Louie Reformina
Analyst · Cowen. Please go ahead
Thank you, Yavor. Turning to Page 3, which is our consolidated segment overview, Q4 sales were in line with the previous year at $105 million with strong Zig-Zag and Stoker's growth offset by decline in NewGen. This is above the previous guidance of $93 million to $103 million without performance relative to our expectations in each segment led by Zig-Zag. Adjusted gross margin was down 170 basis points year-over-year or down 100 basis points without the consolidation of TPB Canada. This was primarily due to product mix within Zig-Zag and $2 million of inventory write downs and reserves in NewGen. Adjusted EBITDA was down $2 million year-over-year, primarily due to the inventory write down and the increased freight expenses from PACT Act implementation. Turning now to Page 4, Zig-Zag products. Zig-Zag sales grew 13.6% year-over-year to $46.1 million with 12.2% from volume and 1.4% from price mix. Growth would have been 3% without consolidation of TPB Canada. Adjusted [indiscernible] for COVID-related headwind in our Wraps business growth would have been much stronger. Wraps revenue for Q4 was consistent with our average in the first three quarters of the year. On a year-over-year basis Wraps was down 70% due to a $5 million headwind from a COVID-related back-order fill in the fourth quarter of 2020. During the quarter, we introduced Zig-Zag Natural Leaf wraps in limited markets and reintroduced Zig-Zag Hemp wraps and expect those products to be tailwinds for us as they ramp in 2022. Our U.S. Papers & E-commerce business was up 28% year-over-year driven by more than a doubling of e-commerce and paper cones sales. E-commerce was up 2.5 times and now 3% of sub-segment with strong growth expected in 2022. As an anecdote, our accessory sales through e-commerce which was nonexistent two years ago, touched $1 million in sales in 2021. Sales of cones product was up 2.8 times and now 21% of the sub-segment. Zig-Zag remains the number one premium and overall paper brand in MSAi measured market with 35.1% share. Zig-Zag is also the number one brand in the paper cones category per MSAi with 38.9% share, up 530 basis points year-over-year. Cones remains a large opportunity with only one third of stores receiving paper products, also receiving cones during the quarter in the major markets. The paper category showed strong growth in the MSAi measured market at 5.6%. We were also excited by the launch of the Zig-Zag Studio concept in December with an exciting set of videos, limited edition apparel and collaborations with partners that have a wide adult audience reach. We were encouraged by the reception to the launch and look forward to our 2022 marketing initiatives to continue to grow the Zig-Zag brand. Canada more than tripled during the quarter due to the consolidation of TPB Canada, which added $4.5 million in revenue with the majority coming from the DBW [ph] acquisition. TPB Canada would have contributed $1.1 million of organic growth during the quarter or more than the tripling of its base business, had the old recreation marketing business been consolidated in the previous year. The Cigars and Others subcategory grew this year after years of decline. The acquisition of Unitabac assets provides a launching point for our re-entry into the large and growing $2.5 billion manufacturer revenue cigars category, with our Zig-Zag Natural Leaf cigar being introduced later in Q1. Gross margins declined 490 basis points during the quarter. The consolidation of TPB Canada was the biggest driver of decline given low margins from DBW [ph] acquisition earlier in the year. Margins would have been down 220 basis points, excluding TPB Canada, which was driven by higher growth and lower margin products like paper cones. The tough comps in the $5 million Wraps back-fill in Q4 of 2020, which carried high variable contribution margins, led to a year-over-year operating income decline of $1.3 million during the quarter. The declined from Wraps is partially offset by growth in e-commerce which has lower contribution margins. We also consolidated a $0.4 million loss from TPB Canada which we expect to improve through 2022. Overall Zig-Zag accounted for 60% of our segment operating income in the fourth quarter and continues to be our fastest growing segment. Turning now to Page 5, our Stoker's products. Stoker's products net sales increased 8.3% to $31.2 million in the quarter with 2.1% volume growth and 6.2% from price mix. Net sales for the MST portfolio grew 16% and represented 63% of Stoker's revenues in the quarter, up from 59% a year earlier. The category was down 0.9% while we were up 1.7% as our share grew 10 basis points to 5.7% during the quarter according to MSAi. Our share in stores selling remained at 9.1%, which Stoker's now in stores representing 63% of industry volumes, which still provides a long runway for growth. Chewing tobacco declined 3% from the previous year with the category down 5.1% and TPB outperforming the category. Stoker's Chew was the number one chewing brand in the fourth quarter gaining 120 basis points of share to 26.4% according to MSAi. With the continued secular shift into the value category and Stoker's positioning as a leading value brand, the chewing tobacco business is well placed to provide us with a stable annuity stream of cash flow going forward. Second, gross margins expanded by 100 basis points to 54.3% during the quarter, driven by price across the segment. Operating margins were stable from the previous year, despite higher shipping and promotional costs. Turning to Page 6, the NewGen products, we continued to manage through a disruptive environment with sales down 22% from the previous year to $28 million. Our base distribution business saw 16% decline due to the market dynamics resulting from the regulatory environment along with the implementation of the PACT Act which acquired a twitch from the USPS and alternative distribution infrastructure. Our Other NewGen business was down 49% as our other vape products were impacted by the regulatory disruption. Adjust the gross margins were down 690 basis points during the quarter as we took $2 million of inventory write downs and reserves, mostly related to Other NewGen products that were impacted by the industry regulatory dynamics. Adjusted operating income for the segment was down $3.7 million due to the lower gross profit, which was partially offset by lower variable SG&A. Encouragingly we received the USPS exemption for B2B shipments to qualified customers in December, and we continue to build our last mile distribution infrastructure for B2C shipments. Now myself being in the PMTA process, as the industry continues to await progress in the FDA. We have talked about the challenging environment we are currently operating in with our vape distribution business, in detail in past calls. Ultimately, we still believe that all the short term challenges the industry is facing presents an opportunity for us in the long-term given our size, and ability to navigate the regulatory environment. Turning now to Page 7, our balance sheet and liquidity, we ended the quarter with over $128 million of cash on the balance sheet and $150 million of available liquidity, providing flexibility on capital deployment. We repurchased $18.2 million of shares during the quarter and $6.4 million in January. We recorded a gain from the forgiveness of a $7.5 million PPP loan, but recorded a $7.1 million impairment related to our investment in dosist. Turning now to Slide 8, our CLIPPER Distribution Agreement. This morning we also issued a press release announcing a partnership with Flamagas for exclusive distribution of CLIPPER Lighters in the U.S. and Canada. CLIPPER is the number one reusable lighter and number two overall lighter in the world, including number one share in several developed markets in Europe. This is a large opportunity for us with a lighter market that is approximately $1 billion in retail revenue and $500 million in the wholesale revenue, which roughly equals the size of the U.S. Papers and Wraps market. CLIPPER is currently a small player with approximately 3% share in the U.S., but it has had success in our playbook growing their presence in other markets by partnering with other rolling paper companies with strong distribution. The CLIPPER Lighter is the preferred product in the roll-your-own cannabis market with very strong presence in the alternative channel, but it's currently underrepresented in convenience store channel given lack of distribution. We believe this presents strong cross-selling opportunities for TPB and Zig-Zag which have strong presence in convenience stores, but is currently underrepresented in the alternative channel. We expect fast selling CLIPPER products late in Q2 with a gradual ramp through the second half of the year and we'll report it in the Zig-Zag segment. While we do not currently expect contribution of profitability to be meaningful for the year, we believe this is a tremendous long-term opportunity for our company. Furthermore, the choice of Zig-Zag and TPB as a partner was a deliberate decision by Flamagas and is a testament to the value of the reach of our distribution infrastructure, and demonstrates our ability to expand our addressable markets by carrying complementary products. Moving to Page 9 or guidance. With limited visibility around the PMTA regulatory landscape, we are limiting our top line guidance to our Zig-Zag and Stoker's products segment. With that backdrop, we project for 2022, Zig-Zag products sales of $193 million to $203 million, which represents 12% growth at the midpoint. Our base Canadian business outside of TPB Canada can have quarterly fluctuations depending on timing of orders. Just as a reminder, our full year revenue on our base business was $12.1 million in 2021. Q1 of 2021 was $5.9 million due to timing of orders. So as a reminder, we will face a tough comp of approximately $3 million headwind in Q1. We also had a $2 million pull forward in our Wraps business with a trade inventory build in Q2 of last year that pulled from Q3. Stoker's product sales of $127 million to $134 million, which represents 5% growth in the midpoint. Our current expectation is to generate consolidated EBITDA in line with fiscal year 2022, despite anticipated volatility in the NewGen products segment. With the ramp in new products in Zig-Zag, as well as continued improvement in our vape and logistics infrastructure, we expect the second half of the year to be stronger than the first half. Our other projections include stock compensation and non-cash incentive expense of $7 million and cash interest expense of $18.5 million and GAAP interest expense of $21 million. We expect our effective income tax rate to be between 22% to 24%. With regard to CapEx, we are currently reviewing projects that we believe will drive value for the organization. We do expect an increase in CapEx this year, but can give further color as the projects gets underway. One of those projects involving the improvement of a manufacturing process is moving from detailed planning stages through last year into late-stage design phase today, with planned completion next year, carrying with it a very attractive return profile. The project costs include the ERP upgrade Yavor mentioned where we are currently in the planning stages, with implementation likely to begin later this year into next year. With that, I'd like to thank you for participating in the call today and we'd like to open the call now for questions.