Stephane Bello
Analyst · Giasone Salati
Thank you, Jim, and good morning or good afternoon to all of you. As I did on the first quarter call, I would like to cover a few housekeeping items before discussing the results for our second quarter. First, as Frank mentioned, when discussing our performance against the prior year, I will be comparing year-on-year results excluding IP & Science which is classified as discontinued operations. This will also hold for all metrics except free cash flow which includes IP & Science and is not restated in line with the way we have always treated divestitures in the past. Second, currency had a much smaller impact on our results than last year. However, as always I will talk to revenue growth before currency. And finally, given our focus on driving organic revenue growth and delivering simplification, our recent acquisition activity has been far less significant than in prior years, meaning that growth rates discussed on this call are organic. So on to our results. On a constant currency basis our second quarter revenues were unchanged compared to the prior year. Financial was down 1% while our Legal and Tax & Accounting businesses each grew 1% during the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was down 2% with the margin down 20 basis points to 27.3%. Currency had a 40 basis points favorable impact on the margin. Operating profit was down 1% with the margin at 18.2% flat to the prior year, and currency also had a 30 basis points favorable impact on that margin. As Jim mentioned, there are a few specific items that had a dampening impact on the second-quarter results. And I will discuss these items in more detail as I review the performance of our individual business segments. So let me start with our Legal business. Demand for legal services in the US market as measured by Peer Monitor showed a modest decline in the second quarter. While one quarter does not make a trend, the second quarter was a step back after nine consecutive positive quarters. During the second quarter Legal revenues grew 1% and excluding US Print revenues were up 3%. The EBITDA margin was down 110 basis points while the operating profit margin decreased 120 basis points. And currency had no impact on either the EBITDA or operating profit margin during the quarter. Here is a more detailed look at the revenue performance of the three main sub-segments in our Legal business. US Online Legal Information, which represented 41% of total revenue in the second quarter was up 2%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of positive growth for this segment, an encouraging performance. US Print revenues were down 8% during the quarter which negatively impacted total growth. And finally, the Solution businesses made up 44% of revenues and grew 3%. The weaker growth performance in the second quarter was attributable to lower transaction revenue growth and I will show this more clearly on the next slide. We do still expect an improvement in Solutions growth in the second half and we continue to expect mid-single-digit growth for this segment for the full year. This next slide provides a snapshot of our Legal revenues by type splitting out subscription, transactions and print revenues. As you can see, subscription revenues, which account for three quarters of the total, were up a healthy 4% in the second quarter and they were up 3% year-to-date. The continued strong performance of our subscription revenue base is a good indicator of the underlying strength of the business. The slightly disappointing overall growth performance in the quarter was therefore driven by two factors. First, a 4% decline in transactional revenues, primarily related to FindLaw and legal managed services. This decline was partly due to a difficult prior-year comparison when transaction revenues grew 10%. Second, as I just mentioned, the decline in print revenues accelerated in the second quarter, down 8% versus a 3% decline in the first quarter, bringing the first half performance to minus 6% which is broadly in line with the expected performance for the full year. Now turning to our Tax & Accounting business, revenues for the second quarter were 1%. Recurring revenues, which are 87% of the total, were up 7% while nonrecurring revenues decreased 23%. From a profit standpoint EBITDA was 9% lower than the prior-year period with the margin down 220 basis points. And excluding the impact of currency, the margin was down 340 basis points. Operating profit was down 13% with the margin down 230 basis points and 290 basis points before currency. There were two main factors that impacted margins in the quarter, both arising within our Government business. First, we had to reverse some revenues due to delays we are experiencing in the go-live phase on two significant projects. And second, we are incurring additional expenses as we are putting more development resources behind these projects in order to mitigate the risk of further delay. These factors had a 300 basis point or more impact on the EBITDA margin in the quarter. We may see some additional pressure on margin in the third quarter as a result of these additional expenses. Therefore, we expect Tax & Accounting's margin for the full year to be 100 to 200 basis points below last year as a result of these issues. As you can see on this slide, our Professional business continued its solid growth performance, posting a 7% increase. Our Corporate business delivered revenue growth of 1% during the quarter. However, looking at the first six months in aggregate, growth for this segment was a more robust 9%. Knowledge Solutions saw revenues unchanged in the quarter. And, finally, our smallest division, the Government business, saw revenues declined by 32% for the reasons I just mentioned. Now for further clarity, this slide shows Tax & Accounting's organic growth both including and excluding the Government business, which as I just mentioned is more unpredictable than other revenue streams. As you can see, revenue growth in the first half excluding Government was 6%, a little below previous years but still a good performance. As we have stated before, small items can have a disproportionate impact on the quality of revenue and margin performance of our Tax & Accounting my business, and therefore it's more appropriate to look at the performance of this business over the full year. This was especially true this quarter and we expect the full-year performance of the business to be better than what we saw in Q2 both in terms of revenue growth and in terms of margin. Now turning to our Financial & Risk business. Second quarter revenues were down 1%. As was the case in prior quarters there were two temporary factors that had a dampening impact on F&R's reported growth. First is a decrease in recoveries which negatively impacted F&R's revenue growth by about 170 basis points in the second quarter. This was expected as some of our partners moved to a direct billing arrangement with our customers. And the second factor impacting revenues in Q2 was the ongoing commercial pricing adjustment on our remaining legacy foreign exchange products. Excluding recoveries and these pricing adjustments F&R's revenues would have increased by about 2%, building upon similar performances in the previous three quarters. Foreign exchange commercial pricing adjustments are expected to be completed in the second half of this year and the decline in recoveries is likely to be smaller in the second half of the year. As Jim said earlier, we therefore expect to see our Financial & Risk business to move into positive revenue growth territory in the second half barring any surprises in our transaction revenues. Turning to the second-quarter profitability metrics EBITDA was up 3% and the reported EBITDA margin for the quarter was up 140 basis points. Excluding currency, the margin was up 90 basis points, reflecting the benefit associated with last year's platform closures. And operating profit was up 8% with the margin increasing 180 basis points, and that margin was up 130 basis points before currency. Now looking at the Financial & Risk revenue base in a bit more detail you can see on this slide that desktop-related revenues represented 39% of F&R's total and they declined 3% during the second quarter. Excluding pricing adjustments these revenues were down 1%. One item to point out, desktop revenues from large European banks were down 6% before pricing adjustments while all other desktop revenues were flat. The balance of F&R's recurring revenue base is comprised of fees, risk and other revenues which account for 38% of F&R's total revenue and which grew 4% in aggregate during the quarter. Obviously this is the part of the business towards which we are focusing most of our investments going forward. Turning to recoveries these pass-through revenues made up about 9% of the total and they were down 17% in the second quarter. As we discussed on the fourth-quarter call, we expect these reductions to have a noticeable impact on revenue growth throughout 2016, although we do expect that the impact will be lower in the second half. The decline in recoveries has almost no impact on EBITDA or operating profit. Finally, transactions revenues, which is 14% of the total, were up 1% in the second quarter. While volatility around the Brexit vote did increase foreign exchange volumes at the very end of the quarter, with over $480 billion being traded on our platforms on June 24 alone the overall trading activity was relatively muted during the run-up to the vote, resulting in only minor growth versus the prior year. Now let me update you on our free cash flow and earnings per share performance. I will start with our free cash flow performance for the first six months of the year which we are presenting with and without the contribution of IP & Science. Starting from the bottom of the slide, free cash flow for the first half was $748 million compared to $644 million in the prior year. The key drivers of this improved performance were lower tax payments, lower interest expense and CapEx-related timing. Now the IP & Science contribution to free cash flow was $169 million in the first half of the year, a $40 million decline on the prior year driven primarily by working capital movements. So excluding IP & Science, the free cash flow generated by our continuing operations was $579 million, an improvement of $144 million on the prior-year period. As we have consistently stated, we remain committed to returning capital to our shareholders and over the past 3.5 years we have returned $7.2 billion in the form of dividends and share buybacks. This is very much in line with a strategy that we laid out in October 2013: focus on driving growth organically and on delivering scale, which has led to a reduced acquisition activity and an increased level of capital return to shareholders via dividends and buybacks. Now a couple of weeks ago we announced a definitive agreement to sell the IP & Science business for $3.550 billion. We expect to generate somewhere between $3.1 billion and $3.2 billion of net proceeds after factoring in transaction costs as well as the taxes we will occur in connection with this transaction. As indicated by Jim we expect to use about $1 billion of the net proceeds to buy back shares and the balance to pay down debt. On a preliminary basis we estimate that out of the $0.27 dilution we will incur from losing IP & Science's earnings we will recover about $0.14 in 2017, $0.08 from the billion dollar buybacks and about $0.06 from the lower interest expense associated with the debt reduction. So the transaction will be somewhat diluted on an EPS basis in 2017 as we had expected due to the fact that we will use a large portion of the proceeds to pay down relatively cheap debt, primarily the outstanding commercial paper balance which we have accumulated over the last few months in anticipation of the transaction. We fully intend to maintain our solid investment-grade credit rating by continuing to target a net debt EBITDA ratio of about 2.5 times. We do expect to be below that level followed the closing of the IP & Science divestiture. Now let me turn to our earnings per share performance. Second-quarter adjusted EPS increased $0.05 to $0.50 per share which represents an 11% increase compared to the prior year. $0.03 of this improvement was driven by a lower share count and during the second quarter we bought back 6.3 million shares at a cost of $258 million. The remaining of the improvement was contributed by the other factors highlighted on this slide. Currency only had a $0.01 positive impact on EPS during the quarter. And for our year-to-date results EPS is up $0.14 or 17% with currency having a $0.02 positive impact. Now Frank mentioned that we plan to make a change beginning in the third quarter in the way we adjust for two tax-related items in the way we define adjusted earnings per share. I would now like to briefly describe these two adjustments and their impact on our reported results. The first change relates to the add-back of non-cash intangible amortization expense which we have been doing since the Reuters acquisition eight years ago when we became dual-listed in London and Toronto. Since we started adding back this non-cash expense in 2008 we have always made an adjustment on the pre-tax basis based on our understanding of practice at the time, particularly for UK listed companies. Based on a review we just completed on a recent practice we will begin tax effecting this add-back beginning with our Q3 results. This will have the effect of increasing our effective tax rate and decreasing EPS. The other tax adjustment relates to a large tax charge we incurred in 2013 related to a taxable gain we triggered when we consolidated our technology and content assets around the world. We had been amortizing this charge over seven years which represents the period over which we expect to actually pay the tax. Going forward we will eliminate this adjustment again to better align with the spirit of recent SEC guidance. This change will have the effect of reducing our effective tax rate and increasing adjusted EPS. As you can see on this slide the net impact of these two changes will be an $0.08 decrease in our 2015 adjusted EPS from our current definition. On the other hand, these changes will also result in a slightly higher EPS growth rate over 2013 to 2015 period about 20% compared to 18% reported previously. Now importantly as Frank said these changes have no impact on our previously reported revenue, EBITDA, underlying operating profit and free cash flow performance nor on our 2016 guidance for those same measures including our tax rate guidance. As you recall from our call at the beginning of the year, we had indicated that our original EPS target of $2.80 will have to be adjusted to approximately $2.30 to reflect the divestiture of our IP & Science business which accounted for $0.27 decrease as well as the cumulative impact of currency, the impact of which was $0.23. So if you now take into consideration the additional factors I just described they would represent a net increase of about $0.05 in aggregate, $0.08 positive impact from the buyback, about $0.06 positive impact from the reduction in interest expense resulting from the debt reduction we will achieve once we get the IP & Science proceeds and about $0.08 to $0.10 negative impact from the revised treatment of our tax expense as I just described. So taking all these items into account puts us in the area of about $2.35 for 2017 which gives you a good directional sense of what we are driving for as we enter our planning season for next year. Now let me turn it back over to Jim before opening up the call for your questions.