Stephen Farrell
Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead
Thank you Deborah. In our press release today, we withdrew the company's outlook provided on February 11, 2025. Despite confidence in our recent efforts to mitigate tariff exposure and our optimism regarding short-term and long-term business trends. Government policy and economic uncertainty make it more challenging to forecast, particularly in the short-term. Let me take a minute to highlight some of the reasons why I'm optimistic for the future and excited about being part of the STAAR team. First, our short term tactical challenges will mostly be addressed by the end of Q2. We are monitoring inventory in China more closely. Cost controls are in place and the new management team is committed and motivated. We have mitigated most of the short-term tariff risk in China by increasing our inventory in country and believe we will be able to mitigate most of the longer-term risk with the expansion of our manufacturing capabilities in Switzerland. As we return to higher levels of sales and growth in Q3, we expect you can expect to see the savings from our cost initiatives fall to the bottom line. The second reason I am optimistic about the future is because we have a unique proprietary column or material and a first mover advantage that creates a sustainable competitive advantage. The scales are tilted in our favor from a technology perspective and we have a 30-year head start over new entrants. We have a proven solution and EVO ICL should be the choice procedure across all markets. Our lenses are comprised of a biocompatible Collamer material that is stable in the eye and that is extremely difficult to reproduce, especially at scale. We believe that our EVO ICL will become the preferred surgical solution because it is an additive procedure and our lenses are implanted in front of the natural crystalline lens. EVO does not compromise the integrity of the eye because it does not permanently reshape the cornea and it's removable. EVO offers UV protection and an improved visibility in a quick procedure with a fast recovery. Although we are just getting started, we believe there are opportunities to use our proprietary columnar material in other therapeutic areas, especially within the eye. The third reason I am optimistic about the future is that we operate in a very large and growing market so we will generally enjoy tailwinds even though that has not been the case recently. While data regarding laser vision correction indicates overall procedure volumes are dropping, ICL procedure volumes are increasing and we believe the total addressable market for lens based refractive vision correction is a much bigger opportunity. Although my assessment of our current addressable market is a work in process, I thought it was important to give you some preliminary thoughts on how we think about this opportunity. We believe that the benefits of the EVO ICL procedure will make it the clear choice for refractive vision correction globally over time, as it has already become in markets like Japan where surgeon confidence is high, where patients have a greater awareness of ICL as an alternative to laser vision correction, and where the market environment has been favorable to ICLs. Although the data is not perfect, Market Scope estimates the global refractive surgical market at almost 5.2 million procedures in 2025. We think that might be a little bit high, but it's in the ballpark of our estimates. We sell our individual lenses at prices that average $500 to $600 globally, but that pricing varies significantly from a little under $400 per lens to over $1,200 depending on the specific attributes of the lens and the volume of purchases. As we mentioned in our press release, we succeeded this quarter in expanding our labeling in Brazil and so that we can now effectively address the entire global refractive market there. We are pursuing labeling changes, including spherical power in other key markets globally so that we eventually have the approval to participate in most of those 5.2 million procedures. So on the low side, our market opportunity could be defined as the 5.2 million global refractive procedures times our ASP of $500 to $600. However, we think that perspective of the market understates our opportunity. We have historically focused on attracting the surgeons who treat the small percentage of patients who have elected the surgical option, which includes LASIK, PRK Smile and our EVO ICL. However, the overwhelming majority of people with myopia have not taken the surgical route and have opted instead to go untreated or to wear glasses or contact lenses. Roughly one third of the global population, or 2.7 billion people, have myopia today, approximately 1.1 billion of whom are between 21 and 45 years old, which is the target market for our EVO ICL technology. That's 2.2 billion potential procedures. Many of these people could be treated using our lens without any label expansion. Our challenge is to find ways to overcome the obstacles that prevent our target population from seeking visual freedom with EVO ICL. These obstacles include efforts to keep patients in glasses and contacts, surgeon reluctance, lack of patient awareness, patient ability to pay in, patient aversion to eye surgery, among others. These obstacles will be challenging to overcome and we don't have all the answers yet. However, we know that we need to identify pathways to capture the tens of millions of patients who have not elected the surgical vision correction option but are able to afford our ICL and would benefit from the visual freedom that our ICL could provide. We are spreading the word about EVO and surgeons and patients are increasingly turning to EVO ICLs for refractive vision correction. The prevalence of myopia is growing globally as a result of excessive use of computers and smartphones, combined with decreased exposure to natural light and reduced outdoor activities. We have only just begun to tap into this market opportunity and its growing fast. We have work to do, but I am confident in our path forward. I look forward to sharing our progress with you each quarter and more importantly, delivering financial results that will speak for themselves. Warren and I will meet with investors in Asia next week, including at the CICC Investor Conference in Shanghai. The team also looks forward to meeting with many of you at the upcoming Stifel Ophthalmology Summit, the Wells Fargo West Coast Bus Tour, the William Blair Annual Growth Stock Conference, and the Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference. Thank you for your interest and your continued support of STAAR. Operator, we will now take questions.