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TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX)

Q4 2020 Earnings Call· Tue, Mar 2, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to TransMedics Q4 2020 Earnings Conference. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's call is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Ms. Lynn Lewis. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Lynn Lewis

Analyst

Thank you. Earlier today, TransMedics released financials results for the quarter and full year ended December 31, 2020. A copy of the press release is available on the company's website. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that management will make statements during this call that include forward-looking statements, within the meaning of federal securities laws, which are made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any statements contained in this call that relate to expectations or predictions of future events, results or performance are forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements, including without limitation, our examination of operating trends, the potential commercial opportunity for our products, and our future financial expectations, which include expectations for growth in our organization, regulatory approvals and reimbursement, and guidance and our expectations for revenue, gross margins, and operating expenses in 2020, are based upon our current estimates and various assumptions. These statements involve material risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to materially differ from those anticipated or implied by these forward-looking statements. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these statements. For a list and description of the risks and uncertainties associated with our business, please refer to the Risk Factors section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 17, 2020, as supplemented by our other SEC filings, including our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the third quarter of 2020. TransMedics disclaims any intention or obligation, except as required by law, to update or revise any financial projections or forward-looking statements, whether because of new information, future events or otherwise. This conference call contains time sensitive information and is accurate only as of the live broadcast, today, March 2, 2021. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Waleed Hassanein, President and Chief Executive Officer. Waleed?

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Thank you so much, Lynn. Good afternoon everyone and welcome to TransMedics fourth quarter and full year 2020 earnings call. Joining me today is Stephen Gordon, our Chief Financial Officer. I think we can all agree that 2020 was one of the most challenging year on many fronts, and many of us were very delighted to see it end. Despite the significant challenges we faced in 2020 due to the global COVID pandemic, TransMedics made significant progress on many of our key strategic initiatives. And we ended the year in a strong position to capitalize on several of the upcoming catalyst in 2021. I would like to cover the following four major topics on our call today. First, I will review our financial results for the quarter and the full year. Second, I will review the progress achieved on our key strategic initiatives in 2020. Third, I will preview the upcoming catalyst in 2021 and their potential impact on our business. Fourth and finally, I would like to provide an overview of our strategy for 2021. Let me start by summarizing our financial results for 4Q and FY2020, Stephen will cover the detailed financial performance in his section of this call. Our 4Q net revenue was $7.6 million, which outperformed expectations and represent 26% year-over-year growth. For the full year 2020, our net revenue was $25.6 million, representing 9% growth over 2019 revenue. Our overall growth was driven by approximately 18% growth in our U.S. business, primarily attributable to having all of our three OCS platforms contributing to our U.S. revenue throughout the year. Specifically, we had OCS DCD Heart and OCS Liver programs active throughout 2020, as well as a recovery of our OCS Lung commercial activities in the fourth quarter of 2020. Overall, we're encouraged that despite COVID-related…

Stephen Gordon

Analyst

Thank you, Waleed. I will now provide some additional detail on the Q4 results and other financial information for the quarter and the year. For the fourth quarter of 2020, gross revenue was $8.2 million and net revenue was $7.6 million. Net revenue increased by 26% from the fourth quarter of 2019. In the U.S., gross revenue was $6.3 million and net revenue was $5.7 million. U.S. net revenue increased 22% from the fourth quarter of 2019. The organ breakdown on U.S. net revenue was as follows; $2.5 million was OCS Lung, $1.1 million was OCS Heart, and $2.1 million was OCS Liver and ex-U.S. revenue was $1.9 million, that's up 39% from Q4 of 2019 and included $0.6 million of OCS Lung, and 1.3 million of OCS Heart. A few of the key drivers of Q4 revenue performance were, first, a strong recovery of OCS Lung sales in the U.S. after two consecutive quarters that were very negatively impacted by the COVID pandemic. The development of our National OCS Program added momentum to this recovery. Secondly, we had a strong quarter in U.S. OCS Liver sales as we completed the first phase of the OCS PROTECT CAP. With the lung and liver sequential improvements offset the lower OCS Heart revenue due to the stocking orders that we saw in Q3 2020. Also outside of the U.S., we initiated clinical use of the OCS Lung and Heart in Taiwan, which had a favorable impact as well. Gross margin for the fourth quarter of 2020 was 63% in line with our expectations at this level of revenue. Total operating expenses for the quarter were $10.7 million, which was 14% below our spending in the fourth quarter of 2019. This reduction was primarily a result of limitations related to the COVID pandemic.…

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Thank you, Stephen. Despite the unprecedented challenges in 2020, our team made significant progress across many strategic initiatives. We've build a strong platform and we're well positioned to leverage this foundation for long-term success. To that end, we're focused on executing on the many catalysts we outlined earlier, and for 2021 to be a truly transformative year for TransMedics. With our OCS Heart panel scheduled five short weeks from now, the clinical and regulatory timelines related to OCS Liver and Heart DCD coming to a head in the upcoming months and the scalable foundation of the National OCS Program taking shape, we believe that TransMedics is uniquely position to become the national partner for all transplant stakeholders and that in few short years, the vast majority of organ transplanted in U.S. will be preserved and managed on the OCS technology platform. I am humbly extremely excited for the months and years ahead of us. With that, I will now turn the call to the operator for Q&A. Operator?

Operator

Operator

And your first question comes from David Lewis from Morgan Stanley.

David Lewis

Analyst

Good afternoon, and thanks for taking the question and a nice quarter in a challenging environment. So a few for me, maybe Stephen, really to just start with you and I appreciate tough environment, we're not going to get guidance. But I hope that you could just tell us mirror or at least comment about the business improving performance across the year. If you could maybe just level set us where to begin sort of the first quarter, is it safe to assume revenues can be flat sequentially or sort of more in line with sort of the consensus range, which is sort of six to seven for the first quarter in revenue benchmark us on the first quarter? I just want to confirm that what leaves you, is that – things should get better sequentially across the quarters. And I got a couple of follow-ups. Hello?

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Operator?

David Lewis

Analyst

Hello.

Operator

Operator

Yes, I am here. I don't know why the lines are not – why they're not speaking. It looks like they may have disconnected. Hold on one moment, okay. The speakers’ lines are having a disconnection problem, please continue to hold.

Stephen Gordon

Analyst

Hi everyone, I apologize, we had some technical difficulty. So David, are you still on the call?

David Lewis

Analyst

Sure. I'm here. Can you hear me?

Stephen Gordon

Analyst

I can.

David Lewis

Analyst

Great. Did you hear my question? Should I repeat my question?

Stephen Gordon

Analyst

I heard your question about the sequential growth. What we said is that Q1 is going to be a little bit choppy. I would expect the potential to have flattish from Q4 to Q1 and see growth starting after that.

David Lewis

Analyst

Okay.

Stephen Gordon

Analyst

Yes, the main reason is that this kind of transition to the Liver CAP from the first tranche to the second tranche, we'll see kind of a gap out in Q1.

David Lewis

Analyst

Okay. Very helpful. We can work with that. And just a couple of other questions here, I guess the Waleed, the first question would just be that the lung performance sequentially was very solid. You just sort of walk through some of the commercial dynamics there? And then I'll ask my second question as well, which is just heart penal conference, you can't predict the outcome of the FDA panel, but you sound incrementally more confident about the data with which you've submitted to the panel and just kind of help us understand what's underpinning that confidence? And if there's been any dialogue with the agency here during the CAP submission process? Thanks so much.

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Sure. Thank you, David. So the first question related to the lung recovery. I think it's a good – solid recovery in Q4, obviously we're working hard to even accelerate that recovery even further. I think three things contributed to the lung recovery in Q4. One, that the transplant volume came back and the pent-up demand that we were hoping to see at the end of the year was actually there. So that's number one. Number two, the awareness campaign that the team has been doing about the availability of the National OCS Program resonated and began the process of resonating with some of their institutions that are doing lung transplant, whether or not their original OCS center, and three, of course, the momentum that was generated by having four regions active in Q4. We hope that we can carry that momentum forward in 2021 and continue to build on that momentum, continue to expand that awareness, continue to open up new territories and hopefully that will get us to where we need to be with the lung business. Relating to the Heart panel meeting, as I've said numerous time, no one here and certainly I never will predict what FDA decisions would be or what the outcome of a panel meeting is. My comments are primarily focused on our ability, our confidence in our data and our confidence in the results. And now seeing the FDA comments or at least getting a better feel for the FDA comments, we feel that we have our arms around these important questions that the FDA raises to the panel, and we have solid data to support our position. That's where our confidence is coming from, but we never can predict what the outcome is, but we're very hopeful and very confident in our ability to meet those questions and that's what gives us the confidence that we hopefully will be successful in this mission.

David Lewis

Analyst

Okay, very helpful. And then maybe just last one for me. And I'll jump back in queue is just, we’re not predicting the timing of the approval, once approved, if you are approved for heart, how soon after can we consider full commercial launch? Is that a one month, three months, just help us out with that? Thanks so much.

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Sure. That's an important question, David, and thank you for asking it. I think realistically speaking, it's not going to be a flip of a switch, but we expect it to be significantly more streamlined than the lung. So the lung took us anywhere between 90 days to 120 days to see any uplift in the commercialization in the lung, we expect heart to be somewhere between 30 days to 60 days. And we attribute that to the one to the effort that Tamer and his team have been doing and preparing for that, launch in the educational campaign that are ongoing, but more importantly, the National Program as well is going to help streamline that process. So that, based on these, we feel that it's going to be a much more streamlined across us from approval to starting seeing some meaningful impact in our revenue.

David Lewis

Analyst

Great. Thanks so much. Nice quarter.

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Thank you, David.

Operator

Operator

And your next question comes from Robbie Marcus from JP Morgan.

Robbie Marcus

Analyst

Great. Thanks for taking the questions. Waleed hoping you could spend a minute and just walk us through some of the learnings you had from the lung launch and what you'll apply to the heart and liver to better transition from a clinical to a commercial setting. And then second, if you could walk us through, if you have any metrics on what utilization looks like before you put in the program where you managed the account versus just selling the OCS system in, if there is any early data statistics you could point to and increase volumes?

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Sure. Thank you, Robbie. So on the first question, I think the learnings in the lung as you’ve stated them before, it was stating in public before, but I think the biggest learning that I think negatively impact our lung early commercialization is the hiatus between conducting the pivotal trial and the length of FDA review cycle without any continued access protocol to keep the clinical momentum and the awareness of the technology benefits going, that was a huge learning and resulted – and that’s really starting from ground zero, because it took 14 months to 18 months from finishing the last patient in the cloud to getting the first approval. So that's something we avoided throughout the heart and deliver our program, so that's number one. Second is really the active engagement on planning for commercialization, resources planning for resources, training, active business discussion with administration, integration discussion, how are they going to scale? How could we be helpful? Again, in the lung we started from scratch after the FDA approval, here we're engaged with the centers, given our position, given our relationship, given our active participation on ongoing programs within same institutions that gives us huge leverage. And then finally, and I think that frankly the one that could be truly transformative is the foundation that we spent and that we developed for the National Program, that is going to be potentially a huge game-changer for both heart and liver. As far as the next part of the question or the second question, Robbie, I want to wait a little bit until we have more data and points on the board to try to metric the growth. We certainly saw growth. We saw significant awareness and we're monitoring that carefully, but I think we're too early to try to metric and extrapolate that. We need a couple more – two or three more quarters under our belt to be able to comfortably share that data publicly. But we're monitoring it very carefully and we're excited about what we're seeing, and we hope that by adding the heart and subsequently the liver, we are going to – my goal is within a year or so from now that this is going to be a key point that we're highlighting every earnings call to point about the percentage of our revenue coming from the direct acquisition model versus the National Program.

Robbie Marcus

Analyst

Right. And then maybe just one last one, Stephen, you mentioned increased spending in 2021. I realized we're not getting revenue guidance, but can you qualitatively or quantitatively help steer us in the direction of increased spending?

Stephen Gordon

Analyst

Yes, Robbie. Sure. I think I would look at Q1 2020 as kind of a base, which I think we were spending close to $13 million in that quarter. We're going to get back to that level and we're going to grow sequentially from there. So I would use that as a base. We're going to be aggressively ramping up this National Program.

Robbie Marcus

Analyst

And you're going to get there in first quarter or at some point in the year.

Stephen Gordon

Analyst

I think we'll get pretty close in the first quarter.

Robbie Marcus

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks for taking the questions.

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Thank you, Robbie.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And the next question is from Suraj Kalia from Oppenheimer & Company.

Suraj Kalia

Analyst

Good afternoon, Waleed and Stephen, can you hear me all right?

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

We can hear you just fine. Hi, Suraj.

Suraj Kalia

Analyst

So gentlemen, congrats on the quarter. So Waleed, regarding the OCS Heart panel, obviously, the panel is going to make a set of recommendations in the risk reward, and you guys seem to be pretty confident. Is there anything in the discussions with the FDA so far that gives you the same level of comfort from a labeling perspective?

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Suraj, thank you for the question. We never discussed any discussions related to the labeling. I think we'll be putting the cart before the horse. Our focus is to get a strong, positive full. We trust the FDA leadership to do the right thing on the labeling. However, I don't see any controversial topic so far at all related to labeling, I think the key foundation is to go through the panel, discuss the issues in hand and hopefully end up in a positive outcome. I believe the process will be, hopefully streamline from there.

Suraj Kalia

Analyst

Fair enough. Waleed, in terms of National OCS Program, I can see how y'all are trying to alleviate some of the staff and logistical constraints that transplant centers have, agree with the – at least the approach that you all are trying. What are the incremental revenues per case, Waleed, that on a normalized basis? You can see such a program pull through because in fact, you are helping offset some of the costs of the centers, but how does the math work for y'all on a normalized basis?

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

I think the only thing we can say at this point, Suraj is, as I've said, numerous times, the National Program is nothing but a mechanism to streamline the process of adoption of the OCS with the main revenue stream at scale, the primarily disposable revenue. And we have the ability to do that. So far it's again, early innings, but it's exactly the vision is maturing in that fashion. And definitely, from a cost benefit to the transplant program is huge on many fronts. It's logistical cost, infrastructure cost, it's time cost, it's life-work balance cost. And for again, I don't want to be too forward on my skis here but we believe in this, we think there's a significant – it's a significant win-win approach for everybody involved. And we hope to be able to continue to prove that throughout 2021 and beyond.

Suraj Kalia

Analyst

Fair enough. And Waleed, final question, forgive me if I missed this. The 90 patients for DCD CAP, Heart CAP, did you all give a timeline on when y'all think that could be enrolled? Thank you for taking my questions.

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Thank you. Thank you, Suraj. I think realistically speaking, we see the 90 patient CAP, pretty much wrapping up by year-end. However in our discussions with FDA and given the broad publicity about the success of the OCS DCD Heart program in the U.S. and internationally, I think the FDA is very keen and aware of the positive patient impact. So I'm hopeful that collaboratively we can work with FDA to potentially expand that CAP, if the approval is not in hand by that time. So I'm not worried about when do we finish it as much as I’m more focusing on getting the data, getting the PMA supplement filed in a timely fashion to make sure that we're shortening the time gaps between transitioning from CAP into a potential extension to the CAP and the like.

Operator

Operator

And your last question comes from the line of Josh Jennings from Cowen & Company.

Brian Kennedy

Analyst

Hi, this is Brian here for Josh. Thanks for taking my questions. I have two regulatory ones. The first is just on the liver PMA. Are you planning to supplement the filing with data from the CAP program? And I guess my question is just has this possibility been discussed with the FDA already? And do you feel you now have a definitive stance from the agency on whether the CAP data should be added to the filing?

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Brian, thank you for the question. In every PMA we file, we always supplement data with CAP and we expect to do so. We have done that already, shared data with FDA on the first few cases in the CAP and we expect as we march towards the panel, that the CAP will be discussed. Is it going to play the role that the CAP played in the heart? I doubt it but it's not an option or a nuance thing. Every PMA you have to report the latest set of data that you have and we plan to do so. And in this case, we've already submitted that data to FDA.

Brian Kennedy

Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. And then on DCD Heart, I believe you included the DCD Heart U.S. filing in 3Q of this year, in addition to releasing the data. So can you clarify when in 2022, we could see an approval just given that the submission I believe is a supplement and you have breakthrough status. Would you expect a panel as part of this review, or just how are you thinking about just the approval timeline for next year?

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Yes, that's an excellent question, Brian. Again, we can predict what FDA decisions will be. I think all we can predict is if the data is strong, as we hope it is that FDA will honor the breakthrough designation and there will be a streamlined review process. If there's any questions in the data or depending on the outcome of the upcoming panel, FDA may or may not hold another panel. The facts are DCD is a first of its kind indication. Yes, it has a breakthrough designation. But these are all bridges, we have to cross after we finished the heart panel and after we see the data. But roughly speaking, it's not out of the ordinary to assume nine to 12 months in a PMA supplement so that's what we're assuming.

Operator

Operator

And I have no further questions at this time. I'll turn the call back over to the speakers for any final remarks.

Waleed Hassanein

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Thank you everybody for your time this afternoon. And we're looking forward to our next call. We appreciate your time. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.