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Trinity Biotech plc (TRIB)

Q4 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 23, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Trinity Biotech Fourth Quarter 2022 Financial Results Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Joe Diaz with Lytham Partners. Please go ahead.

Joe Diaz

Analyst

Thank you, [indiscernible], and thanks to all of you for joining us today to review the financial results of Trinity Biotech for the fourth quarter and full-year 2022, which ended on December 31, 2022. Joining us on today’s call are Aris Kekedjian, Chief Executive Officer; and John Gillard, Chief Financial Officer. At the conclusion of today’s prepared remarks, we will open the call for a question-and-answer session. Before we begin, statements made in this conference call may be deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied in such statements. These risks include, but are not limited to, those set forth in the risk factor statements in the company’s annual report on Form 20-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Trinity Biotech undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after today or the occurrence of unanticipated events. With that, I will now turn the call over to CEO, Aris Kekedjian for opening remarks. He will be followed by CFO John Gillard for a review of the financial results. Mr. Kekedjian will then provide some additional background, after which we will open the call for your questions. Aris, the floor is yours.

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

Thank you, Joe. Good morning, everyone. I like to start the call discussing key revenue, commercial, and operating highlights. I will also give context to various strategic activities we have underway. John will follow with a deeper dive into our reported financials and then we'll be happy to take your questions. First, let me discuss the revenue trends. Total revenue for fiscal 2022 and Q4 2022 were 74.8 million and 18 million, respectively. Excluding our COVID focused PCR Viral Transport Media products, full-year 2022 revenues of $71.5 million were 1% lower than in 2021 and in Q4 2022 revenues were less than 0.5% lower than in Q4 of 2021. Our performance in 2022 was focused on our core flagship hemoglobins business, where our diabetes product line experienced 27% overall revenue growth and over 60% higher instrument placements versus 2021. As highlighted by the 43% growth in sales of high-margin diabetes consumables in Q4 2022 versus Q4 2021, the increased instrument placements position the company for strong recurring revenues in contracted consumables sales over the next several years. We expect to expand on the strategy with the U.S. launch of our Premier Resolution Hemoglobin Variants instrument this year as we continue to work closely with the FDA to gain clearance of our 510(k) submission. The company also continued to development its next generation flagship diabetes HbA1c instrument, the Premier 9210. With an expected launch in Q3, 2023, the instrument will feature an improved, backward compatible reagent column system that will feature up to 3x the injection capacity and stability, limited calibration, and improved user interface and lab system integration. This is the first step of a multi-generational product development plan aimed at expanding the target market, driving lower service downtime and cost, while significantly expanding operating margins. We are experiencing particularly…

John Gillard

Analyst

Thank you, Aris. Good morning, everyone. Now, I will take you through the results for Q4 2022. As Aris has already discussed revenue trends, I will move on to disclose other aspects of the income statement. In Q4 2022, gross profit was $6.2 million, [getting a] [ph] gross margin of 34.6%. In Q4 2021, gross profit amounted to $7.2 million and the gross margin of 37.1%. The reduction in gross margin is largely due to sales mix changes, lower production activity, and inflationary increases in the price of raw materials. We have started to see the benefit of price increases and cost optimizations implemented in mid-to-late 2022 now starting to be realized, as seen by the fact of the Q4 2022 margin of 34.6% is higher than the adjusted Q3 2022 margin of 34.4% when excluding the significant excess and obsolescence charges related to inventory of $4.7 million reported in Q3. As Iris mentioned in Q4 2022, we saw run rate gross margins, excluding quarter and year-end inventory adjustments of approximately 40%. Other operating income decreased from $0.7 million in Q4 2021 to $0.3 million in Q4 2022. This quarter, other operating income comprises of government grants in relation to R&D activities. In Q4 2021, we recorded $0.7 million of other operating income related to the Paycheck Protection Program loan which was forgiven in that quarter. R&D expenses increased from $0.9 million in Q4 2021 to $1.2 million when compared to Q4 2022. This is because various early-stage development activities did not meet the criteria under IFRS for capitalization as an intangible asset. SG&A expenses have increased significantly this quarter. In Q4 2021, SG&A expenses were 5.6 million and this has increased to $10.2 million this quarter. There are a few significant contributions to this increase. Firstly, our share option…

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

I'll take it. It’s Aris. I think we can open it up for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Jim Sidoti with Sidoti & Company. Please go ahead. Mr. Sidoti, your line is open on our end. Perhaps it's muted on yours.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Sorry about that. Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. I'd like to start-off with the HIV business. How quickly do you think you'll start shipping products to Kenya?

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

I think we'll start shipping in the second quarter. That's the intention. And the idea – we're looking somewhere in the range of about 4 million or 4.5 million tests for the year in Kenya. Maybe more depending on production ramp up.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Can you disclose an ASP for the test?

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

I'm sorry, what was that?

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

The pricing per test.

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

John, are we okay to discuss it?

John Gillard

Analyst

As we've previously indicated, Jim, it's around – in and around $0.80 and it's consistent with that.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Okay. And that's just to Kenya. Does getting Kenya on board help you with the other two or three countries in the region?

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

That was the entire strategy from the beginning. So, Kenya is upwards of 9 million tests a year on a run rate basis. So, we think that's our target to work toward over the next 12 months to 18 months in Kenya. We also think that the standard we just set in Kenya helps establish the momentum around the next 2 to 3 markets that I highlighted earlier and we're talking about over 25 million tests in those markets. And I expect this to get at least 20% market share in this space over the next 2 years to 3 years.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

And what has to [Multiple Speakers]

John Gillard

Analyst

Sorry, Jim. Just to make the point, Kenya would be regarded as a leader in terms of HIV care on the continent and we believe will be at significant influential status in terms of proving out the quality of the product. And so, I have secured that as the first country, it's obviously a large market, but it also we think will have significant persuasive value in terms of opening up other markets to [indiscernible].

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

And do you think the other countries will then pause for 6 months or 8 months to see how things roll-out in Kenya before they make early decisions?

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

Look, I think some may, but the reality is, they typically – I mean, there's a full report you can look at that the Kenyan authorities have put out. They did extensive studies. We did field tests. There's a lot of work that's been done over the last 6 or 7 months. All that information now is in the hands of all the other authorities to work off and get a head start on. So that's how I would think about at this point. Is it possible some will wait to see how it rolls out or potentially, but like I said, we expect to start shipping in April. So, I think that'll make – that will get us going relatively quickly.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Okay. And then on the hemoglobin business, with the hemoglobin variant and the HbA1c systems, where do you expect initial sales to happen? Is that in Asia and South America or will those be in the U.S.?

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

Which sales are you talking about? Are you talking about the hemoglobin variant product? [Multiple Speakers]

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Both.

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

Well, so the 9210 product is our workhorse product, okay. We sell it all over the world including the United States. We sell direct in the U.S. and we sell direct in Brazil. That product is going through 18 months to 24 months product upgrade strategy. We expect to be working on new releases more than one over the next couple of years around that flagship product that will significantly improve it. I think that will make it attractive, not just in the existing high growth markets in South America and Asia, but I think it puts us in a position to get growth at a level I'd be happier with in the U.S. And in some of the more traditional markets outside the U.S., potentially in Europe. I think the more important question in the U.S., at least in the short run, is the timing of getting our premier resolution variant instrument basically cleared by the FDA and into the market. We're working very closely on that and I think that one is a key move for us in the U.S.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Right. And when you think about acquisitions, is it for the hemoglobin business or one of the other two businesses that you have identified?

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

So, I think of it this way, okay. There are three trends we care about and that we have some game in real game. Diabetes and hemoglobins point of care and decentralized testing. And what we see more and more in terms of monitoring around a lot of the therapeutics that are being introduced in all the conditions, new kind of chronic conditions that we're dealing with. And our [indiscernible] a bit of an edge in that area, okay. My focus is, any M&A has to fall in those categories or an intersection of those categories. You can think about what that might mean, but diabetes is the largest decentralized testing market on the planet. So, there's a lot of activity up in that area. It's an area we know, it's an area we understand. So, I would expect our next couple of moves will be likely in the area of diabetes and decentralized care, point of care, testing.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Okay. And then on the other side of that, when you're thinking about the divestitures and some of the non-core assets, can you break-out for the Fitzgerald business what those sales were in 2022?

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

John, you have the Fitz number?

John Gillard

Analyst

About 12 million, Jim.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Okay. All right. Good. And then a last one for me. With the recent option grants and warrant repricing, what do you expect the share count to be for 2023?

John Gillard

Analyst

[Indiscernible] point, the options typically have a 3-year life [indiscernible], 2 to 3 year life. So, I wouldn't expect – I don't expect significant option exercises over the [next one] [ph]. To be honest with you, and then you've got the hurdle rates on top of that as well. So, I don't expect significant on that. In terms of the warrants, that's up to perceptive as to what they want to do with those, but outside of that, it's dependent whether we raise equity. And so, there’s obviously a number of moving pieces within that, Jim?

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Okay. I guess, I did have one more. So, absent any acquisitions, assuming you get the increase in revenue from the hemoglobin and in the HIV businesses. And considering all the expense cutting you've had, do you expect to be free cash flow positive in 2023?

John Gillard

Analyst

I think as we get towards the end of the year, I'd be hopeful we will, it will depend on how quickly we can roll out print screens. It depends on how quickly we can get the resolution in the market in the U.S. So, one of the things that our market has been [Technical Difficulty] the number moving parts, but I think as we move towards the year-end, we’re on top of just being operationally cash flow positive. We're very focused on the cost of our [debt] [ph] and the cash outflows associated with those interest costs as well.

Jim Sidoti

Analyst

Got it. Alright. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from Paul Nouri with Noble Equity. Please go ahead.

Paul Nouri

Analyst

Hey, good morning. O thought that the inventory came down a bit in the quarter, but still seems elevated. Can you talk about if you're expecting that to continue to come down and hopefully there's nothing in there that will warrant future write-offs?

John Gillard

Analyst

Hi, Paul, [let me] [ph] take that. So, yes, we do intend to continue to, kind of whittle down that [indiscernible]. And we hired a very senior supply chain professional in 2022 and he's doing a lot of work in terms of optimizing our overall supply chain, okay? It's a balancing act for us, okay? So, for example, on one side, we want to reduce that [Technical Difficulty] inventory, but at the same time, given everything we've seen over the last 2 years to 3 years, in terms of supply chain challenges, we need to make sure that we've got enough protective product on hand, particularly around raw materials. In terms of other areas for write-offs, to you give you some sense, in total, we're carrying forward related inventory now probably about $1 million okay, in terms of carrying value. We sold about $0.5 million of COVID-related products in quarter four. I expect we'll do something similar in quarter one this year, right. So, in that sense, we're not holding big, big inventory values from a net basis in terms of products that are highly uncertain. And then our other inventory is concentrated in our ongoing main product areas. So, for example, associated with HIV, we obviously have the ramp up now production at TrinScreen and that's going to add some headcount production as well here in Ireland, but we'll need to increase our inventories. So, I think overall the picture might stay the same, but I think, we’ll effectively be trying to hold lower amount of inventories for every dollar revenue that we have going out the door. That makes sense for.

Paul Nouri

Analyst

Yes. And then in terms of the income statement, two questions. I think you mentioned hitting 40% gross margin adjusted this quarter, wondering if you expect to continue that in 2023 and then operating expenses as a whole, do you think that as you get revenue from TrinScreen and hopefully the diabetes business continues to perform well in the lab in the U.S.? Do you think you'll be able to leverage off those expenses or are you building more of an infrastructure to support the growth?

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

I think on the expense side, let me just say one thing. We're making investments. We're putting a lot of money in the IT right now because we think that's going to drive significant efficiency. I think the portfolio rationalization will address a significant amount of carrying costs associated with managing legacy products. And we can address that. And then revenue quite frankly is the key here. There's a baseline amount of infrastructure you need for regulated entity. And getting a ramp up for example in TrinScreen will drive significant operating efficiency in and of itself. So look, revenue is one piece of it, but there's no doubt we're putting significant investment in the IT infrastructure in the companies so that we can make it much more efficient and it's easier to scale as we do M&A. [Multiple Speakers] Go ahead, John.

John Gillard

Analyst

Yes. Paul, no, I would be hopeful that we will continue to see that type of margin come through. As I mentioned, we made some price increases second half of 2022, sometimes take some time for those to roll-through. We have some other price increases. We expect to push through now in quarter two of this year and that we are significantly focusing on reducing down our costs, right. So, between the two of those activities, I do expect that we would be able to maintain margins in around that 40% level. Some will depend on product mix. So, for example, as we place an increased amount of [9210 instruments] [ph], as you know, our margin on them is typically [Technical Difficulty] high margin consumer revenue as we go forward, right. So, do I think that number will be [indiscernible] 40% every quarter? Probably not, but for us, we're happy to take an element of variability, particularly around hemoglobin instruments placements as they generally deliver, which higher quality revenue both in terms of margin and predictability as we go forward. And also, look at TrinScreen, this is – it could be interesting to see what impact that has in terms of our margin as well and how big those numbers get. Some unknowns within that, but we're certainly much happier with the trends we're seeing now in terms of margin given the hard work and the actions that people have taken over the last 6 months.

Paul Nouri

Analyst

Okay. And then last question is around the strategic investment for imaware. Maybe, a, if you could give us the size of the overall money raise that they did? And then b, what their particular competitive advantage is in this space? And I'm kind of assuming that they're using your lab as the exclusive lab, but maybe you could get into that a little.

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

No, it's not complicated at some level, right? I mean, the reason we partner with them and we have an exclusive arrangement as we build out our lab will be the exclusive provider for the programs that they're working on. Their entire strategy is still B2B2C, private label. White label solutions for digital health providers, telehealth providers and players like that, okay. This is not a direct go-to-market play. They do have a website, but that's more of a focus group operation than anything else. So, we like that model. We think that model can scale. We already do a little bit of work with them. We're working quite closely with them to scale up [celiac test] [ph] that has potential and then to ramp up across a broad spectrum of tests. Now, the pace of that is going to be – we'll see what that pace is. We're going to be careful and prudent as we roll this thing out. We're not going to be dilutional about the complexities of getting into these types of programs. We've got key marquee accounts. We're working with them on. I think it's much more important that we have milestones with some of these marquee accounts, and execute properly on those and demonstrate that this model can work. So, I think you'll see us ramp up the celiac test this year and roll into some of the other tests next year.

Paul Nouri

Analyst

Okay. I appreciate the detail.

John Gillard

Analyst

Well, in terms of money raised, they're a private company so we're not at liberty to say that. All I'd say is, our 1.5 investment is relatively minority, right. They [indiscernible] significantly more than that.

Paul Nouri

Analyst

Okay. All right. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Showing no further questions. This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Aris Kekedjian for any closing remarks.

Aris Kekedjian

Analyst

Thank you. John and I appreciate the time you all took today to spend with us and to get an update on our journey. I feel very confident in terms of the progress we're making and the focus of the organization. I think the first phase is well underway, but we have a lot of execution in front of us. We're not delusional. This takes time. But we have a clear three-year plan and that's where we're executing against. Thank you for your time and we hope to speak to you again in the next couple of months' time. Thank you.

John Gillard

Analyst

Thank you everybody.

Operator

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.