Michael F. Koehler
Analyst · CLSA
Good morning, and thanks for joining us today. This morning, I'll be providing comments focused on our top line revenue results for Q3 and for the full year, comments on some of the headwinds we are currently facing and the longer-term view of our business. Then Steve will provide more color on the financials for Q3 and for the full year. Total revenue of $666 million in Q3 was up 3% and up 5% in constant currency over prior year. This was below the 10% constant currency growth we had expected for the quarter, as well as for the second half of 2013. Looking at our revenue results by region. First, the Americas reported Q3 revenue of $409 million, which was up 7% and was less than the low-double digits growth we had expected. The U.S. grew revenue 8%, which was in line with our forecast. We had expected an increase in revenue outside the U.S., but had a decline, which is what triggered [ph] our shortfall in the Americas. However, given that our Q3 pipeline and the number of large opportunities was up from what we had going into Q2 in the U.S., we thought we had an excellent opportunity for upside to help mitigate risk elsewhere. Unfortunately, as we moved further into the quarter, we had some customers and industry verticals report economic challenges. This caused some opportunities to not only get pushed out of the quarter, but also out into 2014. Looking ahead to Q4, the Americas has another good pipeline. The pipeline has been growing sequentially each quarter this year, but we are more cautious as to how much of it will close given what happened in Q3. As a result, we have lowered our revenue expectations for Q4 in the Americas to be roughly flat versus prior year. Turning to our international region. Q3 revenue of $257 million was down 2% and flat in constant currency. We were expecting revenue growth to be mid- to high-single digits in constant currency. EMEA's revenue in Q3 grew 10% and 9% in constant currency and within that, Europe's 13% revenue growth was in line with forecasts, but Middle East and Africa had a revenue decline of 19%, which was more than we had anticipated. In addition, APJ had a revenue decline of 21% and 10% in constant currency versus prior year. We had expected APJ to be roughly flat in constant currency versus prior year's Q3, but missed mainly due to shortfalls in China and in Japan. We knew APJ would be challenged going into the quarter by the tough prior year comparison, when revenue grew 16% in constant currency, and in China when revenue grew by more than 50% in Q3 last year. Regarding Q4, we are looking for international revenue growth to be low-single digits in constant currency. We should continue to see good revenue growth in EMEA, but also some revenue declines in parts of APJ. In summary, Q3 revenue came in as expected in the U.S. and Europe, which grew a combined 10%, and 9% in constant currency. And we did lower than expected outside of the U.S. and Europe, where revenue declined 18%, and 10% in constant currency. Total new customer wins were strong in Q3, only down 2 from Q3 of 2012, which was the second highest Q3 ever recorded. Q4 revenue should be approximately flat as reported and up 1% in constant currency. For 2013, revenue is also expected to be flat as reported and up 1% in constant currency. The major contributor to our reduced revenue guidance for 2013 was the number of data warehouse opportunities that have moved out into 2014. With a large amount of that happening in the U.S., where the pent-up demand in our user base that we expected to see in the second half, has not materialized yet. And to a lesser degree, due to reductions in revenue forecast in the second half for the emerging markets, as well as for our Consulting Services. Our win rates remain strong and consistent with previous years. We are aware of the speculation that new and lower-cost technology offerings are impacting Teradata's revenue growth. We believe it is a factor, but a small factor. When cost becomes a top priority in corporations, many of our customers invest more time and resources to optimize their current analytic environments and to also evaluate potentially lower-cost alternatives. We have dealt with environments like this before. These evaluations can have a short-term impact on Teradata by causing delays in purchases. In the event that some of these alternatives do get deployed, we often end up replacing it a couple of years later. Hadoop is a completely different story than the lower performance and perceived lower-cost data warehouse and data mart alternatives. Those of you who were at that Teradata global users group conference last week, probably heard from many of our customers that they are looking at or using Hadoop already. We advocate and support the use of Hadoop. It plays a key role in our Unified Data Architecture because there are specific workloads that Hadoop can handle better than traditional relational databases, including Teradata. Hadoop ingests and stores data very cost-effectively and handles workloads, such as the simple transformations in ETL. On the other hand, Hadoop does not address the mission-critical, complex, business-analytic workloads, which Teradata provides to our customers and excels at. Based on the work we are doing with many of our largest customers, we believe that the likely impact of Hadoop on Teradata is minimal. What we have found is that ETL consumes about 20% to 40% of the workload on their Teradata data warehouses, with some outliers below and above that range. We think that 20% of the 20% to 40% ETL workload being done on Teradata is a good candidate for moving to Hadoop. This means that on average, 4% to 8% of the total workload on Teradata data warehouses could potentially move to Hadoop. These estimates are also in line with the handful of customers that have actually moved some of their ETL workloads from Teradata to Hadoop. However, Hadoop and Big Data are providing benefits to Teradata today. The discovery analytics done with Hadoop have proven difficult and costly to do. With Aster and our Unified Data Architecture, we are enabling mainstream companies to do Big Data analytics quickly and cost-effectively, and doing it with existing workers and existing SQL skill sets. And as a result, our Aster revenue, which more than doubled in 2012, is on track to more than triple in 2013. Furthermore, a lot of the new Big Data, such as click stream, sensor or archival has proved to be a strong fit with our 1700 Extreme Data Appliance, which costs $2,000 per terabyte, works with SQL and is highly available, while delivering extreme scalability into the hundreds of petabytes. And some of the new insights and data, both from Hadoop and our 1700 are landing in our EDWs and adding new workloads there. Net-net, we believe that Big Data and Hadoop are both benefits to Teradata over the long term. Looking at the longer term for Teradata, we have great opportunities for growth and we have a strong competitive position in each of the markets we serve. First, analytics should remain a top priority for corporations. There is a large and growing market for data warehousing and an even faster growing market for Big Data analytics. We are the leader in the data warehouse market today and plan to be, going forward. We are well positioned for Big Data analytics with Aster and our 1700 Extreme Data Appliance. Our Unified Data Architecture, along with our Unity software, consulting and support services will enable Hadoop and other various analytic platforms to work together. And we will continue to add IP for Big Data analytics and Hadoop going forward. Second, the Integrated Marketing Management market, or IMM, is projected to grow high-teens each of the next 4 years. We have a strong competitive position with our IMM portfolio and are the leaders in each of the 3 key components of IMM: Marketing resource management, Multi-Channel Campaign Management and Digital Messaging Center. In addition, we see increased synergy coming from IMM with Teradata and Aster Analytics as companies try to gain competitive advantage through data-driven marketing with their customers. Third, everything in Teradata is available on-premise and now in the cloud. Last week, we announced our Data Warehouse as a Service or cloud offering. We have had a handful of mid-market customers in production for the past year or 2, as well as some large corporations such as Procter & Gamble. And last week, we announced that Netflix is a Data Warehouse as a Service customer. In addition, we announced our Discovery as a Service with Aster, as well as Data Management as a Service for Hadoop. Longer term, we believe we can get incremental growth with our Data Warehouse as a Service, in particular with the mid-market, and with our Discovery Analytics as a Service, and by providing immediate capacity to customers for new analytic demands, along with test and development and disaster recovery. Longer term, we also expect Teradata's business model to have a higher percentage of recurring revenue. In 2013, our recurring revenue will be approximately 40% of our total revenue. Procuring revenue includes our applications, our data warehouse cloud offers, maintenance, subscriptions and our managed services revenue. The remaining nonrecurring revenue is comprised of our Consulting Services, without the managed services portion, which is estimated to be at 22% for 2013; and our data warehouse product revenue, without subscriptions, at 37%. With more of our revenue shifting to recurring revenue and having a large Consulting Services business that operates with a backlog, our revenue should become more predictable and less lumpy over time. In closing, one question we have been getting asked quite frequently is if we can grow double digits again. And the answer is yes, we believe we have the opportunity to grow double digits. First, our recurring revenue will grow double digits in 2013 and we should be able to continue that longer term. Second, our Consulting Services has shown the ability to grow mid- to high-single digits most years. Third, our big data analytics and Hadoop related business is the fastest-growing business we have in Teradata today, and we will continue to add to it. And last, we are confident in our data warehouse competitive position and our ability to take market share in a market that is projected to grow high-single digits annually for the next several years. You add it all up and, longer term, we have the opportunity to grow double digits. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Steve. Steve?