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USA TODAY Co., Inc. (TDAY)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Jul 31, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the Gannett Company Q2 2025 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Matt Esposito, Head of Investor Relations. You may begin.

Matthew Esposito

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our call today to discuss Gannett's second quarter 2025 financial results. Presenting on today's call will be Mike Reed, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Trisha Gosser, Chief Financial Officer; and Kristin Roberts, President of Gannett Media. If you navigate to the Gannett website, you will find that we have posted an earnings supplement in addition to our earlier press release. We will be referencing it today on the call as it provides you with additional detail on this quarter's performance and our full year 2025 business outlook. Before we begin, please let me remind you that this call is being recorded. In addition, certain statements made during this call are or may be deemed to be forward-looking statements as defined under the U.S. federal securities laws, including those with respect to future results and events and are based upon current expectations. These statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results and events to differ materially from those discussed today. We encourage you to read the cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements in the earnings supplement as well as the risk factors described in Gannett's filings made with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or correct any of the forward-looking statements made during this call. Please keep in mind all comparisons are on a year-over-year basis unless otherwise noted. In addition, we will be discussing non-GAAP financial information during the call, including same-store revenues, free cash flow, total adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin and adjusted net income attributable to Gannett. You can find reconciliations of our non-GAAP measures to the most comparable U.S. GAAP measures in the earnings supplement. Lastly, I would like to remind you that nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of offer to purchase any Gannett securities. The webcast and audio cast are copyrighted material of Gannett and may not be duplicated, reproduced or rebroadcasted without our prior written consent. With that, I would like to turn the call over to Mike Reed, Gannett's Chairman and CEO.

Michael E. Reed

Analyst

Thank you, Matt. Good morning, everyone. The second quarter reflects continued progress across most all facets of our strategy. During the call this morning, you'll hear a lot about the sequential improvements in our financial results from the first quarter to the second quarter. As we mentioned last quarter, 2025 will unfold as a year of 2 halves, and we are now beginning to see that shift take place. While the first half of the year didn't fully meet our expectations, momentum is building across key areas of the business, and you'll hear today about the operational and strategic initiatives that are improving our current trends and positioning us for stronger performance in the second half of the year. Stronger performance will also be driven by our recently announced $100 million cost reduction program and the strategic AI content licensing agreement we announced yesterday with Perplexity. Trisha will walk through details later in the call, but a few key highlights I want to address upfront this morning that we expect in the second half of the year. Those include same-store digital revenue growth between 3% and 5% year-over-year, meaningful total adjusted EBITDA growth compared to the prior year, and free cash flow growth of over 100% versus the prior year. We are seeing our key financial metrics move in the right direction. We saw that in Q2, and I'll run through a few of those in a second. We are also seeing that momentum and improvement carry into the third quarter, which we believe positions us well for the back half of the year. Looking at Q2, we drove sequential improvement across our key financial metrics. These include total adjusted EBITDA of $64.2 million, reflecting a sequential increase of 27%. We generated $17.6 million in free cash flow, representing sequential…

Kristin Roberts

Analyst

Thank you, Mike. Gannett Media continues to lead as an organization that prioritizes its audience, experiments with purpose and intent and moves at the speed of news. The results speak for themselves as we continue to have one of the largest digital audiences among content creators in the country. As I outlined earlier this year, our focus in 2025 is engagement. We will continue to lean in on highly engaging verticals such as sports, where OneTEAM Sports continues to demonstrate its dominance. In the mold of the Paris Olympics, we have successfully created an effective and repeatable playbook to dominate the biggest tentpole events. The power of our success was evident during major sporting events such as the Kentucky Derby, Indy 500 the College World Series, where we generated notable increases in audience, page views and readership per story. Our goal when we launched OneTEAM Sports was to drive repeatable audience growth as we strive to become the nation's most read sports network. And our results in the first half of the year show that we are on our way. Importantly, this passionate and highly engaged audience drives meaningful scale and delivers tremendous value to our advertising partners. Now with the football season quickly approaching, this gives us another chance to engage some of our most loyal readers and viewers with unmatched expertise and authority. Our mission for this season remains the same, delivering content that matters to them in the moment every time while opening new windows for readers to see the endless inventory of exceptional content and programming opportunities that we have throughout the network. This includes expanding our high school football content portfolio, which is a key driver of local digital-only subscriptions, also refining and expanding the NFL picks experience and leveraging newsletters to capitalize on our…

Michael E. Reed

Analyst

Thanks, Kristin. It's exciting to hear you share more about the key initiatives underway to deepen engagement and enhance the overall monetization across our digital advertising and digital-only subscription categories. Now shifting gears to AI. We are leveraging every opportunity to lead through innovation and strengthen our competitive position in today's dynamic digital landscape. You might have seen yesterday that we announced an exciting new deal with Perplexity, the AI-powered answer engine to license content from USA TODAY and the USA TODAY NETWORK of over 200 local publications. Gannett's premium content and trusted journalism will be integrated into Perplexity's AI-powered search experiences, including its newly released agentic web browser, Comet. The deal is comprised of both licensing fees and advertising revenue share and importantly, represents what we believe is fair value for our content. This strategic alliance with Perplexity exemplifies our continued leadership in embracing transformative technology and reflects our belief that innovation and responsible stewardship must go hand-in-hand, setting a standard for the way quality content and trusted journalism should be valued. Additionally, in the second quarter, we became the first publisher in the U.S. to launch Taboola's generative AI answer engine, Deeper Dive within USA TODAY. While still in beta, we are expanding this technology to a broader audience to connect readers with clear answers to their questions and surface real-time content exclusively from our trusted USA TODAY NETWORK. We are proud to bring this innovative experience to our audience, which we expect to increase time on site and deepen reader loyalty. Importantly, Deeper Dive also creates a new monetization channel by inserting contextually relevant high-intent ads directly into the AI-powered results page and in turn, allows us to capture search-like advertising revenue on our platform. Early performance has exceeded our expectations, and we are continuously expanding the…

Trisha Gosser

Analyst

Thank you, Mike. Good morning, everyone. Please keep in mind, all comparisons are on a year-over-year basis unless otherwise noted. In the second quarter, total revenues were $584.9 million, a decrease of 8.6% or 6.4% on a same-store basis. This represents a 130 basis point improvement from Q1 same-store revenue trends. While we are pleased to see the improvement, we are not yet improving our revenue trends at the pace needed. As a result, we expect to continue to align our expense structure with our revenue trends. In Q2, operating costs, combined with SG&A expenses decreased approximately 8%, reflecting our commitment to prudent cost management. Building on that momentum, in Q3, we began a cost program targeting $100 million in annualized cost savings, which is expected to lead to improved total adjusted EBITDA in the second half of the year. These initiatives give us near-term flexibility while supporting our digital transformation. We are focused on transformative cost reductions that continue to variabilize our cost structure, including an increased reliance on automation and third-party resource providers to reshape the organization into a leaner, more efficient company. Crucially, this is a moment to tap into AI-driven automation across our workflows and back-office processes, which is expected to unlock an additional layer of operating efficiency. We have also announced the closure of 2 of our largest production facilities, both slated to shutter later this year. The consolidation of these plants into other facilities, along with ongoing mail delivery conversions is expected to have a positive impact on our expense run rate going forward. Total adjusted EBITDA was $64.2 million in the second quarter, representing a margin of 11%. On a sequential basis, total adjusted EBITDA increased $13.7 million. While total adjusted EBITDA remains lower than the prior year, we expect to see year-over-year…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question for today is from Giuliano Bologna with Compass Bank.

Giuliano Jude Anderes Bologna

Analyst

Congrats on the continued execution. Maybe to start off, your financial guidance for trends for the back half of 2025 are strong and revenue trends are moving in the right direction. What do you think -- sorry, when do you think your revenues will turn flat?

Michael E. Reed

Analyst

Thanks, Giuliano. Nice to talk to you again. Yes, we have some pretty exciting opportunities ahead of us here in the third and fourth quarter and as we move into 2026. There's a variety of factors, as you heard on the call, that are really driving our optimism. One, we didn't spend a lot of time on, but we're actually seeing improvement in our print trends. We've seen that 3 consecutive quarters. So the efforts we're making there to harvest that business and that cash flow are showing continued signs of improvement. So we're optimistic about those being contributors to our overall improving trends. But more importantly, the digital advertising marketplace is very strong right now. And as you heard, we saw a 5 point improvement in the second quarter alone from the first quarter. And so we expect a robust back half of the year with regard to digital advertising, really on the back of our large audiences and large page views. And then very exciting, the underlying initiatives that we mentioned on the call that are really showing promising signs already, both in the DMS business and the digital circulation business. We expect both of those to drive improvement in trends in the back half of the year. And then finally, on revenue, just the AI licensing deal we announced yesterday, the AddressUSA deal we announced a few weeks ago, those will start to contribute as the back half of the year goes on to revenue. So all of those things give us the confidence that our Q3 revenue trend will improve versus Q2 and Q4 will improve versus Q3. And then to answer the end of your question there, we expect to get revenues flat in the early stages of 2026. And then finally, on the strength in the back half of the year and for 2026, combined with the improving revenue trends, we also mentioned or announced this morning a $100 million cost reduction program, and that's going to help lead to much more meaningful EBITDA growth back half of this year and next year as well as really significant free cash flow growth. As we mentioned this morning in our guidance, we expect it to grow about 100% in the back half of this year and expect really strong growth again next year. So positioned on both the revenue and the expense side to deliver a strong back half of the year and have that carry into 2026.

Giuliano Jude Anderes Bologna

Analyst

That's very helpful. Maybe continuing on that point. Can you provide any more details around the cost reduction program in terms of what kind of things you might be reducing or cutting back on?

Trisha Gosser

Analyst

Yes, absolutely. This is Trisha. I'll walk you through that. So the cost program is really focused on the areas that we can automate, areas that we can outsource and then areas where we may still have some duplication in our organization. And the focus is on places where we can add variability to our cost structure. That's especially true as it relates to our print and our commercial businesses, where we think we have a lot of opportunity to capture that long tail that Mike was talking about that exists for our revenue and for our profitability. And you heard me mention that we're shuttering 2 of our largest print facilities later this year, and we'll also continue to move some of our products to mail delivery where it makes economic sense. And then payroll is going to be a component of this. but we're really focused on the areas that are ripe for automation and in the areas that we can leverage AI to improve the processes and the workflows that we have in the organization. So we believe that these changes are really intentional, they're really methodical. And what they allow us to do is stay really committed to our product. We get to stay really committed to our content, and that leads to a commitment to our overall growth still.

Giuliano Jude Anderes Bologna

Analyst

That's very helpful. As mentioned, we've seen headlines recently about publisher audience and traffic funding because AI search and Google AI search is sending most of the traffic -- or sorry, is not sending the traffic back to content sites. I'm curious what your experience has been on your side.

Kristin Roberts

Analyst

Sure. It's Kristin. I'll take this one, Mike, if you don't mind. I think

Michael E. Reed

Analyst

Yes, please.

Kristin Roberts

Analyst

This is a great question, Giuliano. I think despite this backdrop, I think what you can see in our numbers is that we're continuing to grow. We continue to have one of the largest digital audiences and we are consistently generating at least 1 billion page views per month every month, and we're growing year-over-year. So our audience and page view growth show that we are not seeing declining trends. And I think that's the result of planning. It's the result of a proactive strategy. And we're leaning into automation and diversification as we lessen our reliance on Google. So we've focused on growing referrals from Facebook and Instagram and Reddit and Threads. But we also see that our service journalism, our connect teams are really deepening engagement, and that has a direct positive impact on the number of people who come to us directly. I would also say here, Giuliano, that we have not buried our head in the sand. We are using technology to block unauthorized scraping from AI bots. And as the industry adopts it over time, we can create a new marketplace for publishers, as Mike mentioned earlier. And I think our partnership with Perplexity is an absolutely fantastic example of this. We are compensated for our content. We receive attribution, and we share in the advertising dollars. So AI has, I think, the potential to be disruptive, but we're being proactive. We're being strategic in our approach. And we think it actually has the potential to be highly beneficial in the long-term as well. So I hope that helps, Giuliano.

Giuliano Jude Anderes Bologna

Analyst

That is very helpful, and I appreciate it. Next one, I'm curious if there are any updates on the ad tech antitrust case with Google.

Michael E. Reed

Analyst

Yes. Thanks for that. The various ad tech cases that are out there are continuing to move forward positively in our view. And just as a reminder for backdrop, in April, the judge ruled in favor of the DOJ on all publisher-facing conduct claims that the DOJ brought to trial. So that was a positive development for us. And since that decision, both the DOJ and Google have submitted proposed remedies and that remedies hearing is now scheduled for September with a ruling expected actually later this year. So that's also a very positive development. And there's other -- another big case is Texas, which has, I think, 17 states attached to it. And that trial scheduled for Q3 has actually been pushed to Q4 simply because they want to see the DOJ remedies trial or hearing happen first. So we do expect that trial to start in the fourth quarter. And then with regard to our case, we do expect that our case will be scheduled. The trial date will be set, and it will be in 2026. We're not exactly sure when yet, but we think it is getting closer now and it will happen next year. So really, we remain very confident in our case and with how things are progressing and actually believe that the broader developments are all moving in the right direction as well. So overall, seeing positive movement, and we remain very confident in our position.

Giuliano Jude Anderes Bologna

Analyst

That's very helpful. And I guess maybe on the digital side with the changes you've made to digital subscriber customer acquisition strategy, when do you think you'll return to year-over-year growth for digital subscriber revenue?

Kristin Roberts

Analyst

Kristin again here. Listen, the way to think about this is this, we are being much more intentional in our acquisition strategy because we want to ensure that our base of subscribers is sustainable and that it's predictable, but really most importantly, that it's profitable. And our experience is showing that both those low introductory offers and these network-wide pricing actions, they lead to more elevated churn. So we stepped back a bit from both of these practices, and we're leaning into the value of our local news subscription, which then can be the foundation to what we're calling stacked products. Also, we're utilizing more stable levers like annual offer strategies. We're using more strategic pricing. And we believe -- in addition to that, we'll be able to capture the dollars that were coming to us from high churn subscribers, like people who onboarded through those offers like $1 for 6 months by offering those same casual readers pay-per-article options. And there were positive signs in the quarter that the strategy is starting to take hold. So we grew digital-only ARPU sequentially. We also grew it year-over-year. And this is the first sequential growth since Q3 of '24. So we expect all of that really to lead to sequential growth in the third and the fourth quarters, and we see overall growth next year.

Giuliano Jude Anderes Bologna

Analyst

That's very helpful. Maybe one last one. You obviously -- it's very good to see the Perplexity content partnership announcement. I'm curious, I mean there's a lot of news out there and a lot of articles talking about deals that are being signed around the industry and it seems to be a lot more focus on AI platforms signing content deals. I'm curious on your side, if you're seeing any trends or any changes in discussions or the willingness of AI platforms to come to the table and negotiate potential AI content partnership deals.

Michael E. Reed

Analyst

Yes. Great question, Giuliano. Actually, we do think there's kind of a momentum swing now more towards publishers. And it's not just publishers speak or publishers talk in their book. We're now seeing a variety of technology companies who also are taking the view that, that unauthorized use of copyright protected content is not right. And these companies are putting their money to work to help develop technologies that allow for the blocking -- complete blocking of AI scrapers. And there are technology companies that are now creating marketplaces for the fair licensing of content for LLMs and things of that nature. And so an example is our partnership with Snowflake, where we're now on their platform for all their customers who are working on AI models, and they have access to our content through fair licensing deals. Perplexity is an example now of a partnership we've developed. We are talking to Cloudflare, and we have a partnership with Fastly on the technology side that allow us to do proper blocking now of unauthorized scrapers. And all of that is kind of creating a momentum shift towards having more conversations now with the AI companies that actually do need our content, especially as AI morphs into an answer or search business where real-time updated information is that much more necessary. So I wouldn't say that it's -- you're going to see a flurry of deals in the next 30 days, but there's definitely a very momentous shift happening moving towards content creators and AI platforms coming together to figure out fair deals. So we're encouraged by that. And I would say over the next 12 months as we finish this year and get into next year, we hope there's quite a few more deals to do.

Operator

Operator

Your next question for today is from Matt Condon with Citizens.

Matthew Dorrian Condon

Analyst

My first one is just on digital advertising revenue. Understood it was page view growth, programmatic revenue and direct sales that really drove the upside in the quarter. But can we maybe just dig in on each one of those? Were there certain formats that outperformed or different product releases that you guys did in the quarter that really drove that improvement?

Trisha Gosser

Analyst

Yes. This is Trisha. Yes, a few things. I think you've heard Kristin talk about the consistent page view growth that we've had and the way that we're focused in and in tune with the engagement and the propensity of our customers and our readers. And so that's really driving our programmatic revenue as we continue to increase our page views year-over-year. One of the things that we're really starting to see take hold is the strength of our national brand and that we have a very brand-safe platform. We have an incredibly wide and diverse portfolio and audience reaching 180 million uniques. And so we're really starting to see, and I think we're at early stages, the benefit of our national brand and some of the larger deals that we're seeing come into our pipeline and take hold. So I think you're going to see more of that as folks really start to see the benefit of the USA TODAY NETWORK brand. And so that's having an impact in our digital advertising as well.

Michael E. Reed

Analyst

Matt, this is Mike. I would add one more thing. And this is similar to what we're seeing in the AI landscape. We're also seeing momentum in the country coming from the advertising agency side towards maybe moving back to journalism as a place to advertise because the ROI is so healthy. And there's been a movement away from that over the last 20 years, as everyone knows, as technology and the Internet has exploded. But there's a Stagwell, very well-known company, has put a lot of money behind research that is demonstrating that actually the ROI is one of the best compared to where national advertisers are advertising today. And so there are others in the industry -- others in the advertising ecosystem that are now not just us talking about the benefit of advertising on our platform, but there are others who control budgets and control spend that are putting money to work on research that are showing that there's actually a really good ROI on publisher platform. So I think that's going to lead to much more significant national advertising opportunities in 2026. And I think we'll be able to get into a lot more advertisers' budgets as a result of that work and us continuing to tell our story and develop our brands. So we're quite encouraged by both a very robust advertising marketplace in the country, combined with our reach and our audience and our scale and the data we have on our audience, combined with the third leg being that there is momentum out there in the advertising ecosystem towards moving back to journalism and to publishers.

Matthew Dorrian Condon

Analyst

Great. That's very helpful. And then I wanted to ask just on the DMS business. Obviously, there is signs of improving trends, which are great there. And I know the strategy is shifting there. But maybe we can just dig in on what is actually taking place in the strategy, both from a sales perspective and bringing new clients into the DMS portfolio, but also just what you're doing from a product perspective, maybe just digging in on each one of those things.

Trisha Gosser

Analyst

Yes. I'll start with your second question first on the product perspective. So we still see that search is a very important piece of the advertising -- the advertisers' budget. And so we've been doing a lot of work to improve that product. We've implemented AI smart bidding for some of our search customers, and that's lowering the cost of acquisition for them. That's improving the number of leads that they're getting. We also completed in Q2 a CRM integration, and that's been great on the search front as well as it allows for much more targeted, much more fine-tuned targeting for our customers. And so they're seeing better results there. It's also a much stickier experience as you bring somebody's CRM into our platform. And then I'm sure you've seen that we released the voice agent on our Dash product in Q2, and that's had really great early reviews from our customers who are using that. And it really allows them to use our voice agent to connect with the leads that are coming in, the leads that they don't have the capacity to get to. So there's a lot underway on the product, both on the core platform side and on continued updates to Dash. So a lot of positive momentum there as we go into the second half of the year. And then as we're bringing in new customers onto our platform, we've been working -- we've been talking about this, and we've been working for over a year now to continue to expand the verticals that we are experts in, and that continues to be a focus for us. We're also bringing together a bit more closely our media sales teams and our DMS sales teams to really open up our reach and our scale of the customers that we're reaching and the customers that have access to our DMS portfolio. So I think both of those things are going to create a lot of momentum for us, and we're already seeing it in Q2, but into the back half of the year.

Michael E. Reed

Analyst

Matt, I think one of the simplest ways to think about it is the new products we're developing that are focused on leading to higher ROI for our own customers. So more leads, more conversions and more business for them. But we're developing products that are not just enabling better search results, but are integrating us more with the customer so that we become more sticky. And that's kind of what Trisha was talking about. So the CRM integration, not only do we improve the ROI for our customer improving our retention with that -- with those customers. But we just become more sticky because of the integration of our products with the customer. And then the second thing that we're really trying to do, which to simplify it is we're trying to help our customers follow up on every lead. Right now, 3 out of every 10 leads that come to customers through search never get followed up on. And so we're with our AI voice agent and our AI product Dash, we're actually allowing our customers to follow up on 10 out of 10 leads. And so follow up on leads, set appointments, do all of that work for our customer and then we become much more sticky and their ROI improves because they're now following up on 10 out of 10 leads. So a simple way to do it is we're developing products that not only improve ROI, but make us more sticky with the client because we're integrated with them, both from a CRM perspective and a lead follow-up perspective.

Matthew Dorrian Condon

Analyst

Great. And maybe just last one for me. Just on affiliate revenue. I know there was the changes last quarter from Google that impacted the business. Are we just -- are we over that at this point? Is that just -- is that in the rearview mirror? And now is it just a go forward? Or just what context can you give and what happened in 2Q?

Michael E. Reed

Analyst

Yes. I'd say it's pretty much in the rearview mirror. We still have affiliate partnerships and -- but we create more of the content, and we're still generating revenues from that business, but it's not the same business that we had a year ago before the Google manual actions. And so as we said on the call, we're focused on different verticals now and bringing new partnerships in like AddressUSA, where we have -- AddressUSA is actually a bigger opportunity than any affiliate deal we had ever signed. And so we're turning our attention actually to those kind of deals moving away from the affiliate deals.

Operator

Operator

We have reached the end of the question-and-answer session, and I will now turn the call back over to Mike for closing remarks.

Michael E. Reed

Analyst

Thanks. So as you heard today, we have a lot to be excited about as we enter the second half of the year. We're very optimistic about how things are going really across the board. And I just want to recap a few of those things and leave those as takeaways for you. First, we're seeing positive results from all of the actions that are improving our trends for both the DMS business and the digital-only subscription business. Also, our digital advertising results were solid. We saw a nice improvement in the quarter, and we see that improvement continuing into the back half of the year. Overall, we're projecting 3% to 5% digital revenue growth in [ the off ] of a down 2.8% in the second quarter, and we'll end the year with about 50% of total revenue coming from digital. Our new cost reduction program positions us for adjusted EBITDA growth in the back half of 2025 and for full year 2026. We see strong free cash flow growth, both for 2025 and 2026. Debt repayment has been strong. We noted we paid back $100 million in the first half of the year. Our leverage is declining. We will continue to work on delevering and debt repayment. And a couple of our new deals that we announced recently with AddressUSA and Perplexity, they add high-margin revenues to our portfolio. We'll start to see all revenues during the back half of the year from those deals. And we're actively embracing technology to block the AI scrapers that don't have licensing deals with us. And we're joining AI marketplaces such as Snowflake to offer our content at fair value. So we have a lot to be optimistic about, a lot of exciting developments, and we're really looking forward to the back half of this year. And thanks all. Thanks, everybody, for joining the call this morning, and we look forward to updating you on all of our progress when we get together again in October. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.