Fritz Henderson
Analyst · Clarksons Platou. Your line is open
Thanks, Fay. Turning to the next slide 13, regarding Convent. When we acquired the Convent Marine terminal in late 2015, a large part of our strategic rationale is that we were acquiring the strategically located facility with unique capabilities and importantly there was also a sizeable opportunity to grow volumes and earnings. Now one of our strategic priorities since that acquisition has been to – the services we offer, the products we transload and the customers we serve through our Convent Marine terminal. To that end our business development team has been working very hard to bring new volumes in the terminal. Today we have a few new wins we'd like to share which bolster our original acquisition pieces. In the third quarter, we took our first delivery of aggregate or crush stone from an ocean going vessel and the ground storage under our multi year contract with firm [Indiscernible] that we first mentioned on our second quarter earnings call. As you may know Convent is located in the heart of Chemical plant developments linked to the Shale Gas home. Construction activity in the quarter between New Orleans and [Indiscernible] is accelerating and Convent now transloads an important raw material for infrastructure development. Another part that we have been targeting is Pet Coke. We believe that the infrastructure at Convent provides the number of unique advantages to refiners for the shipment of Pet Coke and they have been working alongside our rail road partners to win the business. We’ve recently successfully unloaded the first test train of Pet Coke from two separate refinery customers at Convent and are excited about additional Pet Coke volumes in the fourth quarter and beyond. Together, we expect these new business wins to contribute between $1 million to $2 million to our logistics adjusted EBITDA in 2017. And while these wins represent a nice start in affected down payment, [Indiscernible] generates $5 million to $10 million of incremental EBTIDA within two years at Convent. I believe there are even more focus and signal to the market that we are ready, willing and most importantly able to extend our footprint on the lower Mississippi. Now on the next chart 14 looking ahead we are excited about the additional growth prospects at Convent in the near term. We are targeting further coal export volumes, additional refinery partners and higher volumes of Pet Coke and other potential dry bulk material similar to our new aggregate business. In addition, we have a small total in the liquids markets, and we look to leverage our existing infrastructure and the land we have for potential expansion to the site to grow this business. Longer term, we are busy adding barge and loading capabilities in order to expand our reach into new and existing product categories to provide multiple options for our customers. This capability will make an already world class operation to Convent into what we believe is the most attractive terminal, one of the most attractive terminal excuse me and the river for both bulk and liquidity shipments. We are encouraged by the progress we’ve made and look forward to updating you on more wins in future calls. Switching gears now I’d like to turn my attention to Indiana Harbor on slide 16. Fred touched on it already with respect to the results in the quarter. Slide 16, as you can see in this chart, Indiana Harbor is made up of four equal sets of oven grouping known as battery, A, B, C and D, each with 67 ovens equates to 268 ovens throughout the facility. We divide the plant into two distinct sides, the A/B side, one set of mechanical oven, and the C/D side for another set of mechanical oven. We began this multiyear turnaround effort focusing first on the C/D side of the facility. We started 2015 with an initial set of 48 rebuild ovens and based on the learning from these rebuilds, we design a process we feel is less build less cost-effective scalable across the facility. So, based on our learnings and experience we’ve recently increased the scope of this year’s campaign to cover even larger number of rebuilds. 58 ovens in total, five more than originally anticipated at the beginning of the year, something we’ve reviewed with you in the second quarter of this year. As Fred previously we remain on schedule and on budget with our rebuild work through the third quarter and we’ll have rebuilt to 144 total ovens or more than half facility by year-end. Total includes the entire C/D side of facility. To-date the result of these oven rebuilds are been encouraging and we feel confidence in our rebuild design and implementation technique. As we’ve detailed in the past non-rebuild oven continue to degrade over time often at an accelerating rate. This comprehensive rebuild campaign stops the degradation and return rebuild oven back to standard performance on the two most critical measures; charge weight and talking time. As a reminder charge weight is the volume of coal loaded into each oven, and the coking time is the time the oven takes to convert that coal into coke. When the Coke plant is operating well, charge weights are consistent and cycle times are both stable and also consistent, therefore production is relatively constant. And measuring IHO’s oven performance we focus on five cycle windows at a time or approximately 10 days of performance both before and after rebuilds are completed. Looking back at our 2017 and prior campaign we create significant improvement on both charge weight and talking time on rebuild ovens which yield production increases of over 50% on the rebuild oven versus the previously degraded oven. Given these results we are planning execute oven rebuilds across all 67 ovens on the A-battery in 2018. 2018 oven campaign will be our largest undertaking since launching this rebuild initiative in late 2015, but we have the knowledge from the resources execute on the plant. Based on her experiences and understanding of the A battery condition we believe that we can execute these rebuilds at a comparable cost of this year's target of approximately $500,000 per oven. As it been the case this year, approximately 80% or estimated 2018 spend will be capital and the remaining 20% spend. Turning to the next chart, looking further into our Indiana Harbor Outlook on slide 17, once the 67 ovens from our 2018 campaign are completed we will address 75% of the plants Indiana Harbor and three fold oven battery, A, C and D will be entirely rebuilt and fully operational. Our last oven battery, B-battery is most operationally challenged battery plant that has been. The [Indiscernible] that facility has had a larger relative impact of B-battery compared to other three batteries and is contributed to historical operating challenge. With that said, we did rebuilt 10 B-battery oven in 2016, and just finished up in 2017, five within that 10. The results to-date have met our expectations as charge weight and talking time that return to performance. Consistent with our approach over the last few years we intend to monitor performance of 10 B-battery ovens rebuilt as well as remaining non-rebuild oven and D-battery. As we progress through 2018 we will formulate a plan based on the economic return of rebuilding all, none or portion of remaining 57 ovens. Through the expected economic return and portfolio rebuilds we anticipate the remaining work would likely cost more though, our estimate is approximately $750,000 for oven based upon the conditions we see today in the B-battery. As we’re doing this quarter we intend to provide regular updates and progress of the 2107 rebuild campaign and we’ll also share addition information on our B-battery rebuilt assessment as it comes together. Turning now to Indiana Harbor performance outlook for 2018. From an adjusted EBITDA perspective we expect Indiana Harbor return to profitability in 2018 driven by the full year benefit of 2017 oven rebuild campaign and including these ovens we rebuilt in 2015 and 2016. Including the impact from our 2018 rebuild campaign on the A- Battery which I just covered, we anticipate full year production up to 900,000, 950,000 ton as the plan. In 2017 Indiana Harbor also return to a budgeted OEM cost sharing mechanism, for the last three years the plan is operating with fixed OEM reimbursement rate per ton and with SunCoke has been under recovery. Returning to a budgeted OEM process, if the plan for 1.22 million ton nameplate capacity level for 2018 with during of the contract will have a benefit on the plants overall profitability. Thus you when combined with the improved performance in the C and D battery oven, which will be entirely rebuild entering next year. We’re still working through the specific details of the OEM research as well as the overall budget Indiana have with our customer and therefore we do have specific 2018 financial targets to provide at this time. We do expect to provide full 2018 guidance for the harbor along with all of our plants in the company in the normal course of our fourth quarter 2017 earnings call. Again we’re committed to making this project a success not of our self but for our customer, our shareholders and the surrounding community. As part of that, we will continue to update investors on a regular basis going forward. Pay had pointed out, ones the 2018 campaign is completed we expect that 2011 total rebuild oven should have a capability to produce between 950,000 and 975,000 tons going forward. Wrapping up before opening the call for Q&A. As you’ve heard this morning we’ve made progress against our commitments for 2017 and are well-positioned to deliver long full year financial result on top of our guidance range. Now the third quarter in the book our focus just for closing up a year strongly. I’d like to take a moment here to acknowledge our people, our success with the direct launch and the effort of the 1200 men and women here at the SunCoke family. So I’d like to take this opportunity to thank all the team members for their effort. We’re proud of the progress we’ve made moving our business model for a tough market in late 2015 and 2016 and coming out stronger and more resilient as a result. We’re encouraged by what we see thus far and because of our collective efforts the company’s for longer term success. With that, I’d like to open up the call for questions.