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Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL)

Q4 2011 Earnings Call· Wed, Mar 14, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Sterling Construction Company Fourth Quarter 2011 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Ms. Elizabeth Brumley, Chief Financial Officer of Sterling. Thank you. Ms. Brumley, you may begin.

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, I'd like to welcome you to the Sterling Construction Fourth Quarter 2011 Conference Call. I'm joined today by Pat Manning, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Joe Harper Sr., our President and Chief Operating Officer. In addition, Brian Manning, Executive VP of Business Development; and Maarten Hemsley, our Lead Director, are joining us on the call today to participate in the Q&A portion of this call. I would like to remind you that this call may include certain statements that fall within the definition of forward-looking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including overall economic and market conditions; competitors', customers' and suppliers' actions; weather conditions; and other risks identified in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Any such statements should be considered in light of these risks. Predictions that we may make at any time may not continue to reflect management's beliefs, and we do not undertake to publicly update them. Results for the 2011 fourth quarter were impacted by 2 significant items. There was a pretax charge of $5.9 million due to revisions to previous estimates of revenues and costs on our construction projects. In addition, we had a pretax $67-million charge related to the impairment of goodwill. In our February 2012 press release, we announced that we expected an after-tax loss as a result of the revisions to previous estimates, and in addition, that we expected an impairment of goodwill would increase that loss. Net of taxes and noncontrolling interests, the charge related to the impairment of goodwill increased the net loss for the fourth quarter by $41.8 million or $2.55 per diluted share. Excluding the charge…

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Thanks, Liz. Good afternoon, everybody. We had some serious operational failures during the last couple of quarters in our Texas subsidiary. On many projects, our crews failed to meet productivity expectations, and our managers at all levels were slow to respond with corrective actions. In addition, we believe that in some cases, our estimated costs at bid time were too optimistic. As I have looked back and assessed what happened, I believe one factor was that our project managers and superintendents became demoralized as they worked hard to achieve challenging estimates. I believe that we failed to maintain our discipline in the bid process and did not adequately drive the need for attention to detail in the building of our projects. Rather than make excuses for these failures, let me explain some of the steps we have taken to right the ship. We added 3 new positions to the management of Texas Sterling, our largest subsidiary. We appointed Doug Clements as our Chief Executive Officer of Texas Sterling Construction, transferring him from Ralph L. Wadsworth. Doug has experience with a previous employer in correcting operating inefficiencies and promoting teamwork amongst the management group. Among his first initiatives will be improving operational performance, rightsizing and improving management of our equipment fleet, improving our review processes at bid time and adding focus to our safety program. Joe Harper Jr. was moved from the corporate team to become Chief Operating Officer at TSC. He is charged with returning management's focus to the importance of planning and attention to details in order to improve the financial results of each project. This will include implementation of a system to provide better and faster information feedback to our field managers, improving training of managers at all levels of the organization, as well as better updating of…

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Thanks, Joe. I agree with Joe on the benefits of the management reorganization in Texas. The entire construction industry has been hit with an extremely long downturn, and in the fourth quarter, we had a number of problems in Texas. Although we found these problems in the normal course of our project reviews, we've instituted tighter controls on our project pre-assessments. We've added management oversight, which will add overhead, but the potential savings generated with operational efficiencies are significant. I think the steps that we have taken should position us well when the markets that we are in finally turn, and turn they will. Our banking and bonding relationships have been developed over a long period of time and remain strong, with more than enough capacity for the anticipated growth in 2012 of over 25%. Our balance sheet also remains strong, and the goodwill write-down had no effect on our tangible net equity. During 2011 we successfully completed 2 acquisitions and spread our geographical region to Arizona, Idaho and California. We won our first design-build project in Texas in a joint venture. We are shortlisted on a $225-million design-build project in California. A 38-mile section of the 180-mile Grand Parkway project encompassing Houston is proceeding towards bidding, and we are negotiating to align ourselves with one of the teams. Industry estimates indicate that this section of the project will cost over $800 million, and the state has determined that it will go design-build. We are on a team, in which we are a 33% partner, that has submitted a prequalification for bidding an $800-million design-build project in Dallas and a 20% partner in another $1 billion-plus design-build project also in Dallas that will soon be advertised. We set out last year to obtain bonding takeover work, and in fact, have…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti & Company.

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Quarters like these prompt us to take a harder look and skeptical look at the recent awards. Joe, I'm assuming the discoveries of the project issues prompted management to pause on new bids and re-evaluate what types of risks you'd like to assume. When exactly did that occur?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Well, it was mid- to late December, Rich, by the time we realized what was going on. And you're right. We did go back and began focusing harder on both the preparation of the bids and the bid review process.

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

So you're fully comfortable with the awards that you've won, say, in 2012.

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

I believe that our cost estimates are solid.

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Okay. I know this is probably a guess from your part, but how much of the $592 million in sales that you expect to recognize in 2012 from year-end backlog is impaired revenue from the 5 contracts that were written down in the fourth quarter?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Rich, I don't have that number available. I can probably get it back to you later today, but I don't have it.

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Okay. Maybe alternatively, if you add back $5.9 million to the fourth quarter gross margin, you get to 8.6%. Is that a fair representation of the margin you would expect to book the next job?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

I think it's a little bit high. It depends on the project, obviously. And we have bid work recently, double-digit numbers. We've bid work sort of mid-single-digit numbers. It all depends on our assessment of the risk involved with the project and the competition we're facing.

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Okay. And then lastly, would anyone offer any timetable that you're shooting for regarding the search for a new CEO?

Maarten Hemsley

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Rich, this is Maarten Hemsley. I'll just answer that as I'm heading up the search committee. We have already got some candidates identified, and the interview process will begin in -- will be beginning very shortly. So we hope within the next couple of months, you'll see us begin that process.

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Well, Pat, if by chance this is your last call, it's too bad it ended on a bad note. But it was a good run.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Can you elaborate a little bit on the 7 projects you talked about, specifically the 5 with losses? I'd like to know if you can give us a sense of when they were bid or how much longer they are to complete, if any of them are now unprofitable.

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Some of them are now unprofitable, and so we would have recognized the full amount of the loss in 2011. And they were bid -- the projects -- and I also probably need to give some caution. As we called out 7 projects that they were -- there's obviously more than 7 projects that impacted the write-down. That's just a portion of it. So they were bid at different times, and they are in different stages. Some of them were near the end of the project, and then others are continuing on.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

And do we have a sense of when they will be through the pipeline? Will they flow through all of 2012, the first half of 2012?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

We haven't given anything there. I think our best indication is that we're not going to see margins above the 8% range for 2012.

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

And we also said that, I think, Liz, $592 million of the $740 million would be completed next year.

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Yes.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Right. But I guess I'm curious just about these 5 projects specifically, when they are scheduled to complete because they have a way of skewing, obviously, the overall margins.

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Right.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

And regarding the bidding issues, is it a -- I'm trying to sort of drill down. Is it -- were the estimates on materials off, on labor productivity off? Or was it somewhere else?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

It was all -- it was some...

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Go ahead, Joe. We had a number of issues. I'll let Joe elaborate.

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Yes. It was almost exclusively productivity issues. So that impacts both labor and equipment costs.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

And when you get to the project level and productivity, is it that the estimates were too aggressive relative to normal productivity? Or are -- is there a deficiency with the project management?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

I think we had a little bit of both. We had optimism get built into the bid process. So in a very difficult market where your win rate is substantially below normal, some of our estimators increased productivity to levels that turned out were not achievable, at least the way we built the projects. We also had some projects where the A team wasn't there and the B team didn't perform the way we would have liked.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

And where would the A team have been?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

We've got 80-plus projects in backlog at year end. So it was a busy year for us.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Right. That's -- yes, bookings are on. And are you getting good productivity out of the A team, at least?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Oh yes, and I don't mean that to be A -- just one team, I'm just -- that was a euphemism.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

I understand. But within your -- every company has A, B and C teams. Are you getting good productivity out of your A teams?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

Yes, I believe we are.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

You had mentioned -- Pat had mentioned adding overhead. I wonder if you can elaborate on how much we should expect that...

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

We haven't filed our -- I'm going to step in here, Pat. We haven't filed our 10-K yet, but I think you'll find some good details in the MD&A discussion that'll help give some indicators on overhead. So at this point, we are not going to comment on that.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

One other quick question. Rich kind of touched on this, but how is pricing today relative to 2011?

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

We see glimmers of hope. We see here in Texas the difference between second and third bidders being relatively high, in the 8%, 10% 12% range, but are still seeing in a majority of the cases someone taking it extremely cheap. That's usually a precursor of things turning better, but it's on a -- sort of a day-by-day basis.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc.

Tahira Afzal

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

I guess my first question is in regards to one of the things you mentioned as being a reason for cost going up, and that's labor shortages. And you said you have pockets where skilled labor wasn't available. Could you sort of provide color on that? And are you going to be keeping away from those areas? Or are you sort of adjusting up in your bids some kind of labor inflation, given Texas is seeing pretty healthy economy relative to the rest of the states?

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

Joe, you want to answer that?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

Yes, this is Joe. We think that's several projects down in Corpus Christi, Texas. And our expectation of local available workforce there proved to be a little optimistic, so we ended up bringing crews from other divisions in Texas. And probably the biggest one was the Baton Rouge, Louisiana project. We anticipated bringing 1 or 2 crews from our Texas operation over there and building out local teams. And we struggle still today trying to find a local workforce that is both skilled and willing to work the way we need them to work. So those are the 2 biggest cases.

Tahira Afzal

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

Is it difficult to get crews from out of state like Texas? Because I -- when I look at that, I'm actually seeing pockets of material weakness still. Is that just a very difficult thing to do legally?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

Well, in Texas, first, our wage rates are among the lowest in the country. And second, the oil and gas field operations are running at full tilt. So while I can't say it with certainty, I suspect strongly that a lot of the heavy civil workforce has been on good work in the oilfield businesses. And as a result, we have had a little squeeze of labor availability.

Tahira Afzal

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

Got it. And the second question is in regards to seeing more PPPs, et cetera. I know that's been a healthy trend in Texas to have private investors participate. How is that trend looking in terms of your booking prospects going forward? And in other terms -- in terms of how the projects are done and the milestones, et cetera, are those showing any different to those of the traditional projects you've done, let's say, several years back?

Brian Manning

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

This is Brian. The model is quite a bit different. But with the lack of funding nationally, more and more agencies are embracing it. The PPP model in Texas, the Grand Parkway, as Pat mentioned, is going design-build. They were pursuing that along a dual track, if you will, but ultimately decided to go to design-build. So we do not have in our backlog any PPP. Getting to your risk-sharing question, there are certain things that are put on a PPP team such as right-of-way risk and environmental risk. And typically, you try and have the concessionaire accept that risk and not bring it down to the construction joint venture level. So that's how they differ. And there is more risk involved with the PPP. The trend is going more and more towards public-private partnership, and we are very aware of the risks involved in entering in one of those projects.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from the line of John Rogers with Davidson.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

First of all, I guess for Liz, in terms of the losses from the unconsolidated subsidiaries, how much of that was goodwill impairment?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Well, we didn't have losses. I'm not sure. I think you may have misunderstood. The losses were not from unconsolidated subsidiaries.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Okay. So the negative minority interest, the $4.8 million, there was no goodwill impairment in that.

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

No, there was. That is the -- that charge is related to ownership interest by our noncontrolling owners. So maybe I misunderstood your question. There is a portion that is attributable to the noncontrolling interest.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Can you tell us how much of that -- in other words, what would be the minority interest line without the goodwill impairment?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

We haven't disclosed that. But I think the easiest way to back into it would be if you -- our typical tax rate is going to be around 35%. So you'll find that there's going to be a portion that's different. In addition, when you see that the 10-K come out, there'll be a rate reconciliation for taxes, and it'll disclose some portions of the write-down that was not -- where we didn't get a tax benefit. So I'm happy to walk you through that when we get our 10-K filed and help you put those pieces together.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Okay. But the subsidiaries where you've got minority interest, they're still profitable, I guess, is the heart of my question. And they're hitting your expectations.

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Yes, that's absolutely true. It impacted various subsidiaries, but it was simply a function of an allocation of the write-down. It was not because we attributed the write-down to a particular subsidiary. The goodwill impairment was done on the whole company basis. That's how the number was calculated. So there wasn't anything that went to this subsidiary or that subsidiary, other than through simply an allocation.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Okay. And in terms of the $625-million-plus in revenue that you're looking at for 2012 -- Joe, you kind of touched on this, but what portion of that revenue is being completed at 0 margins?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

You're right. I mean, that question came up, John, or one very similar to it. I don't think I can quantify that for you accurately enough. Again, once the K is out, I'd be happy to circle back with you on that.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Okay. But is it a substantial portion of it?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

John, I don't know that we're going to give those kind of details, but we can -- we are giving a blended margin for next year. But I think that's about the best we can do at this point.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Okay. Well, let me approach it this way. You said that you don't expect margins above 8% for the whole year. But are you also saying that you don't expect 8% or better margins for every quarter of next year? I was just trying to think about how much of this difficult work runs off and...

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

We're not giving it on a quarterly basis and...

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Right. But any comment that you might have on -- I mean, are we looking at substantial losses first part of the year and then hopefully getting better? Or is it just going to be difficult all the way through?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Well, typically, you will see lower margins in the first quarter and sometimes in the fourth quarter, depending on the stage of the projects and have some weather impacts going on in the first quarter. So you might see lower margins then.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Right. But because of the project timing or the difficult projects that you have now, I mean, any confidence that we're actually going to get these completed this year?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Well, certainly in some cases, we're going to see a lot of them completed this year.

Joseph Harper

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

I'm pretty confident, John, we're going to have all them washed through by the end of the fourth quarter. The project sizes were sort of all over the board, and smaller projects obviously are going to get done quicker. So you might make some assumptions on earlier quarters having more of a negative impact.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Okay. And, Joe -- or I don't know, Pat or Brian or whoever, you guys have made a pretty big push over the last couple of years to move up in terms of project sizes and do more complicated projects where, I think, in theory, there would have been fewer bidders. As you look at it now, as -- are you seeing that bifurcation in the market? I mean more -- I don't know whether it's just margins or profit opportunities with the large projects versus the small projects?

Brian Manning

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

John, this is Brian. I think typically when you do get to those larger projects, you've got a higher risk profile as well. And then they warrant the higher margins on them. We are seeing many projects in excess of $1 billion that would necessitate joint ventures. And as such, we are with very substantial partners, and we're able to spread that risk among the joint venture partners as well and learn from each other. So that's a positive thing. But we are seeing a trend toward some of these larger projects. Now on these larger projects, there's still opportunities that if we're not successful, we can come back at them and end up doing subcontract work because the project sizes are so large that it'll take many contractors to complete them. I think we are seeing compression in the margins on even the $1-billion projects from what they were 2, 3, 5 years ago, but they're still far in excess of what we're able to get on typical build work.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Okay. So I'm going to guess a part of it is then -- is that strategy to go after those because it sounds like you've got more of the problems in your traditional core projects. And I guess I'm just wondering, I mean, are you better off chasing the small regional projects or trying to go after these larger projects which will be more volatile? But I don't know if they offer a better return over time.

Brian Manning

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

I think they offer a better return on the one hand. On the other hand, these small regional projects have always been a portion of the work that we do and have typically provided us with decent margins that you've seen in the past. We have to wait until that market returns, but I think it'll always be part of our market. But yes, we are transitioning to the focus on larger projects where we believe the margins are better.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Okay. And then just last question. Were any of the difficulties in your water work? Or -- my impression was that, that market had been pretty slow for a while. So I'm assuming there wasn't a lot of work there, but...

Brian Manning

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

No, you're right. There isn't a lot of work there. And that specifically wasn't where our difficulties were.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Okay. And, Pat, are there opportunities for water projects in '12 and '13 sort of on your planning horizon?

Brian Manning

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

John, Brian again. There are some that we're looking at, but the majority is going to be in the transportation arena.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Okay. Okay. And I guess, sorry, last question. Any other markets that you're looking at? I mean, you've expanded quite a bit throughout the last -- I know in the past, sometimes when you've hit tough spots, you've gone further afield. But -- or is now the sense that you pull back into your historical cores?

Brian Manning

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

I don't know that we're pulling back, but we have a 25% projection of growth revenues this year with our core businesses and the acquisitions that we made last year. So I think we're going to focus on their profitable operations.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group.

Nicholas Coppola

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

So I wanted to ask what specifically you've done to improve the estimating process. I heard some earlier comments and I wonder if you could drill down on what has been done, what you can do and what it looks like to I guess do a better job on that.

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

Joe?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

It's mostly just driving into each of the folks who do our estimating. A lot of our project managers are involved in the estimating process, and it's refocusing them on real expectations for productivity. Typically, if we ask a foreman of -- either one of our own or one of our competitors how much pipe can you get in or whatever productivity issue, they tend to remember their best days and forget about the days where things went amiss. And it takes real discipline to focus on: These are what we have averaged. This is the way we have historically built. These are the numbers that need to be in our estimates.

Nicholas Coppola

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

Okay. And then I understand the goodwill write-down was for the entire company, but what were the components of the value there? Can you give me any guidance on what that was?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

The components will change depending on which things you feel are more indicative of value at that time, and so typically, you'll look at a range of components. And so we consider the market cap with a premium. We look at a discounted cash flow model. And then we also looked at industry multiples. And we weighted those and came up with what we thought the evaluation was. Another driver on the goodwill impairment is how you value the tangible assets of the company. And so when those tangible assets are valued fairly high, then that doesn't leave much left to allocate to goodwill and so sometimes that can increase the amount of your goodwill write-down.

Nicholas Coppola

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

That's helpful. And then you also, in the press release, mentioned 2 projects being delayed in Dallas. I wanted to ask, have those started yet? If not, when and kind of what was the cause of the delay?

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

Yes. They've both started and we are actively working and pursuing them now. The cause of the delay was owner financing, and it just complicates the ability for us to put labor and crews in the right places at the right times and the key people so that we can perfect on those jobs. But they are both started now.

Nicholas Coppola

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

Okay. Kind of a similar question. I saw the news release about the Bay Bridge Toll Plaza and how, I think, Caltrans didn't award within, I guess, the period that they were supposed to. What happened there?

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

We had a subcontractor that, given the opportunity, refused to honor his price. And we couldn't hold it to him and he was a significant subcontractor. So Caltrans, if they can't award in the time specified in the bid, gives you the option of opting out. So we did that, and we will rebid it here in the next month or so.

Nicholas Coppola

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

Okay. Interesting. And last question. As far as the weakness and internal controls that you mentioned earlier, is there any more detail you can give me there on what that looks like and what's being done to, I guess, control better in the future?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Nick Coppola with Thompson Research Group

Well, it's going to -- it will take some time to cure those weaknesses. But basically, it was part of the estimating process. And what we discovered was that there were enough instances where our procedures that we are supposed to be performing were not being done either adequately or on a timely basis. And so what we'll need to do is a combination of just looking over people's shoulders to make sure that these procedures are performed timely and adequately, and then I anticipate that we're going to be adding some procedures on top of what we've been doing historically. That -- you've got to implement those things, and then you have to let a few quarters go by in order to allow management to test it. So I could very easily see that we wouldn't be able to report that the material weakness had been remediated and if that remediation was validated until maybe even to year end.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from the line of Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti.

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

Does the company expect to be profitable in the first quarter?

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

As guidance [ph], Richard, I think we can't do that any more that we've released in the press release.

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

Okay. Does the performance on the I-15 contract that sounds pretty good represent any upside to the loose earnings forecast for '12? Or is that already anticipated in your call for lower earnings?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

Well, we -- our earnings forecast for 2012 is based on our current estimate of what the profitability is on our jobs in backlog as of year end. And so obviously, there can be some revisions to estimates as the project progresses during the year. And so it's quite possible that margins on that job could increase or decrease throughout the year, and that would end up with a difference by year end.

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

Great. What is the company's CapEx budget for '12? And how much of that is maintenance capital?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

Rich, we'll give some guidance on that in the 10-K. But at this point, we're not going to comment. But if you look at our MD&A section for liquidity and...

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

Is there a reason why you wouldn't give it here if it's coming out in the K?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

No. The reason why is we haven't filed the 10-K yet. And so we didn't put the information in our press release. We were focused on trying to explain the write-downs. And so our legal counsel has cautioned us not to go beyond on the press release's material information. Apologies, Rich. We'd love to...

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

No, not at all. Just curious. Lastly...

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

I think what we have in 10-K, I think, will be helpful.

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

Great. And then lastly, with 3 board members on the panel, I'd ask whether we can expect the company to expand its share repurchase program with the stock at $9, and whether the company would consider borrowing money explicitly to buy back stock.

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

Joe?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

Rich, we were authorized to the tune of $10 million, and we utilized about $3.6 million of that. So as Treasurer, we've got clear clearance to go ahead and repurchase as we think it's good to do. Second part of the question, to borrow money to repurchase shares, because our cash position is so strong, I can't -- I haven't thought about that. I don't...

Richard Wesolowski

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

I just posed it that way in case that you needed that cash for bonding purposes or working capital. It wouldn't seem so, but...

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Rich Wesolowski with Sidoti

There's still room there to have more-than-adequate bonding capacity. Actually, at our size, bonding is driven more by tangible net worth than it is the working capital line.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc.

Tahira Afzal

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

I guess this is a bit of a tricky question. But I know that there are a couple of your peers that trade publicity and they've been sort of reporting more profitable quarters in Texas on the transportation side. What do you think the key differences might be between some of your peers who are still profitable and yours in terms of your operational standing right now? Maybe a couple of key differences, perhaps quarries, equipment. I don't know what it is, but anything that would be of help.

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

Sure. This is Pat Manning by the way. I'm not sure what peers you are talking about. Most of the competitors that I talk to in Texas are suffering from the same issues that we are suffering for, and the margins have been depressed. And if you're talking about potentially Granite, I haven't seen how they've done, but they are involved in pretty much the megaprojects and in aggregates. So I'm not -- I just -- I'm not sure who you're speaking of, but our market has been extremely challenging.

Tahira Afzal

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

Would James Construction be competing in the same areas?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

James is a competitor, and the projects they picked up were all in close proximity to a quarry that they acquired in conjunction with those projects. So they likely had some cost advantages on us.

Tahira Afzal

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

Got it. And the quarry, essentially your aggregate -- the pricing of the aggregate might be different to that, and that might have been a key difference?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Tahira Afzal with KeyBanc

It may have been. And I heard that they had said that, that was a major reason why they were able to acquire that backlog.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Avi Fisher with BMO.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO

Yes, sorry, just a quick follow-up. I didn't catch -- I don't know if you'll give it -- the depreciation and amortization, the cutbacks and the cash flow from operations in the quarter.

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO

We didn't disclose that, but that will be of course in the 10-K.

Avram Fisher

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO

When do you expect the 10-K to be filed?

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO

It should be filed on the due date, which is tomorrow.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from the line of John Rogers with Davidson.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Towards -- for earnings in 2012, will you be generating cash given the timing of your projects?

Joseph Harper

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

A trick way to try and get the answer to all the other questions we wouldn't answer.

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

It's cash flow from operations. I think that's fair to say.

John Rogers

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

Well, I guess -- and maybe this will be in the K, but your D&A cost, I mean, should be similar to what we saw in '12 and tax rates.

Elizabeth Brumley

Analyst · John Rogers with Davidson

I think we'll all pass on that question. I'll let you investigate that in the 10-K.

Operator

Operator

We have no further questions in queue at this time. I'd like to turn the floor back over to management for closing remarks.

Patrick Manning

Analyst · Avi Fisher with BMO Capital Markets

We appreciate all your time. We look forward to talking to you next quarter. Thank you.

Joseph Harper

Analyst · Sidoti & Company

Thanks, everybody.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.