Thomas C. Keys
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thank you, Roger. Good morning, everyone. This morning, I would like to talk with you about 4 things: third quarter results; performance of our network; opportunities for growth; and lastly, pressure points, including competition. Third quarter subscriber growth is primarily driven by typical seasonal trends, continued economic pressures, as well as increased competition. In the third quarter, we reported net subscriber additions of 69,000, and year-to-date, we have recorded nearly 1 million net subscriber additions. ARPU in the third quarter grew $0.31 sequentially. This is the fourth quarter in a row for sequential ARPU growth. With the continued uptake of smartphones plans, offset somewhat by recent family plan promotions, our current mix of net adds is ARPU-supported. Churn in the third quarter increased to 4.5%. As we discussed on both the first and second quarter calls, we believe this quarter's rate of churn is the result of seasonal pressures, out-performance in the first half of 2011, continued economic headwinds, as well as increased data demands on our CDMA network driven by Android penetration. We are established as the provider of choice for subscribers looking to save on their wireless bill. As the Internet has gone mobile, we are providing our customers access to services that were, for some, unattainable until recently. As the demand for Android devices increases, we continue to work to strike the proper balance between handset pricing, driving gross additions and promotional activities. This quarter, 49% of handsets sold were Android, and that number is 37% year-to-date. At the end of the third quarter, approximately 30% of our base was on a smartphone, up from approximately 25% at the end of the second quarter. Network performance. During the third quarter, we invested in our network to meet the demands from increased data usage. As we provide service to more Android smartphones, the increase in data usage can pressure our network, and we are working hard to continue to provide quality service and a positive customer experience. As a result of this Android evolution, we've taken steps to densify our network through self-supporting, fixed sector conversions, as well as investments in our switching network. In very dense areas with high usage, we also made the decision to insert Ev-DO carriers on a surgical basis in order to support data traffic from the switch. To be clear, this is not an Ev-DO overlay. Through the end of 2011, a cumulative investment in Ev-DO will be less than $100 million. This investment has provided a significant amount of capacity to our network, and our subscribers are experiencing an improved level of service. Our 4G LTE network has launched in all of our major metropolitan areas. Our 4G build continues, and we expect to have the majority of our footprint built by the end of 2011. On a recent trip to Asia, working with handset manufacturers, I was able to witness firsthand the evolution of the 4G LTE handset ecosystem. OEMs see the value in working with MetroPCS on a greenfield project that brings 4G LTE to the masses. In the near term, we expect to introduce higher-end Android devices. In the second half of 2012, we believe we will begin to offer customers 4G LTE Android smartphones at substantially lower retail prices. This is exciting as when this occurs, we will have an opportunity to potentially accelerate the customer migration towards 4G as well as continue to acquire new subscribers. Growth opportunities. For the remainder of this year and looking in 2012, it is clear that consumer interest in Android smartphones are strong. We are focused on driving demand, retaining customers and generating door swings. In the no-contract environment, our family plans provide significant value and are a big potential growth area. At the end of the third quarter, over 40% of subscribers were on family plans. Last week, we introduced a family plan promotion. We believe this 4 for $100 family plan promotion will generate door swings as customers seek value. Door swings allow our customers to view our full service portfolio and understand that MetroPCS now offers Android devices paired with Rhapsody music at an incredible value. We're excited about this potential to up-sell our customers and believe the promotion provides us a unique opportunity to capitalize on the continued industry shift from postpaid to prepaid services. The fourth quarter is an opportune time to provide value for families as many postpaid contracts expire. Currently, our average family plan has less than 2.5 lines and lower churn characteristics. The promotion is tiered in order to help minimize the potential impact on ARPU. Pressure on fourth quarter ARPU from this promotion could be somewhat mitigated by the continued interest in adding Android smartphones to the family plan. We will continue to promote brand awareness, our full suite of offerings, our compelling line of smartphones and our nationwide coverage through a new advertising campaign. Our focus is on execution and efficiently managing our network. We believe we offer consumers the best deal in town for quality wireless broadband experience. We believe that with a jump-ball for customers deciding whether to renew a contract or move to a flexible no-contract plan, we compete very well. This campaign will extol the positive virtues of our network, nationwide coverage, service offerings while highlighting our exceptional value. Looking at competition in the third quarter, wireless continues to be very competitive. We are monitoring an increase in competitive offerings. It will be interesting to see how things play out. MetroPCS continues to focus its distribution strategy on indirect dealer network. Our dealers operating storefronts in the neighborhoods where people live, we believe, are well suited to serve our customers and provide a better experience than they may receive with an unassisted big-box sale. We believe 4G LTE smartphones are best delivered with an assisted sale that only our unique distribution model provides within the no-contract space. From our vantage point, it has been clear for some time that no-contract is here to stay. Recent Wall Street research supports this idea. A leading cell site firm recently forecast prepaid share as a percentage of wireless could reach 30% by 2018, up from 23% today. Clearly, we are benefiting from this share shift as across our markets, we are 9.1% penetrated, up from 8.1% a year ago. As 2 distinct lines converge, the desire not to have a wireless contract and the understanding that economic headwinds are still strong, MetroPCS must be able to serve the needs of those with choice while continuing to play our part and value those who do not. Now I'll turn the call over to Braxton.