for our clients. It’s in effect lowering the value of the next click that we’re going to get. So what I mean to say is, the number of travelers that we send to the OTAs, that still are not booking is the opportunity that we see to make this a much more accretive model for TripAdvisor because we’re sending people into our own transaction flow. We’re giving them a very clear incentive on why they should book with us, which is all of this cash back all these vacation funds. And if they’re going to save more than $99, on the very first booking, it becomes us, we expect a very simple equation to charge $99 million for the subscription, they have $150 cash back, maybe they don’t even have to pay anything upfront, and we just give them $50 cash back at the end, lots of ways to get folks to sign up. And then that’s $99 we weren’t seeing in the CPC model. Then take it the next step and now you are a paying member to a travel subscription to a travel club. We believe a number of people are going to say well I belong to TripAdvisor Plus, therefore I’m starting my next trip on TripAdvisor looking at the Plus hotels and experiences and all the other offerings and so we’ll get repeat business in a much higher degree because you’re a member. And then whether you’re making additional transaction however many additional transactions that travelers doing over the course of the year that’s all generally speaking, incremental revenue to us. We monitor what TripAdvisor Plus does with the CPC clicks and obviously, we have to keep a careful eye on that and make sure our own conversion flow more than makes up for the clicks that don’t go over to meta clients.