Julie Anderson
Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead
Thanks Peter. I'm sure that review was probably a little more glowing than it needed to be but, well jumping to the details now. I'll start with slide six. We reported net interest margin that increased by 28 basis points from the first quarter. We continue to see asset sensitivity confirmed in our analysis of yields and costs. More efficient use of excess liquidity and funding the seasonally strong mortgage finance volumes, which had a significant impact on our NIM and net interest income. The seasonal reduction in DDA that we experienced in the first quarter has come back some, but we've also learned some additional factors at work in the first quarter, including some significant asset sales by customers which take some time to rebuild. While average DDA has not returned to Q4 levels, ending [Indiscernible] balance is very comparable to year-end balance. We continue to see deposit growth in DDA in interest-bearing. With the rate move in June, we still have not changed our stated rate and are only reacting to individual customer request and then evaluating based on overall relationship. After the most recent increase, the pace of change will be greater than what was experienced in Q1 and Q2, but funding cost should continue to lag in both rate and timing. We have seen overall deposit cost increased by only six basis points from 32 basis points in the first quarter to 38 basis points in Q2. The increased rate has also reduced the loans subject to floors to slightly less than $1 billion at the end of June, that's down from $1.4 billion at the end of March and $1.8 billion at the end of the year, and $2.4 billion at this time last year. The yields on traditional LHI have increased by 19 basis points from Q1 and up 37 basis points from this time last year. Traditional LHI yields are tracking very closely with changes in 30-day LIBOR since the end of the year. As a reminder, approximately 70% of our floating rate loans are tied to LIBOR and about 80% of that total is tied to 30-day LIBOR. Significant loan growth experienced in the second quarter did reduce the impact from rate increases as new loans are not being put on at the same effective rate as the portfolio yield which has reflected a great mix. Yield on our total mortgage finance loans increased from 3.46% in the first quarter to 3.59% in the second quarter. Move on to slide seven, as Keith and Peter both noted, we have record traditional LHI growth in the quarter, but certainly that's a new quarterly run rate. Traditional LHI average balances grew by 7% from the first quarter and up 14% from this time last year. We saw strong growth in the final days of the quarter with ending balance above average by $560 million. We're continuing to fill the high levels of pay off the second quarter. Total mortgage finance, we saw a strong rebound in mortgage finance balances, which increased 42% from first quarter and up 10% from this time last year. As we talked about in the past, the second quarter is typically seasonally strong for the volume and with the lower levels in Q1 from the seasonal trends and lower refinance activity, we continue the reduction in our participation commitments from slightly over $600 million at the end of the first quarter to approximately $350 million at the end of this quarter. Our period end outstanding participation balances are consistent at the end of Q1 and Q2 at around $230 million with the average of 3.78% in the first quarter and 2.83% in the second quarter. There was very little change for participation levels from Q1 volume increases, but it was very beneficial to our future growth that commitment levels were reduced prior to the start of Q2. Move on to slide eight, we experienced a good linked quarter improvement in DDA and we're still expecting continued growth for the remainder of 2017. The rising rates we've seen no change in stated rate to the four increases, but have seen some migration to interest-bearing from DDA balances, reacting to specific customer situations and generally in response to competitive pressure. We continue to have only two major deposit categories moving in tandem with Fed rates and that's approximately $4 billion to $4.5 billion in balances. We do expect some impact from the June and any subsequent increases, which as we've said in the past, is not particularly concerning based on the composition of the asset of our balance sheet, which is basically 95% float. On to slide nine, we talk about non-interest expense. Excluding the $5.3 million technology write-off, non-interest expense was flat compared to Q1 levels. In Q2 -- in Q1, we were starting an incentive accrual, so it always resulted in increase in Q2 as the accrual ramps throughout the year. But the increase from Q1 to Q2 was less than offsetting decrease from the seasonal payroll items like FICA experienced in Q1. In the quarter, we saw minimal changes in FAS 123R expense compared to Q1, with no changes in the overall expected 2017 expense for FAS 123R of approximately $19 million compared to a planned level of about $16 million last year. As we talked about last quarter, quarterly and annual cost can still vary with the change in stock price, but is not as variable as viewed with the full year perspective. Continued buildout of 2015 and 2016 initiatives have been a major factor on our non-interest expense. The growth levels peaked in the fourth quarter of 2016 as that was the full -- first full quarter of all growth initiatives, reflective and significant non-interest expense increases from Q2 2016, but moderating over the remainder of 2017. All of our new and expanding lines of business continue to be profitable during Q2 and contributed to the Q2 loan growth. With our strong warehouse balances and net revenue impact, the efficiency ratio improved in the second quarter to 55.4% and it was 52.8%, excluding the technology write-off. On to slide 10, a few comments. Strong growth with net revenue increasing 12% and net income increasing 20% from the first quarter with significant loan growth both in traditional LHI and total mortgage finance. The positive impact went into the third quarter was strong earnings asset base and favorable comp position. The impact of elevated provision on ROE and ROA was a principal factor in the result for most of 2016 with a much improved outlook in 2017, which we're starting to see in Q2 as mortgage finance volumes have rebounded from seasonal lows in Q1. Our provisioning in Q2 as a result of the significant traditional LHI growth also impacted ROE. ROE was back over 10% related to our higher net revenue and reasonable provision levels and was 10.79% before the impact of the technology write-off. Last point that I'll cover is slide 11 and we'll talk about guidance. We've made some updates. The outlook for traditional LHI has improved with the Q2 results, but Q2 again is not representative of a new quarterly run rate. Until the benefits from our pro-growth economic policies become realized, we continue to be cautious about economic trends, but no signs of anything negative at this point. Guidance has increased to low double-digit and that's before any potential benefit from the strengthening of economy. We still expect the average balance for total mortgage loans for the remainder of 2017 to be close to $4.4 billion, but we have had some shift between mortgage finance, the warehouse, and MCA. Q2 warehouse levels were better than originally expected and some lift and expectations for the remainder of the year bringing that average for the year to $3.6 billion to $3.8 billion. We previously guided MCA growth to $1.2 billion average balance for 2017, but are reviving that to $900 million as a result of shorter hold times. The income and balance sheet are managed to optimize results and that suggest reduced hold periods in average balances that will not adversely affect the total expected profitability for the year. With the introduction of MCA, we'll see total mortgage loans above 2016 levels compared to significantly negative industry trend. For total deposits, we've decreased from a low teens growth in held total deposits to mid-single-digits. We expect continued growth in deposit slightly less than originally forecasted based on the additional information about the composition of some of our Q1 declines and our plan to manage relative to loan growth for a more balanced position. We could see some mix shift from non-interest bearing to interest bearing over the remainder of the year. While liquidity levels will increase not as dramatic -- will not be as dramatic of an increase, will be favorable to NIM and to non-interest income with the increase in total loans. The outlook for core NIM has increased reflecting the fact that the year-to-date performance have exceeded our guidance and will derive additional benefit from the June increase. We expect the impact of liquidity assets to be less significant going forward; we deleted the additional NIM referenced to -- excluding liquidity. We are increasing the guidance for reported NIM to a new range of 3.35% to 3.45%, that's up from 3.25% to 3.35% previously. The outlook for net revenue has improved with the improvement in volume and NIM. We're now at mid-teen percent growth, slightly better than the previous range of low to mid-teens. Based on the actual provision expense we've had year-to-date, we are revising full year guidance to low to mid $50 million level. We're still cautious about the economy which could affect provision levels later in the year and guidance is assumed to -- we've assumed a continued general stability in energy sector, but no meaningful change in economic outlook. The changes in non-interest expense, the levels maintained in Q2 are consistent with our previous guidance. We do expect some slight improvement in efficiency ratio, and we're updating low to mid 50, improved from mid 50s and that's as a result of the expected improvements in net revenue. Keith, I'll turn it back to you.