Shantanu Agrawal
Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open
Thanks, Mike. Turning to Slide 4, now the fourth quarter net income attributable to SXC was $0.15 per share up $0.21 versus the fourth quarter of 2020. Our full year 2021 net income attributable to SXC was $0.52 per share up $0.48 versus the full year 2020 driven by strong operating results and lower interest expense partially offset by loss on extinguishment of debt recorded in connection with refinancing. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter 2021 was $62.9 million up $25.9 million versus fourth quarter 2020. The increase was mainly driven by higher volumes across both coke and logistics businesses, resulting from the strengthened steel and coal markets, as well as the absence of supply relief provided to certain customers in exchange for extending - existing contracts in 2020. On a full year basis, were delivered adjusted EBITDA of $275.4 million, up $69.5 million versus full year 2020. Turning to Slide 5 to discuss the year-over-year adjusted EBITDA variance in detail, our core business delivered strong financial results mainly driven by successful entry and participation in the foundry and export coke markets. We also saw a significant increase in volume year-over-year, due to the absence of supply relief provided to certain customers last year in exchange for contract extensions. The Domestic Coke segments delivered full year adjusted EBITDA of $243.4 million, which was well above our fully revised Domestic Coke guidance, including Brazil, our coke operations delivered adjusted EBITDA of $260.6 million. Logistics segment adjusted EBITDA increased approximately $26 million year-over-year, driven by higher throughput volumes, higher price realizations and the addition of a new product at CMT. With the backdrop of a strong commodity market, the Logistics segment delivered full year adjusted EBITDA of $43.5 million. Finally, our corporate and other expenses were lower by $13.2 million year-over-year, mainly due to lower non-cash legacy liability expense and absence of foundry related R&D expense, which were partially offset by higher employee-related expenses. Overall, we are very pleased with the performance across all segments, resulting in a historic year for the company. Turning to Slide 6 to discuss capital deployment in 2021, we generated very strong operating cash flow in 2021 of approximately $233 million, which was above our full year revised guidance range of $209 million to $224 million. This robust cash flow generation allowed us to make good progress on our capital deployment initiatives. CapEx of approximately $98 million during the year was above a revised guidance as we pulled forward some capital work to manage labor availability and supply chain issues. As you will see in later slides, our 2022 capital expenditure is expected to be significantly lower as compared to 2021 at approximately $80 million and takes into account both pulling forward of the projects as well as the impact on inflation on material and labor costs. As discussed in our second quarter call, we significantly strengthened our balance sheet with execution of the debt refinancing transactions. This refinancing both extended our maturity profile and lowered our cost of debt. The interest rate savings resulting from the debt financing are in excess of $17 million on an annual basis. We incurred approximately $12 million as transaction fees for issuance of the new senior secured notes, an extension of the revolver. We also paid $22 million as premium to call the 2025 senior notes as part of the refinancing transaction. Along with the refinancing, we also reduced our debt outstanding by approximately $64 million in 2021. Year-over-year, we brought down our leverage ratio by more than a ton, and we expect the deleveraging to continue in 2022, as we further work towards lowering our outstanding revolver balance. We also returned capital to our shareholders in 2021, in the form of $0.24 per share annual dividend, which was a use of cash of approximately $20 million. In total, we ended 2021 with a cash balance of approximately $64 million and strong liquidity of approximately $292 million, setting the stage for continued progress against our capital allocation priorities in 2022. Switching gears, I would now like to talk about our guidance expectation for 2022 Let's turn to Slide 8, we expect 2022 adjusted EBITDA to be between $240 million and $255 million. Domestic Coke adjusted EBITDA is expected to be lower by $8 million to $14 million in 2022, mainly driven by a lower price realization assumption on exports sales. Our coke facilities are expected to continue to run at full capacity, but we - as we increase our participation in the export and foundry markets, we are exposed to greater commodity risk which is reflected in our guidance. Brazil coke adjusted EBITDA will be down $2 million to $3 million, mainly due to lower volumes due to required capital rebuild project. As a reminder, the Brazil coke is under an operating contract where the coke plant is owned by ArcelorMittal, Brazil and SunCoke provides the operating and technological services. All coke plant related capital expenditures are paid by AM Brasil. Turning to the Logistics segment, we expect Logistics to be lower by $4 million to $10 million in 2022. We anticipate similar volumes year-over-year, but lower price realizations as well as more normalized high water costs at CMT are expected to impact the profitability year-over-year. Lastly, we expect our corporate and other segment expense to be higher by approximately $6 million to $8 million. The year-over-year change is driven by normalized non-cash legacy liability expense, as well as higher IT and insurance cost. Moving on to Slide 9, in 2022, we expect our Domestic Coke adjusted EBITDA to be between $229 million and $235 million, with sales of approximately 4.1 million tons which includes contract export and foundry coke. We expect to run the Domestic fleet at full capacity approximately 3.55 million tons are contracted under long-term take-or-pay agreements in 2022. We anticipate selling the remaining 700,000 furnace equivalent tons in the foundry and export markets. This represents a significant increase in both foundry and export coke market participation from the previous year. As a reminder, foundry and export tons do not replace blast furnace tons on a ton-for-ton basis. For example, due to differences in the production process, a single ton of foundry coke replaces approximately two tons of blast furnace coke. The order book for both export and foundry coke is solid and the sales for first quarter of 2022 have been finalized. The drop in adjusted EBITDA year-over-year is mainly driven by lower price realization assumptions and higher commodity price risk as we increase our participation in spot markets. Moving to Slide 10, 2022 Logistics adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $34 million and $40 million. This outlook is based on current expectations for the thermal coal export volumes from the Gulf Coast and price realizations based on API2 forward curve. We are projecting between 5.5 million and 7 million tons of coal to be exported from CMT in 2022. Additionally, our volume estimates also include approximately 3 million to 3.5 million tons of non-coal throughputs, such as iron ore, pet coke, and aggregates. We expect to handle approximately the same volumes at our domestic coal terminals as we did last year, with our coke production facility is running at full capacity and third-party volumes remaining unchanged. The year-over-year decrease in Logistics EBITDA is mainly driven by two factors. Firstly, we expect the CMT price kicker benefit, which is based on API2 coal price index to be lower in 2022 as compared to previous year. This coal index futures contract has been very volatile recently, and is expected to remain so in the near term. Secondly, 2021 was an exceptional year at CMT from a high water cost perspective. We incurred no high water costs during the previous year. But anticipate a more normalized weather pattern, resulting in an increase in high water cost at CMT in 2022. Overall, we anticipate another solid year for Logistic segment as we maintain the level of volumes reached last year and paved the way for continued success. Moving to the 2022 guidance summary on Slide 11, this slide provides an historical view of actual performance across many metrics as well as a summary of our 2022 guidance. Once again, we expect adjusted EBITDA to be between $240 million and $255 million. Our Coke and Logistics business are expected to run at similar volumes year-over-year, but at lower price realizations. As mentioned earlier in the call, we anticipate our CapEx requirement in 2022 to be around $80 million. We brought forward some of the capital spend from 2022 to 2021, which favorably impacts the 2022 CapEx guidance, but we continue to see inflationary pressure on wages and materials. Our free cash flow is expected to be between $110 million and $125 million after taking into account cash interest, cash taxes, capital expenditures and working capital changes. With that, I will turn it back to Mike.