Craig Shesky
Analyst · H.C. Wainwright
Thanks, Gerard. One quick note that we shared actually in recent weeks in our social accounts. We recently joined the Defense Industrial based Consortium, DIBC, partnership within the Department of [indiscernible] and investment prioritization direct [Technical Difficulty] of our capabilities. This initiative gives the government the tools that need to provide with commercial solutions that can help close supply chain vulnerabilities and strengthen the defense industrial base. And of course, critical minerals and seabed are focused for the U.S. and allies. And over the past year, we've seen investors and operators effectively vote with their feet, gravitating toward regulatory frameworks that offer clarity and a credible path to commercialization. While the ISA remains in gridlock, the U.S. has emerged as a leading jurisdiction and certain allies are relying upon the U.S. and certain areas of expertise to develop seabed resources. This shift is being echoed at the government level, while in March, the U.S. and Japan announced a new critical minerals action plan with an explicit focus on accelerating cooperation on commercially viable deep sea mining. And against this backdrop, we remain the only seabed mineral developer with SEC compliant mineral reserves, which is the clearest definition of commercial viability, positioning us at the forefront of this emerging industry. In January, NOAA finalized revisions to accelerate permitting under the Deep Seabed Hard Minerals Resources Act, introducing a consolidated application process that meaningfully streamlines the path to commercial recovery. And TMC moved quickly to take advantage of that clarity, submitting the first consolidated application under this new framework. This application expands our expected commercial recovery area from 25,000 square kilometers to approximately 65,000 square kilometers and is designed to significantly reduce permitting time lines. Importantly, it reflects the strength of our technical readiness and our ability to meet NOAA requirements for commercial scale operations. We see this as a clear signal that the U.S. regulatory path is active, predictable and capable of supporting responsible development. And now with more than 10 applications in the system, it is evident that the broader industry is aligning around the U.S. framework. And last time we updated you, we are progressing systematically through the NOAA permitting pathway, and that remains the case today even under this new consolidated path. With the consolidated application now active under NOAA's new rule, we have greater clarity on the process ahead and a clear line of sight on the key milestones required for final approval. Our experience over the last year, particularly through NOAA's review of our exploration licenses, has provided valuable insight into the process and expectations for both TMC USA and NOAA. We announced on March 9th that we passed the first of these milestones with NOAA determining our application to be substantially compliant and the next potential milestone being full compliance. Based on this progress and what we've learned, we now expect the grant of our commercial recovery permit within the next 12 months. Now to get to this point, it's taken over $700 million and hundreds of research days at sea, and we are now nearing the completion of our environmental impact statement, and our EIA is complete. Informed by the largest environmental data set in history, over a petabyte in size, this comprehensive document reflects 15 years of scientific research conducted alongside leading institutions and demonstrates our ability to responsibly collect nodules using modern systems designed to maximize efficiency while minimizing environmental impact. Put simply, better science leads to better design and better design leads to better environmental impacts. For those with a keen eye on our social media, you may have noticed that we've begun sharing key findings from our EIA publicly during a new video series, highlighting how our data addresses environmental concerns and how innovation has reduced our environmental footprint. I encourage you all to check this out, and you can click on the PDF of this posted on our website to get to those videos directly or we encourage you to follow TMC on our social accounts, including Twitter and LinkedIn. We look forward to our EIS being made available for public comments soon as per NOAA's transparent and accountable process. And as many of you know, and there may be some on the call who are with us in the room, we published a pre-feasibility study and initial assessment alongside our Strategy Day in New York last August. Covering our first production area, the PFS documented world-first reserves for a nodule project, demonstrating clear commercial viability. Our initial assessments covered everything else that you see in royal blue amongst our contract areas on this page. Keep in mind that neither of these comprehensive studies, which were signed off by multiple independent qualified persons, cover additional ground over which we now have priority right through the U.S. process. This is represented in the lighter gray on this page. Given the proximity of these areas to those covered in our published technical studies, we do believe that these areas support significant exploration upside. So at current metal prices, shifting to project economics, it's clear that these projects are incredibly valuable. And if you combine the $5.5 billion net present value of our pre-feasibility study and the $18.1 billion NPV for the initial assessment, you arrive at a total estimated resource of $23.6 billion. Over the life of both projects on an undiscounted basis, the study's outlined revenue of approximately $369 billion, EBITDA in excess of $200 billion and a position in the first quartile of the cost curve as laid out in our PFS. However, despite the clear value of this high-quality and abundant resource and our expected low-cost positioning, our valuation does remain below of comparable peer developers and explorers. On the left side of this page, you'll see the TMC valuation example where we're trading at about 8% of our underlying net present value, well below peer averages for explorers and developers and certainly below the average of nearly 1x NAV for nickel and copper producers. So as we march toward a permitting and -- clear permitting path and commercial production, we are looking forward to a significant re-rating in this valuation story. On to liquidity, TMC reported year-end 2025 cash balance of $117.6 million, and we expect at month end for March 31, 2026, to report approximately $110 million in cash. TMC liquidity, defined as cash plus borrowing capacity on our unsecured credit facility stood at $162 million at year-end 2025 and is approximately $150 million more, and is expected to be approximately $154 million around month end March 31, 2026. And this means we have no imminent need to raise funds in the public markets. As discussed in our last several quarterly conference calls, however, we are filing a new Form S-3 shelf registration statement in conjunction with our upcoming 10-K as a matter of good corporate housekeeping, and we do intend at some point in the future to refresh our ATM. However, there has been no ATM use by the company since April of 2025. On to our financial results. In the fourth quarter of 2025, TMC reported a net loss of $40.4 million or $0.08 per share compared to a net loss of $16.1 million or $0.04 per share for the same period 2024. The net loss for the fourth quarter of 2025 included exploration and evaluation expenses of $10.6 million versus $8.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. General and administrative expenses, or G&A, of $34.1 million versus $8.1 million G&A in the comparable quarter last year and a credit of $4.3 million from other nonoperating items versus a credit of $0.3 million from other nonoperating items in Q4 2024. Exploration and evaluation expenses increased by $2.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, primarily resulting from an increase in share-based compensation due to accelerated amortization of awards granted in the third quarter of 2025, partially offset by lower mining, technological and process development costs resulting from decreased engineering work. G&A expenses increased by $26 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, reflecting an increase in share-based compensation due to the accelerated amortization of awards granted to directors and officers in the third quarter of 2025 and an increase in legal, consulting and personnel costs. Other nonoperating items that reduced the net loss in Q4 2025 included higher interest income generated from our increased cash balances and a gain resulting from the dilution of our ownership interest in The Metals Royalty Co. as it completed a private placement to third parties at a price well in excess of book value. On free cash flow, the free cash outflow for the fourth quarter of 2025, was $11.5 million compared to $13.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2024. Net cash used in operating activities was $11.4 million compared to $13.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, primarily due to lower personnel and environmental payments, coupled with the interest earned on the higher cash balance in 2025 and partially offset by higher legal payments. Focusing on the full year basis for the cash flow. On a full year basis, free cash outflow for 2025 was $43.1 million compared to $44 million in 2024. Net cash used in operating activities was $42.9 million compared to $43.5 million in 2024, reflecting lower environmental and mining technological payments and interest earned on the higher cash balance in 2025, partially offset by higher underutilization fees paid on the unsecured credit facilities, timing of payment on regulatory fees and higher legal payments. Free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure, and I would point you to the non-GAAP reconciliation included in the slide deck. We believe that our cash on hand will be sufficient to meet our working capital and capital expenditure requirements for at least the next 12 months from today. Looking at the balance sheet over the course of 2025, there was a significant increase in the cash balance as the following funds were received: $85.2 million from the Korea Zinc investment, $41.2 million from other registered direct offerings, including the Hess family investment, $14.8 million from ATM use and $27 million from the exercise of various stock options and warrants. A portion of these proceeds was used to repay the $7.5 million Allseas working capital loan, along with other outstanding interest thereon as well as a $4.3 million draw on the ERAS/Barron unsecured credit facility. Our accounts payable and accrued liabilities as at December 31, 2025, was $46 million and includes $34 million owed to Allseas for various services provided, the majority of which can be settled in equity. The $131 million increase in royalty liability was the result of the change in fair value following the company's release of two economic studies in August 2025, which increased the value of the NORI project. The significant increase in the warrant liability over 2025 was due to the increase in the fair value of private warrants, which reflected the increase -- significant increase in our share price. With that, operator, we'd now like to open the call up for some Q&A.