Randy Fields
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, John. We reached an interesting inflection point this quarter, and I think that it demonstrates that our transition to a revenue mix dominated by recurring revenue is definitely accelerating. As most of you know transitions from one time revenue to a SaaS recurring revenue model are challenging for most companies, typically driving losses, upsetting customers incurring debt et cetera until the transitions complete. We're certainly the exception. Through this process, we've continued to generate substantial cash and therefore are seen an increasingly strong balance sheet, the strongest certainly in our history. We remained solidly profitable and we continue to grow our network at top tier sales people and drive shareholder value. The revenue declines from focusing on recurring revenue is transient, is already abating, as the revenue growth from recurring revenue is accelerating. We grew our recurring revenue 3% for the December quarter. Please remember, new subscriptions do not begin on the first day of each quarter, but begin throughout the quarter. But, by the end of the quarter in December, our monthly recurring revenue run rate increased to more than 8%. What should this mean to us as investors? Given the subscription revenue is recurring, our run rate of 8% may provide line of sight to our recurring revenue for the subsequent quarter assuming no incremental growth. Our exit rate in the September quarter, meaning September 2019 versus September 2018, was 4%. So, our pace doubled in the three months clearly, demonstrating interfaces in fact, accelerating. We expect the exit rate in March to be higher than in December, and so on and so forth. We believe investors can view double digit starting rate for our recurring revenue going into fiscal year 2021. Since approximately 85% of our total revenue is recurring now, that growth rate should be an approximate surrogate for our topline growth as we go forward. For the third quarter in a row, over 80 plus percent of our total revenue was recurring. One time revenue other than marketplace remains negligible and recurring revenue is growing. As John pointed out, the proof is in the numbers. I'm proud that we've achieved this important transition while both maintaining profitability and at the same time, strengthening our balance sheet. I continue to believe the profitable growth is still something that's largely overlooked these days. Cash is certainly still king, strong balance sheet is critical, particularly in our case. Our customers demand it and our balance sheet gives them comfort. In fact, our balance sheet and deep customer network, we'll talk about that a bit more in a moment, services are really white moat around our business, a durable barrier of entry for start-ups or outsiders who might seek to displace this. Our near-term focus is on further penetrating our current customer base with upsells and cross-sells. We're very excited about how we're in fact progressing, a little bit more about that later. Let me speak to the key performance indicators which will contribute to financial performance in the future. First, network scale. Growing the scale of our network is of key importance because, it's ultimately the indicator of our future growth and profitability. We do have two metrics that we internally follow, the number of participants in the network and the number of connections between them. From a connection perspective, as of December 31, we had nearly 100,000 facility level connections in our compliance system. Our total connections across all three segments of the business is multiples of that. Just for a perspective, four years ago, we had a couple of thousand compliance connections. Another metric we follow is the number of participants or customers. About five years ago, we had around 800 total customers in our system across all of our platforms, today we have 27,000 that's scaling . The size of our network and its growth in numbers enables us to do what we call land and expand. For example, take our focus on our Tier 2 hub initiative, every year 2 Tier hub brings with it about 80 new suppliers to be added to the network. Each of these suppliers, in turn has suppliers of their own representing both an upsell and an expansion opportunity. Flawless execution with compliance is paramount and leads to additional opportunities, such as, our supply chain offerings, marketplace, et cetera. As usual, I know if you've listened to me before our customers come first, now, always. The opportunity is enormous and the pace of our network to expansion is accelerating rapidly. Keep your eye on it. As John mentioned, we have recently added substantially to our sales team based on the size of the opportunity and our initial success. We're focused on driving our growth in both numbers and the size of the connection stream associated with those numbers of participants. Our growth in these two metrics drives the work we have to do much more closely than it drives our near-term revenue. In other words, we add customers which may not immediately impact revenue, but ultimately does. The result is that when our network grows rapidly as it is now, we need to double down on our focus on execution to pave the way for the next round of additions. The team is executing magnificently and seriously, I mean magnificently. During the second quarter, we made tangible operational progress in each of the three revenue streams. Let me start with compliance. We added a significant Tier 1 hub in the quarter, and more importantly, we added nearly 40 Tier 2 hubs, since the fiscal year began. A year ago, we had only 25 total Tier 2 customers that we've won cumulatively over the years. We ended the December quarter with a total of 90 Tier 2 hubs. This growth was generated by only one dedicated tier two salesperson, and as I mentioned, we've added additional resources dedicated to accelerating this growth. Our marketing initiatives are working that we're on track to reach probably just under 200 total Tier 2s by the end of the fiscal year, that will be a nearly 400% increase. However, from a network perspective, keep in mind that this year could add nearly 12,000 more customers 12,000. We began the year with 23,000 customers, so this is nearly a 50% increase for the year. In the next year we're hopeful of crossing the 50,000 participants mark. The number each new supplier becomes an upsell candidate but then there's short run increases our need for our continued brilliant customer execution. The size of the network interestingly becomes self-fulfilling. More companies want to join the largest network and the size of the network increases our effectiveness and the attractiveness of our other offerings such as, marketplace. It's important to note that not every customer signs up on the first day of the quarter, and that there's some work required to ramp up users after a sale is made. For this reason, we now see the exit rate and monthly recurring revenue is the best indicator of our progress. Ending Q2, our monthly recurring compliance as we mentioned, revenue exit rate increased to 8% December compared to prior December, double the rate of the September quarter end. So, double digit recurring revenue growth is ahead, not very far ahead. We have a good line of sights. So, this view is based on agreements we currently have in place and we simply have to continue to provide to flawless execution and deployment. We're certainly executing with a clear mission to scale the network until we touch and connect everyone in the supply chain for U.S. food. Incidentally, we're also making progress to replicate this model outside the United States. During the fiscal first quarter, we signed our first ReposiTrak compliance out in the United Kingdom, and will commence implementation in the month of March. Our first account in the UK is one of the most prestigious wholesalers and retailers in the country and assuming we maintain our excellent customer execution standard, it will give us a great launch not just in the UK but potentially give us a springboard to Europe and in fact to Asia. A little bit about supply chain. In supply chain our Out-of-Stock management solution is a clear and overwhelming win. As a result, we continue to believe supply chain will be a standout performer in fiscal 2020. While, each new customer in compliance is relatively small financially, each ad in our supply chain business is typically much more meaningful. Subsequent to the end of the second quarter, our Out-of-Stock management solution was endorsed by the Food Marketing Institute, FMI. It’s a very significant milestone for us in an industry that's always skeptical. We're grateful for this accolade and FMI's endorsement reinforces how critical and significant the Out-of-Stock issue is, and certainly, validates our offering as an effective solution. Out-of-Stock have been an age old issue for the grocery industry, but as online competitors like Amazon, expand home delivery, Out-of-Stock have taken out a more critical importance for food retailers. They aren't just watching loss sales, more importantly, they're watching the loss of customers. Many retailers are now just beginning to recognize the magnitude of the challenges customers come into their stores, don’t find what they need, pull out their phone, see it in stock on Amazon, and click to order it. Interesting statistic by the way. 24% of Amazon's North American revenue comes from these disappointed shoppers, people who started on Amazon because they couldn't find it in a physical retail store. Our results were impressive in terms of the efficacy of our solution. 70% of vendors using our Out-of-Stock solution have reduced Out-of-Stocks by an average of 46%, and that's across 12,000 stores, where we're working today. Our effect under that reducing Out-of-Stock exceeds, even my expectations, to say that I'm proud of this part of our execution would be a grotesque understatement. In our typical fashion, now we're carefully, slowly, growing the usage of our tool. Now, the marketplace. During the first fiscal quarter, we added two new buyers from the marketplace network. We're starting to see their expansion and contribution to marketplace and that's showing in our financial, albeit as non-recurring revenue. We continue to push the boundaries of marketplace and it continues to move along very well. It is non-recurring revenue, but we still think that it's very important both ultimately to us and to our customers. In some, it's wonderful to have all three of the areas of our platform growing and doing well. Wonderful indeed. We remained uniquely positioned in our ability to help a buyer source that and transact efficiently with a new supplier and we have multiple modes to run their business. Our efforts to reduce one time sales in favor of the idea of recurring revenue that drives predictability maximizes profitability is nearly complete, well ahead of our original plan. The progress was made to accelerate Tier 2 growth will hit an inflection point later this year, and our operational progress will be continued to show up in our topline results. In the meantime, to judge our progress through this transition, I'd reiterate our key operational goal. Under compliance, we suggest watching our Tier 2 adoption. We have that we're on track and on pace, if you will, to increase the number of Tier 2 hubs using ReposiTrak by several hundred percent to just under 200 by the end of the year. In supply chain, we intend to drive our Out-of-Stock program to more rapidly grow our supply chain recurring revenue business, focusing primarily on our existing customer base. And finally marketplace, simple, continue to add new buyers, new programs et cetera. So, with strategic and deliberate execution, we will continue to grow our bottom line, our cash generation and add additional strength to our balance sheet. So with that, I'd like to now open the call for questions. Operator?