Mattias Ankarberg
Analyst · Jefferies
Thank you very much, and welcome, everybody, to this call. As usual, I'm joined here with by Toby Lawton, our CFO. We'll speak to a presentation that will also later be available at our website. And as usual, we'll do a short presentation followed by Q&A. So starting off with the highlights on Page 2. We are now 3 quarters into the year, and we have 3 quarters in a row with organic growth and improved profitability, which is clearly a step in the right direction. In the third quarter, we delivered this growth despite seeing a declining RV market, which, of course, impacts us. But on the other hand, we see continued really good momentum and accelerating growth in Active with Kids & Dogs, which is helping the quarter nicely. Profitability continues to be improving and strong and improving -- improvement, sorry, is driven by the efficiency initiatives that we are actively pursuing. Now that we also are close to a year from the updated -- from setting the updated financial targets at the end of last year, we can also assess our progress so far and can conclude that we are on track towards the new financial targets that were set in November '25, which is something we will get back to. But zooming in on the quarter on the next page, it is another quarter with continued growth and increased profitability, modest organic growth, up just over 1% and the reported growth in SEK is 3%. It is a continued tough market, particularly in this quarter in the RV segment, which we'll come back to, but also more generally in the North American market. Europe continues to do better than North America, with organic growth being up 4% in Europe and minus 1% in North America. And the difference between the reported growth this relates to currency and also to the small acquisition of curli that we did at the end of Q2. Gross margin is really strong. However, please do note that there is a positive impact from tariff refunds amounting to SEK 52 million, which -- and there is also a negative impact from the higher raw material prices. And then they, in turn, are partly in the quarter offset by price increases we did mid-quarter, and we will get back to all of those 3 points later on. All in all, we have an EBIT margin of 20%, which is clearly above last year. Again, excluding the tariff refunds, we are still in line with or just marginally better than last year's level, which for those of you who follow us closely may remember that was a historically high level. So we have a solid profitability and also excluding the tariff refunds. Sales and admin costs are decreasing as a percent of sales. And all in all, EBIT amounts to SEK 521 million. And continued, this is a good cash flow quarter for us and continued good cash flow and also that above previous year, almost SEK 800 million. And zooming out to the year-to-date, we are now grown 2.5% organically this year so far, and improved gross margin and an EBIT margin that is up by 1.5 percentage points. Taking a further step back before we dig into the details for the quarter, we can see that this means we continue the long track record of profitable growth at Thule, and this chart shows the development since the IPO in 2014. On the last 12-month basis, we are now at SEK 10.4 billion of sales, SEK 1.8 billion of EBIT and 17.3% EBIT margin. And as mentioned in the beginning, it is now almost 1 year since we set new financial targets. We announced those at the Capital Markets Day or in conjunction with the Capital Markets Day in November last year. And since Q4, which is the smallest quarter for us, following the third quarter, we have a fairly good view about sort of where the direction is heading this year and can evaluate the progress made so far. And the conclusion is that we are developing on track towards the new financial targets. We should mention that we have 3 financial targets: organic growth, profitability and dividend payout ratio. And we can see that despite the market not being easier than last year, we are improving on all metrics. So very overviewish organic growth is now 2.5% for the year so far, clearly up versus the minus 1% last year. EBIT margin is up 1.3% on the last 12-month basis compared to last year, and dividend payout ratio continues to be above the target. It's also worth to just mention that these targets are announced, they are ambitious. They are above the historical performance of Thule, and we like them to be ambitious because we want to be ambitious. But we have also been clear that they are not to be reached immediately. We have an ambition to reach them in the midterm, which we have said is 2 to 4 years. So I think -- and I think perhaps more interesting than the numbers themselves is to see what is driving these numbers. And you may remember, if you participated at the Capital Markets Day that in addition to the targets, we laid out a plan for how to reach them, both what's going to happen on the growth side and what's going to happen on the efficiency side. And we also set ambitions, we call it, midterm growth ambitions for all of our 4 product areas. And we can see that for each and every product area, we are moving in the right direction. So for example, Sport & Cargo Carriers last year was a minus 1% organic growth. This year, we are at plus 1% so far, and the ambition is to get to 5%. So a step in the right direction. RV Products, 4% last year, 3% this year so far, almost at the midterm ambition already. Active with Kids & Dogs, we see a big improvement, 13% growth this year so far, almost at the 15% we are targeting as an ambition level. And it's nice to see that, that product area is also now more meaningful in size. So it contributes also nicely to the total. And same improvement on Bags & Mounts from minus 10% last year to plus 2% this year so far and a good step in the direction to 10%. So good progress on the sales development in all 4 product areas towards the midterm ambition. So with that overview completed, I thought I'd turn into a bit more detail on the quarter specifically. And as usual, we'll give some highlights and comments to each of the 4 product areas. Starting off on Page 7 with Sport & Cargo Carriers, which is our biggest product area. It's just over half of sales in Q3. And in the quarter, we saw a small organic growth of plus 1%, taking the year-to-date to 1%. And this is, as in previous quarter, driven by New Thule products. We have delivered several new products also this year, and we continue to see that premium is doing really well. And a good example is the new premium Bike Carrier, Thule Epos ParkSecure, where we have taken our best bike carrier and put parking sensors on it. And it's a great example of how we can expand the category and attract the consumer that still has money to spend and has the passion and willing to spend it on great products. So that's a great example. We have continued momentum, what we call rear of car cargo, so boxes that you mount behind the car. And actually also when we upgrade entry-price products like the rooftop box Thule Pulse has helped also. Generally, we see the most positive development around the premium price points, particularly connected to new products and innovation. We do see quite good growth in Europe, but we do continue to see a decline in North America, which is holding this total Sport & Cargo Carriers growth back. Within RV Products, we are currently experiencing a negative market development, which is clearly impacting sales. We declined 5% in the quarter, taking the year-to-date to 3%. Coming from a period where market conditions have been improving for a few quarters, we did see a decline in registrations of new vehicles, motorhomes and caravans starting around mid-quarter 2 in most European countries, and that has continued into summer also in the third quarter. Clearly, this is impacting sort of sales of new vehicles, obviously, but also then our sales to those customers. It is for us, so far, particularly impacting the aftermarket or the dealers, which are closest to the consumer, whereas the OE channel in manufacturers is more stable. We continue to do better than the market and the registrations, and we continue to see that, as we've talked about for several quarters, that new products also within the RV products product area are adding growth for us. And we can also note that the consumer interest continues to seem high with high activity and great bookings at camp sites across summer and good attendance at big fairs now recently. But a tougher market takes the sales down in the quarter by minus 5%. The third product area is Active with Kids & Dogs, where we see a fast and also accelerating growth, 22% organic growth in the quarter. If we look -- include the acquisition of curli, small acquisition and look at the total, net sales is up 31%. And we see that all of the 3 categories that we call Champion candidates are continuing very strong. And these, just to clarify, are categories where we have the opportunity to be clear global #1, drive the category through innovation, and get leverage as the #1 player in the category and out-innovate competition. But they are not yet of the scale that we call them a Champion. They are not yet at SEK 500 million each. But we continue to see really good growth in all-terrain and running strollers. We see a very nice trend in dog transportation, including the launch of the new products and the harnesses Thule Dart, and also sustained momentum in child car seats, which is also further boosted by the rollout of the connected car seats that was initiated during summer has continued throughout Q3. We are also pleased to see that we have seen an improved trend for multisport and bike trailers, which is also part of this category, had a tough start due to still too much stock at retail, but turned around mid-Q2 and continues to grow now in Q3. And similar to other categories, this is clearly the most premium products that are driving the growth. Continue on Bags & Mounts on Page 10, which is the fourth product area, giving some details for the quarterly performance. So just to start that over to make sure we got it, a decline of 4% in the quarter and a plus 2% year-to-date. A few different factors to note in the quarter. Performance phone mounts on the one hand, clearly benefit from some new products. which has been well received. I'll give an example later, but also a wider distribution. And part of that is supported by some Thule team working closely with the Quad Lock organization. For example, you can now find these products at big retailers like Halfords in the U.K. We have launched these products in China on some marketplaces, and that's clearly helping the growth. On the other hand, there is a phasing impact, which impacts the quarter -- the sales in the quarter, excuse me, negatively. And the reason is that particularly Apple has changed the launch schedule compared to last year. One big moment for consumers to upgrade their phones is, of course, when there is a new phone available. And last year, Apple launched an upgraded suite of phones in September. And this year, so far, only the Pro models. So fewer options to upgrade, lower sales, and that means that sales would be phased differently until these new models are launched. But good progress besides that phasing impact. On the bag side, we continue to see good growth in Thule branded bags, good reception of some new products for this year, including the Thule InLock for bike commute and the Thule Chasm gear haulers. We continue to see a decline in Case Logic as we have done for a long time. And also just to note that after the quarter, we acquired the intellectual property and product rights for some mountain bike bags delivered by a company called Aeroe. You see some of the products on the picture to the right. It's a small asset deal with a company where it had small sales, but it's a really nice product that fits really nicely into the bags category and very much in line with the strategy we have taken to bags to move more into outdoor and sport-related products, for example, bike. So with that, I conclude that part of the presentation and hand over to Toby to cover some of the more financial details.