Stephen M. Scheppmann
Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets
Thanks, Mike, and good morning. Teradata generated fourth quarter revenue of $740 million, which was up 10% from the fourth quarter of 2011 and up 11% in constant currency. This was a solid result given the backdrop of the macroeconomic uncertainty that tech industry experienced, particularly in the latter part of 2012. For the year, revenue was up 13%, 15% in constant currency. The influence of the macroeconomic drivers, particularly in the U.S., resulted in a sharp contrast over the course of 2012, as reflected in our revenue growth for the first half versus second half, particularly in the Americas. In the first half of 2012, we grew 18%, 20% in constant currency versus 9% or 10% in constant currency in the second half of the year. In the Americas, we grew 22% in the first half versus 5% in the second half of 2012. Product revenue of $362 million was up 9% from the fourth quarter of 2011, up 10% in constant currency. For the year, product revenue was up 16%, up 17% in constant currency. In the first half, product revenue was up 25% compared to 8% in the second half of 2012. Services revenue of $378 million was up 11% from the fourth quarter of 2011, both reported and in constant currency. For the year, services revenue was up 10%, up 12% in constant currency. Within services revenue for the quarter, consulting services revenue was up 14%, up 15% in constant currency, and maintenance services revenue was up 6%, up 7% in constant currency. For the year, Consulting Services was up 12%, up 14% in constant currency, aided by acquisition activity. And maintenance services revenue was up 9%, up 10% in constant currency. Now I'd like to furnish some color on how our industry verticals influenced our 2012 revenue. As a reminder, these comments are based on data warehouse and consulting services revenue, and do not include maintenance revenue. Financial services grew 19% for the year, and contributed 30% of Teradata's revenue with the strongest growth coming in the Americas and APJ. Communications declined 3% from 2011, but still contributed 21% of revenue. Growth in the Americas and the EMEA regions was offset by declines in APJ. The media and entertainment segment within the communications industry was down, going against a very strong 2011 while the telecommunications segment grew. Retail grew 14% and contributed 16% to the data warehouse revenue. Manufacturing was up 10% and contributed 12%. We added 2 of the top 10 global manufacturers in 2012, giving us now 7 out of the top 10. Healthcare had a growth of 13% and contributes 7% to total revenue. Government grew 9% and contributed 6%. Travel and transportation was up 28% and contributed 6%, and finally, energy and utilities and other grew 12% in 2012 and contributed 2% to total revenue. During my discussions today, except where otherwise noted, I will be addressing margins and expenses on a non-GAAP basis, excluding stock-based compensation and other special items. A reconciliation from GAAP to non-GAAP measures identifying these items is available in our earnings release and also on the Investor page of our website. For the year, we had solid operating execution and improvements across the gross margin categories, as well as in the operating margin. Gross margin of 56.4% in the fourth quarter of 2012 was about the same as in Q4 2011. Gross margin for the year was 56.9%, a 100 basis point improvement from 55.9% in 2011, led by improved product margins and a greater proportion of product revenue. Product gross margin in the fourth quarter was 68.2%, up 30 basis points from the 67.9% in the fourth quarter of 2011. Product gross margin for the year was 69.2%, a 150 basis point increase from 67.7% in 2011. The improvement was primarily driven by a favorable revenue mix with less 1000 series appliance revenue in 2012. As a percentage of total product revenue, our 2000 series appliance in Q4 2012 was 14%, again, in the 10% to 15% expected range we have discussed previously. For the full year, the 2000 series appliance revenue was approximately 12% of total product revenue. Services gross margin in the quarter was 45.1%, slightly lower than the 45.5% in Q4 2011. Services gross margin for the full year was 45.4%, a little better than the 45.1% in 2011. Turning to our operating expense profile. SG&A expense of $195 million increased $20 million or 11% from Q4 2011. For the year, SG&A was $674 million, up 10% from 2011. We absorbed $60 million of increased SG&A, and still improved operating margin by 200 basis points. The increase in SG&A for the quarter and the year were primarily driven by increased direct sales investments, as well as the addition of acquisition-related SG&A. Research and Development in the quarter was $46 million versus $52 million in the fourth quarter 2011. The decline was largely due to increased capitalization for software development expenses, as well as lower annualized variable compensation expense in the quarter. For the year, R&D increased to $169 million compared to $161 million in 2011. As we've mentioned before, we invest more in the R&D activities than what was reported on the R&D operating expense line on our income statement. Total R&D spend for the fourth quarter, which includes R&D expense plus the additions to capitalized software development costs from the cash flow statement less capitalization of internally developed softwares, was approximately $66 million or approximately 18% of our product revenue. This compares to the approximately $63 million in Q4 2011. As a reminder, these capitalized costs when amortized are then added back to the income statement as product cost of revenue, which reduces product gross margin. For the year, total R&D spend was $244 million or approximately 19% of our product revenue versus $224 million in 2011. As a result of all these items, operating margin for the quarter was 23.9%, a 100 basis point increase over the 22.9% yield in Q4 2011. For the full year, operating margin was 25.4% versus 23.4% in 2011. For both the quarter and the year, the contribution from higher revenue and improved product mix offset the increased operating investments. On a GAAP basis, our effective tax rate in Q4 2012 was 25% versus 26% in Q4 2011. On a full year basis, our GAAP effective tax rate was 28% versus 27% in 2011. Our non-GAAP effective tax rate for the fourth quarter was 23% compared to 27% for the same period in 2011. For the full year, our non-GAAP effective tax rate was 28% in both 2012 and 2011. We expect our 2013 GAAP and non-GAAP effective tax rates to approximate 26% and 28%, respectively. In terms of earnings per share, our Q4 GAAP EPS was $0.66 versus $0.57 in Q4 2011. For the full year, GAAP EPS was $2.44 versus $2.05 in 2011. Noncash stock-based compensation expenses included our GAAP EPS. During the quarter, stock-based compensation expense was approximately $12 million or approximately $0.06 per share. For the full year, stock-based compensation expense was $43 million or $0.17 per share. We expect stock-based compensation expense to be approximately $58 million or approximately $0.22 per share in 2013. Also included in Teradata's fourth quarter and full year 2012 non-GAAP net income, as reported, included approximately $4 million of an income tax benefit related to the 2012 R&D tax credit. This benefit was not reflected in the GAAP results in 2012 since the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 was not enacted until January of 2013. Adjusting for stock-based compensation, the R&D credit and other special items which equated to $0.13 in Q4, our non-GAAP EPS was $0.79 in Q4 2012 compared to $0.66 in Q4 2011 for a year-over-year increase of 20%. For the year, non-GAAP EPS was $2.85, compares to $2.32 in 2011 for a 23% increase in non-GAAP EPS for the year. Turning to cash flow. Net cash provided by operating activities was $124 million in Q4 2012 versus $126 million in the fourth quarter of 2011. For the year, cash from operations was $575 million, an increase of 12%. After $39 million of capital expenditures, which include additions to capitalized software development costs and expenditures for property and equipment versus $23 million in the fourth quarter of 2011, we generated $85 million of free cash flow versus $103 million free cash flow generated in Q4 2011. The decline in free cash flow for the quarter was net due to the increased investments in property and equipment and capitalized software development expenses in Q4 2012 versus the same period as last year. The increase in receivables was offset by changes in other operating activities, including but not limited to, increasing in current payables and accrued expenses. On a full year basis, free cash flow was $427 million, increasing $24 million on a year-over-year basis. Turning to the balance sheet. We had $729 million of cash as of December 31, 2012, down $180 million from the $909 million at the end of the third quarter. The lower cash balances was primarily due to our share repurchase activity in the fourth quarter when we invested approximately $240 million to repurchase 3.9 million shares. During the year, we invested $281 million to repurchase 4.5 million shares. This compares to the $127 million used in 2011 to repurchase 2.5 million shares. In December 2012, our Board of Directors approved an additional $300 million share repurchase authorization. This was in addition to the $300 million authorization they approved in February 2012. Despite being very active in purchasing our shares in Q4, we still had approximately $376 million of share repurchase authorization remaining at the end of the year. Due to our use of U.S. cash for share repurchase activity in 2012, only approximately 30% of our cash is available in the U.S. with the remainder being held offshore. As I've said before, we expect that the rate of our share repurchase activity will continue to fluctuate each quarter and year-over-year, taking in account among other things, our working capital needs, our stock price, alternative uses of cash, U.S. cash balances and economic and market conditions. With respect to accounts receivable. Day sales outstanding was 91 days as of December 31, 2012, compared to 74 days at September 30, 2012, and 76 days as of December 31, 2011. The primary driver of the increase in accounts receivable was the timing of the product revenue transactions during Q4 2012 versus Q4 2011. Transactions in Q4 2012 on the average occurred later in the quarter versus the prior year period. However, to demonstrate the effect of this timing, we collected $57 million more in receivables cash in January 2013 than in January 2012. With respect to deferred revenue. The total deferred revenue, short term and long term, was $405 million as of December 31, 2012, which was up $23 million from September 30, 2012, and up $42 million or 12% from December 31, 2011. Deferred maintenance and subscriptions revenue continues to increase at a rate consistent with our expectations. The other component of deferred revenue relating to product transactions as of December 31, 2012, was within the historical range, which is based on the last 16 quarters. With respect to currency movement. To provide further transparency around currency movement and the potential impact on future revenue, we provide a schedule on our website detailing how currencies impacted the fourth quarter of 2012 and how this movement is expected to impact our year-over-year revenue comparisons for 2013. Assuming the currency exchange rates as of the end of January, we do not expect currency to have a significant impact on our year-over-year revenue comparisons in 2013. Mike provided 2013 revenue and EPS guidance earlier, but I want to give a little more color on some of the specifics as it relates to revenue. As a result of the impact that the macroeconomic environment is having on overall business activity around the world and more specifically on capital expenditures, we expect growth of our reported revenue for 2013 to be in the 6% to 10% range. We will be comparing against some pretty tough comps during the Q1 and Q2, and therefore, we expect our growth rates to be stronger in the second half of the year. Although we have good activity in our sales funnel, the macro economy is clearly having an impact on capital spending in the first half. There are fewer big deals expected in the first half, and on the average, the deals that are expected are smaller in size than what we typically see. We see the opportunity for better growth in the second half of the year, but obviously, that creates a back-end-loaded type scenario, which we do not like to count on so we provided some conservatism, and therefore, a wider range in our revenue guidance. We think this conservative approach is appropriate even though we feel great about our technology leadership, our competitive differentiation, the continued demand for analytics, the growing activity for big data analytics via our Aster solutions and our partnership with Hortonworks and others. As it relates to EPS, we expect GAAP EPS to be in the $2.64 to $2.79 range. The GAAP EPS is expected to include approximately $0.22 a share of stock-based compensation expense, $0.16 a share of amortization of acquired intangible assets, $0.05 a share of transaction and integration costs and a $0.02 income tax benefit for the 2012 R&D tax credit. Excluding these nonoperational items or special items, we expect our non-GAAP EPS to be in the $3.05 to $3.20 per share range for the full year 2013. As it relates to Q1. As Mike said earlier, we face continued macroeconomic uncertainty as well as tough comps that will have a negative impact on our revenue growth rates in 2013, particularly in the Americas in Q1 and Q2. And since our expense run rate from the increased investments in sales territories and other growth initiatives, including R&D and M&A, is about $20 million higher than our Q1 2012, which is consistent with the last couple of year-over-year comparisons. And as Mike said, we are currently continuing this investment strategy. Therefore, our Q1 2013 non-GAAP EPS is likely to be down from Q1 2012, primarily driven by our Q1 revenue performance, which could be below Q1 2012. In closing, despite the increased downdraft in the global economic environment in the second half of the year, particularly the U.S., we continued to deliver solid performance in large part due to the demand for Teradata, the continued emphasis of business analytics, the performance of the Teradata team and most importantly, the continued support and working partnerships we have with our customers. We realized good growth across all 3 of our geographic regions despite continued uncertainty in the worldwide economy. We have done this by consistently investing in our technology, solutions, services and our go-to-market strategy. And we will continue to be disciplined in managing our operations and capital. However, in the short term, specifically in the first half of 2013, the macro uncertainty is making it a little bit more difficult for large IT CapEx investments to be approved, and we've reflected this in our guidance for 2013. Longer term, we remain confident in our ability to leverage our business model and the big analytical opportunities that lay ahead of us. And as a result, we are well positioned for these opportunities. And with that, operator, we are ready to take questions.