John Duffy Sheehan
Analyst · Jefferies. Your line is open
Thanks John. Turning to slide 7, let me begin by reviewing our Q4 financial results. I would like to call your attention to our financial reporting structure. As you will notice consistently throughout 2020 we did not report adjusted financial results. Instead we are identifying specific financial callouts which impacted our Q4 reported results. Looking at the fourth quarter we achieved net sales slightly higher than our outlook from the beginning of the quarter. Throughout the quarter we saw our end markets continue to stabilize and improve. Overall, revenue of $787 million was down 11% year-over-year. For the quarter we recorded an operating profit of $32 million compared to adjusted operating profit of $36 million in the fourth quarter of last year. The overall operating profit resulted from revenues being down combined with $18 million of severance and restructuring charges primarily in our AWP segment. We achieved this positive operating result through disciplined cost control and adapting to the market environment. Our lower revenues impacted our gross margin and resulted in elevated SG&A as a percent to sales. Our aggressive cost reduction action allowed Terex to achieve an approximately 5% decremental margin in Q4. This decremental margin was achieved despite $5 million of gross profit charges primarily due to restructuring. In addition, SG&A was adversely impacted by $13 million primarily due to team member severance and restructuring. Excluding these charges operating profit was $49 million and Terex achieved an incremental margin of 13% in the quarter. The low operating income, interest and other expense was almost $10 million lower than Q4 of 2019 because of several factors including first, lower interest rates versus a year ago. Second, $4 million of investment income and third non-recurrence of $2 million in FX losses recognized in the prior year. Our 2020 global effective tax rate was approximately 18% compared to our previous estimate of 52%. During the fourth quarter there were a few discrete items benefiting our Q4 tax rate. Finally, our reported EPS of $0.21 per share includes the adverse operating impacts on gross profit and SG&A offset by the favorable benefits and other income that I just discussed. Turning to slide 8 on our segments financial results. AWP sales of $412 million contracted by 18% compared to last year driven by end markets in North America and Europe due to the impacts from the pandemic. The Aerial products market and our sales in China remain robust. The utilities market remained stable and improved during the quarter across end markets. We continue to aggressively manage production levels in Aerial products to ensure that we are not building excess inventory. During Q4 our Aerial products production was 16% lower than Q4, 2019. This continued aggressive production control allowed us to achieve almost $180 million reduction in Aerial products inventory levels year-over-year. AWP delivered flat operating margin in the quarter driven by aggressively right-sizing production and costs to align with end market demand. AWP achieved strong decremental market performance of 7% in the quarter which includes $11 million of charges for severance and restructuring. AWP fourth quarter bookings of $753 million were flat with pre-COVID Q4, 2019 levels while backlog at quarter end was $826 million, up 10% from the prior year. Now turning to materials processing. MP had another strong quarter achieving 15% operating margins as markets continued to improve. It is a testament to the MP team's operational strength to deliver these positive operating margins on revenues down 3%. Sales were lower at $366 million driven by caution yet improving customer sentiment. The MP team has been aggressively managing all elements of cost in a challenging market environment resulting in incremental margin performance of 82%. Backlog of $523 million was 59% higher than last year and up 81% sequentially. MP saw its businesses strengthened through the quarter with bookings up 53% year-over-year and up 76% sequentially. Customer sentiment in both segments continues to improve as equipment is being utilized and ordered for 2021. Turning to slide 9, overall 2020 demonstrated the resilience of our business and team members to deliver these results against a very challenging backdrop. Significant cost actions reducing SG&A by $82 million from 2019 helped deliver 21% decremental margin and beat our 25% target. In addition strong positive cash flow generation was helped by tightly managing networking capital and aligning production to demand. Turning to slide 10. When the pandemic arose in the first quarter we quickly refocused our investment initiatives and took the decisive action to reduce our overall cost structure through temporary and permanent actions and over the course of 2020, we instituted an SG&A cost reduction initiative not just in corporate but across the entire company. We always had SG&A target going back to our 2016 Analyst Day of 12.5% sales. As detailed on this slide we took a variety of actions to reduce our cost base. Whether it was moving our corporate headquarters, improving productivity and selectively rescaling investments, we scrutinized every possible expense. The result of these actions is that we were able to reduce our SG&A cost structure by more than $100 million for 2021 versus 2019 and delivered the improved results detailed in my earlier comments. These actions have enabled Terex to come into 2021 well-positioned to meet the 12.5% target. Turning to slide 11. Now I'd like to update you on how we currently anticipate 2021 to develop financially. It is important to realize we are operating in an unprecedented period and results could change negatively or positively. Disruptions associated with COVID whether it is team member absenteeism or supply chain disruptions could impact our outlook. With that said this outlook represents our best estimate as of today. Also consistent with 2020 we do not plan to report adjusted financial results in 2021. The outlook included on this chart includes all known income and costs but does exclude the impact of potential future acquisitions, divestitures, restructuring transformation or other unusual items. As we identify currently unknown income or costs we will identify them in our reported results. As for commercial demand we have seen our market stabilize and improve over the course of 2020. All other things being equal we do expect to see markets improve due to the global deployment of COVID-19 vaccine and AWP customers [indiscernible] replenishment. However, our guidance does not include any benefit from potential infrastructure legislation. We anticipate EPS of $1.95 to $2.35 per share based on sales of approximately $3.45 billion. From a quarterly perspective we expect revenues for the full year to be relatively evenly split between the first and second half of the year with the second quarter being the strongest of the year. We look forward to returning to year-over-year sales growth in the second quarter this year. Operationally the absolute amount of operating profit and operating margins are expected to increase each quarter year-over-year with slightly more operating profit in the second half of the year versus the first half of the year. Importantly, we are planning for and look forward to reporting incremental rather than decremental margins which meet or exceed our 25% target for full year 2021. Quarterly earnings per share are expected to be generally consistent with the development of operating profits during the year. Based upon global tax laws we expect a 2021 tax rate of 19%. We are monitoring potential changes to tax laws in the United States and around the globe and we will adjust our operational and tax strategies as required. For full year 2021 we are estimating free cash flow of approximately $100 million reflecting another year of positive cash generation. We do expect Q1 cash flow to be negative which is consistent with historical patterns. We also estimate capital expenditures net of asset dispositions will be approximately $90 million. Corporate and other costs are planned to occur relatively evenly throughout the year, although Q1 is expected to be slightly lower and Q2 slightly higher than the average. We continue to monitor development associated with the UK's exit from the European Union and do not expect any material impact. Now let me turn your attention to the operating margin which on the slide. We believe it is important that the investment community understand the key elements of our operating margin improvement in 2021. First, cost reinstatements represent the restoration of team members compensation after the reductions we enacted in 2020. It is important to pay team members competitively to retain our talent. Next, I would point out that positive volume and improved manufacturing efficiency will drive much of our margin improvement. Additionally, our SG&A cost reduction effort also provides significant improvement in our 2021 operating margin. Finally, we did have severance, restructuring and other charges in 2020 that are not expected to reoccur in 2021. I think together these operational improvements drive our 2021 operating margin guidance of approximately 7%. Turning to slide 12. Now I'll review our segment guidance. We expect the improved customer sentiment demonstrated by our Genie and utility customers to continue into 2021. AWP margins are expected to be positive each quarter of 2021 with incremental margins well above our targeted 25%. Materials processing is expected to continue its consistent operating performance delivering double-digit operating margins each quarter throughout 2021. Following the run-up in steel prices in 2018 we implemented a steel hedging program with respect to our Aerials North American [indiscernible] or HRC steel consumption. Approximately two-thirds of our Aerial steel consumption is HRC. You may be aware that there is not presently any forward market for hedging plate steel. During 2020 we purchased hedges for the predominant amount of our anticipated 2021 North American Aerial HRC requirements. The guidance we are providing today takes into account the steel hedging actions we took in 2020 as well as current steel prices for the remainder of our global steel requirements. Overall our 2021 guidance represents a dramatic improvement in operating performance when compared to 2020. The swift and decisive actions taken in 2020 enabled this outlook and we will continue to aggressively manage costs while positioning the business for growth. Turning to page 13, I'll review our discipline capital allocation strategy. We introduced our strategy back at our 2016 Analyst Day. It has served the company well during the pandemic and will enable us to grow in 2021. Our team members remain vigilant and will continue to aggressively manage production especially within our AWP segment and scrutinize every expenditure so we continue to generate strong, positive free cash flow. We have ample liquidity with greater than $1 billion available to us with no near-term debt maturity we can manage and grow the business. In 2021 we have entered into a partnership with a U.S. bank to provide financing solutions to our Genie customers. In connection with this arrangement last week the bank purchased approximately $100 million of our Terex financial services portfolio receivables. As a result of our strong liquidity position including the proceeds from the sale of the TFS on book portfolio we initiated this week the repayment of approximately $200 million in term loans reducing outstanding debt and lowering leverage. In Q1 we will recognize a corporate and other operating gains of 7 million in connection with the TFS sale and an interest and other charge of $2 million related to the repayment of the term loans. Neither this Genie or the charge is included in the financial guidance we are providing today. Turning to growth. We continue to invest in the business in 2020 at reduced levels and will continue to invest in 2021 with capital spending net of asset disposition of approximately $90 million. In 2020 we executed our strong and swift actions to right-size the business, so Terex can profitably grow in the future. We remain resolute in tightly managing production and SG&A. Our strong balance sheet an expected 2021 free cash flow generation allowed our board of directors to reinstate our quarterly dividend for 2021. The board has approved a Q1 dividend of $0.12 per share as we return cash to shareholders. Our earnings power and healthy capital position provides a strong foundation for us to manage and grow Terex. And with that I'll turn it back to you John.