Robert Lavan
Analyst · B. Riley. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Graham. Before I turn over to results, I'd like to make some comments on our M&A strategy and how it relates to the rest of our business. In 2018, we saw one of our biggest opportunities with revitalizing the Zig-Zag business. It is an incredibly strong brand, but lacking e-commerce and alternative distribution presence. We identified that we needed incremental resources to drive the growth of Zig-Zag. In mid-2019, we acquired a leading vape brand, Solace. But even though we acquired the company at an accretive multiple, more importantly, was the e-commerce expertise, the acquisition brought with it. E-commerce became a big initiative for us and helps drive our other Zig-Zag initiatives. Our revamped Zig-Zag website helped push our new cone products now over 10% of our US paper sales in the fourth quarter. Another initiative was our presence in the alternative channel. The Zig-Zag brand was strong in C-stores, but was underrepresented in head shops and dispensaries, where the growth in the industry was happening. A typical head shop sells 5 to 10x the volume of paper books versus the C-store, new carry other Zig-Zag SKUs and accessories that are hard to place in a C-store. In 2020, we made in-person visits or calls via the Solace Nu-X team drove 3,700 alternative stores and partnered with over 20 distributors that focus on this channel to offer over 40 different Zig-Zag products and accessories, pushing our omnichannel approach. I'm very happy with our recent debt raise that gives us a war chest to deploy capital via M&A, where we can fill in the gaps not only in our products portfolio but in our infrastructure. We will continue to deploy accretive capital more to come. Now to our results. Our performance in the fourth quarter was ahead of plan once again. Turning to the segment reviews. Zig-Zag Products net sales in the quarter increased 47% to $40.5 million with strong double-digit growth in US rolling papers and MYO cigar wraps. MYO cigar wraps benefited from an inventory restock, increased sales by $4 million to $5 million during the quarter. This more than offset $1.5 million decline in our Canadian Papers business. Non-focus cigars and MYO pipe declined $600,000. Total segment volume increased 40.9%, while price mix increased 5.8%. According to MSAi, fourth quarter industry volumes for US cigarette papers increased strong double digits, with our volumes growing 1.4x the rate of the overall market. This excludes the incremental volume growth we are seeing from the alternative in e-commerce channels. MYO cigar wrap industry volumes were up strong double digits in the quarter. During the quarter, we saw the segment's gross margin expand significantly by 580 basis points to 62.1%. This was a result of financial benefits of eliminating royalty payments to Durfort, resulting in higher margin for our MYO cigar wrap product, and accretive contribution from our e-commerce business, which is currently trending above the segment average. Additionally, during the quarter, we wrote off approximately $750,000 related to a product line transition. Our team has done a great job so far of turning the segment into the heart of our story, to its 55% of our segment operating income in 2020, including 51% in the fourth quarter is now our fastest-growing segment. Look for more to come from us on that front. Stoker's Products net sales increased 15.2% to $28.8 million in the quarter. Net sales for the MST portfolio grew 25% and represented 59% of Smokeless revenues in the quarter, up from 54% a year earlier. Total volume increased 7.5% with price/mix advancing 7.7% for the segment. Our price/mix benefited from comping against a catch-up in a pool of allowances last year related to faster than expected ramp-up of our chain wins. Year-over-year industry volumes for MST grew by approximately 1%, with chewing tobacco declining by approximately 2%. Stoker's shipments to retail continue to outpace the industry in the quarter, growing its MSAi share in both chewing tobacco and MST. Moving to our NewGen segment. Net sales increased 30% to $36 million. We saw double-digit growth in both the base distribution and Nu-X businesses. For the quarter, NewGen gross profit was $11.8 million. Segment gross margin was 32.7% compared to a loss the previous year related to write-offs and reserves associated with the vapor business disruption. Moving to the consolidated business. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was up 81% to $25.8 million as compared to the prior year. We did accrue an extra compensation expense in the quarter of approximately $2 million. Despite that, we achieved 46% incremental margins during the quarter and 53% for the year, reflecting strong performance in our core segments and the benefits from the SG&A cost reductions made going into the year. Leveraging our fixed cost structure was a focus for the entire team and something new to our story in 2020. While we expect 2021 to be an investment year for growth, we will continue to focus on generating strong incrementals in the future by managing and getting strong returns on our SG&A spend. In this morning's release, we issued our initial 2021 guidance. There were several external variables we had to consider in our guidance, mostly around the impact of COVID-19, which I will give some assumptions on later and fiscal government measures to support the consumer. With those factors in consideration, our guidance is as follows. Net sales of $412 million to $432 million, including $97 million to $102 million in the first quarter, and adjusted EBITDA for the full year is expected to be $99 million to $105 million. To help guide your models, here is some incremental color on our 2021 guidance, which will include some COVID-19 assumptions, which I caveat is more of an art rather than a science. For Zig-Zag, we expect double-digit sales growth. This is exciting. In 2020, our cigar wraps business was impacted by $5 million from manufacturing-related disruptions in the second quarter, which we made up for in the fourth quarter. So the manufactured impact was awash for the year, but will have an impact on a quarterly basis. We estimate that the net benefit from COVID on the overall segment was $7 million in 2020. For Stoker's, we expect high single-digit sales growth. We saw some benefit from our competitor being temporarily out of the market in the middle of the year in our loose leaf chewing business, while we had growth initiatives in place, so we have a tough comp then. We estimate that the net benefit from COVID in 2020 for Stoker's was approximately $3 million for the year. For NewGen, we expect a mid-single-digit decline in revenue. This includes double-digit declines for vape distribution offset by growth in Nu-X as we take a pragmatic view of the market in front of PACT Act implementation, comping against COVID tailwinds, particularly in the second quarter, a $3 million drag from the sale of our retail stores and continued disruption in the vape business as the FDA begins enforcement actions. On COVID, we previously called out a benefit of $5 million in the second quarter of 2020 from our competitor being off-line. We also benefited from an increase in our B2C e-commerce business as more people stayed at home, especially in the second quarter. We estimate the overall impact to NewGen for the year was $15 million, with $10 million in the second quarter. Moving to our balance sheet. We ended the quarter with $42 million of cash on the balance sheet and $88 million of available liquidity. After closing of our $250 million senior secured notes this week, we'll have over $150 million of cash on our balance sheet and approximately $180 million of liquidity. This puts us in an incredibly strong position to execute on an active pipeline of opportunities we're currently evaluating to grow the business. For 2021, we will elect early adoption of new convertible accounting standards, so we'll no longer amortize the OID on our July 24 convertible notes. Amount amortized and charge interest expense in 2020 was $7 million. With that, I'll turn the call back to Larry for closing comments.