Keith Cargill
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thank you, Heather. Good afternoon. We welcome you to our fourth quarter 2015 earnings call. After my initial comments, Peter Bartholow will share his review, and I’ll close our presentation before opening the call for Q&A. Let’s begin with Slide 3. We delivered healthy traditional LHI growth, with a 3.5% linked quarter increase, and 18% increase from Q4 2014. Although expected the seasonally soft fourth quarter in mortgage finance showed a decline in average loans, largely offsetting the solid growth in non-mortgage financed LHI. Demand deposits were up 2% from Q3 and increased 34% from Q4 2014. The Texas Capital organic growth model remains strong. While earnings for Q4 were good, the continued build-out expenses of Mortgage Correspondent Aggregation and Private Wealth Advisors weighed on the quarterly earnings, along with the soft quarter in the traditional mortgage finance. Also the increase in non-performing loans, primarily from our energy portfolio, added to the earnings headwinds. Despite these challenges, we showed quarterly earnings per share of $0.70, down slightly from $0.75 in the third quarter, when mortgage finance is seasonally much stronger, and NPAs much slower. Underlying core earnings power continues to grow as we deal with energy and build-out costs. For Q4 and the year, we recorded net charge-offs of 7 basis points and 10 basis points respectively. We believe Texas Capital continues to build on our reputation as a top performing credit quality bank, as evidenced by these modest loan losses in 2015. We remain dedicated to disciplined underwriting even when faced with overly aggressive market competition and insist on diligent portfolio management, requiring early identification of problems and prompt thoughtful action to mitigate losses. On that note, let’s move to our energy update on Slide 4. I will begin by noting that of the 10 basis points in loan losses in 2015, we had no losses in energy. The discipline our energy and credit teams demonstrated in 2013 and 2014 resulted in Texas Capital making a relatively few new energy loans during the two years preceding the oil price decline. Essentially, our dollars outstanding of energy loans were flat for three successive years. The competition for energy loans in 2013 and 2014 appeared irrational to our bankers and credit officers. In hindsight, this proved to be true. While we continue to see energy loans migrate to classified and nonaccrual status, thus far our energy clients have worked very hard to reduce costs and pay down their loans with us. Because we also chose to avoid loans to energy service companies that are closely involved in drilling and completion activities, we’ve reduced credit exposure outside of the E&P reserve-based clients. Thus far we have experienced no charge-offs. Our E&P clients are better protected from the price decline because 73% of our oil clients have accretive hedges in place throughout 2016. Also our E&P clients were selected by us, in part due to their oil production exhibiting on average a long half life of over six years. A long time horizon on their oil production provides a reduced risk of price decline cycles. We have a direct client relationship with the majority of our energy portfolio clients, as opposed to SNC loans. Our clients are experienced operators and understand the importance of hedging, developing long life production, and moving quickly to reduce costs in a price decline cycle. By working with our bankers, the energy clients have not avoided the problems from this precipitous price decline, but have thus far remained cooperative and diligent in navigating the challenging environment, resulting again in no charge-offs to date for Texas Capital. To update you on recent developments with our E&P clients, we’re now seeing operating cost declines show up across the portfolio. Recently, these lower operating expenses have offset to a degree the impact of lower revenues from price declines. It takes months for these costs to be lowered and evidenced in the income statement, so that we are able to give value to the cost reductions. Through the most recent redetermination analysis, relatively little credit for cost reduction was allowed, but it should have a significantly more positive impact on borrowing base values in the upcoming spring redeterminations. Let me give you a quick update to you on what’s transpired with our energy commitments and outstandings since the redeterminations. Commitments have dropped $180 million, or 14%. Outstandings have declined by $137 million, or 15%. We have found new opportunities that are excellent and underwritten to today’s environment that totaled $121 million in new commitments and $99 million outstanding. Now, let’s talk a minute about the details on our energy performing and non-performing credits. Energy non-accruals have increased to $120.4 million. Criticized and classified, energy loans totaled 17% with 11% classified. Risk grade migration is expected to continue. We believe the reserve for loan losses at above 3% of our loans directly exposed to commodity price risk is an appropriate and adequate reserve at present. As you will see in our 2016 guidance, we plan to continue building our reserve at an elevated level of provisioning. Now please refer to Slide 6, titled Houston market risk real estate. Two activities caused a $65 million increase from Q3 to Q4. First, we financed a multifamily project for $37 million and that was completed and had reached stabilized lease up. This loan will likely be sold or refinanced and paid off during 2016. Second, the balance of the $65 million increase was simply continuing advances on CRE projects under construction. You will note that we have had $9.2 million in Houston CRE move to pass – from pass rather to special mention and $281,000 downgraded to substandard. Currently, we have no Houston market risk CRE in non-accrual status. While Houston CRE remains under close oversight, we’re pleased with the current health of the portfolio at present. Overall market intelligence indicates industrial and retail CRE remains strong in Houston. Office and multifamily appear to be softening. Single-family housing remains strong at an inventory of only three months supply. However, homebuilders are being cautious, moving into 2016 and anticipate softening demand and less new home construction. Net new job growth in Houston of over 21,000, during 2015, is expected to continue at a similar pace in 2016. Turning to Slide 7, we’ll give you an update on our first 90 plus days since launching the mortgage correspondent aggregation business, or MCA. We lost this new business as we entered the seasonally soft fourth quarter for our mortgage banking clients. Always enjoying a new challenge, we also encountered the rollout of the new federal mortgage regulation known as TRID. Essentially TRID put in place new disclosure requirements for consumers closing on a mortgage. As anticipated, the new TRID requirements created a significant slowdown in mortgage volume and an increase in mortgage defects, both contributing to a slower volume build in our new MCA business. As with all new business launches, we have also been busy eliminating technology bugs we missed in the pre-launch testing. All in all we’re very pleased with the quality of the mortgages we are purchasing and the steady improvements and efficiency we are achieving. Having focused during the initial launch phase on mandatory mortgage products, we are now targeting later this quarter to initiate buying best efforts mortgage volume. The new best efforts mortgages should offer more attractive profit margins than solely buying mandatory product. Finally, we expect to reach a profitable run rate in MCA late in the second quarter or early in the third quarter of this year with a net earnings contribution in the last half of the year. Not only will MCA improve the overall capital efficiency of the combined mortgage finance business, it is expected to be highly profitable as we improve its operating efficiency and volume. Peter?