Scott Rajeski
Analyst · William Blair. Please go ahead
High-level, I think that the important thing for everyone to understand here is the business we've created is just so different from where we were three, four years ago, five years ago, 10 years ago. So, I think we're much better-positioned in terms of how we run the business overall and the variability of the cost structure that we've created, as well as the diversity of the product offering in the regional offering we have, we now also have the business down in Australia-New Zealand. So, we're positioned a lot better than we've ever been. If you think about the different product categories, that repair and replacement market for us is always a very healthy growing segment of the business. If you want a swimming pool and you need a new line or a new cover, you really can't go without that very long. You want your pool operational. So, that's business we really don't typically see any kind of downturn as it goes. If anything, you might see an uptick, where people are making the decision, 'Hey, things are tough. I'm going to get my pool redone. So I'm going to be stuck at home.' Let's say the in-ground category, which is fiberglass and the other packaged pool segment. Again, I think the price point of those pools versus the competitive product to concrete pool, we have a cost advantage right out of the gate upfront and we have the lower cost of total cost of ownership. So, I think what we would see is the switching power potentially from concrete to fiberglass and or a vinyl liner pool accelerate. And again, the auto cover category, the cover category is just such a critical component from safety. The efficiency of operating pool, I think we're in the early, early stages of really driving the penetration of that one and we would continue to push that on our products. And even if pool starts, let's say slow down, flattened out, or a slight pullback, the thesis of our long-term growth model is to drive penetration against that other product. And we believe we can continue to grab share and grow. And that's why, as we've been talking over the last year or so since we became public, we have such confidence in that 10% to 12% top-line growth algorithm of ours. If it was the gap, arguably, Ryan, back to your point on the margins and all of that, I think we've got a lot of triggers we can pull from a variability of the breadth of our offering. All the programs we offer out there across the board from a cost containment, cost contingency, where we should be able to maintain pretty healthy margins across the board in pretty much any scenario that could be out there. Other than let's say the doomsday scenario of a really deep recession down, but I think again, we would weather every single scenario that we could come through, and that's what's great about this team and if you think about the last three years how many challenges have been thrown at us and how the team has performed and the result this business is post over three-year period, that's a testament to the strength of our team, our dealers and the brand we have here at Latham.