Steven W. Williams - Suncor Energy, Inc.
Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead
You know, I wouldn't be specific about volumes yet but what I would say. If you think of – I remember when we came out a few years ago and said we've got these debottlenecking opportunities there. And it was sort of confusing until we came out with a plan that will actually this could be 100,000 barrels a day and then of course no one believed it until we actually started to deliver it. The opportunities are quite exciting because we have even more assets within our capability now. So, I can see small debottlenecks at Firebag and Fort Hills already and some around the base plant. So one of the great benefits of your operations becoming smoother is you can really start to focus with a laser on where the opportunities are. So, there is that sort of debottleneck. There is also still – and I wouldn't call it debottleneck, I'd call it margin type improvements that we can start to see. So, the technology work we've been doing in the background around In Situ, the technology work, we now have the industry's first fleet of autonomous trucks operating seven days a week, 24 hours a day in the base plant. So, the opportunities from these things and I like those projects because they are completely within our control. They reduced our costs and so they're things that we can control ourselves. There are lots of opportunities of those. And I think when we talk normally, when we're talking around that CAD5 billion level there is a steady stream of those benefits coming, which is why I think you've continue to see cash operating costs coming down. But there is also we although I've said probably for this decade you are not going to see us approving major capital projects we do have the next suite that we are working on. So, you know the replication In Situ with the new technology is also looking very encouraging. And we talked about trying to get those projects down to the 30,000, 40,000, 50,000 barrels per day dollars flowing barrel for the 30,000 or 40,000-barrel plants. It is looking quite encouraging. So, I think by the time, I think I see a few years of us with this sort of format, low organic growth, low if not no M&A, and then the balance of stuff on these small projects and returning money to shareholders. And then as we get into 2020, 2021 you can start to see us looking at the bigger projects again. So, encouraging, I think they will be quite significant when you add them all up.