Geoff Jervis
Analyst · Evercore. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Ben and good morning, everyone. As Ben mentioned, second quarter was another strong operating period for STAG. Starting with acquisitions ,during the quarter, we acquired 12 properties, plus an additional property post quarter end for a purchase price of $96 million and a weighted average cap rate of 8.4%. In addition we've contracted to purchase an additional 26 properties for $198 million at comparable cap rates. Inclusive of the $97 million of Q1 acquisitions, year-to-date we have acquired or are under price agreement to acquire $381 million of properties. We've probably stated that our goal is to grow our asset base by 25% a year and our resulting 2015 acquisition target is $450 million. Our activities to date account for over 80% of the target. Furthermore, our pipeline of potential investments was at a record high of $1.9 billion at quarter end. With five months remaining in the year, we're very confident that we will meet or exceed our target. I want to take a moment and explain why we are currently so focused on acquisitions. For us, we have two prong test for making an investment. First, does the investment make sense in isolation from a return of activity standpoint? Our 8% unleveraged yields when capitalized at our 60% equity, 40% debt mix and accounting for incremental G&A yield 10.5%. We find these double-digit returns to be very attractive, especially in light of the current rate environment. The second test for us is accretion to our shareholders. Using a $20.50 stock price and the 10.5% equity yield from the example, each new share we raise to capitalize our acquisition equity earns FFO of $2.15 per share. This is extraordinarily accretive when compared to our 2014 FFO per share results of $1.45 for the year. Taking it one step further, our acquisitions are not only accretive at today’s stock price, but remain accretive through a stock price in the mid teens. Not only are acquisitions attractive from a return standpoint, but also from a risk standpoint. As we illustrated at our Inaugural Investor Day, we have a differentiated method by which we assess risk in our acquisitions through the use of our proprietary risk assessment model. I encourage interested parties to listen to the webcast on our website as the leaders of our business units explain in great detail our origination process with specific focus on our sophisticated underwriting model. Furthermore, while our quantitative approach to risk assessment allows us to efficiently assess risk in a broader array of markets, we remain extraordinarily selective. In 2014, we reviewed 1,000 transactions, underwrote 350, bid around 200 and closed 43. As we look forward, the trillion dollar U.S. industrial market offers us a deep opportunity set. We believe that our target market is approximately $250 billion and at our current size, we account for less than 1% of our target market. In summary, we're very excited about growth by acquisitions because it generates excellent absolute returns. It is extraordinarily accretive to our shareholders and we have a very long runway for continued accretive, selective growth. Turning to our portfolio, at quarter end we own 265 buildings in 37 states with a total of 50 million square feet. Occupancy stands at 95% for the portfolio and our average lease term and rent are 4.2 years and $3.97 per square foot respectively. All of these measures improved from last quarter as we continue to see robust activity in the leasing markets. This quarter only 1% of our portfolio as leases expire and a single 313,000 square foot move out resulted in a 29% retention rate. Over the last 12 months our retention rate has been 69% with cash rent growth of 5.1%. We continue to expect retention levels to be in the 70% range for 2015. From a rent standpoint, again a small sample this quarter cash rents grew by 3%. Furthermore as we acquire properties below replacement cost, we believe that our positive rent growth experience is repeatable. From a market standpoint, we continue to find value in secondary markets. Again, I think there is some confusion on what a secondary market is so I will list a few. Denver, Orlando, Kansas City, Cincinnati, Louisville, Baltimore, Boston, Detroit, Minneapolis, Saint Louis, The Lehigh Valley, Charlotte, Columbus, Pittsburgh, Nashville, and Milwaukie. These markets were defined by CBRE as secondary are robust, dynamic markets that are an integral part of the economy and U.S. manufacturing, supply and distribution chain. While we in our target markets we do target attractive risk adjusted returns and while we bid on many assets in primary, secondary and tertiary markets, our model typically identifies the best value in secondary markets today. Evidence is in our acquisition activity since IPO as we have acquired 65% of our assets in secondary markets, 26% in primary markets and 9% in tertiary markets. If the relative value proposition changes, I promise you that we will as well. We're not emotional about the markets in which invest. We reserve our motion for relative value and therefore enjoy broad opportunity set that is not arbitrarily limited. Turning to the quarter's operations, cash and operating income on cash NOI was $43.4 million representing growth of 29% from the year ago period. Cash NOI growth comes from two sources; internal or same store NOI and external or new acquisitions. Obviously, our external growth has been strong and remains robust. We are however often criticized for poor internal growth prospects and our critics often justify their conclusions by criticizing our markets and assets. This is simply not true or fair. Our acquisition line was generally to acquire occupied assets a 100% occupied assets. Over time these assets will stabilize at market occupancy 93.5% currently. This downward occupancy pressure is underwritten and expected. True internal growth however should be assessed based upon rent and expense growth and our rent growth has been equal to our peers. Furthermore with our tenants picking up the operating expenses at our proprieties as is customary in warehouse leases, our rent growth will fall more directly to our bottom line. Although not argued that same-store NOI will have downward pressure due to the impact of stabilizing occupancy, we will argue until we are blue in the face that our real, comparative internal growth is as good as any of our peers in the long run. On a corporate level, adjusted EBITDA broadly speaking cash NOI less SG&A was $36.5 million representing growth of 26%. Adjusted EBITDA did not grow at the same pace as cash NOI due to the increase in G&A as our G&A expense was $7.5 million in Q2 compared to recurring G&A of $5.4 million in the comparable period last year. Moving down the ledger, core funds from operation or core FFO generally speaking adjusted EBITDA less our cash of debt capital was $24.7 million, representing growth of 22% compared to 2014. On a per share basis, core FFO was $0.36 per share, flat compared to last year. This result was due to the aforementioned G&A increases as well as the fact we remained on average over-equitized for the quarter and due to the fact that we've refinanced a 100% of our unsecured debt in the last year adding 4.5 years of duration to our unsecured liabilities. All that said, the aggregate impact of these factors was offset entirely by the accretive nature of our acquisitions. In large part, due to our refinancing efforts over the last year, we were awarded this quarter by an upgrade from Fitch ratings from BBB minus to BBB flat. In this press release Fitch cited our strong leverage metrics, strong liquidity and increasing capital markets access as the primary rationale for the upgrade. A copy of Fitch’s press release is on our website. G&A has been a topic of much discussion amongst the analyst investment communities and appropriately so. The growth in G&A over the last year has caused our bottom line numbers FFO and FFO per share to be basically flat for multiple cores. Had G&A not grown over the last year, but held at the Q2 2014 levels our Q2 2015 FFO per share would have been $0.39 per share or $0.03 per share higher than what we reported today. On an annualized basis this would equate to FFO growth of over 10% on a per share basis. Obviously our investment in G&A has impacted results. But we firmly believe that we have an opportunity as I described earlier that warrants the investment. As long as we see investment in G&A leading to opportunities akin to what we see today, we will invest in our platform in order to maintain our sophisticated and selective approach to investing. As G&A growth levels off over the next few years, our G&A is projected to be at least in line with the industry and this makes sense. We have primarily single tenant leases, leases where the tenant effective access property manager under a modified net lease structure; therefore requiring only management of oversight on our part. Turning to the balance sheet, at the end of the second quarter our immediately available liquidity was $375 million and as of today, we have liquidity in the form of cash and available credit just sufficient to fund our projected level of acquisition for all of 2015. Furthermore, we do not have any debt maturities in 2015 and we have less than $30 million of maturing debt in all of 2015, '16 and '17 combined. We remain committed to a low level balance sheet, capitalizing our acquisitions with 40% debt and 60% equity. The result of this design has been very strong credit metrics with net debt to run rate annualized adjusted EBITDA at five times at quarter end. We continue to strive for a defensive balance sheet and believe we have achieved our goal today as evidenced by our ratings upgrade to BBB flat. Looking at our liabilities at year end, we had approximately $765 million of debt outstanding with a weighted average remaining term of 7.1 years and a weighted average interest rate of 4.4%. All of our debt is at a fixed rate or has been swapped to fixed rate with the exception of our revolver. Going forward, we will likely increase the size of our revolver in order to account for our growing investment pipeline and have initiated those discussions. In addition, we remain committed to financing our long term investments with long term capital and expect that future debt issuances will be in the form of fixed rate, long dated private placements. On the equity front in order to capitalize our acquisitions, we raised a total of $62 million of equity in Q2 from our ATM programs. On a weighted average basis, our equity capital was raised at $21.36 per share for the quarter. Going forward we expect to continue to primarily rely on the ATM and OP unit issuances for our equity needs and as maybe required look to use discreet follow-on equity offerings like the one we executed last October. In summary, it was a very good quarter for STAG. Success on the left hand side of the balance sheet with acquisition and leasing as well as success from the right hand side of the balance sheet with equity capital raises and the upgrade from Fitch. As we look forward, these managers are excited that we are building a best in class platform not only for the opportunities presented to us today but also for the opportunities that we foresee in the future. Before I turn it back to Ben, I want to encourage anyone interested in STAG to go to our website at www.stagindustrial.com and navigate to our Investor Day webcast, which can be found on the Investor Relations page. I think that webcast will go a long way to demystifying STAG business model and has left listeners with a new appreciation for the sophistication and selectivity of our origination process. And with that, I will turn it back to Ben.