Harry Zen
Analyst · Siward Ludin of Goldman Sachs
Thanks, Andi. Good afternoon, everybody. Welcome to our conference call for the 9 months of 2019 results. We really appreciate your participation in this call. For the 9 months of 2019, our fixed broadband product, IndiHome became a stronger engine of growth as its profitability improved whilst mobile industry continues to grow positively, reflecting more sustainable and higher quality revenue on the back of strong growth in data traffic in line with 4G network quality and coverage expansion. In the meantime, our enterprise business experienced a slowdown as we deliberately reduce our exposure on low-margin products, coupled with seasonality characteristic of the business. For the 9 months of 2019, Telkom managed to book 3.5% year-on-year growth in revenue to IDR 102.6 trillion, while EBITDA grew by 11.4% as the result of declining operating expenses by 3.1% year-on-year. Net income increased by 15.6% year-on-year. Fixed broadband business through IndiHome became the growth driver, continuing its strong performance with revenue growth of 52.1% year-on-year. While in the mobile business, Telkomsel's digital business growth successfully compensates legacy business decline so that in 9 months of 2019, Telkomsel's revenue still increased by 3.9% year-on-year. Ladies and gentlemen, during 9 months of 2019, our fixed broadband, IndiHome, posted a remarkable performance. IndiHome added 511,000 new subscribers during third quarter of 2019 to reach 6.51 million subscribers by the end of September this year. IndiHome's ARPU in third quarter of 2019 was IDR 256,000, slightly lower from IDR 260,000 in the previous quarter due to a larger proportion of Dual Play customer compared to Triple Play customers. At the end of September 2019, IndiHome's Dual Play customers represented around 53% of total subscribers. In the 9 months of 2019, IndiHome contributed IDR 13.7 trillion of revenue or jumped 52.1% year-on-year. In line with bigger scale and better operating efficiency, IndiHome's EBITDA margin have reached above 30% and getting closer to global standard of around 35%. In an effort to further lift revenue from IndiHome, we continue to encourage our customers to purchase various add-on services, such as speed upgrade, upsell to Triple Play service, subscribe to Minipack's packages and add additional set-top box. These add-ons contributed to around 12.1% of total IndiHome revenue in 9 months of 2019 as compared to 10.5% in the 9 months of 2018. Ladies and gentlemen, on the mobile side, digital business through provision of high-quality broadband connectivity and a variety of digital services became the main growth engines. We successfully grew revenue from digital business significantly by 27.9% to IDR 43.1 trillion, driven by 27.4% increase in data to IDR 37.4 trillion and 31.2% increase in digital services to IDR 5.7 trillion. Digital business accounted for 63.1% of total Telkomsel's revenue, increased significantly from 51.3% for the same period a year ago. Telkomsel's legacy business still declined due to the natural transition from legacy towards data together with OTT service cannibalization impact. Telkomsel's voice revenue declined by 19.1%, while SMS revenue dropped by 38.6% year-on-year. Personalized marketing initiatives, which offer better value packages and attractive combo of voice and data packages have been successful to alleviate the downtrend of legacy business. Overall, Telkomsel's financial and business performance in 9 months of 2019 were solid, recorded revenues, EBITDA and net income growth of 3.9%, 6.2% and 5% to IDR 68.3 trillion, IDR 36.8 trillion and IDR 19.2 trillion, respectively. EBITDA margin improved by 1.1 percentage point to 53.8% as operating expenses only grew by 1.4% to IDR 31.5 trillion. Effective marketing campaign along with customer retention initiatives and successful prepaid SIM card registration program have lowered churn to around 6% to 7% from around 11% to 12% last year and shifted customers' behavior towards top-up oriented. Telkomsel recorded 170.9 million subscribers at the end of September 2019, a modest 1.9% increase year-on-year. Telkomsel expects ongoing natural cleansing to continue in response to prepaid registration -- SIM registration policy. The policy, however, has brought positive results in terms of better quality customer base, higher numbers of active subscribers, increased ARPU as well as more efficient SIM card production cost and marketing programs. It will continue to have a long-term positive impact and support the emergence of healthier competition in the industry. To maintain and strengthen our network quality and coverage to grow our digital business, we deployed more than 20,800 new BTSs during 9 months of 2019. All were 4G-based. By end of September 2019, Telkomsel's on-air BTS totaled around 210,000 units, 76% of which were 3G and 4G BTSs. Our data traffic increased by 55.2% year-on-year with 112.1 million of data users and monthly data consumption of more than 5 gigabytes. Ladies and gentlemen, in line with our strategy, shifting to focus on more profitable products. Our enterprise segment experienced a slowdown. It decreased by IDR 3.8 trillion or 20.7% year-on-year to IDR 14.9 trillion in revenue. Enterprise legacy voice IT service device handset declined by IDR 5.3 trillion or 44% decrease, but this were compensated by the increase of broadband connectivity, data center and cloud and digital platform, which increased by 5 -- by IDR 1.5 trillion, or 77% year-on-year increase. We deliberately reduced our exposure in IT services, which mostly consists of hardware with low margins. We shifted our focus on more profitable products, such as connectivity as well as data center and cloud. The decline in the enterprise business was also attributable to seasonality, whereby a number of projects, including those with relatively high margins, no longer contributing as high as last year and less projects that we can realize up to this point in this year. In the fourth quarter of 2019, however, we expect enterprise performance to improve on the back of recognized revenue from some projects that are still in the pipeline. The positive impact was on the cost side as we significantly cut hardware-related costs. As a result, leased line and CPE costs declined by 40.6% to IDR 3.5 trillion and handset costs declined by 35.9% to IDR 1 trillion, respectively. Ladies and gentlemen, our wholesale and international business recorded IDR 8.2 trillion in the 9 -- of revenue in the 9 months of 2019 or grew by 16.6% year-on-year. The growth was attributable to strong international wholesale force and growing tower business coming from co-location and asset acquisition. Ladies and gentlemen, within the 3 quarters of 2019, Telkom Group spent IDR 22.2 trillion in CapEx or 21.6% of revenue. CapEx absorption was primarily utilized to enhance our mobile and fixed line network infrastructure. In mobile services, CapEx was utilized to further improve 4G network quality and capacity as well as IT system enhancement. While in the nonmobile or fixed line businesses, CapEx was primarily utilized to develop fiber-based access and backbone infrastructures to support fixed as well as mobile broadband businesses. A small portion of CapEx was assigned to other projects such as towers. Lastly, through our subsidiary, Mitratel, we recently signed an agreement to acquire 2,100 towers from Indosat. When the acquisition is fully completed, the total number of Mitratel's tower will be more than 15,800 towers and reach MNC ratio of 1.45x, improved from 1.34x. To conclude my remark, let me share our main guidance for the full year of 2019. Considering the recent development, in particular, strategy changes in our enterprise business, we expect consolidated revenue to grow by low to mid-single digit with better consolidated EBITDA margin comparing to the one in 2018, whilst Telkom sales revenue to grow by low to mid-single digit with stable EBITDA margin. Capital expenditure for the group are rated at around 27% of revenue. That's the end of my remarks. Thank you. I'm now handing back to Andi.