Earnings Labs

TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI)

Q2 2017 Earnings Call· Mon, Jul 31, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Chantelle, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the TrueBlue Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions]. Thank you. Derrek Gafford, Chief Financial Officer, you may begin your conference.

Derrek Gafford

Analyst

Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to today's call. I'm here with our CEO, Steve Cooper. Before we begin, I want to remind everyone that today's call and slide presentation will contain several forward-looking statements, all of which are subject to risks and uncertainties, and we assume no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties, some of which are described in today's press release and in our SEC filings, could cause actual results to differ materially from those in our forward-looking statements. We use several non-GAAP measures when presenting our financial results. Please refer to the non-GAAP reconciliations in today's earnings release and on our website at trueblue.com under the Investor Relations section. Also, any comparisons made today are based on a comparison to the same period in the prior year, unless otherwise stated. Due to the reduction in the use of our services by Amazon, which was announced in 2016, we will continue to provide certain year-over-year comparisons, excluding this customer. We believe these comparisons are helpful in understanding the underlying business trends. I'll now turn the call over to Steve.

Steven Cooper

Analyst

Thank you, Derrek, and good afternoon, everyone. Our results this quarter were right in line with our expectations, with all of our segments falling within the growth outlook ranges provided as well as in-line results for adjusted EBITDA and net income. Total revenue for the quarter was $610 million, down 9% or down 5%, excluding Amazon. PeopleReady revenue declined 9%. Overall demand for U.S.-based industrial staffing has been challenging for the past year. And in addition, we are still experiencing some volume loss due to our disciplined pricing decisions associated with high minimum wage increases the past 2 quarters as well as temporary disruptions from certain operational changes related to moving our specialized staffing brands into one brand, PeopleReady. Over the past two to three quarters, we've moved our legacy brands onto one operating system and also realigned personnel roles within our one brand strategy. Demand has recently stabilized, although we have not returned to growth at PeopleReady. Our PeopleManagement segment declined 12% overall, yet delivered positive growth of 2% on an ex-Amazon basis. PeopleManagement is our segment focused on helping our larger clients be more productive in managing their employees using on-site management and productivity pricing models in manufacturing, distribution and transportation. We served Amazon from this segment, and now that we have substantially moved through that transition, we'll see diminishing revenue headwinds. PeopleScout came in at the high end of our expectation with a decline of 1%. Strong results from new business helped offset anticipated declines in existing customers. A key strategic focus in 2017 has been our pricing discipline, and this is evident in our results. We've been prioritizing long-term operating margin over simply expanding market share. I'm very pleased with the team's focus on disciplined bill rate adjustments to keep pace. For Q2, gross margin of…

Derrek Gafford

Analyst

Thank you, Steve. I'll begin my comments by reviewing our overall financial results, followed by a more in-depth discussion, including a look at each of our segments. I'll finish up with an update on our liquidity and outlook. For the second quarter of 2017, adjusted EBITDA of $31 million was within our outlook range of $29 million to $32 million. Gross margin was up year-over-year. We made continued progress in reducing operating expense, and the previously disclosed change in the Amazon relationship did not negatively impact our bottom line. Total revenue for the quarter of $610 million was within our outlook range of $600 million to $615 million. Revenue declined 9% or a decline of 5%, excluding Amazon. Intra-quarter trends were stable and consistent with trends for the full quarter. Revenue from Amazon was $8 million, consistent with Q1 this year, but down from $37 million a year ago. We expect Q3 2017 Amazon revenue to be similar to Q2 this year. Revenue from Amazon was $32 million in Q3 2016 and $34 million in Q4 of 2016. While we experienced a headwind from lower Amazon revenue, the relationship was not a headwind to adjusted EBITDA due to the lack of profit with this account in Q2 last year. This account was also not profitable in the back half of 2016. In addition to the Amazon relationship, the modest demand trend within the industrial staffing industry has created a headwind in our revenue results. Some customers have been taking a wait-and-see stance, looking for a catalyst within the broader economy or within their own business before billing certain positions. Given the slow demand environment, some competitors are not including a markup within their bill rates for wage increases in an attempt to capture additional market share. Our strategic focus emphasizes…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And your first question comes from the line of Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets.

Jeffrey Silber

Analyst

I was hoping if you can go through some of your intra-quarter trends in your different business lines and how things have been tracking so far in the third quarter.

Derrek Gafford

Analyst

Sure. From a revenue growth perspective, the trends were -- this is really a story of stability through the quarter. So whether we look at our total revenue trends or whether we look at our organic revenue trends, ex-Amazon, or go into our PeopleScout -- or rather, our PeopleManagement, I mean, it's a very stable quarter. So the growth trends that you see listed both for our total company as well as the segments, the monthly trends were right in alignment with what our full quarter results were.

Jeffrey Silber

Analyst

Okay. Great. I think, Steve, in your prepared remarks, when you were talking about the PeopleReady segment, I think you mentioned and maybe with Derrek, something about from a competitive perspective, some of your competitors not being willing to pass through some of the wage inflation. Has that changed in this past quarter? And do you expect that to subside a little bit? Or is that kind of business-as-usual going forward?

Steven Cooper

Analyst

Yes. Thank you, Jeff. Well, as well mentioned in our remarks, our strategy is to stay true to that principle of holding our margin strong in a period like this and that being demand being a little bit soft. Yes, in the competitive front, whether it be due to higher wage inflation or just the low demand environment, yes, we have competitors that chase that down and will chase volume and give up margin. And our analysis and where we stand in the marketplace that's not a smart decision for us right now. So as Derrek just mentioned, with things stabilizing during the quarter, we believe our strategy has set us up well that as demand picks up and our volumes pick up that our margins are in the right spot. So as your question stated, yes, that's continuing out there a bit.

Jeffrey Silber

Analyst

Okay. Great. And then just one more question regarding JobStack. I took a look at the app recently. It's a very intriguing app. I know one of the things you mentioned was potentially changing the demographic aspect of your workforce. I know it's still early, but can you comment on -- are you able to tap into a potentially younger workforce, maybe being able to put those people in jobs that you can't put your traditional workforce in right now?

Steven Cooper

Analyst

Yes, definitely, Jeff. Thank you for that question. Strategically, this approaching the workforce with an app or any sort of digital mechanism lowers our average demographic of our worker. We have a market that we did some social media advertising in, and the candidate that brought forward for us was 20 years younger on average. And the demographic between male, female shifted drastically. So we know that it's possible. We know that, that workforce is there. They just want us to meet them where they are, and that just happens to be on their phone. And so we're well down the path. We're bringing our branches on at a pretty high rate because the technology's sound. And mostly, what we are working on is the change that takes place within our own employees of how the business is transacted. So our rollout is really based on that because the match of the right job and the right worker for that job is being handled very nice by the exchange. And we'll just continue to work through that with our own employees. And as we mentioned, by the end of year, we'll have all of our branches using it. And using the metrics that we talked about with well over half of the employees and somewhere up to 70% of the employees in a given branch already have downloaded this and are ready to use it before we start advertising for that changed demographic that you've brought up. So we remain very excited about this digital exchange JobStack.

Jeffrey Silber

Analyst

Okay. And just one other quick question for Derrek. From an outlook perspective, what should we be modeling for unallocated corporate expense? Is the 2Q run rate something that it's based off of?

Derrek Gafford

Analyst

I think $6 million to $7 million is a good average to be using.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from John Healy with Northcoast Research.

John Healy

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

I wanted to ask you guys a big-picture question. When I think about the evolution of the company over the last 10 years or so, you've gone from kind of the legacy staffing business to a much more established and deeper within the customer employment help -- employment assistance firm. When you look at kind of what you're doing for the customers today, does it give you a different perspective on how you look at where we are in the cycle? And what I mean is if you look across the PeopleManagement business or PeopleReady or PeopleScout, does it make you draw a different conclusion on where we are in the cycle compared to maybe what you guys would have thought before?

Steven Cooper

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

Well, John, we're still learning a lot about that given the, as you mentioned, the legacy was definitely around staffing and primarily around on-demand staffing. So that quick fill, that last-minute need because their -- the customer's business is spiking or they have a project that has come on. And we have moved not only into longer-term temporary positions, but moved into helping our clients hire their teams through our PeopleScout organization. And definitely, in the PeopleScout organization, we see trends develop sooner than we even do in our contingent business. When they're planning their next year, they understand the number of hires that they're going to make. And using that kind of data helps us drive decisions a little bit better in our contingent business now that we understand how those work. Now we have a couple of years' worth of these businesses working well together, and that's owning both segments, so we have to be a little careful not jumping into conclusions. But we're definitely learning a lot, John, as we bring these businesses together.

Derrek Gafford

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

And it does give us a longer-term perspective, John, from getting more -- since we're close to the customer, we just get more information from the customer. So if we were to back up, let's say, 10 years ago, from our branch network, that's a limited amount of information for us that's very project-based. As Steve mentioned, with the PeopleManagement business and the PeopleScout business being close to their workforce planning, that gives us another angle in and perspective other than our own revenue trends. And because of that, I think if we didn't have that perspective right now, we would have maybe, be a little bit more jittery about the economy right now. But I can tell you, as we look forward to our 2018 planning, while we are still scaling our expenses to meet the level of demand, we think that there's still a lot of opportunity here for growth. And so we're still prudently planning for growth as we look forward to 2018, which we might have looked at a little bit different if we were only relying on our branch-based revenue trends.

John Healy

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

That's helpful. That was kind of what I was trying to understand if you're thinking about the business differently than the conclusions you may have drawn. A couple of kind of smaller item questions. How much of the business today in the PeopleReady business is associated with retail? And maybe what's sort of the trend there? And with all of the kind of changes happening in terms of how consumers are consuming, are you expecting the retail business to have as strong of a seasonal pickup as it normally does going into the fourth quarter? And then just lastly, on the JobStack app, any sort of, what I would say, better success, less success in terms of what you're seeing when you deploy those people through the app? Are you getting as high as quality marks when it comes to the work they're doing? Or any sort of kind of qualitative observations what you're seeing in terms of the type of talent and the outcomes there.

Derrek Gafford

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

Yes. So I'll take the first one, and I'll let Steve take the second one. When it comes to retail, we exclude Amazon from the -- that trend. Retail, for us has been growing as a company. So we were up mid- to high single digit, almost close to 10% of the company, ex retail -- or excuse me, ex-Amazon in retail. And our trends in PeopleReady slightly less than that, but consistent with that. From a mix perspective, retail at -- within the PeopleReady group is about 7% of revenues. And the company, as a whole, retail, excluding Amazon, is about the same.

Steven Cooper

Analyst · Northcoast Research.

So John, with your question about JobStack and the change that we'll see there and the type of people we're putting to work and the quality there, I believe that's around what we expect. Definitely, in our test situations where we've put the exchange on the app in the hands of a different demographic, they're excited to go to work. They want to use the app, but it's important that we note here in 2017 that we're really going down two paths inside the branch. First is to get the current workforce that we have and we've been using to download the app and start being available -- and be available to go to work through the app. And so there's no change in the demographic of our current worker yet. Where we've gone out to advertise and do testing, we have found a strong change in that demographic. And so our goal in that category will be that we're not going to immediately close branches once we have the app up and running and we're pulling into the demographic. Our goal is to balance the needs of the customer and the types of jobs that we need to fill between the new demographic that we pull in. And it will give us an opportunity to work with our current customers to show them the change in this worker profile that we have because of the app. The second metric is how many of our current jobs get automatically matched digitally through the exchange. And we've only begun that because the customers component of the exchange is just now being tested beyond alpha. We're in the beta mark, so we have under 25 customers currently using the app in a limited situation. As they -- as that gets stronger and we get more customers on the app and they're placing the type of job, we're going to get more pull-through to put this broader group to work. So this year, it's just all about get the current workforce to use it, get the customer up and using it and then increase the percentage of digitally matched jobs that we have out there. That will set us up well late this fall to start working on this exciting phase, which is a new type of worker coming into the app and a new type of job that we can place them in while we keep the branch staff busy not losing the current workforce or the current jobs that we need placed. So there's quite an evolution taking place. We just take one step at a time so we don't drop any of the balls as we go through this process.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mark Marcon with RW Baird.

Mark Marcon

Analyst · RW Baird.

With regards to PeopleReady, in terms of the branches that have JobStack, how different were the monthly and quarter-over-quarter trends in terms of revenue relative to those that don't have JobStack?

Steven Cooper

Analyst · RW Baird.

Well, we're not going to be able to give those stats to you yet, Mark. But those -- it's a great question, and it's one we're watching closely. And the reason that I hesitate to give out that stat is our very best branches are the ones that are adopting it the faster, and their -- on average, their trends are better than the average across the network anyway. So it'd be a bit misleading. And most importantly, the question that I just answered of its -- we need to get the full workforce to download the app and get those percentages higher and get the branch releasing the jobs through the exchange and keeping them on there so we can get that percentage up. Your question is the real one, and that is has -- well, revenue, will there be revenue lift from this? And absolutely, there has been and will be more. Because the first thing that this app does or this exchange is it fills jobs that weren't getting filled. Late afternoon, weekend jobs, whether the branch staff wasn't there or they turn to their current workforce, and they work in the branch or they couldn't contact them. Now we send out a notification to the selected workforce and tells them that they have a new stack of jobs to look at, and they open the app and they can flip down through it and accept those that have been sent their direction late afternoon, evening or weekend. And so we know that our lift is there. We're watching our we can work percentage, and it's climbing, the amount of work every week. Now there are multiple methods we're putting on that to make sure that the app really helps drive working week -- the weekend work -- sorry, an increase that percentage, and the same thing will happen for the evening shift. So that's the starting line, but it's surely not where this thing ends in its power.

Mark Marcon

Analyst · RW Baird.

I was just trying to get a sense for the incremental change vis-à-vis the revenue trends within PeopleReady relative to the first quarter and just kind of getting a sense for where the -- did the branches that didn't put it in place get worse?

Steven Cooper

Analyst · RW Baird.

Again, I appreciate your question. I think it's a good one. It's one we'll be better prepared to answer in October for you. We just need more traction so we don't answer that misleadingly.

Mark Marcon

Analyst · RW Baird.

Okay. Then the other question, along those lines, would be just the cadence, Steve, in terms of like you said by the end of the year, they'll all have it. Would that be like the vast majority will have it by the end of Q3? Or is it really back-end loaded towards Q4?

Steven Cooper

Analyst · RW Baird.

Well, we're moving that up pretty quickly. I mean, we can bring it 15 or 20 branches a week on. It's really dependent on the training that we need and to really know that the branch gets it because it's not about the technology working. It's about the employees allowing these jobs to go onto the exchange and letting that digital match to happen. It's also about the workforce that we have, getting them to download it and teaching them how to download it and look for the notification and go to the app looking for a new job on that stack that they have. So it's really process and human reengineering. And so that's the bottleneck, and we'll work through it. I think it's pretty average. It's not back-end loaded. From here on out every week, an additional 20 branches or so should come on.

Mark Marcon

Analyst · RW Baird.

Okay, great. And then in terms of the 130, how many are -- of those 130 are now working in an optimal manner as it relates to the candidate side. Obviously, on the employer side, we're still at the early stages.

Steven Cooper

Analyst · RW Baird.

Yes. So I'd have to go back and say, well, of the Q1 class, I'm really happy with where they are. The -- those that come on over -- the 130 includes those that came on during late May and June. And it really takes 4 or 5 weeks to start getting some traction. And the metric we're watching there is are they getting the current workforce to download it and are they allowing the exchange to do the digital match. And those percentages climb for those classes every week. So we're watching every branch and every set of transactions to ensure that the employees are letting this happen and that we can move forward.

Mark Marcon

Analyst · RW Baird.

Great. And then with regards to just PeopleManagement and PeopleScout, it looks like on a year-over-year basis, we should see some improvement in Q3 relative to the trends in Q2 that's fairly material. On the PeopleScout side, how confident are you of that actually coming to fruition?

Derrek Gafford

Analyst · RW Baird.

It's Derrek here. For PeopleManagement and PeopleScout, let's talk about those 2 here briefly. As you could see from our materials, PeopleManagement grew at 2% this quarter, ex-Amazon, and we're expecting that to take a couple ticks up. The PeopleManagement group overall, we're very excited about the pipeline there, particularly in our SIMOS business. That's one of the best pipelines that we have seen in quite some time. And I know you know this, Mark, but I'll just recap it for everybody, SIMOS is our productivity-based in-sourcing solution where we price based on a per-unit movement and save the customer about 15% based on some process redesign. So the pipeline there looks really good. We're expecting that growth rate to tick up a little bit in the Q3. And most of that analysis that's expecting that to tick up, it's around pipeline. So to the degree that it doesn't meet those expectations or search forward, it would be mostly a timing-related issue. So we got a good view on the pipeline. With PeopleScout, revenue was flat for the quarter, but those 3 customer headwinds I talked about in my script produce about 10 points of headwind. Ex that, the business is growing, and we got a nice pipeline growing there. And our Q3 forecast is to grow at, call it, mid-single-digit revenue growth, even including those headwinds. And that's all pipeline-based. So things in the RPO pipeline move through the pipeline a little bit slower during this first half of the year, maybe fourth quarter, but these -- some things that are starting through the funnel now, and we're really optimistic about the yield that will come out that pipeline.

Mark Marcon

Analyst · RW Baird.

Great. And last one, DSOs, can you just talk a little bit about kind of what you're seeing on the receivables side?

Derrek Gafford

Analyst · RW Baird.

Yes. DSO was up a little bit quarter-over-quarter this year compared to the same quarter a year ago. A couple days of that increase in DSO was we just had a pretty low DSO period Q2 of last year. If you remember, Q4 of '15, where our DSO had spiked, and so Q1 and Q2 of '16 as we deleverage that, provided some benefit on the DSOs. I do think there's a couple days that we can take out of that. We're looking at some billing practices, and I think we've got opportunities to call that lower on a normalized basis moving forward.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Kevin McVeigh with Deutsche Bank.

Palmer Pawlusiak

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

This is Palmer on for Kevin. Looking at the demand environment, you mentioned some of the company-specific issues that drove a little bit more muted demand in the quarter. But has there been any broader change, either up or down, in business sentiment and any noticeable change between your different end markets and verticals?

Derrek Gafford

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

Well, I think one of the biggest underlying things here facing the staffing industry right now is that when we take a look at GDP, and I'm talking about the business portion of GDP, that's something that's just been flat or down. And I think that's really the biggest underlying driver that we're seeing, in our opinion, that's flowing here into the industrial staffing market. This kind of wait-and-see approach that customers are taking with some positions that are on the margin, whether they fill those are not that's weighing into it. It's -- we see some customers waiting for some kind of catalyst here. And I think outside of our own trends, getting some GDP growth from business investment not just consumer, is one of the biggest things that could power some of this underlying demand in industrial staffing. Outside of that, though, we like the growth strategies that we've got. She spent a lot of time here on the mobile app what that can do from us from a growth perspective, particularly in our branch network. More and more of our weight is from a business mix perspective, is towards our productivity-based solutions and PeopleScout, both with some nice secular trends behind them. So those are some good things weighing in from a positioning standpoint for us.

Palmer Pawlusiak

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

Got it. And then you guys talked about the app quite a bit and appreciate that you aren't going to put a hard target out there, but can you talk about maybe the pacing and potential scope of cost saves associated with the app. Is it simple [indiscernible] more across the branch network?

Steven Cooper

Analyst · Deutsche Bank.

Yes. Thank you for that, Kevin -- or Paul, sorry, about that. We're not really factoring in a cost play at this point in time. We see this as a revenue lift opportunity, the mobile exchange, to -- there will be some cost benefit as of the employee that's responsible for making that physical match, they're reassigned to a recruiting function to help onboard more job seekers as we move forward. So taking those payroll dollars and reshifting them into recruiting dollars is going to be the most beneficial thing that we can do so we can grow revenue through an exchange rather than saying the exchange is a cost play. So there's a definite shift there. That's starting to happen a bit. These most successful branches that are allowing 20%, 30% of their jobs to start being matched have freed up resources, and they quickly moved them over and help them start onboarding new employees. And so those top branches we've seen this happen. That's what we'll be watching for in that second phase of moving this out, is reallocating those payroll dollars into the right activities.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Steve Cooper, CEO.

Steven Cooper

Analyst

Thank you. We appreciate your time today on the call and look forward to updating you on these key strategic initiatives as we move forward. Have a great day.