Carlo Ferro
Analyst · UBS. Please go ahead
Good morning, everyone. Thank you, Carlo. As mentioned, ST's financial performance throughout the year 2014 was solid. We made real progress, despite softer-than-expected revenue progression, and we met our financial outlook in each quarter of 2014. In addition, we began to generate a positive net income starting from the second quarter, and a positive free cash flow starting from the third quarter of 2014. So 2014 was a year of progress: Our net income had a significant positive swing, moving from a net loss of $500 million to a net income of $128 million. To be fair, we received $96 million pre-tax in R&D grants related to the prior year, but the swing is still quite remarkable. Our free cash flow increased to positive $197 million from negative $179 million. Our operating margin before restructuring and impairment improved to 4% and 3.2% in the third and fourth quarters of 2014 respectively, from negative in 2013. We will now accelerate our efforts to increase revenue growth in 2015, and to move ST closer to the trajectory we wanted to be on, at or above $2 billion revenues per quarter. The good news is that, despite lower revenues, we made improvements across the board in all the other key financial metrics during 2014. Looking at our product portfolio, our three largest groups; Automotive, Industrial & Power Discrete and Microcontrollers, Memory and Secure Microcontrollers MMS, represent 70% of our revenues and serve applications that are currently enjoying the largest growth in the industry. In addition, they are delivering profitability margins well above the ST consolidated average. Our fourth group; Analog, MEMS and Sensors at 15% of revenues, experienced a year of transition in 2014, pressuring the profitability. We are confident about the prospects of this business as you will hear later on in our Sense & Power and Automotive review. Our fifth group is the new Digital Product Group, which is a combination of DCG and IBP, and represented 15% of our revenues in 2014. Revenues decline reflect that, first of all, the ongoing phase-out of ST-Ericsson legacy products, the market softening and accelerated phase-out of DPG legacy products. This group is loss-making, and as you know we made important decision last year, including the discontinuation of our commodity camera module business and the implementation of a $100 million cost reduction initiative. Turning to our results. Revenues in 2014 were $7.4 billion. In the fourth quarter, they were $1.83 billion, well in line with our outlook entering the quarter, even a bit better. As Carlo indicated, there were several areas of very good forward progress for the full-year 2014. MMS, representing 20% of revenues, grew 10.2%. APG at 25% of revenues grew 8.3%. And IPD at 25% of ST's revenues grew 3.6%. In AMS, revenues decreased 15.6%, while DPG, in the current perimeter, decreased by 43%, including $548 million reduction due to the phase-out of ST-Ericsson products. We continued to expand our customer base. In 2014, our 10 largest customers represented about one-third of total revenues, and none of them exceeded 10% on an individual basis. Our large customers are important players in their industries: Bosch and Conti in automotive; Apple, Samsung and Microsoft in wireless; HP, Seagate and Western Digital in computer peripherals; Cisco in networking and Delta in industrial. We are now in a different, less concentrated, less exposed model compared to 2010 when the larger customers represented about 14% of the total revenues, but we are having to recover $1.3 billion of revenues lost with Nokia since then. Distribution plays a more and more important role in the evolution of our customer base, not only because we can address a very diverse and large number of customers, but also because ST can capture higher margin on sales through this channel. In 2014, revenues from distribution increased about $200 million, and exiting 2014, they were 32% of total revenues. Looking forward, we expect total revenues in the first quarter of 2015 to decrease sequentially by about 5%, plus or minus 3.5% points. This evolution is better than our normal seasonality and takes into consideration the fact that this quarter we don’t have the one-time licensing we experienced in Q4. In Q4, it occurred the Chinese New Year holiday and based on our accounting calendar we have about 8% less days in Q1 versus Q4. Moving to our gross margin. During 2014, we expanded it by 140 basis points, thanks to manufacturing efficiencies, as well as favorable currency effects. Unsaturation charges, largely related to our capacity in digital technologies have been a drag on our gross margin, and therefore unsaturation [ph] charges will continue to significantly impact the first two quarters of 2015. In that regard, looking specifically at the first quarter, ST gross margin is expected to be about 33.2%, plus or minus 2 points, and reflects still high unsaturation charges. We estimate they will impact the gross margin this quarter by about 120 basis points. Jean-Marc will shortly expand on all the actions we are taking to improve the loading of our 12-inch capacity. We continue to make progress towards our mid-term gross margin target of 36% to 38%, driven by: the completion of the conversion from 6-inch to 8-inch in our front-end fab in Singapore; by the pruning of low-margin products, including the phase-out of legacy ST-Ericsson products and the discontinuation of our commodity camera module business; by the improved saturation of the manufacturing capacity and the related manufacturing efficiencies; and importantly, by currency, which I will discuss in detail shortly. A highlight of our progress has been with net operating expenses. Here we were quite pleased to moving in our target range, which is as you know $550 million to $600 million per quarter, earlier than planned, as the fourth quarter gross operating expenses were $611 million, and net of normalized grants, they were $576 million. As we indicated last quarter, we are taking additional measures in our digital business to extract about $100 million of operating expenses and savings on an annualized basis, which will take effect as we move through 2015, particularly in the second half of the year. Turning now to the balance sheet. ST has maintained a solid net financial position throughout the macroeconomic and industry turbulences, the difficulties with the joint-venture, the cost to exit the ST-Ericsson joint-venture. This has enabled us to make the appropriate level of investment in capital expenditures. CapEx totaled $496 million in 2014, represented 6.7% of total revenues in the year and averaged 6.3% of revenues over the last three years, well within our targeted level. Finally, free cash flow in the fourth quarter of 2014 has been positive by $200 million, after $140 million positive in the third quarter. During 2014, we enhanced our liquidity by taking advantage of a very favorable convertible debt financing for the amount of $1 billion. At the same time, we protected our equity shareholders from dilution by completing a $20 million share repurchase program. Also today, I’m pleased to note that our convertible securities are trading at attractive levels in the marketplace, so really a win-win for all. Finally, let me conclude this financial review with some comments on the currency exposure. As you know, we have seen dramatic shifts in the euro/dollar rate, which today stands at about 1.13. We have not seen this level since 2010 and this is a very welcome change. While a stronger dollar is certainly a tailwind for ST, please consider that ST hedges its costs, so we use a combination of currency forwards and collar options. I am sure you are interested in the projection of effective euro/dollar rate for the next quarter. Maybe before announced, as the company has evolved its cost structure, a revised sensitivity analysis has slightly adjusted the quarterly effect of plus or minus 1 percentage point of change in the euro/collar rate, and this is the effect on the cost structure before the short-term impact that we experienced on revenues. Now the sensitivity model is $4 million to $5 million on gross profit. This has not changed. $3 million to $3.5million on net operating expenses, I mean net of the grants. So the total impact on the EBIT of plus or minus $7 million to $8.5 million per quarter per percentage point. So you will see the benefit of a stronger dollar, but it will take a few quarters for the full effect to materialize in our financial due to existing hedges. Additionally, please note that 14% of our revenue is billed in euro. So over time, normally prices are adjusted to the US dollar equivalent amount. But due to the sudden shift that recently occurred, it will take time to adjust. On the other side the good news is that the effective rate for the cost structure is dramatically improving, assuming the current rate, we estimate the effective rate for the next quarters to be 1.24 for Q1 ‘15; 1.19 for Q2; 1.17 for Q3 and 1.15 for Q4. On this positive note, I turn back to Carlo.