Quinn P. Fanning
Analyst · Tudor, Pickering, and Holt
Thank you, Jeff. Good morning, everyone. First, I'll call your attention to the earnings press release that we put out this morning prior to the market's opening. We expect to file our annual report on Form 10-K through the Edgar Filing Service sometime before the close of business today. I intend to focus my comments on the quarter just completed and our near to intermediate-term outlook. As usual, I will also provide a recap of capital commitments and available liquidity. I'll then conclude my remarks with a few perspectives on the Troms's offshore transaction, which is not explicitly incorporated into the guidance that I will provide for the June quarter. As Jeff noted in his introductory remarks, we reported diluted earnings per common share of $0.95 in the March quarter, versus diluted earnings per common share of $0.61 for the December quarter, which again was net of $0.07 in the SERP settlement charge. Focusing on the big picture. Vessel revenue for the March quarter, at $325 million, was above the vessel revenue guidance range that I provided in February. Operating expenses, at $186 million, was below vessel operating expense guidance range that I provided and vessel operating margin, at approximately 43%, was about 3 percentage points better than the high-end of the range that I provided on our last call. As vessel deliveries and vessels and drydock are frequently key drivers of quarterly financial results, I'll note a couple of items for you in order to provide some additional context. First, incremental vessel revenue from 6 new vessels that were delivered in the March quarter and 5 vessels that were delivered in the December quarter totaled about $8 million in the March quarter. Demand for our new equipment remains very good across most geo markets, and the team has been reasonably effective at getting new vessels on charter at good rates. Second, as we discussed on recent earnings conference calls, it can be challenging for us to accurately forecast which vessels will be on or off charter for scheduled and unscheduled repairs and to require regulatory drydocks. It is also difficult to know precisely if such vessels will enter and leave the shipyard. So relative to our expectations at the time of our last earnings conference call, note that vessel revenue and vessel operating margin in the March quarter included a net benefit of a couple of million dollars related to drydocks, i.e. lost revenue due to vessels and drydock was a couple million dollars lower than we expected at the time of our last earnings conference call. Just as the cost of the individual drydock can be higher or lower than anticipated, recognize that lost revenue estimates can be impacted by the acceleration and deferral of drydocks and by drydocks that take greater or fewer number of days than was originally anticipated. To be clear, the drydocks that were deferred in the March quarter will eventually be done and they will likely to be done in the June quarter. When I get to it, our guidance will incorporate the best available information we have in regards to the impacts scheduled maintenance and repairs will have on the quarter. With these 2 points in mind, I have a couple of operating statistics for the March quarter. Active vessels, at 265 vessels, were up 2 vessels quarter-over-quarter. Utilization of the active fleet in the March quarter was a respectable 83% and was up modestly quarter-over-quarter. As discussed, utilization in the March quarter reflects a relatively high drydocking schedule, even after the deferral of a couple of drydocks. The March quarter's vessel utilization also reflects a modest drag associated with newly delivered vessels getting to their first job. I highlight this primarily to note that if vessel demand trends remain positive in fiscal '14, as we expect, we hope to realize a couple of points of additional utilization of the marketed fleet in the coming quarters. Average day rates for the active fleet, at $16,400 a day, were up about 7% quarter-over-quarter. Looking at the key asset classes. The deepwater class of vessels, which account for about 52% of consolidated fourth quarter vessel revenue and for which average active vessel count was up 3 vessels quarter-over-quarter to 80 vessels, utilization of active vessels was up about 6.5 percentage points quarter-over-quarter. For the towing-supply and supply class equipment, which was about 40% of consolidated fourth quarter vessel revenue and for which average active fleet count was flat quarter-over-quarter at 120 vessels, utilization of active vessels was off about 3 percentage points quarter-over-quarter. I would be a bit cautious in reading too much into the differences in quarter-over-quarter utilization trends for deepwater vessels, for which utilization was up quarter-over-quarter, and the towing-supply and supply vessels, for which utilization was down quarter-over-quarter. At least in my view, the quarterly trend reflects scheduled maintenance time and new vessel deliveries in the March quarter was more so than the possibility that the 2 asset classes are trending in opposite directions. In fact, except for scheduled and unscheduled maintenance, our sense is that demand is stable to improving and our expectation is that utilizations should remain high across all asset classes for fiscal '14 and perhaps beyond fiscal 2014. Average day rates for the active deepwater vessels were up about $600 or about 2% quarter-over-quarter. This trend is consistent with our expectation that average deepwater day rates will continue to trend up as vessels currently in the fleet roll on to new charters that are set at current market rates as we continue to take delivery of larger, higher spec vessels that will generally command higher day rates than the average day rates for our current fleet. Again, demand for deepwater vessels is good across geographies and we expect the recently observed trend in average deepwater day rates to continue through fiscal '14. Average day rates for the active towing-supply and supply fleet were up about $800 or about 6% quarter-over-quarter. The quarter-over-quarter trend in towing-supply and supply day rates, on the other hand, reflects a combination of rate increases in select geographic markets and only for certain sub classes of vessels. Towing-supply and supply day rates also reflect lump sum demobilization fees, which account for about 30% of the $800 quarter-over-quarter increase in average day rates. Our expectation remains that towing-supply and supply day rates will move up as the number of working jackup rigs moves up. However, I would characterize our efforts to increase towing-supply and supply day rates as more a work in progress than a mission accomplished. As a result, I will be a bit cautious in extrapolating the quarter-over-quarter average day rate trend that was observed in towing-supply and supply class in the March quarter, until we have a few more data points supporting the case for real rate traction. I can assure you, however, that we are working hard to push rates when there is an opportunity to do so. Turning to vessel operating costs. Vessel OpEx for the March quarter was about $186 million, versus about $181 million in the December quarter, which, as previously noted, was below my guidance in February. Repair and maintenance expense at about $36.5 million was up slightly quarter-over-quarter but was generally consistent with where we were projecting R&M costs at the time of our last earnings conference call, reflecting, generally, offsetting effects of deferred drydocks and the combination of accelerated drydocks, emergency repairs and cost increases on drydocks that were already process. Crew costs were up quarter-over-quarter by about $3 million, yet we're still below our expectations at the time of our last earnings conference call in February. Our expectation, of course, is that crew cost will trend upward with fleet growth. For reference, Tidewater's crew cost, as a percentage of vessel revenue, was 29% in fiscal '13, although that percentage varies quite significantly across our 4 regions. Finally, as expected, insurance and loss costs, at about $4.2 million, were down about $3 million quarter-over-quarter, largely reflecting higher cost in the December quarter related to the Nanotide incident. Going forward, quarterly insurance and lost cost should be reasonably close to the quarterly average in fiscal 2013 of about $5 million a quarter. Overall vessel-level cash operating margin for the March quarter was $139 million or about 43% of vessel revenue. Looking at our geographic reporting segments. For the large Sub-Saharan Africa and Europe segment, which accounted for about 48% of consolidated fourth quarter vessel revenue. Vessel revenue was up a better-than-expected 14% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting a combination of additional vessels in the region, higher average day rates and better-than-expected utilization, due in part to the previously referenced deferral of drydocks. For the Americas segment, which accounted for about 25% of consolidated fourth quarter vessel revenue, vessel revenue was off modestly quarter-over-quarter but was generally consistent with our expectations. For the smaller Asia-Pacific and MENA segments, each of which accounted for about 13% of fourth quarter consolidated vessel revenue, the quarter-over-quarter vessel revenue trend was positive. For Asia Pacific, vessel revenue was up about 6% quarter-over-quarter with particularly good growth in Australia. In our MENA region, vessel revenue was up very modestly quarter-over-quarter, but the region experienced very good year-over-year growth, largely as a result of successfully scaling up our business in Saudi Arabia over the last couple of years. Vessel margins for the March quarter for all but the Americas segment were about 40%. And with the exception of the better-than-expected performance in Sub-Saharan Africa in the March quarter, all 4 regions generally performed in a manner consistent with expectations. Below the vessel operating margins, shipping expense for the March quarter, at about $47 million, was up quarter-over-quarter, reflecting both higher professional services costs and higher compensation costs. A portion of the increased compensation expenses attributable to the higher share price at March 31 and a portion of the increased cost is attributable to incentive compensation tied to better financial and safety results than was assumed in our expense accruals through December 31. Also worth noting in the March quarter was a $3.6 million foreign exchange gain related to the February devaluation of the Venezuelan bolivar. If this is counterintuitive to those on the call, recall that at the time of the nationalization of our business in Venezuela in fiscal 2010, we wrote off long-lived assets and we took 100% provision for potentially uncollectible accounts receivable of PDVSA and its affiliates. As a result, our Venezuelan operations are presently carried under our consolidated financial statements as a net liability. The devaluation of the bolivar has the effect of reducing financial statement value for bolivar-denominated liabilities. Finally, our effective tax rate for fiscal 2013 was a bit less than 23%, which was a couple of percentage points lower than the guidance that was provided in February. The lower tax rate can be largely attributed to the previously referenced foreign exchange gain, which there is no associated tax expense and better-than-expected pretax results and lower tax rate jurisdictions including Africa and Australia. The effective tax rate for the March quarter also reflects a reversal of an over accrual of tax expense through the first 9 months of the fiscal year. Turning to our outlook. We continue to expect that the newer vessels within both the deepwater and the towing-supply and supply classes of equipment will continue to experience high utilization, positively or negatively impacted by the timing of drydocks. We expect that average deepwater day rates will continue to trend positive as vessels roll to charters reflecting current market conditions, whereas near-term day rate traction in the towing-supply and supply class equipment will likely require further improvements from the jackup market, which, from our perspective, already appears to be occurring. As to prospective fleet count, we took delivery of 6 new vessels in the March quarter. Based on commitments as of March 31, we expect to take delivery of 3 additional vessels in the June quarter, including one large deepwater PSV and 2 crewboats. There is also a good chance that the Troms offshore transaction can close before June 30, but I am excluding additional vessels related to the Troms transaction from these numbers. To the extent that the Troms transaction closes in the June quarter, we will, of course, highlight all financial statement effects of the transaction on our next earnings conference call. In this context, internal estimates currently peg the June quarter's vessel revenue somewhere between the $320 million and $330 million, reflecting slow and steady improvement from a solid March quarter despite the fact that we may be contending with drydock-related headwinds for a couple of quarters. Based also on what we know today, OpEx for the June quarter will probably fall within the range of $195 million and $200 million, reflecting incremental OpEx related to new vessel deliveries and higher estimated costs for planned repairs and maintenance and regulatory drydockings. It may be helpful to note that quarterly repair and maintenance expense in fiscal '13 averaged about $33 million. Individual quarters were as high as $36.5 million and as low as $27.2 million. With the growth and increased complexity of the fleet, on average, we would expect quarterly repair and maintenance expense to be 10% to 15% higher in fiscal 2014 than it was in fiscal 2013. As was the case in fiscal '13, we could also find that individual quarters could be 15% or 20% higher or lower than the quarterly average for the fiscal year. I'll also note that our current expectations are that the repair and maintenance costs in the first half of the fiscal year will be higher than the second half of the fiscal year. While I'll try to incorporate the most current information that is available to me in my quarterly OpEx guidance, I'll note that a $5 million quarter-to-quarter swing in R&M costs is well within what I would expect to be ordinary course volatility. In any event, based on the vessel revenue and OpEx guidance range just provided, vessel operating margin for the June quarter should be somewhere between 38% and 41%, although I personally feel that the June vessel margins will be in the upper half of this margin percentage range. In addition, vessel margins are expected to move up as fiscal 2014 progresses given our positive fundamental outlook, expected fleet additions and an expectation that drydocking activity will be lower in the second half of the year than in the first half of the year. Again, the timing of drydocks can and will result in quarter-to-quarter volatility. In terms of our expectations for relative performance by region, note that the Sub-Saharan Africa and Europe region has a particularly heavy drydock schedule in the first half of fiscal '14 and this will weigh a bit on the region's vessel operating margins. Within the Americas region, our Brazil area will also likely lag the other areas within the region for a quarter or 2, as the area prepares vessels for a handful of multi-year contracts that were recently approved by Petrobras. Despite the near-term costs and downtime, the rates achieved for this equipment are very good rates, in our view. Other areas within the America segment, including U.S. Gulf of Mexico, are expected to continue to perform well to pick up the slack in the region in the near term. As a result, we expect overall result in the Americas region to be good throughout fiscal '14. Going forward, general and administrative expenses should be in the area of $44 million or $45 million per quarter. A safe assumption for fiscal '14 effective tax rate is 23% or 24%. As always, the geographic mix of pretax earnings and margin trends can cause the tax rate to be volatile on a quarter-to-quarter basis. To quickly summarize Tidewater's current financial profile, cash flow from operations for fiscal '13 was $214 million. CapEx and proceeds from asset dispositions for the fiscal year were approximately $441 million and approximately $27 million, respectively. We also spent $85 million in fiscal '13 to acquire about $1.9 million Tidewater shares at an average price of just under $46 per share. As you probably saw, last week the Tidewater board approved a new $200 million share buyback authorization, which is effective from July 1, 2013, through June 30, 2014. This latest authorization is essentially reset in continuation of the current authorization, which is set to expire on June 30, 2013. New vessel commitments made in the March quarter totaled $193 million from 9 vessels, including 6 deepwater PSVs and 3 towing-supply and supply vessels. One of which was a vessel purchase that we closed in February. In total, unfunded vessel commitments at March 31 approximated $600 million, including 30 vessel construction projects and 2 vessel purchase commitments. Total debt at March 31 was about $1 billion and cash at 3/31 was about $41 million. As a result, net debt at year end was approximately $959 million and net debt-to-net book capital at 3/31 was about 27%. Total liquidity at 3/31, including availability under the committed bank facilities was approximately $400 million. At the funding needs, CapEx in the June quarter is expected to be about $100 million based on commitments as of March 31. Over and above CapEx related to commitments as of 3/31, an additional $200 million in cash will likely be required in the June quarter in order to close the acquisition of Troms, including our making the final payment on the fifth Troms vessel, which we expect to be delivered essentially concurrent with closing. Note that we will also assume approximately $150 million of Troms's debt upon closing. To wrap things up, I'll note that we think about the Troms offshore acquisition as being closely linked to our December agreement to acquire 3 Norwegian-built deepwater PSVs from STX Pan Ocean. Two of the STX Pan Ocean vessels were delivered in recent months, as Jeff noted, and the third vessel is expected to be delivered in our second fiscal quarter. Without an allocation of purchase price and non-vessel assets, our implied cost for the 7 Troms vessels, which include one option vessel and the 3 STX Pan Ocean vessels, is about $58 million per vessel. New build pricing for comparable equipment is likely in the $60 million to $65 million area, with a best case delivery likely in late 2014 or early 2015. Our overall estimated cost per deadweight ton is approximately $12,000. Depending upon your day rate assumptions, the combined value of the 2 transactions, would likely fall within a range of 6.5x to 7.5x fully delivered EBITDA. As Jeff noted, we think that the Troms offshore transaction will add much more to the Tidewater global franchise and it ships an incremental EBITDA, but I personally am very comparable that the economics are compelling on a standalone basis. At closing, which is expected to be in our first fiscal quarter, we will likely use currently available credit facilities to fund the cash portion of the purchase price. While we are still evaluating current financing alternatives, we expect that the Troms transaction and other planned CapEx will be funded with operating cash flow and a mix of bank and other debt arrangements. Importantly, we believe that our financing plan will allow us to continue to maintain strong investment-grade type credit metrics. As such, we have no plans for secondary offering of common stock in connection with the Troms offshore transaction or to otherwise raise traditional equity capital. While we still have work to do on purchase accounting, integration planning and the like, based on our operating estimates and financing plan, our expectation is that these 2 complementary transactions will be modestly accretive to earnings and cash flow. And with that, I'll turn the call back over to Jeff.