Derrek Gafford
Analyst · Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open
Thanks Steve. Total revenue grew by 13%, with four percentage point from organic growth, and nine percentage points from previously announced acquisitions. Total revenue growth for the quarter was, or total revenue dollars for the quarter was $646 million or about $20 million less than our midpoint expectation, as a result of slowing growth during the quarter. The revenue shortfall was concentrated in the staffing services segment, with roughly half of the shortfall coming from the branch base operations and half from on-premise operations. From an industry perspective, overall growth in retail was flat, but down 10% within the branch base business. On an overall basis, manufacturing grew by 5%, aided by new customers in the on-premise business. Excluding the success in on-premise, manufacturing declined by 10% across the larger customer base of the branch based operations. Transportation and logistics related industries were down roughly 5%, while construction continued to show promise for the year ahead with growth of 10%. On a segment basis, revenue for the Staffing Services segment was up 10%, or 3% on an organic basis. Results were generally mixed for the quarter in this segment. Large customer growth was flat for the quarter, versus an expectation of mid-single-digit growth. We saw some movements towards a leaner workforce strategy within parts of our national customer base, and these trends continued to show softness entering the second quarter. Less demand from the company's largest customer contributed to the shortfall in the on-premise business. Small to medium-sized customers showed signs of strength, growth accelerated to nearly 10% in comparison with 5% growth in Q4 2015. Revenue for managed services was up 84%, or 17% on an organic basis. Organic growth was driven by strong growth in the MSP business. Now let's discuss the company's profitability for the quarter. Total adjusted EBITDA grew by 9%, lower than expected gross profit was offset by lower than expected SG&A expense, delivering adjusted EBITDA of $21 million, in line with expectation. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 3.3% was roughly in line with Q1 last year. Gross margin was up 70 basis points in Q1, aided by 120 basis points of favorable acquisition and revenue mix. The acquired businesses carry a higher gross margin than the company average and a higher rate of growth in small to medium-sized customers, which carry a higher gross margin than large customers, created positive lift from a revenue mix perspective. Higher wage costs for contingent workers and challenges in passing through the company's traditional markup resulted in 50 basis points of negative impact. Pay rate inflation topped 5% during the quarter, in comparison with our historical average of 2% to 4%, driven by a combination of higher wages to attract candidates in a tight labor market, and state minimum wage increases. While we are largely able to pass-through the higher wages, passing through our standard markup on these costs has been more challenging than in prior years. While it's not uncommon to experience some challenge on this front during the first six weeks of the quarter with an improvement thereafter, we did not see a meaningful improvement in the back half of the quarter, as we have seen in other years. SG&A expense of $131 million was $3 million less than expected as a result of cost reduction actions. SG&A expense was up $19 million compared to Q1 last year from $9 million of ongoing operating costs associated with acquired businesses and $10 million of higher costs in the organic business. The SG&A increase within the organic business is related to investments made in 2015, which start to anniversary this year in Q3 and Q4. Staffing services adjusted EBITDA decreased 2% and related margin was down 120 basis points, as a result of lower gross margin and higher SG&A expenses, offset by the SIMOS acquisition. The SIMOS business acquired in December 2015 is performing well and meeting expectation. Managed services adjusted EBITDA increased 150% and related margin was up 560 basis points, largely due to the RPO acquisition. The acquired RPO business is performing better than expected and the integration is on track to be substantially complete in Q2 this year. The effective tax rate of 8% was lower than expected as a result of higher than expected yields of prior year tax credits associated with the worker opportunity tax credit. Looking forward, we still continue to expect an annual effective tax rate of 32%. Turning to the balance sheet, Q1 finished with $166 million of total debt, $80 million less than Q4 2015, due to the seasonal deleveraging of working capital from our peak in Q4. Cash flow from operations less capital expenditures, less cash used in the RPO acquisition, was $85 million. Total liquidity defined as cash plus borrowing availability on the revolving credit facility was $115 million. Looking ahead to Q2 2016, we expect total revenue growth of about 9%, or organic growth of 4% excluding our largest customer, or flat on an all-in organic basis. On a segment basis, staffing services revenue is expected to be up 7% or 4% on an organic basis excluding our largest customer, or flat on an all-in basis. Managed services revenue is expected to be up about 60% or 5% to 10% on an organic basis. Adjusted EPS is expected to be $0.42 to $0.47 and adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $33 million to $36 million or a decline of roughly 5%. We have updated the full year outlook today. While visibility of future demand is admittedly low in our business, we believe providing an annual outlook will help investors better understand our business in light of changes in our operating trends and the blended impact of our most recent acquisitions. We encourage investors to use our outlook for this purpose, and not as an indication of increased visibility or certainty regarding future results. I will speak to this outlook on a mid-point basis for simplicity, but investors should thoroughly review the materials provided in the 8-K filing today, to ensure a holistic understanding of the assumptions and risks associated with this outlook. We expect total 2016 revenue to be in the vicinity of $2.85 billion, producing growth of roughly 6% or 4% on an organic basis excluding our largest customer or a decline of 2% on an all-in organic basis. This represents a decrease from our previous expectation of roughly $260 million, comprised of $180 million decrease from our largest customer and $80 million less revenue from the remaining organic staffing business. We expect adjusted EBITDA in 2016 of roughly $165 million, or growth of about 12%. This constitutes a drop of $25 million in comparison with the prior outlook. I'll now provide a rough breakdown of this change. A drop of about $10 million associated with less revenue from our largest customer, net of cost reduction actions. A drop of about $20 million associated with the rest of our organic business, approximately half of the drop from less revenue net of cost reduction actions and about half from lower gross margin. And lastly, an increase of about $5 million from better performance in the acquired SIMOS and RPO business acquisitions. There continue to be multiple opportunities for growth in today's environment, particularly among small to medium-sized customers and the construction industry, which are key focus areas within our business plan this year. Improving our gross margin trends is a significant priority as is reducing our operating costs. The 2016 outlook shared today includes $25 million of executable cost reductions and we believe there are more cost efficiency opportunities ahead. While the recent change in operating trends is disappointing, our excitement remains high about the future for several reasons. First, the strong secular trends driving long-term growth in the human capital space remain unchanged, rapidly changing demographics, a shrinking pipeline of skilled trades candidates, and an aging workforce, will continue to drive businesses to increase their reliance with strategic partners. Second, our industrial staffing and RPO businesses are market leaders in their spaces, built on specialization that will continue to differentiate us from the competition. Third, a historical track record of achieving above market growth in revenue and profits. And last, a tenured management team with experience in successfully managing the business across various economic cycles. That ends our prepared comments today. We can now open the call for questions.