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Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Good day, ladies gentlemen, and welcome to the Q4 2013 Stratasys Earnings Conference call. My name is Ian. I'll be your operator for today. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded for replay purposes. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Mr. Shane Glenn, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please proceed, sir.
SG
Shane Glenn
Analyst
Thank you, Ian. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us to discuss our fourth quarter and full year 2013 financial results. On the call with us today are David Reis, CEO; Erez Simha, CFO and COO of Stratasys. Bre Pettis, CEO of MakerBot, will join us later in the call to answer questions regarding MakerBot products and strategy. A reminder that access to today's call, including the prepared slide presentation, is available online at the web address provided in our press release. In addition, a replay of today's call, including access to the slide presentation, will also be available. It can be accessed within the Investors section of our website. A reminder that certain information included or incorporated in this presentation may be deemed to be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements are often characterized by the use of forward-looking terminologies such as may, will, expect, anticipate, estimate, continue, believe, should, intend, project and other similar words, but are not the only way these statements are identified. These forward-looking statements may include, but are not limited to, statements relating to the company's objectives, plans and strategies; statements that contain projections of results of operations or financial condition, including with respect to the MakerBot acquisition; and all statements other than statements of historical fact that address activities, events or developments that the company intends, expects, projects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks and uncertainties. The company has based these forward-looking statements on assumptions and assessments made by its management in light of their experience…
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Thank you, Shane, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining today's call. We are very pleased with our record fourth quarter and full year financial results. The company observed strong demand across all product categories during the fourth quarter, driven by the merger revenue synergies and our rapidly growing industry. Organic revenue growth was an impressive 36% during the fourth quarter over the fourth quarter of last year with hardware and consumable revenue, excluding sales of MakerBot products, growing by 38% and 33%, respectively. MakerBot also performed impressively, contributing revenue of approximately $25 million to the fourth quarter as the rapidly growing desktop category sustained strong growth sales momentum. Our gross margin increased both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter, driven by the sales of our higher-margin products and operational improvements. The margin expansion, combined with our strong sales performance, contributed to a record quarter in terms of profit and earnings per share. In addition to our strong fourth quarter financial performance, we continue to aggressively expand our global market presence from channel extension and strategic partnerships. And we introduced several new systems and materials that are a result of our focused investment in R&D and product development. Finally, with the first phase of the Stratasys-Objet merger integration completed, we are now focusing our attention on better aligning additional functional areas within our company, including R&D and operations. I will return later in the call to provide you with more detail on these developments and our strategy moving forward. But first, I would like to turn the call over to our CFO and COO, Erez Simha, who will provide you details on our financial results.
ES
Erez Simha
Analyst
Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. As in previous quarters, our focus on today's call will be on the non-GAAP financial results of the combined company for the fourth quarter of 2013 and pro forma non-GAAP financial results in the fourth quarter of 2012, giving effect to the Stratasys-Objet merger as if it has occurred on January 1, 2012. These non-GAAP financial measures should be read in combination with our GAAP metrics to evaluate our performance. You should also note that we are not providing any pro forma financial result for the MakerBot acquisition. MakerBot results were included in the GAAP and non-GAAP results commencing August 15, 2013. The non-GAAP to GAAP reconciliations are provided in a table contained in our slide presentation and press release. As David mentioned in his opening remarks, we are very pleased with our fourth quarter performance. We generated $156 million in revenue in the fourth quarter, an impressive 62% increase over the pro forma results for the same period last year. Our organic revenue growth was an impressive 36% over the same period last year, driven by Stratasys-Objet merger synergies and a rapidly expanding market for 3D printing and additive manufacturing solutions worldwide. MakerBot also made a significant revenue contribution of $24.9 million to the fourth quarter, sustaining its strong positive sales momentum within the rapidly growing desktop category. Driven by our strong sales and combined with the sales mix of higher-margin products, we generated record profits in the fourth quarter. Although MakerBot product margins are slightly lower than our corporate average, we were pleased to see our margin moved higher for the quarter. Net profit grew by 59% to $25.8 million or $0.50 per diluted share over the $16.3 million or $0.40 per share -- per diluted share on a pro forma…
SG
Shane Glenn
Analyst
Thank you, Erez. Stratasys reiterated the following information regarding the company's projected revenue and net income for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2014: Revenue guidance of $660 million to $680 million; non-GAAP net income of $113 million to $119 million or $2.15 to $2.25 per diluted share; GAAP net income of $10.5 million to $19.9 million or $0.20 to $0.38 per diluted share; we expect organic sales, which exclude MakerBot sales, to grow at least 25% over 2013 with additional growth coming from MakerBot, which is expected to grow at a higher rate. Stratasys provided the following additional information regarding the company's performance and strategic plans for 2014. Operating expenses are projected to grow materially in 2014, driven by investments in sales and marketing programs to drive future market adoption, as well as by higher R&D investments to fund technology innovation and new product development. Incremental sales and marketing investments will focus on expanding sales channels, enhancing regional infrastructure, as well as building unique go-to-market programs targeting certain market verticals and customer applications. Non-GAAP operating margins in 2014 are projected to remain relatively consistent with levels recognized in 2013 as margin expansion in the company's core business is offset by a full year contribution from MakerBot, which maintains lower operating margins. Projected non-GAAP net income is expected to be derived disproportionately from the second half of 2014, driven by the projected timing of operating expenses, as well as the projected timing and success of new product introductions and their corresponding ramp in sales. All the new fifth-generation MakerBot systems, for example, are expected to have begun shipment by the middle of 2014. Capital expenditures are projected to be $50 million to $70 million, which include significant investments in manufacturing capacity in anticipation of future growth. Non-GAAP earnings guidance excludes $64.8 million of projected amortization of intangible assets, $25.1 million to $28.2 million of share-based compensation expense; and $8.8 million to $9.8 million in nonrecurring expenses related to M&A transactions. Our long-term target operating model remains: annual organic revenue growth of at least 20%; non-GAAP operating income as a percentage of sales between 20% to 25%; an effective tax rate of between 15% to 20%; and non-GAAP net income as a percentage -- a percent of sales of between 16% and 21%. Now I'd like to turn the call back over to David Reis who will provide you with a more detailed strategic overview. David?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Thank you, Shane. The revenue synergies that are resulting from the Stratasys-Objet merger, combined with the rapid growing market base, are once again reflected in the strong organic revenue growth that we generated during the fourth quarter. We are very pleased with the result of our sales, marketing and service team integration, which is now completed. We now turn our integration focus to align the other function areas within the company to include R&D and operations. We continue to invest effort in building and implementing the scale and infrastructure needed to execute the growth strategy in the following areas: we will seek to maintain our leadership in the prototyping market by expanding the functionality and affordability of our products; we will seek to expand the direct digital manufacturing business by building on proven opportunities, as well as developing exciting new applications and technologies; we will seek to introduce new niche vertical applications like we are currently doing in the education and dental markets; we will seek to accelerate new solution to markets with an unmatched commitment to product development and innovation; we will seek to continue to improve our 3D printing accessibility with our market-leading desktop 3D printing solutions; and we will seek to improve customer intimacy by developing an ecosystem around which we can strengthen our competitive position and create new business opportunities. Critical to our success is the focus on innovation. This is visible in our strong commitment to technology and development and our industry-leading investment in R&D. This commitment results in several recent new product introduction that we believe will help us build or improve on opportunities as well as drive expansion into new market applications. A great example of how we are transforming the way our customers can innovate design and manufacture new products is the…
OP
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Stand by for you first question, which is from the line of Troy Jensen at Piper Jaffray.
TD
Troy D. Jensen - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division
Analyst
David, how about quickly for you? You mentioned doing the next phase of the integration here between Objet and Stratasys, the R&D and the operations.
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Right.
TD
Troy D. Jensen - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division
Analyst
I guess I'd just like to get some more details on that because, to me, it feels like FDM and jetting are a little bit different technologies. So what are the synergies in R&D? And then I do have a follow-up.
DR
David Reis
Analyst
There are 2 areas of synergies. One of them has to do with the operations. We just recently restructured ourselves in a way that will allow us to benefit from operational synergies across the different platform technologies and geographies, and we are going to do it during 2014 and '15. There's a lot to do there. And on the R&D side of it, we are looking better -- we are looking mainly better on kind of, say, a global perspective of the overall portfolio of technologies and products in a centralized way, which again was driven by organization change that took place here that will allow us kind of better perspective on the overall product portfolio, technology offering, et cetera.
TD
Troy D. Jensen - Piper Jaffray Companies, Research Division
Analyst
All right. All right, understood. So then a follow-up either for you, David, or for Bre on the MakerBot side. If you guys achieve this minimum organic growth rate of about 25%, I think you mentioned in a prior guidance, I think that implies $105 million to $110 million for MakerBot revenues, by my estimate. So if you just kind of look at the midpoint -- or excuse me, what the company just did and a run rate at about $100 million, it seems like that's a little conservative. So could you just kind of talk about the organic growth for MakerBot, kind of reconcile these 2 numbers here?
BP
Bre Pettis
Analyst
Okay. This is Bre. Thanks for asking the question. So there's a couple factors there and the first one is the MakerBot product line is subject to greater seasonality. We've had a prosumer line and we're launching -- one of the 3D printers we're launching is a consumer 3D printer. So that has more seasonality to it. In addition, some of -- several of the new products we have recently introduced will not begin shipment until later this year, so we want to factor that into our assumptions. We're really pleased -- we're really -- and I mean it, we're really pleased with our recent growth, and we're very optimistic about 2014 and the guidance reflects that. We have established a guidance that we think is achievable and -- but we -- you have to understand that we're participating in a very dynamic industry and we're exploring new territory.
OP
Operator
Operator
We have another question for you. This one's from John Baliotti.
JD
John Anthony Baliotti - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division
Analyst
David, you talked about -- following up on Troy's question, you talked about lining functions like operations and R&D given the 3 merged portfolios. And despite some market perception that MakerBot is more for consumers, we know many professional engineering departments that are using them for whether it's tooling or prototyping and seen many of them expand into either the traditional Stratasys units or the Objet or -- obviously, which is a combined portfolio. Are you expecting -- maybe this is for you and/or Bre, expecting to have a more synchronized product development, given that you're customers are using the entire breadth of your offering?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
There's a part of your question that I cannot answer. There are a lot of synergies between obviously the Stratasys product and the MakerBot product are basically operating very, very same technology. So in the background, we said it early before and during the merger, we are planning to align efforts in R&D to share IT and technology. On the other hand, on the go to market, I think they are very unique products. As you can see, both of them are selling very well and we'll continue, I think, with this direction. Like we said all the way, we will integrate with exception. I mean, it's not a full integration.
JD
John Anthony Baliotti - Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, Research Division
Analyst
Sure. I mean, I've just talked to some people who have started with the MakerBot, used it really aggressively and ended up buying a Fortus, which obviously you wouldn't be disappointed with and maybe not have bought a Fortus had they not had exposure with the MakerBot. And I just -- it seems like the synergies between the 2 or the complementary aspects are getting a lot tighter.
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Yes. And again, I agree. The synergies around the -- for example, the size of the print, the variety of materials, the ability to use sophisticated support, so I hope that the trend that you described will become even more natural.
BP
Bre Pettis
Analyst
Yes. I mean, your story makes me really happy thinking -- because getting into it is a lot about what MakerBot is, but it's also a professional-level machine that it expands in -- that story just makes me happy. I'm just -- thanks for sharing it.
OP
Operator
Operator
We have another question for you. This one's from Wamsi Mohan at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
WD
Wamsi Mohan - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division
Analyst
Can you address the comment around the linearity across first half and second half relative to revenues? Obviously, MakerBot, given the timing of the product introductions and increased seasonality that Bre mentioned, is going to be more back half loaded. But could you maybe size the relative sort of seasonality between the first half and second half for the core business excluding MakerBot?
ES
Erez Simha
Analyst
Wamsi, it's Erez. When we provided the 2014 guidance, we said that we see 2013 as more back loaded in both revenue and net income for the entire year. There are a few reasons for that and the first one was all activity around new products that we are going to introduce throughout the year. Some of it will not be available in the first part of the year. However, it requires a massive investment around R&D, marketing and sales in order to introduce those products to the market. So when we provided the guidance for 2014, we said that the second part of the year we see more revenue and more net income compared to the first part of the year. We didn't provide any size to this phenomena. And if we are talking about organic versus MakerBot, I think that the phenomena is similar. Both MakerBot and Stratasys will enjoy new product. Some of them will not be available in Q1, even not in Q2. However, the investment that we have to do in order to introduce those products to the market has to be done upfront prior to the introduction of the product, obviously, in Q1 and Q2. And this has impact on profitability, and of course, on net income -- on revenue.
WD
Wamsi Mohan - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division
Analyst
Okay. And as my follow-up, can you address the material usage dynamics that you're seeing in your installed base? It seems as though you're seeing an acceleration in materials usage, and I'm curious how sustainable you think that is and if there is a way to isolate the impact of the increased units versus increased utilization in the installed base.
DR
David Reis
Analyst
That's a very good question. Thank you. It's David. You indicated correctly. There are 2 growth drivers that we see for the increased usage. One of them is let's call it the organic growth of the IB, itself. And here, the database or the statistic significance is big and we know quite well how to estimate machine consumption per industry, per geography, which is a base for our projections. There's another element, which Stratasys, for a relatively long time, maybe more than 2 years or 3 years already spending a lot of energy in, is treating the consumables as a product and promoting them via improved training, mainly application training, to customers and we witnessed an increase, which is -- in consumables demand, which is above the organic growth. And here again, it's related to training, to product introduction and to education.
WD
Wamsi Mohan - BofA Merrill Lynch, Research Division
Analyst
So you're saying there's some cyclicality to it and some season -- some more secular...
DR
David Reis
Analyst
No, no. It's not seasonal or cyclical. It's just -- there's 2 elements. One, the growth in consumable sales is, one, related directly to the number of machines that we are selling and here it depends to where the machine is being sold, which industry and which geography. Some industries are consuming more. Some geographies are consuming more or less. And another parameter, which increases consumable itself has to do with our ability to better train customers and introduce to them new materials and make them switch to better materials, which increase in consumption. So we are dealing with both those elements through our consumable business units.
OP
Operator
Operator
We have another question for you. This one's from the line of Ananda Baruah at Brean Capital.
AD
Ananda Baruah - Brean Capital LLC, Research Division
Analyst
Hey, just 2, if I could. The first one is just, again, with regards to the 2014 revenue guidance. Could you just go through the appropriate context for us to understand the implied deceleration to 25% from mid-30s percent? And is that 25%, is that getting impacted by the seasonality in the MakerBot revenue stream? And then I have a follow-up. And I guess why would we expect the 25 -- a deceleration down to 25%? You guys have been accelerating for the last 12 months.
ES
Erez Simha
Analyst
The 25% -- and it's not 25%. We said it's more than 25% and it refers to organic growth only. We said that the nature, the organic business of Stratasys -- Stratasys and Objet will grow more than 25% in 2014, and the MakerBot business will grow faster than that. I think that we feel comfortable with the guidance for 2014. Don't forget that we had a significant impact of integration in the first time in 2013 that I don't think that we will see a significant jump again in the contribution of integration results between Stratasys and Objet in 2014. And again, please, when you are looking at the number, please refer to more than 25%. We didn't say 25%, we said more than 25% organic growth.
AD
Ananda Baruah - Brean Capital LLC, Research Division
Analyst
Got it, that's very helpful. And I guess, as my follow-up, would love to just get an update on, philosophically, how you're thinking about the metals market. And then the consumer market as well, you're introducing a new sort of, let's say, a pure consumer MakerBot product. But just holistically, how are you thinking about metals and consumer going forward?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Again, my perspective of the metal market, I've said this a few times before, it's an interesting market. We need to judge our M&A strategy. We don't have metal in-house according to what we perceive to be our customers' requirements and needs. We are evaluating the market in an ongoing basis. And if and when we have something to say about it, we will announce it. We are looking at this market and we're following it up.
AD
Ananda Baruah - Brean Capital LLC, Research Division
Analyst
And the consumer?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Consumer? Bre is here and we're extremely involved. MakerBot Mini Compact Replicator is the first move into this market. Bre?
BP
Bre Pettis
Analyst
Yes, I mean, this is -- we've really focused with the MakerBot Replicator Mini on an easy-to-use 3D printer. It's a one-touch 3D printer and -- but there's no compromise there. The extruder that we have in the MakerBot Replicator Mini is the same extruder that we have in the whole lineup. So it's a smaller 3D printer, but it's still you've got professional grade components and you've got most of the features of the MakerBot Replicator line in that, just a smaller -- a little smaller footprint.
DR
David Reis
Analyst
I just want to add one thing to Bre's words is that when you sell [ph] consumer, I mean it's not only true for consumer, I mean, the printer is just one element in the overall picture. What I think MakerBot, led by Bre's doing extremely well, is creating the ecosystem, which will allow the usage of those printers. The hardware itself is an important element. But without the ecosystem; without the content; without the ability to share, to modify, to author, the ability to accelerate adoption is going to be limited. And what I think MakerBot is lead us, by far, is with this ecosystem, which is absolutely fundamental to the progression of this market.
BP
Bre Pettis
Analyst
One example of that is that we launched the MakerBot Digital Store. What we found when we -- what we found is that some of our -- some of the people who have bought MakerBot Replicator 2s ended up using them just to entertain themselves, just to make cool stuff. And so the MakerBot Digital Store just makes it really easy for people who've never used a 3D printer to get great content that's really wonderful and download it and make it.
OP
Operator
Operator
We've another question for you. This one's from Sherri Scribner at Deutsche Bank.
SD
Sherri Scribner - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division
Analyst
I wanted to get a sense of your long-term guidance and your view of your positioning in the market. And also I wanted to get a little detail on what you're seeing from the market. So thinking about the at least 25% organic growth for you guys, do you think that the market itself is accelerating? Or do you think that you're growing faster than the market? And I wanted to get a little more detail on if you are seeing customers -- more customers and more interest in 3D printing.
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Unfortunately, there's no short answer. First of all, I think we are growing faster than the market. When you talk about the market, unfortunately, I think we need to split it into 3 sections, let's call it. First one is the desktop, second is the rapid prototyping design market and the manufacturing market. Now each one of them has a different growth pattern, but all of them are growing and all of them are creating more demand than what they created in previous years. But nevertheless, each one of them has its own characteristics, so answer is a little bit complex.
SD
Sherri Scribner - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division
Analyst
Okay. Maybe I can ask you a little bit on the desktop market and the consumer -- prosumer market. What is your view on growth in that market at this point? Clearly, that's growing greater than 25%, but do you have a long-term expectation for that market's growth?
BP
Bre Pettis
Analyst
It's one of those things where because it really is a new frontier, that we're going -- that I would be hesitant to make predictions on this one. What I will say is the more 3D printers that are out in the world, the more access there are to them and the more familiar people get with them. And that context just provides a fertile ground.
SD
Sherri Scribner - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division
Analyst
Okay. And then, Erez, I just wanted to ask you a little bit about the operating margins as we move through the year. Would you expect the operating margins to be at sort of the similar levels of 4Q throughout the year? Or do you think they'll be more heavily loaded to the front end because you're introducing new products toward the back end of the year?
ES
Erez Simha
Analyst
I think that the operating margin will look better in the second part of the year as a result of higher top line in the second part of the year. And obviously, Sherri, most of the investment or significant part of the investment will be done in the first part of the year. Revenue from those investments we will see in the second -- mainly in the second part of the year.
OP
Operator
Operator
We've another question for you. This one's from Jonathan Shaffer at Crédit Suisse.
Jonathan Shaffer - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: I was just wondering if the new product line at MakerBot will have any impact on kind of the profitability level there and whether that'll continue to be a drag to some degree on gross margin.
BP
Bre Pettis
Analyst
Let's see. Can you ask that again to make sure I understand your question?
Jonathan Shaffer - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Yes, I'm sorry. I was just wondering if the new product line will change the margin profile of MakerBot in either a positive or a negative way.
ES
Erez Simha
Analyst
We don't expect gross margin of MakerBot to be changed significantly as a result of introduction of those new products in 2014.
Jonathan Shaffer - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: And then just on M&A strategy generally, I was just wondering if there's any areas of priority you guys are focusing on and just if valuations are still are higher or prohibitive to M&A right now.
DR
David Reis
Analyst
You know the valuation as good as us in the market. And we have a professional process of searching for both technology, products and channel acquisitions, both on the core Stratasys business and on the MakerBot business. Nevertheless, like I said many times, we have a very professional team, which is doing it in a very professional way and we are going to decide or try to act as long as it's within our strategic long-term plan, and we are doing it on an ongoing basis.
OP
Operator
Operator
We have another question for you. This one's from Ken Wong at Citigroup.
KD
Kenneth Wong - Citigroup Inc, Research Division
Analyst
On the 2014 guidance as well, you guys talked about flat operating margins. How should we think about gross margins in 2014? I mean, will it be closer to the 60% you guys put up this quarter or more in the high 50s that you guys have done in the past?
ES
Erez Simha
Analyst
Gross margin will be similar to the entire 2013 gross margin and will be a combination of probably slightly increased in Stratasys gross margin. It's somehow muted by the lower gross margin that's generated by MakerBot.
KD
Kenneth Wong - Citigroup Inc, Research Division
Analyst
So it sounds gross margins should be flattish or less?
ES
Erez Simha
Analyst
Yes, yes.
KD
Kenneth Wong - Citigroup Inc, Research Division
Analyst
Got you. And then on the MakerBot business, I mean, I think some of your competitors have gone pretty aggressively in terms of trying to develop a national retail footprint. How important do you guys think it is to have a similar type of a national presence? Or will you guys continue to just build out the retail channel as more of a kind of specific niche areas and building out your own MakerBot stores?
BP
Bre Pettis
Analyst
Well, there's a couple parts to that. We have just launched a partnership with Dell. We have just launched a partnership with Micro Center. And we've -- and at the end of last year, we opened 2 new retail stores. So what I would say there is we really like having touch with our customers and it's one of our overall goals to have more intimacy with our users, and that's just one of the ways to do that.
OP
Operator
Operator
We've another question for you. This one's from Paul Coster at JPMorgan.
Paul Coster - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: I just want to go back to the consumables for a second. David, you talked about how you're able to sort of work with some of your customers, I assume in rapid prototyping and manufacturing, to help them sort of optimize their use of materials.
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Right, right.
Paul Coster - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: At the entry level, desktop level, I imagine that's a bit more difficult. I'm sort of curious to know what the shape of the usage is at the desktop and also what you're doing there to try and sort of promote usage. And I've got one quick follow-up.
DR
David Reis
Analyst
So for your first comment, you are right. With respect to the desktop part of it, I think that the consumable market for the desktop is evolving, okay? It's definitely different than the one that we are familiar with or are used to in the core Stratasys business. Nevertheless, I think we have the means and the tools over time to increase it in size and improve its margins, okay? So it's an ongoing process, but it's definitely different from what we and you are used when you look on the original Stratasys model.
Paul Coster - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: Okay. I mean, what I'm sort of really driving at is do you find that there's a sort of peak usage right at the time of purchase and then it trails off and that's an issue to be addressed? Or do you find that the MakerBot community are actually ramping up their usage over time?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Again, I think the market is evolving. I can ask maybe Bre to add his comment. But we know that as we are adding new materials, new colors, new features, customers have the tendency to experience and try and build new things. So I don't think that it's kind of relaxing over time. It really depends on our ability to initiate new and attractive products for this industry and encourage more consumption. Bre?
BP
Bre Pettis
Analyst
It's interesting, on the MakerBot side with folks who are getting it and using it for prosumer or professional uses, they really -- MakerBot can be like a really serious workhorse. And so for those folks, we see it's just great. They use lots of MakerBot filament, we love it. And I think what you see is more recreational users use less than that. But we really -- we've optimized this filament to just be a great experience. So it's nice and sticky.
Paul Coster - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: Okay. My quick follow-up is that I'm not seeing any evidence of price-based competition in the rapid prototyping and the direct digital manufacturing segments. I don't really know what's happening in the entry level. Can you talk about the extent to which you see any sort of price-based behavior amongst either competitors or even amongst your consumers?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
First of all, I think Erez said earlier that we do not anticipate a decrease in margin on the MakerBot side, okay? And again, I think that the way -- again, we should not look on this market as selling a hardware. It's not the case. Again, the providers of the ecosystem and the provider of the content and the tools and the accessibility in the community has an advantage. So it chooses our people which is selling less expensive, but MakerBot is able to sustain its gross margin and we -- saying that we expect it to continue into next year, and the reasons that they're able to do it is because, a, we have great product; and b, we're giving a full solution, which is the only solution -- the full solution today in the market.
OP
Operator
Operator
We have another question for you. This one's from Ajay Kejriwal at FBR Capital Markets.
Ajay Kejriwal - FBR Capital Markets & Co., Research Division: So on Connex 3, it's a good milestone, I think. You've obviously been working on that for some time here. So give us a sense of the market size and opportunity and then where do you see the growth near term in terms of customer segments for the Connex product?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Let me get you -- I'll give you just one indication about the potential. We are serving our installed base of customers every year for the last few years. What we find out from this research is that a lot of our customers, and I'm not talking about 5%, I'm talking about in terms of percentage of our customers in the design engineering market are, at the end of the day, coloring and painting their models. So you can imagine what the potential of machines that does it off the machine. And I can say one other thing that the moment the color TV was fully available, nobody bought black and white.
Ajay Kejriwal - FBR Capital Markets & Co., Research Division: Yes, yes. That's certainly -- that's a good analogy. And then on the launch of Z18, that's obviously a good product, large build size. Just, David, maybe any thoughts on implications for the merger? Would you expect any impact or shift in demand towards the Z18?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
It's a little bit early to say. Z18 is coming to market in a few months. I think that if I judge from the short history that we have together, between the MakerBot and Stratasys, each of those machines, like the other machines, has its own space and its own customers. Nevertheless, I do think that some of them it will be kind of a "competitor," "internal competitor." But I think the module will have the space in the high-engineering precise market that requires unique materials and soluble support and the Z18 will find itself in other spaces of the market. It's too early to say, but at this point of time, I got a feeling in our analysis, is that those products will be able to live side-by-side.
OP
Operator
Operator
We've another question for you. This one's from Cindy Shaw.
CI
Cindy Shaw - DISCERN Investment Analytics, Inc
Analyst
First question, in the vertical market focus, is that more oriented towards direct digital manufacturing or prototyping? Or could you even say it's oriented towards one or the other?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
When we're talking about vertical applications at this point of time, we have a dedicated focus, which is all the way from design manufacturing and go-to-market for 3 markets: dental, education and DDM. And by the way, also to desktop indirectly. I mean, from my perspective, desktop is a huge vertical, which has, on the MakerBot side, unique R&D, unique design, unique go-to-market. So really we have today 4, let's say, end-to-end verticals, which we are developing. One of them is also DDM, like you said.
CI
Cindy Shaw - DISCERN Investment Analytics, Inc
Analyst
And in terms of it, seems like it would be a fairly long process to ramp that up, really a multiyear process where you could be investing for an extended period of time and having it pay off for a period of time. Could you talk about how you're thinking about that and your expectations?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
No, no. It's all in process. I mean, we are involved with the direct digital manufacturing for a few years. When we are saying vertical focus, it means that internally and externally with our channel, we are getting better organized to serve those markets, okay? So for example, in the U.S., for example, we have a dedicated, very large education market that we are now enhancing. Bre and MakerBot is developing special education initiatives and education channels, which will deal with education for MakerBot. So it's not a work starting today. In most cases, work started a few years ago, likewise in dental. But it means that the company, part of its growth plans is reorganize around this vertical in a way that we can expose them faster.
CI
Cindy Shaw - DISCERN Investment Analytics, Inc
Analyst
Well, in dental, you've got a special machine oriented toward that market, is that right?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Yes, we have a few specialized machines, both on the PolyJet side of the technology and Solidscape.
CI
Cindy Shaw - DISCERN Investment Analytics, Inc
Analyst
And Is that a big part of the focus of going after a vertical market? It's not just the marketing, but also having a dedicated machine? Or do you think there's going to be more of sales and marketing?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
No, no. This is true to all the verticals. When we talk about verticals, we are talking about the total approach to market that starts from the printer, the consumables, the marketing approach and the go-to-market. So it's also, for sure, true for dental. We have machines which are dedicated for dental. We have machines which are dedicated for manufacturing. So it's all -- the idea is across all the sale or go-to-market process.
CI
Cindy Shaw - DISCERN Investment Analytics, Inc
Analyst
And is it fair to say that you think both the investment and the results are going to be a very long drawn-out processes so there's not going to be at some point where you say, okay, we've accelerated, we're over the hump, much like the integration of the Objet merger? Is this like a long, steady ramp over several years we should be thinking about versus kind of a...
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Yes, yes, yes.
OP
Operator
Operator
We have another question. This one's from Jim Ricchiuti at Needham & Company.
James Ricchiuti - Needham & Company, LLC, Research Division: Two quick questions just on the last topic. David, when would we know more about this -- some of the additional verticals you'd be going into? Would you anticipate disclosing any of that in the second half of the year?
DR
David Reis
Analyst
When we have something to announce, we will announce it. I don't want to refer to exact time.
James Ricchiuti - Needham & Company, LLC, Research Division: Okay. And just a question on consumables. You showed very good growth in Q4 year-over-year. If we think about the consumables business in 2014, the addition of Nylon, what seems to be a stronger revenue stream on MakerBot side from using their own filament, how should we think about the growth rate in consumables? Is there any reason to think that it won't grow at -- continue growing at this rate, just given what you're seeing in the market right now?
ES
Erez Simha
Analyst
Jim, I think that the consumable analysis that you do, you should look on the entire-year picture because the impact of the utilization of the installed base on the consumables revenue has larger impact than the new sales or the materials that we introduce to the market. I think that MakerBot, at least, at this stage, the business model of MakerBot is heavily relying on the hardware sales where the consumable part is relatively small. Today, I guess, it would be also in 2014. All in all, I think that looking at the consumable picture in 2013, for us, it's a great, great, great result. And looking into 2014, for sure we'll continue to grow at least in the pace that it grew in the entire year of 2014 -- '13.
OP
Operator
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, we've actually run out of time for our allocated Q&A today. We did have a few questions still waiting, so our apologies we're not able to answer them today. I'll now hand the call over to David Reis for closing remarks.
DR
David Reis
Analyst
Thank you for joining us today. I'm looking forward to speak with you again next quarter. Thank you very much, and goodbye.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for joining today's conference. This concludes your presentation, and you may now disconnect. Have a good day.