Matt Chambless
Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Boyd, and good afternoon, everyone. A stubborn decision environment drove light bookings this quarter, but should not obscure from what was fundamental a strong quarter for CPSI. Perhaps most importantly, we view the lightness in bookings this quarter as a short-term blip caused by a momentary lack of urgency in decision-making. That thesis is supported by our internal measures of our pipeline. We show pipeline growth from 12/31/18 to 03/31/19 that outpaces the sequential decline in bookings. Secondly, our efforts to right size our cost structure appear to have been effectively timed, allowing CPSI to preserve profitability in the face of revenue fluctuations, with nearly all profitability metrics continuing to outperform respective metric averages since our acquisition of Health Plan and leading to a 5% year-over-year growth in non-GAAP EPS, despite a slight decrease in revenues. While on the subject of cost containment, we're pleased to announce that to date we have decisioned and actioned all $10 million of the cost savings identified during 2018, and those benefits have begun to flow through our income statement beginning in the first quarter. We continuously turn the microscope around on ourselves to find ways to further optimize our resources, and we're excited to announce that those efforts have resulted in an additional $3 million of annual savings identified during 2019, with the potential for more to come. Again, the entire $3 million has been decisioned and actioned and benefits are expected to begin flowing through the financials as early as the second quarter of this year. At a high level, the income statement was slightly mixed versus the prior year, with revenue down slightly while the aforementioned focus on resource allocation allow for adjusted EBITDA to effectively hold steady, with EPS expanding organically. Sequential declines in revenues and profitability were as expected, given the record level of new Thrive implementations during the fourth quarter of 2018. With regards to cash flow, the headwinds from financing receivables are indeed abating, with total revenues being effectively cash neutral during the first quarter of 2019, allowing for nearly 150% increase in cash flow from operations compared to the first quarter of 2018. On a trailing 12-month basis, we now boast nearly $29 million of operating cash flows, compared to $17 million on a trailing 12-month basis at this time last year. This improved strength in cash flows has allowed us to reduce our bank debt by $18 million since March 31, 2018, with $7 million of that reduction coming in the past quarter. This use of cash to accelerate our delever strategy has been with a target leverage ratio of two-and-a-half times in mind and all for the purpose of creating flexibility to enable more opportunistic capital allocation in the future. With the addition of Get Real Health to our portfolio of companies, we've been faithful to the strategy we laid out in October 2017. As Boyd mentioned in his prepared remarks, GRH brings with it a portfolio of products and technologies that we can leverage to accelerate the growth of TruBridge with greater focus on the patient while adding exponentially to our international relationships, particularly in the Canadian market. GRH serves as a prime example of the incremental tuck-in opportunities that are out there for us and we're excited to see this new strategic direction take off. Given the recent increased demand worldwide for patient engagement solutions, Get Real Health's growth prospects for 2019 and beyond are significant. However, the timing and deal structure of many large opportunities in the pipeline are problematic in providing guidance on 2019 GRH financial performance. As you likely saw in our 8-K filing, the deal earn-out structure provides incentive for capture of this pipeline under both SaaS and license terms. To reiterate Boyd's comments, we expect the deal to be accretive on an adjusted EBITDA basis. Turning to some of the details for the quarter, total bookings disappointed, posting declines of 41% sequentially and 38% from the first quarter of 2018 as win rates remained relatively with consistent historical rates but an uncharacteristic lack of decision urgency set in among our acute-care EHR net new and TruBridge opportunities. TruBridge bookings hit a bump in the road after finishing 2018 with three consecutive quarters of sequential growth, with both new and add-on bookings for business services suffering from the anemic decision pace, resulting in a sequential 45% decline. Even with this road bump, year-over-year bookings were up 11%, albeit versus a relatively low comp. The software side of our business saw declines of 43% sequentially and 53% year over year as the slow decision dynamic had a severe impact on acute-care EHR net new bookings. Loss in the [indiscernible] of an otherwise disappointing bookings quarter was a strong showing by our post-acute segment for bookings of $1.4 million, with highest in two years and reflective of the resources we've devoted to revamping the product. Overall, live bookings in the quarter also led to a sequential $4 million decline in 12-month nonrecurring backlog as backlog fulfillment outpaced new bookings. Of the $9.7 million in system sales and support bookings, roughly $900,000 is included in our first-quarter revenues, $7.2 million represents nonsubscription sales that should trickle into revenue over the next 12 months, with an average lag between booking and install of five to six months. $1.6 million represents EHR subscription revenue to be recorded over a weighted average period of five years, with the start date in the next 12 months and similar to our nonsubscription sales, an average lag between booking and install of five to six months. Our $4.2 million of bookings from TruBridge are nearly all comprised of recurring revenues to be recorded over a one-year period starting in the next four to six months. Four customer sites went live with our Thrive acute care product compared to 12 in the previous quarter and five in the first quarter of 2018. As for licensing mix, one of this quarter's go live was under a cloud or subscription model, with the same holding true for both the previous quarter and the first quarter of 2018. At this time we expect seven new client facilities to go live with our Thrive solution in the second quarter of 2019 with three expected to go live in the cloud environment. Our employee headcount as of March 31 was roughly 2,014, relatively unchanged from the end of 2018. Turning to the income statement. TruBridge posted results that were up 3% sequentially and 3% over the first quarter of 2018. The strong bookings performance throughout 2018 for our TruBridge RCM solution resulted in strong showings for our insurance services division, with revenues increasing $500,000 or 7% sequentially and $800,000 or 11% year over year. Rounding up the revenue story compared to the previous quarter, our accounts receivable management, private pay and IT-managed services divisions saw combined increase of $700,000 largely offset by a $300,000 decrease in nonrecurring consulting revenue. These divisions saw a combined $1 million increase compared to the first quarter of 2018, effectively matched by a combined $1 million decrease in nonrecurring consulting revenues and volume-driven revenue declines for our medical coding services. Sequentially, volume-related costs related to certain third-party spend categories declined, allowing for margins to improve to 47% from 43% in the previous quarter and 45% in the first quarter of 2018. System sales and support revenues decreased $4 million sequentially as the previous quarter's eight-year record number of installations made for a tough comp. Year over year, quarterly revenues were down $2.5 million, with the largest factor being a $2 million decrease in MU3-related revenues decreasing from $4.4 million to $2.4 million. Our cost of system sales and support were effectively flat sequentially and year over year, and when coupled with the revenue declines noted above resulted in gross margins decreasing to 58% in the first quarter of 2019 from 61% in the previous quarter and 60% in the first quarter of 2018. Product development costs were up 3% sequentially and 5% year over year, driven by additional salary costs due to our strategic initiatives designed to improve provider adoption and clinical workflow and rejuvenate our post-acute offering. Sales and marketing cost decreased $400,000 as decreased implementation revenues drove commissions lower work while year-over-year cost decreased $200,000 behind reduced payroll cost. General and administrative cost increased $1.3 million from previous quarter. Severance and other nonrecurring costs increased of $900,000, driven by strategic initiatives such as our acquisition of GRH. Vacation utilization expense increased $1.1 million due to the seasonal dynamic of employee vacation time. Similarly, the expenses associated with our 401k [ph] match program increased $1 million due to seasonal dynamics that tend to force our annual expense largely into the first three quarters of the year. These cost increases were largely offset by reductions in employee health cost resulting from planned design changes contingent to drive down costs while still providing competitive benefits to our employees. Year-over-year costs are down $500,000 despite a $1.2 million increase in severance and other nonrecurring cost largely due to the aforementioned reduction in employee health cost, which were part of our $10 million cost savings initiative that we spoke to you during much of 2018. Lastly, our effective tax rate during the quarter was 23.3% as discrete items such as state notices from prior years, tax shortfalls from stock-based compensation and nondeductible costs associated with the GRH acquisition increased the effective rate by 5% collectively. In closing, when we look back at the first quarter, there were obviously some negatives and positives, but what has encouraged is that the negatives, mostly to our lighter-than-expected implementation calendar and a suddenly stubborn decision environment for bookings, are largely short-term phenomena. Conversely, the positives, with a big spotlight on the $10 million cost savings we identified during 2018 and incremental $3 million we're identified during 2019, are long-term canvas for improving profitability going forward. We're also emboldened by recent changes in the competitive landscape that in our view has resulted in a much less aggressive approach by some key competitors to the smaller hospital market, placing CPSI in an even stronger position to protect and grow our share. Lastly, although CPSI does not provide specific guidance, we have looked at our expectations for how the rest of the year will unfold, excluding the contributions of GRH, lighter-than-expected bookings during the first quarter make for headwinds against the top line for next quarter, while the timing of our annual national client conference in May should result in incremental general and administrative cost of $1 million to $1.5 million, creating headwinds against the bottom line for next quarter. However, better-than-expected cost savings, including the incremental $3 million identified and already actioned in 2019, combined with what's shaping up to be another back loaded schedule for new Thrive implementations, provides us with comfort that we will meet our full-year expectations as previously expressed and remain on track to hit our medium-term margin targets. And with that, we'd like to open up the line for questions.