Nicole Strain
Analyst · Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please go ahead
Thank you, Woody. What we saw in the third quarter results was the incremental consumer demand that is benefiting many of our home décor competitors, but also the beginning of what our model can look like with the foundational changes we have initiated. Within the quarter we had strong e-commerce sales with a year-over-year increase of 50%. Our store traffic improved from Q2 levels and outperformed our segment in ShopperTrak that continues to be negatively impacted by pandemic-related challenges. The changes we have made to improve the quality and design of our merchandise, as well as categories shift towards higher ticket items continue to have a positive impact on our sales. We had early sell-through of our harvest seasonal merchandise and a similar trend in our Christmas collection, which led to our November sales comp increase of 5.5%, which included a year-over-year increase in e-commerce of over 50%. We saw a significant increase in our gross profit margin of 840 basis points, which was driven largely by gains in product margin from simplifying our promotional message and also reducing the depths of offers and the inherent stacking of entire store couponing. We will continue to move towards more targeted customer specific discounting, while always having incentives to encourage customers to purchase. We have benefited from lower store occupancy costs from the closure of underperforming stores and negotiated rent reductions. We also saw favorability from lower freight costs from our DC to our stores driven by lower inventory levels and a rate decline compared to 2019. Gross profit margin was negatively impacted by e-commerce shipping with online sales making up 24% of our total sales and the store-fulfilled notes dropping to 35% of e-comm sales. We do expect to present fulfillment store to moderate closer to 45% to 50% in the mid-term. Finally, distribution costs increased year-over-year, driven by a capitalization entry based on inventory level and timing. We saw the benefit of our cost reductions with a decline in operating expenses at 810 basis points or $11.3 million, driven by the more efficient store labor model, corporate headcount reduction and a justification exercise for all overhead expenses. Excluding current year performance related compensation accruals this represents a 25% reduction in operating expenses, which we expect to be largely sustainable. We expect to continue to see improvements in profitability from higher margins and reduce costs, along with further leverage from continued growth in top-line sales. All of which should better position us to reach our long-term financial goals. Breaking down the comparable sales increase of 8.9%, we had strong comp increases in the first two months of the quarter, driven by the earlier sell-through of seasonal harvest products, followed by a drop off to a flat comp in October with seasonal sales having been pull-forward into September. As a reminder beginning in September of last year, we were much more promotional. So we are comping that impact on those sales and margins. The 49.9% e-commerce comp increase was driven by the direct-to-consumer channel, with our third-party drop-ship revenue up 123% and our own products shipped directly to customer up 77%, both of which were offset by lower increases in the store-fulfilled channels. During the quarter, we closed six stores resulting in a count of 381. Year-to-date, we have opened no new stores and closed 51 underperforming stores or 12% of the store base since the start of the year. We expect roughly 10 additional closures near the end of the fiscal year, but are still working through negotiations with landlords. Gross profit was 36.1% of sales, compared to 27.7% in the prior year quarter. Of the 840 basis point increase, 940 basis points related to an improvement in landed product margin primarily from reduced discounting. Direct sourcing accounted for roughly 100 basis points of the landed product margin improvement. In the latter part of the quarter, we saw initial cost pressures from shipping constraints and rate premium, specifically on product sourced from China. While we are clearly been able to navigate through these pressures and we expect significant year-over-year margin improvement in the fourth quarter, the negative impact on landed margin is expected to increase throughout the remainder of the fiscal year causing year-over-your gains to be less than what we experienced in the third quarter. Store occupancy costs declined by 300 basis points from the prior year due to the closure of underperforming stores, negotiated rent reduction and the leverage of increased sales. Breaking that down, 280 basis points was generated by rent restructuring and the remainder by sales leverage. On the prior call I mentioned that close to a third of our leases had a term renewal in the next ix months to 12 months. We are actively working through those renewals and are continuing to have success in locking in lower rate. Outbound freight, which is the movement of our merchandise from the distribution center to the stores decreased by 70 basis points from the 2019 quarter, driven by reduced route, rate decreases and sales leverage. The reduced routes were driven by store closures and fewer routes to continuing stores, primarily due to higher inventory levels in the prior year. We also saw a rate reduction of roughly 10% year-over-year. DC costs increased to 170 basis points driven by the timing of inventory capitalization and the year-over-year decline in inventory. Excluding this timing effect distribution costs declined by 20 basis points with productivity improvements offset by the channel mix shift with labor costs for pick and ship e-commerce orders exceeding labor costs to ship cases to our stores as a percent of sales. We completed the closure of the Jackson e-commerce distribution center at the end of September. We allocated a portion of our retail distribution center to fulfill e-commerce and stood up our second e-commerce hub within the quarter. This reduced our distribution center total square footage by over 200,000 feet or roughly 16% and place e-commerce distribution much closer to the end customer, which will decrease parcel cost that also improve speed to the customer. We are still in the ramp-up mode for these new facilities and expect to improve throughput and efficiency in the upcoming year. E-commerce shipping costs increased 180 basis points as a percent of total sales due to the higher mix of ship to home sales. Operating expenses excluding impairment improved to 27% of sales, compared to 35.1% in the third quarter of 2019 or a reduction of $11.3 million on a higher sales base. Store operating expenses made up 600 basis points of the reduction, driven by the store labor model implemented at the beginning of the fiscal year and aided by our reduced operating hours, leverage from closing underperforming stores and an overall review of operating costs. E-comm operating expenses increased 10 basis points as a percent of total sales, but leveraged 160 basis points as a percent of E-comm sales, as dollars increased by only $167,000 on the $12 million growth in revenue. Advertising expense declined by $1 million or 70 basis points compared to the prior year, which included advertising support for the new product category rollout. We continue to shift our spend heavily towards digital channels. Corporate operating expenses decreased by $2 million or 140 basis points, driven by reduced headcount, reduced corporate office space and an overall expense review. Performance related compensation accruals in the current year accounts for an additional 100 basis points relative to the prior year. EBITDA excluding impairment and other minor non-operating expenses for the quarter was $18.7 million or 12.7% of sales, compared to a loss of $3.1 million in the prior year quarter or an improvement of $21.7 million. For the quarter, our tax rate was based on a year-to-date discrete calculation, further impacted by a valuation allowance. A normalized rate of 23.3% was used in the non-GAAP adjusted calculation. Our earnings per share excluding non-cash impairment normalized tax rate and other minor non-operating adjustments was $0.66, compared to a loss of $0.53 in the prior year. The GAAP earnings including these items was $0.82, compared to a loss of a $1.61 in the prior year. We ended the quarter with $37.2 million in cash and no outstanding debt, which is a build of $9.6 million from the Q2 level and an increase of $33 million year-over-year, $58 million considering that revolver draw on the prior year. Combined with availability on our revolving credit facility, we had total liquidity of $106.9 million. With our typical cash build in the fourth quarter, we expect to conservatively in the year with approximately $65 million to $75 million of cash. We do not anticipate any borrowings for the remainder of the year. Inventory at the end of the quarter was $83.9 million, compared to $140.2 million in the prior year or 40% lower. The prior year levels were elevated by the rollout of new categories and we currently have 12% fewer stores, but we are down approximately 20% to our plan. This significant receipt that we made while our stores were closed in April followed by vessel and port shipping constraints has impacted our sales to some degree since the latter part of the second quarter. Because we protected seasonal buys, the inventory shortages have been in our core everyday products and it’s been much deeper in some key product categories. We expect to continue to see a sales impact in those categories in the fourth quarter, but expect to return to near planned inventory levels by the end of fiscal year. Year-to-date cash provided by operations was $14.5 million, compared to cash used of $62.4 million in the prior year or a change of $76.9 million. The improvement is due to better operating performance in the second quarter and third quarter, $42.3 million improvement year-over-year and changes in working capital $34.6 million year-over-year improvement. The working capital changes are primarily driven by lower inventory levels, offset by lower related accounts payable. Additionally, we received the $12.3 million income tax refund from the CARES Act NOL carryback in the second quarter. Capital expenditures was $7.6 million, compared to $12.8 million in the prior year and we are primarily driven by investments in supply chain and e-commerce. We still expect capital spend to remain below the low end of the initial range we communicated of $10 million for the year. The financial goals we provided on the second quarter earnings call continue to be relevant as we execute the transformation of our business over the next two years to three years. We summarized those goals on our earnings release this morning. Rather than reading through those again, I’d like to reinforce the overall message we are communicating with our long-term annual financial target. First, they all indicate how we expect to achieve topline growth, margin improvement and cost reductions over this multiyear period, with specific targets to improve our gross profit rate to the low to mid-30% range, improve EBITDA margins at a high single-digit range and improve operating income margins to the mid single-digit range. Second, it’s worth noting that those are annual targets with the seasonality in our business, we typically see stronger performance in the second half of the year compared with the first half. And lastly with -- from a liquidity perspective, our main goal will continue to be maintaining a healthy balance sheet. Within this model, we expect to generate excess cash annually and we will allocate first to projects to drive growth and/or reduce cost, but are also happy to announce that the Board authorized a $20 million share repurchase program. We intend to be disciplined and opportunistic with our share repurchase program and we will provide updates with each earnings announcement regarding activity under the plan. With that, we are ready -- we are now ready to take questions.