Stephane Bello
Analyst · Sara Gubins with Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Thank you, Jim. As Frank indicated earlier, I will speak to revenue growth before currency throughout today's presentation. Reported revenues are also highlighted on each slide. In total, our third quarter revenues were up 1%, with acquisitions contributing 2%, so organic growth was down 1%. As Jim mentioned earlier, quarter-to-quarter comparisons do not always accurately reflect the underlying trends in our business. This is why we believe that it is better to look at full year numbers, which eliminates some of the noise that may affect our performance in a given quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was down 5% with a corresponding margin of 27.3%, representing a decline of 120 basis points. The benefit from the elimination of integration expenses incurred in 2011 was offset by lower revenue growth and the timing of high-margin onetime revenues in 2011 that did not repeat in 2012. Underlying operating profit decreased 15%, and the corresponding margin was 18.5%, a decline of 310 basis points due to the same factors that impact EBITDA, as well as higher software amortization from investments made during prior periods. Let me remind you that both our EBITDA and operating margin performances faced difficult year-on-year comparisons, as margins in 2011 reached their peak in the third quarter. Finally, foreign exchange had no material impact on our overall operating margin during the quarter. Now let me briefly discuss the third quarter results for our individual business segments starting with Legal. As we indicated during the second quarter earnings call, we were expecting a slowdown in growth for the third quarter for our Legal business, driven by the timing of print revenues. Overall, growth in the U.S. legal market continues to face headwinds. Yet we see good growth in areas away from core legal research. Gross sales during the quarter were up from the second quarter, and retention rates, primarily due to WestlawNext, remain high relative to 2011. We have now covered 73% -- sorry, we have now converted 73% of our annual contract value to WestlawNext, and so we're well on our way to achieve our 75% conversion target by year end. During the third quarter, Legal's overall revenues were up 2%, 1% on an organic basis. U.S. print revenues, which accounted for just under 20% of Legal's revenues in the third quarter, were down 9%. Excluding these print revenues, Legal grew 5% in the third quarter, 3% organically. In fact, if you exclude U.S. print revenues, the organic growth rate for our Legal business would have been a steady 3% in each of the first 3 quarters of the year. Let me now briefly discuss the performance of the 3 subsegments within our Legal business. U.S. Law Firm Solutions, which is our largest subsegment, grew slightly. This was driven by a 13% increase in Business of Law services, while research-related revenues decreased 3%. In Corporate, Government and Academic revenues were up 1% and flat organically. This was driven primarily by the strong performance of our legal process outsourcing business. Now about 40% of this segment's revenue are from print, which explains the lower growth rate this quarter. Lastly, revenues in our global Legal businesses were up 9%, 5% organic. And this was once again driven by strong growth in Latin America, which was up 22%, about half of that organic. So in aggregate, 60% of Legal's revenues grew 6% in the third quarter, while the remaining 40% core Legal research sold to U.S. law firms declined by 3% during the quarter. EBITDA was up slightly versus the prior year, and the corresponding margin was up 10 basis points. Excluding the benefit of foreign exchange, the margin declined by 40 basis points, largely due to the change in business mix. That is the decline in our highly profitable core research business and the growth in other legal businesses, which have attractive margins but just not as high as in core legal research. Operating profit was flat, and the margin decreased 50 basis points. Again, excluding the benefit of exchange, the margin declined 100 basis points primarily due to flow-through from lower print revenues and higher depreciation. For the 9-month period, revenues grew 3%, EBITDA margin was flat and operating margin was down 10 basis points. Now turning to our Tax & Accounting business. Revenues grew 10%, of which 3% was organic. Revenue growth during the quarter was driven by acquisitions, by revenues derived from our ONESOURCE platform sold to corporations and by software sales to accounting firms. This was offset by lower government-related revenues. As a reminder, Tax & Accounting faced a difficult comparison, as the organic growth rate in 2011 reached its high watermark at over 8% in the third quarter last year. In the quarter, EBITDA grew 3%, and the EBITDA margin was 24.8%, a 120-basis-point decline. The EBITDA margin decline was due to the dilutive impact of acquisitions and the flow-through of lower revenues in our government business. Operating profit decreased 8%, with the margin down 230 basis points due mainly to the same reasons I've just mentioned as well as higher software amortization from acquisitions. Tax & Accounting's recent acquisitions continue to perform well, and as I discussed last quarter, we have high expectations from our government tax automation business. Governments around the world are seeking ways to improve tax collection management by modernizing their tax automation systems. Still being said, government-related contracts can be lumpy in that they can be large and fluctuate from quarter-to-quarter. In the third quarter, government revenues declined by 13% organically from the prior year period. So if you exclude the government business, Tax & Accounting's organic growth rate would have been closer to 5% during the quarter versus the reported 3% growth rate. Also, please remember that Tax & Accounting is a seasonal business with a significant proportion of its operating profit traditionally generated during the fourth quarter. For these reasons, full year margins are more reflective of the segment's underlying performance. And for the 9 month period, revenues rose 22%, EBITDA was up 25% and the corresponding margin was up 110 basis points. Our IP & Science business achieved revenue growth of 3% in the third quarter, all coming from acquisitions. Growth was driven by a 3% increase in IP Solutions and an 8% increase in Life Sciences. Scientific & Scholarly Research revenues decreased 6%, due to strong back-file sales recorded in Q3 2011 that did not repeat this quarter. And as we say on every call, quarterly revenue growth for IP & Science can be uneven due to the impact of such large sales in the Scientific & Scholarly Research business. EBITDA and operating profit both declined, with corresponding declines in margins. The uneven nature of revenue growth contributed to 200 basis points decline in EBITDA margin, while the acquisition of MarkMonitor negatively impacted margins by about 100 basis points. And as we said in the second quarter call, the acquisition of MarkMonitor is expected to continue to close margin dilution next year but should rebound thereafter. For the first 9 months of 2012, EBITDA was up 1%, with the corresponding margin down 40 basis points. Let me now turn to Finance & Risk where revenues were flat, with a 2% contribution from acquisitions. So organic revenue was down 2% in the quarter. Recurring revenues, which represent about 3/4 of F&R's revenue base, were down 1%, as the benefit from this year's price increase was offset by the impact of negative net sales in the last several quarters. Recoveries revenues declined 1%, and Outright revenues were up 2%. Finally, transactions revenues, which represent about 10% of F&R's revenue base, were up 4% due to the acquisitions of FXall and Rafferty. However, organic transaction revenues declined 8%, reflecting lower market volumes across most asset classes over the summer. If you exclude transactions, organic revenue growth for F&R would have been minus 1%, which is in line with the Q2 performance. EBITDA and operating profit both declined during the quarter. This was attributable to 2 main factors: First, the decline in organic revenue had roughly 200-basis-point impact on margins; and second, we continue to make investments into the business to drive customer satisfaction, including product enhancement and better customer service and customer administration. These investments are yielding tangible results as we are seeing a gradual improvement in our customer satisfaction scores. As I mentioned last quarter, these investments are incorporated within our full year outlook. For the 9 months period, revenue grew 1%, EBITDA was down 10%, with the corresponding margin down 230 basis points. Now I'll briefly review the results for the individual segments within our Finance & Risk business. Trading revenues declined 4%. We experienced steady growth in our Commodities & Energy and Data Feeds businesses. However, this was offset by desktop cancellations in equity and fixed income, as well as low revenues in Omgeo related to the low transaction volume environment. Investors revenues were flat, with enterprise content revenues up 12%, offset by a 4% decline in Investment Management due to weakness in Europe and Asia. While Investment Management is still negative, this represents a sequential improvement as compared to the 5% decline we recorded in the second quarter and the 10% decline in the first quarter. Wealth Management revenues were up 1%. Banking & Advisory revenues were down 1%, and the Corporate business was also down 1%. Marketplaces revenues increased 7% driven by acquisitions. Organic revenues declined 2% in that segment due to lower transaction volumes. For instance, foreign exchange volumes declined 23% year-on-year during the third quarter, as a number of key currency pairs traded in a very narrow range. And finally, our Governance, Risk & Compliance business continues to perform strongly, with revenues increasing 17% organically. Demand continues to be strong for our financial crime, a reputation of risk products. Now let me turn back to our consolidated results. Our third quarter adjusted EPS was $0.54 per share, unchanged from the year-ago period. The third quarter EPS reflected lower income tax and the elimination of integration expenses, which were offset by lower underlying operating profit primarily from our Finance & Risk business. Foreign exchange had $0.01 negative impact on EPS. During the quarter, we favorably concluded negotiations with tax authorities in several jurisdictions. That resulted in the recognition of about $100 million in prior year tax benefits. As we have done in the past, we have excluded these benefit from our adjusted earnings. But those favorable negotiations will also provide an ongoing benefit, and consequently, we have reduced our projected tax rate for 2012 and now expect our full year 2012 effective rate to be between 16% and 18%. This in turn resulted in an effective tax rate of 11% for the third quarter. So the impact of the change in the third quarter tax rate versus last year was about $0.05. Turning to free cash flow. We reported a $97 million improvement in reported free cash flow for the first 9 months of the year. More importantly, free cash flow from ongoing businesses, which excludes cash flow from businesses we had either put up for sale or sold over the last 12 months, was up $184 million or nearly 23% better than a year ago. Approximately $150 million of the improvement came from the elimination of integration spending, with the balance coming from lower cash tax payments and lower interest paid. Year-to-date CapEx spending was 7.5% of revenue, within our guidance of 7.5% to 8% for the full year. We're pleased with our free cash flow performance for the first 9 months of the year, but it is not indicative for the full year. We are reiterating our full year outlook as some of the benefit from lower cash taxes and interest paid are timing related. In addition, the businesses, which we divested over the last 12 months, generated about $80 million in free cash flow in the fourth quarter of last year, which we will obviously not benefit from in the fourth quarter of this year. So let me conclude by saying that as Jim mentioned earlier, we are reaffirming our full year 2012 outlook today. The only change to our guidance relates to our quarterly effective tax rate, which we now expect to be in the range of 16% to 18% for the reason I discussed earlier. With that, let me turn it back over to Frank for the Q&A session.