Earnings Labs

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 24, 2022

$430.97

-1.45%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to Texas Pacific Land Corporation's Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. This conference call is being recorded. And at this time, I'd like to introduce your host for today's call, Shawn Amini, Vice President, Finance and Investor Relations. Sir, please go ahead.

Shawn Amini

Management

Good morning. Thank you for joining us today for Texas Pacific Land Corporation's fourth quarter 2021 earnings conference call. Yesterday afternoon, the company released its financial results and filed its Form 10-K with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These documents are available on the Investors section of the company's website at www.texaspacific.com. As a reminder, remarks made on today's conference call may include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed today. We do not undertake any obligation to update our forward-looking statements in light of new information or future events. For a more detailed discussion of the factors that may affect the company's results, please refer to our earnings release for this quarter and to our most recent SEC filings. During this call, we will also be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. More information and reconciliations about these non-GAAP financial measures are contained in our earnings release and SEC filings. Please also note, we may at times refer to our company by its stock ticker TPL. This morning's conference call is hosted by TPL's Chief Executive Officer, Ty Glover; and Chief Financial Officer, Chris Steddum. Management will make some prepared comments, after which we will open the call for questions. Now, I will turn the call over to Ty.

Ty Glover

Management

I'm pleased to report that TPL finished 2021 in record fashion. The upward momentum we saw last quarter continued into the fourth quarter, with consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $130 million and daily royalty production of 22,000 barrels of oil equivalent. Likewise, for full year 2021, this was the best year in our company's history by almost any measure. Reflecting back on 2021, the year began with a lot of uncertainty on how the pandemic would turn out. Domestic and global demand for oil products were still far below pre-pandemic levels. Oil prices were below $50 and natural gas under $2.50. Levels I'm not sure anyone in the industry was excited about. But TPL has navigated through the worst of the volatility of 2020 and so we entered 2021 hopeful for a better year. As the year progressed, the global economy and commodity markets did experience some volatility, but overall they continued an upward trend. By midyear, we had $70 oil and $4 natural gas and the industry, particularly in the Permian, seem to find some solid footing. Our source water sales, which are a leading indicator of activity, started to noticeably pick up. You can see rig counts and frac crews also tick up week by week and our regular discussions with operators reaffirm that activity would be supportive of Permian production. While the first half of 2021 could be characterized as slow and steady, the second half of the year is when activity started to ramp up, especially on TPL acreage, compelling full year 2021 royalty production growth of 15% compared to full year 2020 production. Commodity prices also steadily improved throughout 2021, with TPL's full year 2021 all-in average commodity price realization over 80% higher than 2020 realization. Because TPL was completely unhedged for the entirety of the…

Chris Steddum

Management

Beginning with our operating results. Total revenue for the fourth quarter of 2021 was $147.2 million compared to $74.3 million for the same quarter last year, a 98% year-over-year increase. The increase in revenues is primarily from higher royalty production, higher commodity prices, higher sourced water sales volumes and higher produced water volumes. We were able to fully benefit from rising commodity prices as we were completely unhedged during the quarter and we remain unhedged today. For the fourth quarter of 2021, we had net income of $79 million or $10.21 per share. This compares to $44.8 million of net income or $5.77 per share in the same quarter of the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA was $130.3 million compared to $61.2 million for the same period last year. Oil and gas royalty production volumes were approximately 22,000 Boe per day in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared to 17,000 Boe per day for the fourth quarter 2020. Production this quarter benefited from increased activity on our royalty acreage and from production associated with periods prior to the beginning of the most recent quarter. At the end of the fourth quarter 2021, TPL's royalty acreage had 7.2 net well permits 6.6 net drilled, but uncompleted wells 2.5 net completed wells and 48.1 net producing wells. Moving to the expense side. Our operating expenses were $21.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2021, up from $19.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. Turning to our balance sheet. At the end of the fourth quarter, we had $428 million of cash and cash equivalents, and we continue to carry no debt. In the fourth quarter of 2021, capital expenditures were $4.9 million which was primarily spent on electrifying our water sourcing infrastructure and investments in corporate assets. On February 11th 2022, our Board declared a cash dividend of $3 per common share payable on March 15th to shareholders of record as of March 8th. This represents a $0.25 increase from our most recent regular dividend. During the fourth quarter of 2021, we bought back 6,979 shares of stock at an average per share price of $1,248. With that, operator, we will now take questions.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we'll begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Derrick Whitfield from Stifel. Please go ahead with your question.

Derrick Whitfield

Analyst

Sure. Good morning all and congrats on a strong year-end.

Ty Glover

Management

Thanks Derrick. Good morning.

Derrick Whitfield

Analyst

With my first question, I wanted to focus on, your views on return of capital in light of the health of your business and your balance sheet. Could you share with us your thoughts on where the best opportunities lie as you balance your growth versus return of capital priorities over the next few quarters? And more specifically, on return of capital, what do you perceive as the best mechanism to affect return of capital in light of your stock performance?

Ty Glover

Management

Yeah. Look, I would say, -- like I said in my prepared remarks as far as return on capital or return of capital, if our stock price continues to remain dislocated for a period of time then we'll look at increasing buybacks. We just raised our regular dividend. And so I think, we've got a lot of flexibility there. And at the end of the day we're a rate of return-driven organization, so just wherever we feel like we can get the best return.

Derrick Whitfield

Analyst

Okay. That's certainly fair. And then, with my follow-up, I wanted to focus on corporate governance. It's a topic that's likely received undue attention as a result of your stock and the performance. More specifically, I wanted to ask, if you guys could speak to the process the Board is following to evaluate the Dana McGinnis resignation. And the vote from last year's Annual Meeting to de-stagger the Board and perhaps provide reasonable timeline for the progression of these developments.

Ty Glover

Management

Yeah. So that process is being handled by the Nomination and Governance Committee. As we announced after the voting results were released that process is being handled by the committee which consists of three independent directors. And I would just say one of those directors is our largest shareholder. And the process for both is definitely a priority. It's something that they're working on. And I certainly wouldn't take a lack of public disclosure as an indication of lack of progress. There's a 90-day timeframe there, where the Board has to make that decision and publicly disclose that. And so right now we're waiting on the Nom and Gov Committee to make a recommendation to the Board.

Derrick Whitfield

Analyst

Appreciate that, Ty. And if then, I could ask another follow-up or two. I wanted to see if you could broadly speak to your business outlook over the next six to 12 months. As we think about the considerable increase in industry activity we've observed and Chevron and ExxonMobil disclosures, it would seem to us that you guys are positioned for relatively strong double-digit growth. Is that a fair statement?

Chris Steddum

Management

Hi Derrick, this is Chris. I'll maybe field that one. When we look around, I guess, you're correct, you've got a couple of operators out there, like the two you mentioned who are definitely steering people towards pretty strong growth. One thing I would just keep in mind when you think about us and you look at Chevron and Exxon as examples, they are still a meaningful piece of TPL's production profile, water sales and disposal. But each of those tends to hover kind of around the 10% ZIP code. And so although those two are talking about strong growth when we look across the broader portfolio, I think we also tend to see that being offset by some of the other operators who are more single digit to flat profiles. And when I couple that and I look at our near-term inventory, right, so looking at like the current DUC count, we've definitely seen a drawdown that's been occurring over the course of the last year. And at the current rate of drilling, I'm not sure that there's been a replenishment. And so although we certainly have enough DUCs and wells that are in the completed category about to come online to produce some growth, I'm not sure if we feel comfortable saying robust double-digit growth. I think the robust growth we saw last year included a couple of quarters of incredibly strong completion activity like over three net wells. And as we look in the fourth quarter, all the data is not in, but I would suspect we'll be just over two net wells that were completed in the fourth quarter. And so it feels like there may have been a little bit of a slowdown from what was an incredibly fast pace in the middle of 2021. And so when we think about those activity levels, right now I wouldn't say that we see the same levels as we saw in 2021. But I still think it's going to be a strong year, we've got a nice backlog of inventory and so we certainly will expect to see some continued growth.

Derrick Whitfield

Analyst

Thanks Chris. And then lastly, Ty thanks for your commentary on seismicity and taking that head on during the call. With the understanding that you guys have tight controls around the density of SWD wells, could you speak to your projected near and longer term business impacts if any?

Ty Glover

Management

Yeah. So I would just say in the SRA that affects our property, the RFC has just implemented recommendations that operators reduce capacity in some of the wells. But I will say that the way that we've contracted that side of the business as far as acreage dedications and big AMIs and the royalty on a lot of the pipelines instead of the wells as water is diverted from one well to another, it doesn't really affect our business because of the way those contracts are structured. And that royalty is either on the pipeline or it's on an AMI, so water can move around within the development area and we will still get that royalty fee. I think some of the issues could be beneficial. Just because of the structure of those contracts we could see some water come to us through some of this increased regulation. So we're in constant communication with our operators with midstream companies and with the RFC to stay ahead of the issue and be a part of the solution because the last thing we want is for it to hold up development. And so I feel like with our involvement and the action that the industry is taking that we will be in a good place and we'll find a good solution for the problem.

Derrick Whitfield

Analyst

That’s great guys. Thanks for your time and responses.

Ty Glover

Management

Thanks Derrick

Chris Steddum

Management

Thanks Derrick

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Hamed Khorsand from BWS Financial. Please go ahead with your question.

Hamed Khorsand

Analyst · your question.

Hi, good morning. Would you be able to provide some details as to the misstatement on your taxes and how you've justified it going forward as far as the corrections you've made?

Chris Steddum

Management

Yeah, hey, Hamed this is Chris. Yeah, let me give you just a little bit of background and color. As that's come in -- and one of the things that both myself and Stephanie Buffington, our CAO wanted to do was take a look at some of our advisers. And so you guys have probably seen, we engaged Deloitte as our new auditor this year. And we also went and engaged a new tax adviser. And as we worked with that tax adviser looking at both our current taxes and some historical periods, they came to the conclusion that the depletion that had been taken in the past was more than was allowed. So we really diligenced that and wanted to make sure that that conclusion was correct. And the team came to the same conclusion as our tax adviser that it had been incorrectly done in the past. And so what that misstatement is, is a correction of that past depletion amount from 2018 through 2020. And so I think the -- to put it in perspective, you're talking about just over $10 million $12 million $13 million over the course of three years, against billions of dollars' worth of $1 billion worth of revenue. And so in terms of the materiality, it's a fairly immaterial adjustment and that's why it didn't require a full restatement of financials. And so we're looking to put in place a lot of controls now to make sure that something like that won't occur in the future. But I think we're glad that we were able to find it make the correction and move forward. And so I think that's kind of where it stands. That's a little bit of background on what that is and we've definitely got a plan in place to get it all fixed in the future.

Hamed Khorsand

Analyst · your question.

Okay. Great. And then the other question I had was just given where the price of oil is and producers just focusing on the DUCs they already have, is there any actions or strategies you're looking to undertake to take advantage of your land that's not being accessed right now be it either through using your balance sheet to finance producers or anything like that, just given that there's not a lot of drilling or new drilling occurring?

Ty Glover

Management

I would say we're not considering any options as far as like financing and operators drilling program. We have seen a big drawdown in DUCs which means operators are probably going to need to add some rigs this year. So we're just making sure that we can do everything we can to make it easier for them to access and develop our land versus the acreage next door. And so that's what we focused on in the past, making sure they have the appropriate easements and infrastructure in place, making sure they have a sustainable source of water for completion, making sure they have somewhere to go in that produced water so that we can get wells turned online quicker and reduce costs and time lags for the operators. So that's where our focus is just using our assets to make it easier for those guys to develop.

Hamed Khorsand

Analyst · your question.

Okay. And my last question was just given the amount of shares you bought back in this past year, is there a timing or any intention to announce a new stock buyback program? And would it be bigger than what you implemented in 2021?

Chris Steddum

Management

Hamed, I think as Ty said, I mean we're probably not going to give guidance on that. But it's certainly something clearly with where the price is right now that we're going to consider and take a look at. And at the end of the day, that is a Board-level decision and it's certainly something they're focused on and we will communicate once any decision gets made.

Hamed Khorsand

Analyst · your question.

Great. Thank you letting me ask questions.

Chris Steddum

Management

Thanks, Hamed.

Tyler Glover

Analyst · your question.

Thanks, Hamed.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Chris Baker from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead with your question.

Chris Baker

Analyst · your question.

Hey, good morning, guys. Derrick covered a lot of this but maybe a few different angles on the big topics. First question is just on the impressive growth in oil and gas production this quarter. I'm just curious if you could share any insight into what drove that result. And perhaps if you could share what the growth would have been on an organic basis, just backing out any accrual noise just in terms of the organic growth profile this year would be great?

Chris Steddum

Management

Sure. Hey, Chris. Yeah, I think one of the big drivers I think as I kind of mentioned when I talked to Derrick is in Q2 and Q3 the level of completions that happened across our property were about as high as they've ever been. Any time we've been over three net completions that has marked really strong performance. In fact, the only time I can think of when we had three net completions was in the first quarter of 2020, right before the pandemic hit. So that was kind of the end of a culmination of a real high activity level through 2019 and early 2020. And so to have two quarters, Q2 and Q3 of 2021 where we also have that level of completion activity. I think that was really the big driver of the robust growth that we saw in 2021. And I would still say, like you see with us and even some of our peers in times of high growth, you definitely get some increasing accrual activity as it comes to like the royalty production. But I would still say, if you compare our full year production number to the 2020 production number, that's a pretty fair comparison of the actual organic growth that you saw across those assets. The vast majority -- sometimes on average you probably have a two-month lag, three-month lag for gas and NGLs, and so sometimes you certainly have checks that come in from beyond that period. But I think if you look at the whole year for 2021 compared to the whole year for 2020 that really should give you a good idea of the growth profile.

Chris Baker

Analyst · your question.

Okay, great. And then, just on the acquisition front, it does seem like the retained cash going towards acquisitions is sort of the strategy today. Any sort of color on factors that you think might have prevented you from deploying capital there? Just curious if you could make any comments around the nice spread that you're seeing in the market.

Ty Glover

Management

Yes. I mean there's definitely a lot of competition in the Permian. Right now people are really paying up for near-term development. I would say, in 2021, we looked at a lot of deals. We said in the past the bar's really high. But we actually evaluated over $2 billion worth of deals in 2021. We didn't transact for a number of reasons. But, I would say I think that should give everyone comfort that we are being disciplined and that we do transact and we won't be overpaying for anything. So -- and you're right about the cash balance. Right now, we haven't authorized any shares. We're very hesitant to use the leverage for M&A. And so, keeping that dry powder for future growth is really the only form of capital that we have right now to grow the business.

Chris Baker

Analyst · your question.

Okay, great. And then just my last question on governance. You guys had mentioned the 90-day mark on the McGinnis end. Any color you can share in terms of the time line to get sort of a firmer view on de-staggering or an outcome in terms of that piece of the annual meeting?

Ty Glover

Management

Yes. I mean that's being handled the same way as Dana McGinnis' resignation by the Nom and Gov Committee. And they're -- right now, they have not provided the Board an update. But as soon as I have an update, you guys will have one shortly thereafter.

Chris Baker

Analyst · your question.

Okay, great. So, fair to think that we'll get some sort of announcement later this year?

Ty Glover

Management

Yes, that's fair.

Chris Baker

Analyst · your question.

Okay, great. Thanks guys.

Ty Glover

Management

Thanks, Chris.

Chris Steddum

Management

Thanks, Chris.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, with that we'll end today's question-and-answer session as well as today's conference call. We do thank everyone for joining today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.