Ben Butcher
Analyst · Citi. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Matts. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the first quarter earnings call for STAG Industrial. We're pleased to have you join us and look forward to telling you about our first quarter results. Presenting today in addition to myself will be Bill Crooker, our Chief Financial Officer, who will be discussing the bulk of our financial and operational data. Also with me today are Steve Mecke, our Chief Operating Officer; and Dave King, our Director of Real Estate Operations. They will be available to answer questions specific to their areas of focus. First and foremost, I hope and trust you and your families are all staying safe and healthy during these unprecedented times. I'm happy to report that despite the ongoing pandemic, STAG and its employees remain safe and healthy. We spent a considerable amount of time and energy over the past few years creating a strong culture of bright, talented, and engaged employees. Our team has been working remotely for some time, and the company continues to function at a high level. The investments made over the years in processes improvement, data collection, storage, and analytics are all paying dividends as we continue to navigate the current environment. The near-term impact on the industrial real estate sector due to the novel COVID-19 virus continues to be fluid. Virtually, all GDP growth projections for Q2 are decidedly negative. The disruptions in both the domestic and global economy will continue to dampen consumption to the current shutdowns are likely beyond. This is putting considerable strain on a broad spectrum of tenants and industries. The government has responded with large and varied policy initiatives intended to inject liquidity into the economy. The size and pace of these initiatives is unprecedented. The long-term impact of these government actions is yet to be determined. However, we believe the longer-term impact on the industrial sector will be net positive. Companies are re-evaluating global supply chains, and our reliance on China and other low-cost manufacturing countries. Establishing more supply chain redundancy will also provide better defenses against future large global disruptions. Nearshoring and onshoring has begun, and this trend will grow. All of these trends are expected to directly benefit our portfolio. There will be permanent changes to supply chain strategies across all industries. Perhaps the biggest impact of the virus will be a permanent acceleration of the trend towards e-commerce. Having a viable ecommerce business plan will no longer be a luxury for retailers. Collectively, these factors should provide increased demand for industrial space post crisis. These positive effects for industrial real estate demand will likely manifest themselves later this year. Speaking to the current investment market conditions, the real estate asset transaction market has generally paused as market participants work to understand the current pricing environment. Brokers are recommending to sellers who can wait that new transaction offerings be delayed until summer. Renewal leasing activity remains steady, most corporate growth initiatives are on hold eliminating much of the warehouse consolidation traditionally seen as a result of M&A activity or supply chain rationalization. New leasing has slowed and the duration of negotiations is widely expected to increase. We expect that new supply will also decrease materially due to developer and lender uncertainty, construction moratoriums, and permitting delays. So, in the medium term, we expect modestly increasing demand and decreased supply, generally for the industrial sector. In response to the market disruption, we placed our acquisition efforts on pause. In mid-March, as the level of market disruption increased, we terminated several transactions that were under contract and LOI. These were deals that involve tenants and/or industries likely to face elevated levels of disruption during the crisis. On the remaining transactions we've had under agreement, we requested a 60 days expense [ph] of contract period. Where the seller would not agree to this concession, we terminated our pursuit of the deal. We continue to monitor the market to determine when and how our acquisition efforts will resume. We continue to see demand for our space in the current environment as evidenced by our healthy operating metrics for the first quarter, both strong retention and leasing spreads. This has continued even after the period of shutdown started. We've remained active on the leasing front during this time. From the third week in March through the day, we've executed 13 leases for 1.4 million square feet. We've seen increased demand from tenants in the logistics, retailer, food products, and pharmaceutical industries. Tenants remain interested in available space with the 28 tenants representing 5 million square feet of requirements interested in our market space similar to normal levels during more normal environments. Credit underwriting and monitoring has been an integral part of our business since day one, and our dedicated team has a deep understanding of our tenancy’s operations and financial conditions. This understanding is vital to our operating under current conditions. The credit team in conjunction with our asset management and customer solution teams continue to communicate directly with tenants across various points of internal contacts. Our balance sheet strategy was positioned to endure times like this. Incorporating our January equity offering and forward equity proceeds, our leverage sits at 4 times debt-to-EBITDA, which is considerably less than the low end of our recently stated leverage bands. Our liquidity stands at $597 million before taking into account the forward equity proceeds available with a large portion of that in cash on our balance sheet. This is a testament to the business we have built and the strength of our portfolio that we were able to recently complete, the refinancing of $300 million of term loan debt in these market conditions. This refinancing activity effectively extends all our debt maturities until 2022 and beyond. Our company is well positioned to operate in the current environment. The benefit of not maintaining a development component is the ability to readily hit pause in capital deployment when the market dislocates, and the ability to quickly re-engage to capture the opportunities we expect to uncover as recovery begins. Our balance sheet and liquidity levels will allow us to be opportunistic when the time is right. We very much look forward to that day. The market remains volatile, and it is difficult to predict both the time and the slope of the recovery. We have updated guidance knowing that a heightened level of uncertainty exists in the the world. We’ve incorporated what we know now and what might reasonably be expected to occur based on a various scenario analyses across multiple inputs. Bill will discuss in detail our updated 2020 guidance in his remarks. We'll continue to update the market as appropriate as we all move forward through this unprecedented time. How 2020 plays out is uncertain for all market participants. The industrial sector has benefit from historical tailwinds and continues display strong fundamentals even as we endure today's current conditions. STAG has positioned its portfolio and balance sheet to withstand and eventually benefit from today's environments and during the recovery that follows. With that, I'll turn it over to Bill to discuss our first quarter operational results are updated 2020 guidance.