Steve Campbell
Analyst · Raymond James. Please go ahead with your question
Good morning, everyone. I'm going to begin with a few comments on our customer results for the quarter shown on Slide 6 of the presentation. As Ken said, during the third quarter we continued to grow our customer base. Postpaid gross additions for the third quarter 2015 were 200,000 compared to 251,000 a year ago, when we saw higher switching activity across the industry. Gross additions for the third quarter were actually very consistent with our results during the first half of the year, up 5% sequentially and at the same level as the first quarter. Postpaid net additions of 17,000 also were consistent with the levels achieved in the preceding two quarters and reflected the benefit of continuing low postpaid churn. This quarter, postpaid churn was 1.41% down from 1.59% last year. I'll say more about postpaid churn in a minute. In the prepaid category, we had 12,000 net additions versus 2,000 net losses last year. Gross additions were up about 11% and churn improved also. It was 5.2% this quarter versus 6.3% a year ago. The mix of our postpaid gross and net additions in the third quarter shown at the bottom of this slide. Similar to the past few quarters, the postpaid additions were primarily data centric devices like smartphones and connected devices especially tablets. Smartphones represented 60% of total gross additions. Connected devices represented 34% of gross additions and translated into 39,000 net additions. The next slide has a chart showing the trend in the postpaid churn rate over the past nine quarters. Churn peaked at 2.29% in the first quarter of 2014 and has continued on a steady downward trend since that time decreasing to 1.41% for the third quarter in 2015. As stated earlier, our gross additions consist primarily of data centric devices with smartphones being the latest component. To shed further light on that activity Slide 8 shows the positive trends in smartphones sales and penetration. During the third quarter, we sold 522,000 smartphones which represented 87% of total handsets sold. This drove smartphone penetration to 72% of our base postpaid handset customers, up from 62% a year ago. So at the end of the third quarter, we still had about 28% of our postpaid customers with basic phones and we're working aggressively to upgrade these customers to smartphones and thereby drive additional data usage revenue. During the third quarter, we also sold 72,000 connected devices. As Ken said, along with a higher penetration for smartphones and connected devices. We are also seeing more customers adopt, our shared connect data plans. The penetration on these plans is now 72%, up from just 35% a year ago. Getting more customers on data centric devices and shared data plans is critical to our strategy of monetizing to growth in data usage. The next slide in the presentation illustrates just how much data usage has continue to grow over the past seven quarters, in terms of both total system usage and on a per subscriber basis. I should point out that the average usage per subscriber shown here reflects all data subscribers including those using connected devices. For smartphone users only, the average usage totalled 1,760 megabytes this quarter versus 1,560 megabytes a year ago. We're seeing net usage to have a positive impact on revenue. Postpaid ARPU as reported was $58.12 for the third quarter, up 3% year-over-year. Excluding the impact of the rewards points expiration, which was $4.48 postpaid ARPU was $53.64 down about 5%. However, there are a lot of moving parts that affect ARPU. Some positive like the significant growth in data usage and some negative like the industry price competition. Notably, with the introduction of equipment instalment plans. We've seen an industry wide shift in some revenue from service plan to revenue to equipment revenue. When we normalize for that shift by combining ARPU and Equipment Instalment Plan or EIP billings, we see that the year-over-year change is actually an increase of about 3%, not a decrease of 5%. There is a similar effect for average revenue per account excluding the impact of the rewards points expiration. Average revenue per account was $135.66 up 2%, but when we consider the EIP billings, the increase is actually about 11% year-over-year. Going on to total operating revenues, which for the third quarter excluding the one-time the rewards program impact of $58 million were just over $1 million, up 1% year-over-year. The major factor in the increase was equipment sales revenues, which grew 16% to $173 million driven by higher equipment instalment plan sales and accessory sales. Service revenues were $838 million about 2% below the prior year level. Largely reflecting lower plan pricing due to industry competition as well as the planned discounts that accompany EIP sales and activations of customer-owned equipment. The other significant item contributing to the reduction in service revenues was roaming revenue, which declined by $8 million or 11% primarily due to lower rates on data usage. Note however, that we also realized a benefit from lower rates on our outbound data roaming traffic. Total expense for outbound roaming increased by about 4% year-over-year due to a significant increase in data usage, but reflects a $12 million benefit associated with lower rates on that usage. ETC revenues included in the other category on this slide, were flat year-over-year at $23 million as the FCC's phase down of Universal Service Fund support remains suspended. Our overall financial performance for the quarter was quite strong as shown on Slide 12. Operating cash flow was $208 million as reported. Where $150 million excluding the one-time rewards program adjustment. Even as adjusted operating cash flow was up $55 million or 58% over the last year. Several factors contributed to that overall improvement. First, as I just discussed total operating revenues grew by an adjusted 1% year-over-year. Total cash expenses of $861 million decreased by $44 million or 5% year-over-year. System operations expense was flat to last year. Cost of equipment sold held by $21 million or 7% driven by decreases in both unit sold and average cost. SG&A expense fell by $23 million or 6% due to lower sales commission on reduced volume, lower consulting and outsourcing cost related to the impacts of the billing system conversion on last year and lower roaming administration fees. This slide also highlights our adjusted operating performance for the quarter. As you see at the bottom of the slide. Operating income excluding the non-recurring items in both periods improved from a loss of $54 million last year to essentially a breakeven position, this year. Adjusted EBITDA shown next incorporates the earnings from our equity method partnerships along with imputed interest income from the EIP transactions. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $257 million or $199 million excluding the rewards program impact. Up $64 million or 47% from $135 million last year, driven largely by the increase in operating cash flow. Earnings from unconsolidated entities were $40 million including $19 million from the LA Partnership. As we disclosed last quarter, we were informed by the general partner of the LA Partnership that the general partner and the LA Partnership entered into a transaction, with respect to a spectrum license in the LA Partnerships market acquired by the general partner in FCC Auction 97. We also were informed by the general partner that cash distributions from the LA Partnership will be suspended until the general partner has been paid for the spectrum license. Accordingly, we do not expect to receive a cash distribution in 2015, by comparison we received cash distributions of approximately $60 million during the full year of 2014. Cash distributions from the LA Partnership do not affect the measurements of either operating cash flow or adjusted EBITDA nor where the reduction in the cash distribution for 2015 having material effect on U.S. Cellular's liquidity or financial flexibility. Our estimates for full year 2015 financial results are shown on Slide 14 of the presentation. These estimates include the impact of the one-time rewards program adjustment. For total operating revenues, we now expect approximately $4 billion for the year. This reflects somewhat lower customer growth and lower EIP participation than previously expected. For operating cash flow, we're increasing the overall guidance while narrowing the range from $100 million to $80 million. The current estimate is $540 million to $620 million. This increase incorporates the impact of the rewards program termination. Yet also balances the positive performance that we've had so far this year, with the fact that we still have an intensely competitive market, with a lot of pricing uncertainty, along with the expectation that we will need to be as Ken said earlier appropriately aggressive this holiday season to achieve our subscriber growth base. The changes for operating cash flow, carry through to guidance for adjusted EBITDA. Where the current estimate is $710 million to $790 million. Capital expenditures are still expected to be approximately $600 million. Next I want to make, just a couple of brief comments about U.S. Cellular's balance sheet and liquidity. Overall, the balance sheet is in good shape, as of September 30, cash and equivalents totalled $597 million up $385 million from a year end level. In addition to the existing cash and equivalents, we have about $282 million of unused borrowing capacity under our revolving credit agreement. We believe that these resources together with expected cash flows from operating and investing activities provide sufficient liquidity and financial flexibility to meet our day-to-day operating needs and debt service requirements for the foreseeable future. However, these resources may not be adequate to fund all future expenditures that we could potentially elect to make, such as purchases of spectrum licenses in FCC Auctions or other acquisitions. It may be necessary from time-to-time to increase the size of the existing revolving credit facility to issue new debt or to obtain other forms of financing in order to fund these potential expenditures. This will be a consideration as we assess our potential participation in FCC Auction 1000 scheduled for early 2016. I'll mention here, that as of September 30 accounts receivable related to equipment instalment plans totalled approximately $310 million. These receivables represent another source of financing, if needed. And now I'll turn the call over to Vicki Villacrez to discuss TDS Telecom. Vicki?