Steve Campbell
Analyst · Simon Flannery with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open
Thank you, Mike and good morning everyone. I want to talk first about postpaid handset connections shown on Slide 8. Postpaid handset gross additions for the second quarter were 102,000, down from 111,000 a year ago. Ken talked about the factors influencing these results in his comments earlier. Postpaid handset net additions for the second quarter were negative 11,000; down from 5,000 last year, driven by the decline in gross additions and slightly higher churn. On a sequential basis, handset gross and net additions were both about the same. We continue to have existing handset customers upgrading from feature phones to smartphones. Including the upgrades total smartphone connections increased by 10,000 during the second quarter, and by 104,000 over the course of the past year; that helps to drive more service revenue given that ARPU for a smartphone is about $22 more than ARPU for a featured. Next, I want to comment on the postpaid churn rate shown on Slide 9. Postpaid handset churn depicted by the blue bars was 0.97% for the second quarter of 2018, with only small variations compared with the year earlier and sequential quarter results. In fact, handset churn has been right at/or below 1% for several consecutive quarters, which is indicative of high customer satisfaction. Total postpaid churn combining handsets and connected devices also has been consistently low over the period shown; it was 1.23% for the second quarter and has been trending down slightly for the past couple of quarters. Now let's turn to the financial results. Total operating revenues for the second quarter were $973 million, essentially flat year-over-year. Retail service revenues increased by 2% year-over-year to $662 million; the increase was due largely to higher average revenue per user which I'll cover in more detail on the next slide. Inbound roaming revenue was $44 million; that was an increase of 13% year-over-year driven by higher data volume. Equipment sales revenues decreased by $17 million or about 7% year-over-year; this was driven by a decrease in the number of devices sold. The impact of reduced volume was partly offset by an increase in the average revenue per device sold. We're continuing to see that customers are holding on to their devices for increasingly longer periods driving the number of device transactions lower. Just as we said last quarter, equipment sales have continued to fall short of our expectations coming into the year causing us to again adjust our thinking about full year revenues. Now few more comments about postpaid revenue shown on Slide 11. The average revenue per user or connection was $45.90 for the second quarter, up $1.16 or 3% year-over-year; that increase was driven by several factors including a shift in device mix to smartphones, increased device protection revenue, and the shift in service plan mix to the higher price plans. 32% of our postpaid connections are now on unlimited plans versus 20% a year ago. Partly offsetting these increases was a decrease in universal support fund revenues resulting from the FCC's December 2018 rolling that revenues from text and multimedia messaging services are no longer assessable under the universal support fund. As a result, this year U.S. cellular stopped charging customers and is no longer paying the FCC USF fees on these revenue streams. Because the change also affected general and administrative expense by a like amount, it is neutral to earnings. Looking through the change, ARPU on a comparable basis increased by $1.49 year-over-year versus the reported increase of $1.16, a pretty strong result. On a per account basis, average revenue grew by just under 1% year-over-year. And excluding the USF impact I just mentioned, ARPU would have grown by 1.5% year-over-year. So let's move next to our profitability measures. First, I want to comment on adjusted operating income before depreciation, amortization and accretion, and gains and losses. To keep things simple, I'll refer to this measure as adjusted operating income. As shown at the bottom of the slide, adjusted operating income was $212 million, up 4% from a year ago. Correspondingly, the margin as a percent of total operating revenues increased by about a percentage point from 21% to 22%. For those watching service revenue margins, the current quarter number was 28%, consistent with the prior year. As I commented earlier, total operating revenues of $973 million were essentially flat year-over-year as a result of a decrease in equipment sales revenues. Total cash expenses were $761 million, down $8 million or about 1% year-over-year. The primary driver was a decrease in cost of equipment sold due to a decrease in the number of devices sold, partially offset by higher average cost per device sold. Excluding cost of equipment sold, other cash expenses increased slightly year-over-year by $8 million or 2%, similar to the increase in service revenues. Total system operations expense of $193 million was up 3% year-over-year reflecting higher usage by customers, both on our network and while roaming. SG&A expenses were essentially flat year-over-year. Shown next is adjusted EBITDA which starts with adjusted operating income and incorporates the earnings from our equity method investments along with interest and dividend income. Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter was $257 million, up 3% from the year ago. Most of the improvement is due to the increase in adjusted operating income. We also had an increase in interest and dividend income year-over-year reflecting both higher interest rates and investment balances. Adjusted operating income and adjusted EBITDA do not include depreciation, amortization and accretion expense. In connection with the network modernization in 5G initiatives that Mike discussed earlier, we are upgrading several of the network equipment elements; this results in the recognition of accelerated depreciation on the assets being replaced. As shown in our press release; depreciation, amortization and accretion expense for the first half of 2019 is up about 8% year-over-year, and we expect that trend to continue for the remainder of the year. Next I want to cover our guidance for the full year 2019. First, is total operating revenues; getting underneath that we expect service revenues for the full year to grow at about the same rate that we've seen in the first half, low single digits. However, as I said earlier, equipment sales revenues so far this year have been below our expectations coming into the year. We haven't seen the lift in gross additions that we would like, and our existing customers are holding their devices for increasingly longer periods. Therefore, we've reduced our expectation for equipment sales revenues for the full year, and as a result, we currently expect total operating revenues to be in the range of $3.9 billion to $4.1 billion. The expected reduction in equipment sales revenues will have a corresponding reduction to cost of equipment sold, and thus a negligible impact on adjusted operating income and adjusted EBITDA. Therefore the guidance for those two measures is unchanged at $725 million to $875 million, and $900 million to $1.05 billion now. The guidance for capital expenditures, also is unchanged, still at range of $625 million to $725 million. Now I'll turn the call over to Vicki Villacrez. Vicki?