Crystal Prystai
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Please, go ahead
Thanks, Jonathan. Starting with our financial results for Q1 on slide 8. We're pleased with the positive start to the year. We delivered strong financial performance in the quarter with strong commodity prices and steelmaking coal sales volumes. Adjusted EBITDA was $2 billion and adjusted profit attributable to shareholders was $930 million, or $1.78 per share on a diluted basis. We paid dividends of $0.625 per share in the quarter, representing a quarterly base dividend of $0.125 and a supplemental dividend of $0.50 per share. Additionally, in February, the Board authorized the purchase of up to $250 million of outstanding Class B shares. Turning now to slide 9. During the quarter, we significantly advanced our comparable strategy with the production of first bulk copper concentrate at QB2. We are just getting started on unlocking the tremendous value from QB, which is truly a world-class mine. We achieved a number of significant milestones in the quarter in the QB2 ramp-up. The desalination plant is operational and producing water, which is being delivered to the concentrator through the water pipeline. The primary crusher and conveyors are delivering ore to the stockpile. Commissioning of the grinding and flotation systems on Line 1 are ongoing. The tailings facility has received tailings from commissioning activities and the concentrate transport system is in pre-commissioning. We continue to expect to double our consolidated copper production in 2024 as QB2 is expected to reach full production rates at the end of this year. However, the result of the delay in the startup of Line 1 and recent foreign exchange impacts have put pressure on our project capital cost guidance. Significant efforts are ongoing to alleviate these cost pressures. However, total capital cost for the project could increase to US$8 billion to US$8.2 billion. Over 30% of the increase from our previously disclosed guidance relates to non-controllable foreign exchange impacts. Turning now to Slide 10 with the key highlights from our first quarter. We highlight the achievements on Slide 10 across all four pillars of our copper growth strategy in the first quarter. First, in addition to production of first copper at QB2, we meaningfully advanced the path to value for our other copper growth projects in our portfolio. In particular, we successfully closed two significant transactions relating to the joint venture partnerships for new range and San Nicolas.\ At the same time, we marked a step change towards the rebalancing of our portfolio of high-quality assets to low-carbon commodities with the closing of our previously announced sales of Quintette and our interest in Fort Hills. The latter completes our successful exit from the oil business. Third, and as I mentioned previously, we returned significant cash to shareholders through dividends and have authorization for 250 million of share buybacks. This reflects a distribution of 40% of the Fort Hills proceeds received in the first quarter. We continue to maintain a strong balance sheet with liquidity of $8 billion, including $2.6 billion of cash. And finally, we continue to build on our strong sustainability track record. We were honored to be recognized as one of the Global 100 most sustainable corporations by Corporate Knights for the fifth consecutive year, and we are pleased to be named to the Bloomberg Gender Equality Index for the sixth consecutive year. We've outlined the key drivers for our profitability on Slide 11. Adjusted EBITDA was $2 billion in the quarter and lower than the same period last year as a result of lower prices for our principal products. To a lesser extent, lower sales volumes for copper and zinc, and inflationary pressures on our unit costs also impacted EBITDA as compared to Q1 of last year. Inflationary cost pressures have moderated but continued to have an impact across our business units in the first quarter, as we expected would be the case when developing our 2023 annual cost guidance. Inflation impacted our operating cost by 6% when comparing to the same period last year. It is important to note that the primary drivers of cost increases are not related to key mining drivers such as mine productivity and strip ratio, which both remain relatively stable. We remain highly focused on managing our controllable operating expenditures, and our unit cost guidance is unchanged across our business units from our previously disclosed ranges for 2023. Turning to -- looking now at each of our business units in more detail and starting with copper on slide 12. Copper prices remained elevated despite the decline in the quarter, reflecting the continuing strong underlying market fundamentals. Copper production was lower than the same quarter last year, primarily due to harder ore and lower grades at Highland Valley and lower grades at Antamina as anticipated. An unexpected five-day suspension of operations at Antamina due to severe weather in late March impacted our Q1 production. Overall, full year production and unit cost guidance remain unchanged. Turning to zinc on slide 13. During the quarter, severe weather events impacted zinc concentrate production at Red Dog and refined zinc production at Trail. Additionally, Trail was impacted by unplanned maintenance as well as a 22-day shutdown for KIVCET boiler repairs. Both Red Dog and Trail have returned to stable operations by the end of the quarter. And looking forward, we expect Red Dog zinc in concentrate sales of 45,000 to 55,000 tonnes in the second quarter, reflecting the normal seasonality of our sales. Turning now to steelmaking coal on slide 14. Prices remained well above historic averages despite the decline in the quarter. Sales were 6.2 million tons within our guidance range and above the same quarter last year. Logistics chain performance continued to be impacted by the weather-related disruptions from the fourth quarter of last year, but had substantially recovered by the end of the first quarter. Our transportation costs in Q1 reflect higher rail rates and port costs as a result of increased utilization of third-party terminals. We expect transportation costs to normalize throughout the balance of the year, and our transportation unit cost guidance is unchanged for 2023. Looking forward, we expect Q2 sales of 6.2 million to 6.6 million tonnes as we complete the balance of deferred sales from the fourth quarter and reduce our clean coal inventories to normal levels. As illustrated on slide 15, our financial position remains very strong. Our liquidity is currently $8 billion, including $2.6 billion of cash. In the first quarter, we returned $321 million to shareholders through dividends and we reduced our debt levels by $144 million with the redemption of notes upon maturity in February. Our Board also authorized $250 million of share buybacks in February under our normal course issuer bid. Looking ahead, in accordance with our capital allocation framework, we remain focused on balancing our investment in growth against returning capital to shareholders while maintaining a strong balance sheet. And with that, I'll turn it back over to Jonathan.