Julie Anderson
Analyst · KBW
Thanks, Keith. My comments will cover slides 6 through 12. Our reported NIM increased by 22 basis points from the first quarter. The change in earning asset mix accounted for a portion of the increase. The decrease of almost 900 million in average liquidity assets since the first quarter accounted for approximately 15 basis points of the improvement and that was offset by the seasonality impact from mortgage finance, which was negative to NIM by about 14 basis points. So net 11 basis points of positive impact to the NIM from earning asset shifts with the remainder coming from improvement in earning asset margins. Our traditional LHI yields were up 33 basis points from the first quarter, reflecting continued impact of moves in LIBOR and a good strong loan fee quarter. As we noted in the first quarter, we benefit as one month LIBOR has increased relative to Fed funds rate. Recently LIBOR spread to Fed fund seems to be slowing some. Our asset betas continued to be as expected. Our continued loan growth can mute rate impact somewhat as new loans may not be coming on at the same effective rate as the overall portfolio yields, but that can vary some by loan type. We experienced continued improvement in yield on mortgage finance loans in the second quarter with LIBOR moving up, but that industry remains competitive and we will evaluate relationships as needed. We had a slight linked quarter increase in average deposits from the first quarter. Our overall deposit cost increased by 15 basis points from 66 basis points in Q1 to 81 basis points in Q2. The increase was expected as Q1 numbers only included a few days of the March Fed funds move on index deposits, similarly Q2 only includes a few days of the June move. Additionally, we continue to see a pickup in magnitude of rate change request, but not more than expected. We have a continued solid deposit topline, but as we've said in the past, it can involve a long sales cycle, so difficult to forecast exact timing, it can be lumpy in how it comes on and most of it is interest bearing. During the second quarter, we chose to layer in approximately $1 billion of traditional brokered CDs as we were able to lock in 6 and 12 month maturities at a cost slightly less than our index deposits. While use of the brokered CDs makes sense from a balance sheet management perspective, we don't plan to use an outsized amount of brokered CDs going forward. Floored loans are now around 110 million and it's fairly irrelevant at this point, because there's no significant difference in rates on floored and un-floored loans. As a reminder, approximately 70% of our floating rate loans are tied to LIBOR and over 80% of that tied to 30-day LIBOR. As Keith commented, we had a continued good traditional LHI growth in the quarter and actually a little higher than expected. Year to date, it remains consistent with our annual guidance. Traditional LHI average balances grew 3% from the first quarter and up 16% from this year -- from this time last year. Strong growth in June with ending balance above average provides a good start for the second half of 2018. The level of payoffs continues to be high, primarily in CRE and no sign that that will flow. Continued strong average total mortgage finance balances were impacted favorably by seasonality, but also were up from last year at this time by almost 38%. Q3 volumes are expected to be good, but less than Q2 and followed by a seasonally lower Q4. There was some pickup in linked quarter average total deposits with all of that growth coming in interest bearing. As we continue to say, we do expect most and probably all of the 2018 growth to come from interest bearing categories, but still at reasonable overall effective cost. As I noted earlier, we chose to add some traditional brokered CDs during the second quarter. They have 6 and 12 month maturities and pricing is very favorable as compared to our index deposits. Primarily, interest bearing deposits in the top line, but we're also working hard on maintaining and growing existing relationships. Again, asset betas are an important part of the story for us and why we feel good about our balance sheet positioning going forward. We have seen our asset betas perform as expected. We're continuing to react to specific customer situations, evaluating them on a total relationship basis and just to note that our index deposit categories still total approximately 5 billion in balances. Moving on to non-interest expense and looking at changes in linked quarter non-interest expense, we are effectively slowing our core expenses, but there are a few items of note that require some additional commentary. I'll start with the salaries and employee benefits line as that’s obviously the major driver of our non-interest expense as it’s over 50% of the total and we think we're doing a good job of managing this with a lower level of FTE additions year to date. There's an increase in non-LTI and annual incentive pool from first quarter levels and that's driven by the annual incentive accrual, which generally continues to ramp throughout the year, based on overall financial performance. Very little fluctuation in FAS 123R expense in the second quarter compared to the first quarter and no -- as there were no major fluctuations in stock price. As a reminder, total FAS 123R expense in 2017 of 22 million versus our planned 123R expense of 24 million in 2018. Q1 and Q2 FAS 123R expense was 5.6 million. Legal and other professional was abnormally high in the second quarter with some nonrecurring expenses, but expected to return to a more normalized level in Q3. There was about 2.5 million in Q2 that's not normal run rate and we wouldn't expect to see that in Q3 and Q4. We discussed a new variable component added during Q1 that is directly related to deposit services and that accounted for a little over 1 million of the increase for from Q1 to Q2. We would expect to see the same 1 million to 1.5 million increase in each of the next two quarters, but on a base excluding the 2.5 million that I mentioned. A portion of the marketing category is variable in nature and is tied to growth in deposit balances as well as increases in rate. The trend in marketing over the last year or so is representative of the increase in run rate expected throughout the rest of 2018. We continue to be targeted about expense growth and heading into 2019 planning season, that will be even more evident. No new outsized build out plans for ’19, but rather a focus on improving returns in all lines of business. Our efficiency ratio for Q2 was 53%, slightly improved from first quarter of 54% and compares favorably to last year at this time of 55%. Obviously, seasonality for mortgage finance positively impacts our efficiency ratio in the second quarter. Moving on to asset quality, despite the outsized provision and charge-offs, asset quality continues to be good. Non-accrual levels are at an acceptable rate of 37 basis points of total LHI. As we've discussed previously, the additional provision and charge-offs were related to four larger C&I credit. One energy, two leveraged healthcare and one general C&I with a unique situation. None of the four give us a reason to believe that there's a more systemic issue within the portfolio. As you know, we take credit very seriously and are as focused as ever on maintaining our standards of credit quality. Expect Q3 and Q4 provision levels to be more normalized, but it is important to note that as we've grown, we're doing larger deals and when we see migration, it can cause lumpiness in provision levels from quarter to quarter. The provision of 27 million for Q2 compares to 12 million in Q1 and 13 million in Q2 of last year. Of the 27 million, about 7 million of the provision this quarter was related to new loan growth and that was a little higher than we expected as we had strong growth late in the quarter. Charge-offs for the quarter totaled 38 million and included 14 million related to energy. And looking at net revenue, we continue to have good growth linked quarter. Strong traditional LHI growth year-to-date and the entire portfolio has benefited from improved margins as a result of the continued move in LIBOR. We continue to take market share away in mortgage finance as well. ROE and ROA levels were penalized in the second quarter as a result of the higher level of provisioning. The expectation is that ROE will continue to improve through the remainder of 2018. The benefit from interest rate moves continues to be evident in net interest income and positively impacting ROE and ROA. Current lower liquidity levels have been beneficial for ROA, but we're comfortable with holding higher liquidity levels and we would expect balanced increases over the next two quarters, as mortgage finance moves into the seasonally weaker part of the year. Last, I’ll talk about the 2018 outlook and any changes. We have no change in our outlook for traditional LHI growth of low to mid-teens percent growth. There's a slight change in our outlook for mortgage finance growth of mid-single digit percent growth. Additionally, a slight change in MCA guidance to 1.2 billion for average outstandings for 2018, despite the fact that that market continues to be highly competitive. In total deposits, we have a slight change as we think growth will be in low teens, the low teens percent growth. We still expect to see more growth in interest bearing categories and continued shift from non-interest bearing to interest bearing. We're comfortable funding seasonally higher mortgage finance balances with short term borrowings, which is perfectly match funded. The deposit growth can be lumpy, which can mean that liquidity levels can vary from quarter to quarter. For NIM, we're improving our outlook to 3.6% to 3.7% to include the impact from the June rate move. The guidance is still assuming no additional rate increases in 2018. We're also taking into consideration that our deposit growth is coming in interest bearing and that also assumes that we have liquidity levels higher than the second quarter level. Improved outlook for net revenue to mid to high teens percent growth to reflect the impact from the rate move in Q2, no change in our provision guidance at low to mid $60 million level, the second quarter was outsized as a result of the four deals and we expect the more normalized levels in Q3 and Q4. We're updating the guidance for non-interest expense to low teens percent growth, primarily related to some of the variable cost I’ve previously discussed. No change in guidance for efficiency ratio, it's still remained in low-50s. Keith?