Jarrod Yahes
Analyst · SunTrust. Your line is now open
Thank you, Stan, and good morning, everyone. Before I get started, I’d like to say how excited I am to have joined Shutterstock. In my first few months as CFO, I’ve been impressed by the strong team here and their commitment to building innovative solutions to meet the changing needs of our customers. I believe there’s a tremendous opportunity to enhance the operational and financial performance of Shutterstock, and I look forward to continuing to work closely with Stan, Jon, our Board of Directors and the entire team to solidify Shutterstock’s position for long-term success and further our vision of being a leading content and technology platform. And now for the financial results, revenue growth in the fourth quarter compared to the prior year was 3% on both a reported and constant currency basis. For the full year 2019, revenue growth was 4%, excluding the impact of FX movements, revenue growth was approximately 2% higher for the full year or 6%. Breaking down our revenue growth performance in 2019 further, in the fourth quarter, the e-commerce channel, which represents 60% of our revenues, increased 6% to $110 million as compared to the fourth quarter of 2018. In the fourth quarter, the enterprise channel revenue, which represents 40% of our revenues, decreased 2% to $65.5 million and was flat on a constant currency basis as compared to the fourth quarter of 2018. For the full year, the e-commerce channel remained healthy and experienced growth of 7% or 9% on a constant currency basis, consistent with 2018. For the full year, the enterprise channel grew 1% and 3% on a constant currency basis. As we’ve discussed, this represents a considerable slowdown for the enterprise channel on a full year basis as compared to the rapid growth in years past. We do expect the negative enterprise trends to reverse themselves and for us to return to positive year-on-year growth comparables in the latter half of 2020, as some of the investments we’ve been making and reinvigorating our sales team and approach begin to pay off. Reviewing some of our key operating metrics in the fourth quarter, on a year-over-year basis, paid downloads grew by 2% to $47.7 million. Revenue per download grew by 1% to $3.44 per download. Our image library expanded by 30% to approximately 314 million images, and our video library increased 30% to approximately 17 million clips. I’d like to add some additional transparency to the metrics by double-clicking into revenue per download. The growth we’ve seen in revenue per download this past year is predominantly due to mix shift, with growth in video sales outpacing our other content types. In addition, from a sales channel perspective, we’re seeing favorable trends in our e-commerce revenue per download, offset by pressure in our enterprise channel revenue per download. Turning to our margins, in the fourth quarter of 2019, our gross margins were 56.8%, down 70 basis points from 57.5% in the fourth quarter of 2018. The main driver of the change in gross margin is increase in the depreciation and amortization component of our cost of goods sold from higher content acquisition and technology costs. However, for the full year 2019, gross margins were 57.2%, up 10 basis points from 57.1% in 2018. Sales and marketing expense was 28% of revenue in the fourth quarter of 2019 as compared to 27% in the fourth quarter of 2018. Sales and marketing expenses increased 9.6% in the quarter and $15 million for the full year due to increased spending and performance marketing initiatives. Product development costs were 9% of revenue in the fourth quarter of 2019 and were largely flat for the full year 2019. G&A expenses were 16% as a percentage of revenue as compared to 14% in the fourth quarter of 2018. The G&A increase for the full year was largely attributable to investments we made across cybersecurity, data science and analytics as well as technology. Adjusted EBITDA margins declined to 14.5% in the fourth quarter of 2019 compared to 20.9% in the fourth quarter of last year. For the full year, EBITDA margins declined to 14.8% from 16.9% based on the additional spend in sales and marketing as well as G&A. We recorded a tax expense of $4.3 million compared to a tax expense of $1.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2018. On a full year basis, our effective tax rate is 19.3%, as compared to 17.3%. The fourth quarter 2019 tax expenses include $1 million valuation allowance associated with our international operations and a FIN 48 reserve. GAAP net income in the fourth quarter was $4.4 million or $0.12 per diluted share. Adjusted net income was $9.2 million or $0.26 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2019 as compared to $20.9 million or $0.59 per diluted share in the fourth quarter of 2018. The quarterly decline in adjusted net income is largely as a result of the tax expense true-up at the end of this year. Adjusted net income was $43.7 million or $1.23 per diluted share for the full year 2019 as compared to $55.7 million or $1.57 per diluted share in 2018. Turning to our balance sheet and cash flows. At the end of the quarter, we had approximately $303 million of cash and cash equivalents, up from $231 million at December 31, 2018. Our free cash flow in 2019 of $73.2 million was up 15% from $63.5 million in 2018, largely due to reductions in CapEx due to lower capitalized research and development costs. Our deferred revenue balance was up as of December 31, 2019 to $141.9 million from $137.5 last quarter, an increase of $4.4 million. The increase in deferred revenue will ultimately be recognized as revenue throughout 2020. We’re encouraged by the growth in deferred revenue on our balance sheet, and it gives us a good starting point for 2020. Shifting from our financial performance to capital allocation. The company continually evaluates its capital allocation strategy. As part of this evaluation, the Board has approved a recurring quarterly dividend of $0.17 per share. The quarterly dividend equates to an annual 1.5% yield on our current stock price. This quarter, the company will pay the cash dividend on March 19, 2020, payable to shareholders of record as of March 5, 2020. We expect that we can grow the dividend in line with earnings growth, and we will periodically revisit the payout based on our cash flow profile and alternative uses of capital. With respect to our M&A strategy, we believe there are significant opportunities to expand our total addressable market into faster growth segments and enhance the value and differentiation of our content with data and insights. While we have a strong cash position, we’ll continue to be disciplined as we evaluate M&A opportunities and ensure we have the ability to integrate the acquisitions and that they present compelling industrial logic. We believe that a balanced approach to capital allocation, combining M&A with a recurring quarterly dividend allows Shutterstock the flexibility to invest and innovate in our core business, and provide long-term value to shareholders. Finally, turning to our guidance. Our expectations for the full year 2020 are as follows; revenue of $665 million to $690 million, with the midpoint of our range representing approximately 4% revenue growth. Adjusted EBITDA of $100 million to $107 million, with the midpoint representing EBITDA margins of 15.3%, up 50 basis points from 14.8% in 2019 and representing EBITDA growth of 7.5% year-over-year. And adjusted earnings per share of between $1.42 and $1.58, representing year-over-year growth of 22% at the midpoint of the range. I’d like to provide some additional color pertaining to our guidance. From a revenue perspective, we expect a differential in growth rates between the e-commerce sales channel, which we expect to grow at approximately 6% and our enterprise channel, which we expect to grow at 2%. The quarterly growth cadence in e-commerce should be consistent with prior years. The growth in enterprise will show negative comparables in the first half of the year and stronger comparables in the back half of the year as we realize the fruits of our sales force investments. From a margin and cash flow perspective, we’re targeting at least 50 basis points of margin expansion in EBITDA in 2020. We expect to see gross margins stable to slightly up, consistent with this past year. Therefore, the operating leverage we will see in the business mainly comes from amortization of the investments we’ve made in G&A in 2019 combined with prudent ongoing cost management. In terms of the margin trajectory during the year in 2020, Q1 margins will be approximately 2% to 3% lower than 2019 average margins as we continue to make sales investments. Our margin should gradually improve over the course of the year, quarter-on-quarter, as we realize the return on those investments. In terms of free cash flow, we expect it to grow in line with EBITDA. I would note, however, that any additions to cash in Q1 will be nominal due to the timing of the payment of our annual bonuses as well as the settlement of an earn-out from the Flashstock acquisition. This is the only earn-out payment associated with the acquisition. Other modeling assumptions for 2020 of note relevant to investors include stock-based compensation of $28 million; depreciation and amortization expense of $42 million, capital expenditures of $29 million, and an effective tax rate in the mid-teens. We’d also expect our share count increase to be in line with historical trends. With our 2020 plan, we believe that we’re capitalizing on growth opportunities in our end market, while committing to modest margin expansion to grow our EBITDA. We’re further beginning to use our strong cash flows to return capital to shareholders in a predictable manner by starting with a dividend yield of 1.5%. We will also be opportunistic with respect to the further use of our balance sheet for both share repurchases as well as strategic acquisitions. We’re energized as a new management team, and we’re excited to be able to deliver a strategic and financial update on our business, management succession and our capital plans, and we very much appreciate your time today. We look forward to seeing several of you in the weeks and months ahead in some of the investor discussions and at analyst conferences that we’ll be attending. And now Jon, Stan and myself, we’re happy to answer any questions that you may have. Operator, please go ahead and open the line for questions.