Matt Scurlock
Analyst · Hovde Group
Thanks, Rob. Good morning. Starting on Slide 5. Total adjusted revenue increased $10 million or 4% for the quarter to $256 million as net interest income was flat and noninterest revenue resumed quarterly growth off a low experienced in the fourth quarter of last year. Quarterly total adjusted noninterest expense increased 6% linked quarter due to seasonality in first quarter payroll and compensation expenses and down 1% relative to adjusted first quarter results last year. Taken together, linked quarter adjusted PPNR remained relatively flat at $64 million, which should represent the low point of the year. This quarter's provision expense of $19 million resulted primarily from an expected increase in criticized loans, driven by identified and well-communicated portions of the portfolio most impacted by the pace and magnitude of interest rate increases as well as partial charge-offs on identified problem credits. Net income to common was $21.8 million, an increase of 38% linked quarter, while adjusted net income to common was $29.6 million, a decline of 5% linked quarter. Our balance sheet metrics continue to be exceptionally strong with ending period cash balances of 11% of total assets and cash and securities of 26%. Total deposits grew 7% during the quarter with predictable growth in mortgage finance deposits off seasonal lows as well as continued success adding and expanding client deposit relationships contributing to the nearly $1.6 billion increase. Ending period LHI balances increased by approximately $488 million or 2% linked quarter, driven predominantly by growth in mortgage finance business of a seasonal trough and increases in commercial real estate loans as payoff rates remain suppressed. Total gross LHI, excluding mortgage finance, increased $313 million during the quarter or nearly 2%. We continue to see strong underlying momentum in the commercial business. Commercial loan balances on average increased $225 million, while end-of-period balances were relatively flat. New relationships onboarded in the first quarter exceeded expectations, equaling nearly 40% of total new relationships added during the entirety of last year with the portion of new activity that includes deposit or treasury products trending sustainably over 90%. After repositioning approximately $1 billion of funded credit over the last five quarters, our multiyear process of recycling capital into a client base that benefits from our broadening platform of available product solutions has slowed significantly. We continue to expect the sustained pace of new client acquisition to result in modest balance sheet and loan growth this year. Commercial real estate period end balances increased $322 million or 6% in the quarter as payoff rates continue trending near observed lows. As discussed last quarter, given sustained low industry volumes, payoff rates will be the primary driver of near-term balance fluctuations in the category. The portfolio remains weighted to multifamily which comprises $2.4 billion or 41% of outstanding balances, reflecting both our deep experience in the space and observed performance through credit and interest rate cycles. Average mortgage finance loans declined $429 million or 11% in the quarter to $3.5 billion as the seasonality associated with home buying hit annual low in Q1 and rising rates dampened earlier industry optimism for improved volumes. After difficult fourth and first quarter for the mortgage space where seasonal weakness was exacerbated by persistent rate pressure, our expectation remains that the industry will be historically challenged in the near term. Ambiguity on the forward rate outlook is causing a dispersion and origination volume estimates from professional forecasters, with some reputable sources still calling for 15% to 20% increase in annual origination volume. Given ongoing rate volatility, we remain more cautious and are reducing our expectation for full year increases in average warehouse volumes from 15% to 10%. Ending period deposit balances increased 7% quarter-over-quarter, a sustained focus on leveraging our cash management platform into deeper client relationships continues to drive outperformance relative to the industry. When excluding predictable fluctuations in mortgage finance deposits and a now 10-plus year low in broker deposit balances, quarter-over-quarter growth of 4% reemphasizes our success in attracting quality funding associated with core offerings in a challenging environment. As expected, period-end mortgage finance noninterest-bearing deposit balances increased to $1.1 billion quarter-over-quarter as volumes begin to predictably rebuild over the course of the year of seasonal lows in December and January. Average mortgage finance deposits were 148% of average mortgage finance loans, higher than our previous guidance as the mortgages expected rate outlook did not materialize and the system-wide contraction in mortgage origination volume continues to weigh on clients' short-term credit needs. We expect a ratio of average mortgage finance deposits to average mortgage finance loans to drift lower in the second quarter to approximately 130%. Driven both by seasonal improvements in warehouse volumes and select reductions and our highest cost deposit relationships, we're unable to earn additional business necessary to generate an appropriate return on capital. In the first quarter of 2024, enhancements were made to our methodology for applying relationship pricing credits for our mortgage clients to both their mortgage finance and commercial loans based on each loan types contribution to interest income. To conform to the current period presentation, certain prior period interest income amounts have been reclassified and related yields have been adjusted. Attribution of interest credit should follow a similar distribution over the remainder of the year with approximately 60% associated with mortgage finance and 40% aligned to commercial loans to mortgage finance clients. Ending period noninterest-bearing deposits, excluding mortgage finance, grew slightly to $3.3 billion in the quarter, marking the first time in six quarters that select clients shifting excess balances to interest-bearing deposits or other cash management options on our platform did not result in a quarterly reduction. Ending period noninterest-bearing deposits, excluding mortgage finance, are 14% of total deposits, and our expectation is that this percentage remains relatively stable in the near term. Broker deposits declined $315 million during the quarter as growth in client-focused deposits consistent with our long-term strategy remains sufficient to satisfy desired near-term balance sheet demands. Over the second quarter, $329 million will mature with an average rate of 5.3%, and we do anticipate replacing a portion of these deposits. As expected, our modeled earning at risk was consistently quarter as proactive measures taken over the last 18 months to achieve a more neutral position at this stage of the rate cycle have produced the intended outcome. It's important to note these are measures of net interest income sensitivity and do not include inevitable rate-driven changes in loan volumes or fee-based income. Consistent with previously communicated intent to resume cash flow investments during 2024, we purchased nearly $600 million in agency-backed securities during the quarter with an average coupon of 6%. We do anticipate reinvesting $60 million to $80 million of quarterly cash flows over the duration of the year, which will improve securities yield while maintaining target rate positioning. Net interest margin increased by 10 basis points this quarter and net interest income increased modestly to $215 million. The impacts of balance sheet repositioning into higher earning assets associated with our long-term strategy, coupled with continued momentum, Rob described in our fee-generating businesses, should continue over the next few quarters as we look to resume year-over-year quarterly PPNR growth in the second half of the year. Year-over-year quarterly adjusted noninterest expense declined $1.6 million, a direct result of the systematic realignment of our expense base with strategic priorities, which is delivering efficiencies associated with a more scalable operating model. Total adjusted noninterest expenses increased 6% linked quarter as Q1 salaries and benefits expense reflected increases of approximately $10.7 million in seasonal payroll and compensation-related expenses that peak in the quarter. The realization of structural efficiencies associated with our go-forward operating model are improving near-term financial performance, while also enabling continued specific investments to drive long-term capabilities. As industry-wide asset quality normalization continues, we continue our now multiyear posture of prudently building the reserve to both address known legacy concerns and in anticipation of inevitable credit impact of the elevated rate environment. The total allowance for credit loss, including off-balance sheet reserves increased $8 million on a linked quarter basis to $305 million, up $21 million year-over-year. The total allowance for credit loss to total LHI remained at 1.46% quarter-over-quarter. Criticized loans increased $121 million or 16% in the quarter to $860 million, 4.1% of total LHI, as increases in both special mention and substandard of predominantly commercial real estate loans were only partially offset by payoffs and upgrades. The composition of criticized loans is weighted towards well-structured commercial real estate loans supported by strong sponsors plus commercial clients with dependencies on consumer discretionary income. As consistently noted on prior calls, commercial real estate credit migration is something we both expect and are prepared for through strict adherence to disciplined client selection and concentration management. During the quarter, we recognized net charge-offs of $10.8 million or 22% of average LHI, predominantly related to partial charge-offs on three relationships, two of which were originated prior to 2018. The charge-offs are comprised of two commercial credits depending on consumer discretionary income and a previously charged down hospitality loan, which was unable to fully recover post the pandemic. Consistent with prior quarter's capital levels remain at or near the top of the industry and continue to be near all-time highs for Texas Capital. Total regulatory capital remains exceptionally strong relative to the peer group and our internally assessed risk profile. CET1 finished the quarter at 12.38%, a 27 basis point decrease from prior quarter, intangible common equity to tangible assets finished at 9.83%. As we enter the second quarter, the outstanding debt associated with the 2021 credit linked note related to the mortgage warehouse loan portfolio, is expected to be fully repaid in June. Current quarter CET1 pro forma impact for this repayment is an approximate 40 basis point decline. With the seasonal increase in mortgage finance balances in the second and third quarter, we expect ending period ratios to move closer toward our published 2024 CET1 floor of 11%. We continue to deploy the capital base in a disciplined and analytically rigorous manner focused on driving long-term shareholder value. During the first quarter, we repurchased approximately 529,000 shares or 1.1% of shares outstanding at year-end 2023 for a total of $32 million at a weighted average price below tangible book value per share. Subsequently, in April, we purchased an additional 341,000 shares for a total of $20 million at a weighted average price of approximately 96% of prior month tangible book value per share. Our guidance accounts for the market-based forward rate curve, which now assumes Fed funds of 5% exiting the year. Despite the material change in rate outlook, our guidance remains unchanged from our last earnings call in January. For the full year, we anticipate mid-single-digit growth in revenue supported by continued execution across fee income areas of focus and the tapering of capital recycling efforts which should translate sustained momentum in new client acquisition to modest risk appropriate loan growth. This is in part supported by a well-signaled intent to move towards 11% CET1 ratio which given our risk-weighted asset heavy commercial orientation should still result in sector-leading tangible common equity levels. We expect multiyear investments in infrastructure, data and process improvements to continue yielding expected operating and financial efficiencies which should enable targeted additional investment in talent and capabilities while limiting full year noninterest expense growth to low single digits. We expect resumption of quarterly increases in year-over-year PPNR growth to begin in the second half of the year accelerating as we enter 2025. Finally, we maintain our conservative outlook and reiterate our annual provision expense guidance at 50 basis points of LHI, excluding mortgage finance. Operator, we'd now like to open the call up for questions. Thank you.