John A. Allison, IV - Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · JP Morgan. Please state your question
Thank you, Tamera, and good morning and thank all of you for joining us. What I would like to talk about is our financial results for the second quarter of 2007 in year-to-date with a little extra focus on asset quality because that is one the issues a lot of people have been talking about, share with you a few comments and updates on mergers and acquisitions and then give you some thoughts about the… about the future. After that, Chris will give you some more in-depth analysis of a number of areas, and we will have time for questions. Looking in our second quarter performance, our net… GAAP net income was $458 million, a 6.8% increase, operating earnings were very similar at $461 million, up 7.2%. GAAP EPS and operating EPS were both $0.83, a 5.1% increase. We didn't meet the consensus estimate which was $0.83 and had a significant improvement from the first quarter where we made $0.78 which is a 25.7% annualized increase quarter-to-quarter. Our cash basis EPS was $0.86, up 3.6% and a 24.8% annualized increase over the first quarter cash basis EPS of $0.81. Our returns were very strong. Our cash ROA was 161, cash ROE of 28.48. The year-to-date numbers look similar. Our GAAP net income was $879 million, up 2.2%, operating net income $886 million, up 5.4%. GAAP EPS was a $1.60. Operating EPS, a $1.61, up 3.9%. Cash EPS, a $1.67, up 3.1%. Our cash return on assets was 158 and cash return on equity 28.35 for the first six months. Again, very good solid returns. If you look at the factors driving earnings, our biggest challenge has been our margin which continued to decline. It declined from 361 in the first quarter to 355 in the second and a stands from 376 in the second quarter of last year. Chris is going to give you some insight into what's happening with our margin and most importantly, I think, our future expectations. On the positive side, we had an excellent quarter in terms of non-interest income, a very strong annualized growth rate. If you take out non-recurring items, purchases in the swing and move your service impairments, our annualized firs- to-second non-interest growth was 50.2%, which was pretty good. Second-to-second was up 12.3% and year-to-date 8.9%. Again excluding non-recurring in purchases, look at the key components in non-interest income. Insurance commissions continues to be our number one source of non-interest revenues. Continued relatively strong growth for '08. Second-to-second up 8.3%, annualized link of 74.6%. Now that is a seasonal factor and year-to-date 8.8%. That is a very strong growth rate. As you know, the industry is basically been flat to down in revenue. So we are obviously moving market share pretty significantly in the insurance brokerage business. Various charges on the positive account, second to second at 5.6%, annualized link, 28.4%, year-to-date 4.7%. We are seeing some more positive momentum on service charges which is encouraging because that is another major source of non-interest revenue. We did add 28,000 net new transaction accounts and have added 61,000 net new transaction accounts year-to-date. So we continue to have a strong momentum in attracting new clients. Our non-deposit fees and commission which are primarily our debit card continue to have strong growth, second-to-second 12.3%, annualized link 45%, year-to-date 11.5%. Investment banking and brokerage had a strong quarter, second-to-second up 12.7%, annualized link 34%, 6.9% year-to-date. Our trust revenues second-to-second at 5.3%, basically flat first-to-second, up 6.7%, year-to-date. Kind of relatively modest growth in our trust business. Our mortgage banking if you take out mortgage servicing, it actually had a strong quarter, up second-to-second 14.8% annualized link 59.4%, 3.6% year-to-date and production was relatively strong in the second quarter. We originated a little over $3 billion in mortgage loans compared to $2.6 billion in the second quarter of 2006. Our other income has fluctuated second-to-second. And was up a lot 38.6%, was actually down from the first quarter 6.5%, up 26.8% year-to-date. If you look at the second-to-second change, we had a change in what's called a rabbi trust for our 401-K reserve that added $8 million in revenue that was partially offset on the expense side and we also made a small gain of $3 million gain on MasterCard stock which were the two primary changes second to second. So again, strong non-interest income growth. Net revenue growth, again taking up purchases, non-recurring items and fluctuations in mortgage service impairment, annualized first-to-second 21.3%, second-to-second 4.2% and year-to-date 2.9%. We were pleased with an improvement in our fee income ratio which in the second quarter was 42.6% compared to 40.8%. So we have got a very positive trend there. Non-interest expenses year-to-date continues to be a good news. And if you take out purchases while we did have an increase from first to second of 17.1% annualized, that was largely incentives. Second-to-second, we were up 2.9% and year-to-date we are only up 1.9%. Chris will give you some insight into our non-interest expenses, but we are really pleased with our progress in that regard. Our efficiency ratio on a cash basis in the second quarter was 51.7%. We've got a long term goal to get that ratio back under 50%. I think we'll get there in the next couple of years. Loan growth… looking at annualized first-to-second on a GAAP basis, total loan growth was 9.7%. If you take out purchase acquisitions, securitizations and leveraged leases, total loan growth first-to-second annualized was 6.1%. Commercial loan growth did slow to 3.7%, direct retail at 2.7%. Our sales finance business did okay at 6.2%, revolving credit was mostly our credit card business 8.4%, mortgages at 12% and specialized lending at 16.1%. If you look at six, second quarter-to-second quarter, total loan growth was 7.4%. If you take out purchases, securitizations and adjust for our AFCO acquisition, we had commercial loan growth 5.8%, direct retail at 3.3%, sales financials 11.1%, revolving credit 8.1%, mortgage at 10.6%, specialized lending at 13% or 22.9% without the AFCO acquisition and a total loan growth as I said, 7.4%. Year-to-date, total loan growth without purchases, leverage leases et cetera at 7.5%. That compares to a first-to-second growth rate of 6.1%. It's clear that we did have some slowing in loan growth in the second quarter, primarily reflected in real estate markets, both in packing, our commercial real estate lending business and our home equity business which is… are both related to real estate. Our sales finance and our credit card businesses were fairly healthy. We had strong growth in mortgage and in specialized lending. We are seeing… actually seeing some pick-up in our commercial and industrial lending business that has been offset by slowness in commercial real estate, which is from a volume perspective our biggest challenge. We are pleased overall with our deposit growth. Non-interest bearing deposits still remain a challenge in the market would be for moving in non-interest spot into CD's but we did make some progress. Second-to-second non-interest deposits if you take out, purchases were down 1.9%, but annualized link, up 9.5%. They are down 2% year-to-date. So we are getting a little better momentum in non-interest bearing deposits. Had very strong growth rates in our interest checking deposits of 35.4%. Our client deposit growth which is really what we focus on, again taking out purchases we were very pleased with, second-to-second 7.7%, annualized link 7.1%, year-to-date 8.3%. Total deposit growth was slower because we simply made a decision based on cost to come out of some money marketing instruments in the bid fund, we obviously fluctuate those based on price. Total deposits without purchases, second-to-second, up 4.9%, annualized link down 6%, year-to-date at 6.3%. The client deposit growth remained fairly strong. Pricing is till tough, but we have seen some improvements in pricing particularly as some of the community banks have backed away from more aggressive CD rates. So we are very pleased with the positive momentum, both in terms of the client deposit growth rate and an improving pricing environment. While we had some deterioration, objectively our asset quality remains very healthy. And I think that's important from a long term perspective. We did have a rise in non-performers from $367 million to $423 million as a percentage of assets from 0.3% to 0.33%. Of the $56 million increase, $11.6 million came from the Coastal Federal acquisition, and you remember purchase acquisition, you don’t restate the base. The majority of the… the remaining increases was in our commercial loan portfolio, a portion of that was commercial real estate although we just experienced, what I'd call some random increases in operating company problems. Because of this visibility in discussion I would just remind everybody we have a very small sub prime mortgage portfolio we didn't have any material changes in that. All our mortgage portfolios continues to have excellent results with very few problems. Our non-performing assets still remain very granular. We only have three non-performing loans over $5 million. The largest commercial loan that we have in the non-performing space is $5.9 million which is a credit to a livestock feed meal. If you look at charged-offs in the second quarter, we charged off $76 million, that's a 0.35% loss ratio, up a little bit from the first quarter 0.29% and in the second quarter of last year 0.23%. If you take out our specialized lending businesses, our losses were 0.20% compared to 0.13% and 0.12%. The increase in charge-offs is partially related to a false situation which has got a lot of press attention. We don't usually talk about specific credits, but we did have a $20.6 million exposure to the failed Village of Penland project. We charged off $9 million of this exposure leaving us with a total of $11.6 million, all the remaining credit is current paying, none of it is paid, is 30 days past due. Obviously paid from the side of BB&T, we don't expect any material impact on performance related to this remaining part of this credit. We have done a careful review of this tight credit situation and we are confident we have no other similar exposures. This was a very sophisticated fraud. And while we had a loan loss, given our size it is not a material event for us. Interesting enough, if you were to exclude this one time loss, and our specialized lending portfolio, then our loan losses for the quarter were only 0.15%, which is obviously a really good number. Looking at the year-to-date charge-off numbers, they were only 0.32% compared to 0.24% last year. Excluding specialized lending our charge-offs were 0.16% compared to 0.13%. Again that's an excellent result. So we feel really, really good about that. Provisions for credit losses in the quarter, we provided $88 million, charged off $76 million, so we added $12 million to the reserve. Year-to-date, we provided $159 million, charged off $137 million, so we have added $22 million to the reserve. Our loan loss reserve did go down one basis point from 105 to 104 but our coverage of non-accruals remains very strong at 2.83 times. If you look at our non-performing and charge-off trends we obviously were simply returning to normalcy and non-performing and charge-off levels were exceptionally low in 2006. While we expect some continuing rise in both non-performance and charge-offs, we are not expecting a significant deterioration in asset quality, particularly assuming general positive trends in the economic environment. Let me change direction now for a minute now and talk a little bit about mergers and acquisitions. We did complete the acquisition of Coastal Federal, a Myrtle Beach and added to our number one market share in Wilmington. We will be converting Coastal Federal in August. The usual challenges in community bank mergers, but everything overall is going very well. We continue to look for other community bank acquisitions but pricing is an issue to us. We still think that community banks have some very significant challenges in terms of future profitability, and we only are interested in doing acquisitions that make economic sense to us. So we are continuing to pursue acquisitions, but they must work from an economic perspective. And we did announce two insurance agency acquisitions, one in Atlanta and one in Hilton Head, both great markets. And you'll hopefully hear some more acquisition announcements from us in the insurance business where we are doing so well. And then we are continuing to pursue other non-bank acquisitions. However, I strongly believe that acquisitions will be a secondary activity for us. We are really focused on driving organic revenue growth. With that said, let me share with you a few thoughts about the future. I’ll begin by reinforcing Tamara's opening comments. We'll not make formal earnings projections and so anything I say about the future might be wrong. Also we are assuming that we have a relatively healthy economy based on all the economic forecasts that I have seen, and that the Fed does not raise the interest rate in the immediate future. It might be helpful to look a little bit at the future by extrapolating from where we are today. Our primary challenges are continuing margin decline and increasing loan loss provisions. As Chris will discuss, we think we are near the bottom in terms of net interest income which is net interest margin, which is very good news. We do expect our performance and charge-offs to rise to a normal level but don’t expect any significant asset quality problems. From a positive side, we continue to have a healthy loan and deposit growth, although we are experiencing some slowing in the residential construction activity which will be continue to be a drag on the commercial loan growth. We still do expect reasonably good loan growth and deposit growth going forward. One of the good news is if our margins can stop declining, slower loan growth will actually turn into faster deposit growth. So our challenge has been the fact that our margins have been declining despite reasonable loan and deposit growth in the past. Our fee-income businesses are overall doing well. There are certainly some challenges in the insurance market, but we have a lot of momentum in our moving market, should insurance continue to do that. So we are pretty optimistic about healthy fee-income growth, going forward. Our expense control this year has been excellent and we are absolutely determined to continue that trend. We are working hard to drive our cash flow to efficiency ratio below 50%, which may take a while, but we are real focused on making that happen. That’s said, we are pleased with the second quarter results and are pretty optimistic about the remainder of 2007. Now let me turn it over to Chris to give you some insights in a little more depth in a number of areas.