Peter Bartholow
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Thank you, Keith. Keith mentioned that we had great performance in the second quarter. The Company produced net income of $39 million and EPS of $0.78. Keith has addressed that provision increased from $30 million in Q1 to $16 million in Q2. This was consistent with the previous guidance and obviously a key factor in the improvement in operating results. But we also experienced strong growth in net revenue. The growth in traditional held-for-investment loans and total MFL balances, including MCA, represented meaningful improvements in market share position relative to peers. MCA is on track to building average balances provided in previous guidance. Increases in net interest income and net revenue from Q1 were 8.5% and 9.6%, respectively, driven by both loan growth and an expansion in NIM by 5 basis points. Demand deposits on an average basis grew 15%, and total deposits increased 8%. Deposit growth returned to more normal trends after the Q1 seasonal weaknesses that we discussed in April. The DDA balance growth in Q2 on average basis was equal to total loan growth, including mortgage finance balances. Loan growth was very good and consistent with guidance that we gave in Q2, earlier in Q2, and compared to Q1. Traditional LHI grew by 3%. Mortgage finance, warehouse and MCA combined grew a total of $750 million. And as planned, year-over-year growth in total LHI has moderated 7.6%. Importantly and as expected, year-over-year growth and total LHI was less than ROE levels and the percentage growth in common equity. Net interest margin -- net interest margin we experienced improved yields on traditional held-for-investment loans and strong growth in mortgage finance contribution. We saw improvement in yields by 10 basis points, that was a benefit of loan fees, including syndication fees, return to more normal levels, overcoming the contraction in yield resulting from the growth in the portfolio. Improved spread and loan yields to funding cost produced both the increase in reported NIM and in our NIM adjusted for liquidity assets. Growth in liquidity assets to 16% of running assets did reduce NIM by 3 basis points, with a minor benefit to net interest income. Total impacted NIM of liquidity asset growth is now 50 basis points, again with no adverse effect on net interest income. Yield trends have actually remained quite favorable, especially given the magnitude of growth and the competitive environment in which we operate. On Slide 8, as noticed - as noted, we experienced growth of 3% in average balances from Q1 to Q2 and 12% year over year in traditional held-for-investment loans, representing very solid growth consistent, as I said, with our guidance, and reflecting also a high level of pay-down activity and declining contributions in growth rates from both CRE and energy. Total energy related loans, as Keith mentioned, were flat at quarter-end. And for the last half of 2016 we expect further reductions in the rate of growth in the contribution from CRE which grew only slightly in Q2. Texas Capital maintains a very strong position in the mortgage finance business. Loan balances grew 18%, after the increases in participation sold. We increased participation sold to $840 million at quarter-end at an average balance of $650 million, on total commitments now of $1.2 billion. Mortgage finance loans represented 26% of average total loans, up slightly from Q1. We think it's important to note that we are effectively managing a much larger mortgage finance business, close to $6 billion in total loans, while limiting concentration on the balance sheet. Average MCA balances grew slightly to -- good percentage-wise, but in dollar terms, slightly to $158 million. It is consistent with guidance and on a path to the substantially higher average balances in coming quarters. And also mortgage finance as significant business continues to generate good deposit levels. On Slide 9, again deposit growth was exceptionally good in the second quarter. We saw a reversal of the trend -- seasonal trend we experienced in Q1, and produced a meaningful, although just a few basis points, in the context of our funding profile, a good reduction in funding costs. Growth in June 30 is actually net of $300 million and a single deposit product in which operating costs were too high in the low rate environment we endure. We will see some expense benefit in the second half resulting from the elimination of that product set. Funding cost in terms of rate were down slightly, again due to the growth of DEA [ph]. The aggregate cost of deposits with very low-cost branch strategy provide very favorable spreads even without increase in short-term rates. For the reasons mentioned of loan growth and deposit structure, the degree of asset sensitivity increased again in the second quarter. Non-interest expense trends improved modestly and we experienced a small improvement in operating leverage, with the rate of growth in net revenue greater than the rate of growth in core and IE. Even with the linked quarter increase in 123R expense of $2.8 million, we experienced a small reduction in the efficiency ratio. Non-interest expense includes a quarterly operating loss of $1.6 million from MCA; that's $1.2 million in operating losses before an MSR charge of $400,000. That compares to the loss in Q1 of $2.5 million. As noted earlier, the trends in core NIE are modestly improved from previous guidance. Slide 11, core operating results were good, obviously. The return on assets and return on equity improved, from -- obviously from the reduction in provision, along with the growth in net revenue and the much smaller loss in MCA. We believe the results demonstrate the opportunity for significant improvement over the remainder of 2016. Turning to Slide 12 and the 2016 outlook. We have no change in our outlook for traditional held for investments. Reflects the planned reduction, as mentioned, in growth rates for CRE and the probable net contraction of the energy portfolio. We also expect the continuation of relatively high levels of general pay-down activity in the last half. Growth in MFLs in Q2, coupled with an improved industry outlook, resulted in a minor change in guidance, eliminating the possibility that loans could actually be flat for the year. We are continuing to manage the portfolio concentration and expect participation balances to increase over the remainder of the year. MCA is still expected to be profitable for all of 2016, with average balances in excess of $300 million for the year. We are increasing the guidance for growth in total deposits to low to mid teens. The stronger growth in Q2 overcame the effect of planned reductions that I mentioned earlier. Growth as a percent of -- growth as a percent and dollars will again exceed the growth in total LHI by more than had been indicated in prior quarters, thereby increasing the average balance of liquidity assets. The outlook for core NIM is generally unchanged, though the performance in Q2 exceeded our guidance. Before the impact of liquidity assets, again 3.5% to 3.6%. And for reported NIM, the range of 3% to 3.2% is wider due to the high variability in the level of liquidity assets. The outlook for growth in net revenue and net -- non-interest expense both changed slightly, shows low to mid-teens growth, primarily related to better information about MCA activity, again without changing our view that MCA should be profitable for the full year. The efficiency ratio, we now expect low to mid 50s, so, slight improvement from prior guidance, from mid-50s, that we provided in April. The ratio is actually about 54% in Q2 before the impact of 123R expense from the change in stock price. Reversal of the MCA loss will improve operating leverage. Our guidance is related to core NIE not including any impact of changes in 123R expense that are tied to stock price movement. Provisioning expense in Q2, as Keith mentioned, is reflective of our view that the full-year provision could still fall within guidance. Given some continuing uncertainty on the pace of economic growth generally and some additional exposure to energy credit migration, we think it's appropriate to show a wider range of mid-60s to mid-70s million dollars. While we believe that the increased allowance already allocated to energy is sufficient to address exposure to actual loss, the timing of charge-offs can be difficult to predict. As you know, we had a slightly larger charge-off ratio in Q2. In the natural progression, as Keith mentioned, of events following the downturn in this industry, we may find it appropriate to reflect write-downs in a way that could affect the net charge-off ratio without implying a change in our view of total loss exposure. Charge-offs related to energy represent a substantial majority of the total charge-offs year to date, which means that even minor charges in other categories could cause the ratio to exceed 25 basis points. Keith?