Earnings Labs

Taseko Mines Limited (TGB)

Q3 2018 Earnings Call· Sat, Nov 3, 2018

$7.27

-2.68%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Taseko Mines Third Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Mr. Brian Bergot, Investor Relations. Sir, please go ahead.

Brian Bergot

Analyst

Thank you, Liz, and thank you, everyone, for joining us on the call today to review Taseko's third quarter financial and operational results. My name is Brian Bergot and I am the Vice President, Investor Relations for Taseko. Our financial results were issued yesterday after market close and are available on our website at tasekomines.com. Before we begin, I would like to introduce everyone on the call today. We have Russ Hallbauer, President and CEO of Taseko; John McManus, COO of Taseko; and Stuart McDonald, Taseko's Chief Financial Officer. After opening remarks by Management, which will review third quarter business and operational results, we will open the phone lines to analysts and investors for a question-and-answer session. As usual, before we proceed, I would like to remind our listeners that our comments and answers to your questions may contain forward-looking information. This information by its nature is subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause the stated outcome to differ materially from the actual outcome. I encourage you to read the cautionary note that accompanies our third quarter MD&A and the related results news release, as well as the risk factors particular to our Company. I would like to now turn the call over to Russ for his remarks.

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst

Thank you, Brian. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. The trend of higher grades and better recovery which began in Q2 and which saw Gibraltar's metal production rise from 23 million pounds in the first quarter to 34 million pounds in the second quarter continued into Q3, and has resulted in third quarter production of 43 million pounds of copper and 700,000 pounds of molybdenum. As a result, site operating costs net of byproduct credits were USD 1.34 per pound with C1 costs coming in at $1.58 per pound. Unit costs were obviously positively impacted by higher grades and higher concentrator throughput. As I indicated in our Q2 call, we expected the second half of 2018 to be good from a production and cost position, and that is evident with this quarter's results. This quarter's financials, however, were affected by the inability of Canadian National Railway to deliver our production to port for ocean shipment. We unfortunately left 18.5 million pounds of copper and concentrate in our concentrate storage facilities at site and at our rail load out at quarter end. We expect the bulk of this inventory will be delivered to our customers by year end. Normally, we have between 2.5 million to 4 million pounds of inventory scattered through the system at quarter end. So that means we will be shipping and selling in Q4 an additional 14.5 million to 16 million pounds of copper and concentrate over our mine site production. At present day prices of copper, that is approximately $40 million in revenue to our account and $30 million in cash flow. We expect from this that our 2004 financials to be very robust and by the end of the year our cash position will strengthen appreciably. With respect to mine operations,…

Stuart McDonald

Analyst

Okay. Thanks, Russ, and good morning, everyone. I can speak to some of the financial details from our third quarter earnings that we released yesterday. So earnings from mine operations before depreciation were $34 million and adjusted EBITDA was $32 million for the quarter. Despite the lower copper prices, these numbers are generally in line with the prior quarter. But as Russ described, the financial results do not fully reflect the strong performance that we had at Gibraltar this quarter. We recognize revenue when product is loaded onto a ship at the port. And shipments were delayed this quarter by poor rail service between the mine and the port. So production results were very strong at 43 million pounds, but we were only able to sell 29 million pounds, and inventories increased significantly. Third quarter earnings were also affected by lower copper prices. And after declining in early July, the price remained in the $2.70 to $2.80 range for most of the quarter. Our realized price of $2.63 per pound was affected by negative provisional price adjustments of $3.7 million, or $0.14 a pound. Moly prices have remained strong in the period and sales volumes are not affected by rail service. Gibraltar sold just over 700,000 pounds in the period, resulting in a byproduct credit of $0.16. Total revenues for the quarter were $74 million, based on our 75% share of Gibraltar sales volumes. On the cost side, our total site operating costs increased in the third quarter due to the increased mining rate, as well as a reduction in the proportion of mining costs that are capitalized. But the higher copper production led to lower operating costs per pound of USD 1.58. That's 20% lower than the previous quarter. We finalized an insurance claim for the wildfires last year,…

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst

Thank you, Stuart. Operator, I'd now like to open the lines for calls.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Craig Hutchison with TD Securities. Your line is now open.

Craig Hutchison

Analyst

Just a question. I mean, you notice in your financials that you've only partially mined the high grade benches from the Gibraltar pit pushback. Will any of that material flow into Q4?

John McManus

Analyst

Hi, Craig. It's John here. No, that material will go into 2019.

Craig Hutchison

Analyst

2019? Okay.

John McManus

Analyst

Yes. A little pushback will pick that up.

Craig Hutchison

Analyst

So if your guidance is for adding 130 million pounds for 2018, you've implied about 30 million pounds for Q4. Would it be fair to say that the grades are going to drop below reserve in order to sort of be in that 30 million pound range?

John McManus

Analyst

No. Grade will be back around reserve level.

Craig Hutchison

Analyst

Around reserve? Okay. Any potential - are there any shutdowns of the mill anticipated for Q4?

John McManus

Analyst

Nothing extraordinary. We do our usual mill liner changes, which is a day or two here and there. But that's normal. We do that all year, every year.

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst

We had pretty good throughput. The credibility was a little easier in the third quarter. It's going to be a little harder in Q4. We're experiencing some of that now, I think.

John McManus

Analyst

Yes, that's right.

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst

So that could be - that could have some effect. But we think we're going to be right on that 130 million pound range.

Craig Hutchison

Analyst

And can we assume similar CapEx spending for the fourth quarter as well?

John McManus

Analyst

Yes. I mean, it's going to be capital strip. There's nothing specific on the sustaining capital for - no equipment, anything like that.

Craig Hutchison

Analyst

And maybe just a last question. Aley. Are there any kind of discussions going around now? Any strategic reviews going in terms of trying to sign a kind of JV for that asset?

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst

We keep working on it. We're talking to a lot of people. It's difficult, but it's - we just take our time and keep looking for the right partner. So sooner or later it will happen, Craig. I'm not sure when. I think if we look at we have done a bulk sample in there. We are going to make metal. I mean, I think we're going to do a - probably a test plant on that that's going to actually allow it to produce some metal in 2019. And then, once we have that, we'll see how it goes. But we're not spending much money on it. We have, obviously as you know, an important project at Florence and that's where we'll be putting our efforts.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Mike Kozak with Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is now open.

Mike Kozak

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is now open.

Just one question for me. The steepening up of the Granite pit high wall that you kind of - that you were able to do in Q3. Can that be replicated at all in other areas of the pit if you continue to bench down? Or was this just kind of one discrete area of just particularly favorable rock mechanics?

John McManus

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is now open.

Hi, Mike. John here. We design our walls fairly conservative, which occasionally gives us an opportunity to do something like this. And just the conditions, the weather conditions, the timing, that section of wall is more rock mechanics stable than we had expected. So we took advantage of that.

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is now open.

We'll take advantage of it whenever we can see that, I think.

John McManus

Analyst · Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is now open.

Yes, that's right. So that's the bottom of the pit. You design your walls up at the top, then when you get down to the bottom you adjust.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We do have a question on the line from Don DeMarco with National Bank. Your line is now open.

Don DeMarco

Analyst

I was just wondering, on the Florence site tour there was mention of getting a permit to do the - that portion of injecting the asset. Is there any updates on that? Not a permit per se, but just approval. I think you've already got all the permits in place.

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst

I think they're still reviewing - remember when we showed that green stuff coming across on the cross section? Remember on the cross section we showed the fluid flows across there?

Don DeMarco

Analyst

Yes.

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst

I think the ADDQ and the EPA are just evaluating some of the technical data around that. So we should see that sooner than later. So you never know when it goes into a government agency how long that's going to take. But we anticipated getting it about a week and a half ago, two weeks ago, when you guys were down there. And now it's been delayed. But I don't think there is anything critical about it. It's just crossing all the T's and dotting all the I's. That right?

John McManus

Analyst

Yes, that's right. We've got to check every box. And the permit that we have gets amended to what was actually observed in the pre-tests and they're very precise and thorough. So it's taking them longer than we expected.

Operator

Operator

And we do have a question from the line of CJ Baldoni with Principal Global Investors. Your line is now open.

CJ Baldoni

Analyst

So you mentioned that you expect to be able to ship out the extra ore or copper in the fourth quarter. But then, you also caveated it with respect to ship availability and what not. So what level of confidence do you have that you're going to be able to ship that extra volume?

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst

We have good confidence.

CJ Baldoni

Analyst

And could you provide some indication where you think your cash balance will end the year?

Stuart McDonald

Analyst

Well, CJ, yes, it's Stuart here. We've given pretty good guidance in terms of production and sales volumes. 45 million pounds we think we can ship. Of course, we've got the insurance claim, which we think we're going to collect as well. Offsetting that, we've got a bond interest payment in December, as you know. So it's something - we think the cash balance is going to grow. I don't want to put a number on it. But we think it will - we'll see appreciable growth in the cash balance in Q4. But it's hard to put a precise number on it.

CJ Baldoni

Analyst

Okay.

Stuart McDonald

Analyst

And one of the factors that's hard to control is the exact date when our customers will pay an invoice. Right? So every shipment that goes out is about a $15 million invoice. So if we receive a customer payment in the last week of December or the first week of January, that can drive the year-end cash balance. But - so we're comfortable talking about sales volumes, but cash balance is a little harder to put a number on.

Stuart McDonald

Analyst

Well, that's true. Yes, we've got copper prices as well, which we hope are going to improve.

CJ Baldoni

Analyst

Well, thanks for adding that extra little bit. Will you put out a release once you I guess get the final indication after the EPA is reviewing the asset results at the PTF in Arizona?

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst

I guess we'll have to talk about that. We probably will just give a market update.

Operator

Operator

I'm not showing any further questions in the queue. At this time, I'd like to turn the call back to Management for closing remarks.

Russ Hallbauer

Analyst

Okay. Thanks very much, everybody. Look forward to seeing you and talking to you later in the year. Bye-bye.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program and you may now disconnect. Everyone have a great day.