Steve Scheppmann
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead
Thanks, Mike. As a reminder currency movement continues to create a significant headwind on reported year-over-year revenue comparisons, 6 percentage points were total revenue and consequently negatively impacting EPS. Since currency had such a big impact I will discuss revenue changes in constant currency and you can find the reported information in our earnings release. Teradata reported revenue of $606 million in the third quarter which was lower than what we were expecting. Revenue was down 3%. Services revenue grew 6% as we had anticipated, but product revenue declined 14% in the quarter. We continue to experience the same headwinds we have been discussing for the past several quarters. Within services revenue consulting services revenue was up 5% and maintenance services revenue was up 7%. Turning to our segment results for Q3, the data analytics division saw revenue of $557 million which was a decline of 4%. Within data and analytics revenue for the Americas was down 8% while international was up 4%. International's results were led by overall growth and our Asia-Pacific Japan area, with China and Japan growing around 20%, as well as the UK up 25%. Big data revenue, excluding our 1000 series which are a part of larger deal sizes and therefore tend to create variability when comparing quarters, continued its strong growth in Q3. And we continue to add new big data customers at a rapid rate. Our big data revenue was up 75% in Q3. Our big data consulting services revenue which includes Think Big, was up 30% on a pro forma basis in the quarter and is expected to be approximately the same rate for the year. Turning to our marketing application segment, revenue of $49 million was flat which is an improvement over Q1 and Q2 which both were down period over period. Within that our digital marketing cloud had strong growth at 22%. Recurring revenue and annual recurring revenue which are key metrics for this business, each grew and improved over Q1 and Q2 of this year. During my discussion today, except where otherwise noted, I will be addressing margin expenses on a non-GAAP basis which excludes stock-based compensation and special items, including impairment, acquisition related, restructuring integration and other special items identified in our earnings release. Product gross margin in the third quarter was 60.4% compared to 60.9% in Q3 2014. The lower than normal product gross margin was driven by lower product revenue. Services gross margin in the quarter was 46.7% compared to 48.3% in Q3 2014. The year-over-year decline was primarily due to investments in the big data consulting capabilities and lower margins in the marketing applications consulting services. Year to date, services gross margin was 45.8% compared to 47.1% for the same period 2014. Overall gross margin was 52.1% in the third quarter compared to 53.8% in third quarter 2014. Year to date overall gross margin was 52% versus 54.9% in 2014. Turning to operating expense, SG&A expense of $165 million was down $4 million from the third quarter of 2014 and down at $14 million sequentially, reflecting the expected early benefit of cost-reduction initiatives that are estimated to show up to a greater extent in 2016. Research and development expense in the quarter was $44 million, up 10% from the third quarter 2014. Although we're continuing to invest for the future of Teradata we're also rationalizing and realigning the spending. We now expect our R&D expense for the year to increase between 10% to 15% versus the 25% planned earlier in the year, even though investing in R&D road map continues to be a key strategic initiative for Teradata. Total R&D spend for the third quarter which includes R&D expense plus the additions to capitalized software development cost from the cash flow statement, less the capitalization of internally developed software, was $63 million as compared to $58 million in Q3 2014. Total expenses in the third quarter were $209 million, the same as Q3 2014. As a result of all these items, operating margin for the quarter was 17.7%, in line with our expectations but lower than the 22.5% operating margin in Q3 2014. Our non-GAAP effective tax rate for the third quarter was 25.7% in line with the 26% non-GAAP tax rate in Q3 2014. On a year to date basis our non-GAAP effective tax rate was 26.9% versus 28.1% for the same period in 2014. The reduction of the effective rate year over year is a result of a more favorable earnings mix period over period. We're currently forecasting our full-year non-GAAP effective tax rate to be approximately 27% which assumes that the U.S. R&D tax credit will be reinstated retroactively for 2015, before December 31, 2015. If the credit is not reinstated by December 31, 2015, it would increase our non-GAAP effective tax rate by approximately 200 basis point in the fourth quarter and 75 basis points for the full-year 2015. In terms of earnings per share, our Q3 GAAP EPS was $0.55 compared to $0.60 in Q3 2014. Adjusting for stock-based compensation and other special items which offset each other in the third quarter as a gain from an equity investment offset the special items, our non-GAAP EPS was $0.55 compared to $0.71 in Q3 2014. Turning to cash flow, net cash provided by operating activities was $68 million in Q3 2015 versus $102 million in the third quarter of 2014. The decrease in cash from operations for Q3 2015 over 2014 was primarily a result of the reduction in net income. Year to date, cash from operating activities was $370 million versus $583 million generated during the same period in 2014. In the third quarter, we had $35 million of capital expenditure's included capitalized software versus $36 million in the third quarter of 2014, resulting in free cash flow of $33 million versus the $66 million generated in Q3 2014. Free cash flow for the first nine months was $276 million versus $489 million generated during the same period in 2014. We still expect our 2015 full-year free cash flow to be up to $50 million higher than GAAP net income, excluding the impact from impairment and gains on equity investments. Moving on to the balance sheet, we had $874 million of cash as of September 30, 2015. This is down from $921 million at the end of the second quarter of 2015. Of the $874 million of cash, approximately 5% was held in the U.S. as we continued to utilize our domestic free cash flow for share repurchases. During the third quarter we bought approximately 8.5 million shares of our stock for approximately $250 million. As of September 30, we had approximately $667 million of share repurchase authorization remaining under our general share repurchase program. At the end of the third quarter we had $710 million of debt on the balance sheet as we borrowed $110 million on our $400 million revolving credit facility to fund share repurchases. With respect to accounts receivable, as of September 30, 2015, accounts receivable decreased $36 million compared to the same date in 2014 due to lower volume, but we're only down $3 million in constant currency. Days sales outstanding was 69 days at September 30, 2015 compared to 70 days as of September 30, 2014. Total deferred revenue was $401 million as of September 30, 2015, up 5% in constant currency from September 30, 2014. Turning to guidance, we're lowering our expectations for the full-year 2015 revenue to be flat to down 2% on a constant currency basis or down 6% to 8% as reported. Correspondingly, full-year non-GAAP EPS is now expected to be in the range of $2 to $2.20. On a GAAP basis we expect to report a loss in $0.51 to $0.71 range. I do want to point out that our revised full-year guidance does not reflect our intent to exit the marketing applications business. We will provide the financial details of the marketing applications business as well as the go-forward Teradata financials when we announce our Q4 results. We're finalizing exactly what portion of the marketing applications business will remain with Teradata since there is some application business, approximately 20% of the marketing applications revenue, that is related to Teradata's data and analytics business which we expect to retain. In order to give you some context of the future changes in Teradata's financials, excluding marketing applications there is approximately $160 million of annualized revenue associated with the exited business which has a gross margin of approximately 40%. There is approximately $100 million-plus of associated operating expenses associated with the business. As Mike highlighted, in addition to our intent to market exit the market applications business, we have commenced developing meaningful cost rationalization and realignment action plans to not only improve our financial performance but also to better align with the evolving market. All of these actions that will be developed and implemented as a part of this transformational process are currently estimated to have a target benefit to 2016 operating income of approximately $120 million. Although our plans are still being developed, within this estimating operating income benefit target, total operating expense reduction for 2016 versus 2015 total operating expenses, inclusive of TMA, is currently estimated to be in the range of $180 million to $200 million. The annualized estimate of cost savings associated with the transformational initiatives that we're developing that excludes marketing applications, is expected to be in the range of $80 million to $100 million. To be clear, these are our best estimates of the benefits from these transformational action items. In 2016 we will still have some year-over-year cost increases such as variable compensation and salary increases. We're not providing absolute guidance on the amount of operating income for 2016 as specific plans are still being developed. Regarding 2016 and beyond, we're working on a financial road map which include estimates associated with revenue generation via different consumption models which we see currently as largely incremental in the shorter term. This is currently a work in process. We will provide more information and context regarding this road map when we provide our Q4 full-year 2015 results. Teradata will provide its expectations for 2016 revenue and EPS in its fourth quarter earnings call. Until that time, previous commentary by the Company regarding 2016 should not be relied upon. I will turn the call back to Mike for some closing comments.