Earnings Labs

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD)

Q2 2023 Earnings Call· Mon, Jul 24, 2023

$189.03

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to the Simpson Manufacturing Co., Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Kim Orlando with ADDO Investor Relations. Thank you, Ms. Orlando, you may begin.

Kimberly Orlando

Analyst

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Simpson Manufacturing Company's Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. Any statements made on this call that are not statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on certain estimates and expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. Actual future results may vary materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. We encourage you to read the risks described in the company's public filings and reports, which are available on the SEC or the company's corporate website. Except to the extent required by applicable securities laws, we undertake no obligation to update or publicly revise any of the forward-looking statements that we make here today, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Please note that the company's earnings press release was issued today at approximately 4.15 PM Eastern Time. The earnings press release is available on the Investor Relations page of the company's website at ir.simpsonmfg.com. Today's call is being webcast and a replay will also be available on the Investor Relations page of the company's website. Now, I would like to turn the conference over to Mike Olosky, Simpson's President and Chief Executive Officer.

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Thanks Kim. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining today's call. With me today is Brian Magstadt, our Chief Financial Officer. My remarks today will provide an overview of our financial results, key growth initiatives and capital allocation priorities. Brian will then talk you through our Q2 financials and our fiscal 2023 outlook in greater detail. We delivered solid performance in a difficult operating environment, with second quarter net sales of $597.6 million, which is an increase of 0.7% over Q2 2022. North American volumes increased 2.3%, leading to a growth in net sales of 2% year-over-year to $465.5 million. To further break-down our performance, national retail showed double-digit improvements year-over-year from a volume standpoint, due to our business model and an improving market environment. We have dedicated teams working with our national retail customers that provide training and merchandising support. In our residential market, while our volumes were down in the low-single digit range we experienced notable strength in the Midwest and Northeast regions of the US, over the prior year, with sales in the Southeast region holding relatively flat in a challenging market. Multifamily continues to be an area of strength. In addition, sales in the west recovered nicely following the significant precipitation that led the materially softer sales in the first quarter of 2023. While 2023 housing starts will finish below 2022 levels, the market continues to improve relative to our earlier outlook, in part due to a high share of new single family home sales as a percentage of all single-family sales. We continue to believe in a sustainable strength in the housing market in the mid to-long-term given the shortage of new housing. We are confident key attributes of our business model will help stem some of the short-term downward pressure, given first our…

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

Thank you, Mike, and good afternoon, everyone. I'm pleased to discuss our second quarter financial results with you today. Before I begin, I'd like to mention that, unless otherwise stated, all financial measures discussed in my prepared remarks refer to the second quarter of 2023, and all comparisons will be year-over-year comparisons, versus the second quarter of 2022. Now turning to our second quarter results. As Mike highlighted, our consolidated net sales increased. 0.7% to $597.6 million. Within the North America segment, net sales increased 2% to $465.5 million, primarily due to higher sales volumes. And in Europe, net sales decreased 4.1% to $127.8 million, primarily due to lower sales volumes. Wood construction products represented 86.2% of our total second quarter sales compared to 86.7% and concrete construction products were 13.6% of total sales, up from 13.2%. In North America, wood product volume was up 2.4% and concrete product volume was up 1.6%. Consolidated gross profit increased 10.8% to $287.5 million, which resulted in a gross margin of $48.1% compared to 43.7% last year. On a segment basis, our gross margin in North America increased to 51.2% compared to 48%, primarily due to lower raw material costs, which were partially offset by higher factory and tooling costs as a percentage of net sales. Our gross margin in Europe increased to 37.4% from 29.3%, also primarily due to lower raw material costs as a percentage of net sales. And as you may recall, our raw material costs in the prior year period included a $9.2 million inventory, fair-value adjustment for the acquisition of ETANCO, representing 6.9 percentage points of Europe gross margin. From a product perspective, our second quarter gross margin on wood products was 48.4% compared to 43.7%, in the prior year quarter and was 45.9% for concrete products compared…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator instructions] Thank you. And our first question is from Daniel Moore with CJS Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Daniel Moore

Analyst

Thank you. Good afternoon and thanks for taking the questions. Congrats on a obviously another strong quarter. Maybe to start with North America margins continue to outperform expectations. If we look at the outperformance in the quarter as well as upward revision in guidance for the full year, how much of it reflects stronger volumes than expected versus maybe lower input costs versus what was embedded previously in your guidance?

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Dan, thanks for the question. The North America overall revenue for us was up 2%. Volume impact 2.4. So four tenths of a percent basically downward pricing pressure. When we look at North America as a whole, we've got, we're pretty excited that four out of our five market segments, all had positive development in terms of revenue and volume. Our Midwest and Northeast regions are having very good growth. Again, especially considering a difficult market, Southeast, also flat in a difficult market. So pretty happy with that. And the Western part of the US is recovering. And then when you look at some other individual spots in there, we're pretty happy with how multifamily continues to go for us this year.

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

And I would add that volumes were greater than where we were three months ago based on the things that Mike had just talked about. And the less negative, if you will, or slightly better outlook for housing compared to where we were at the beginning of the year. So definitely saw compared to prior guidance, better volumes in North America.

Daniel Moore

Analyst

That's helpful. And a quick follow-up. Obviously, over the last several years, done an excellent job of driving down OpEx as a percentage of revenue. And little bit back higher back from the sort of low 20s into the mid-20s with ETANCO and is working its way back-down. Just where do you see that metric in two to three years once the full synergies are achieved. Just remind us maybe what your kind of longer-term targets look like?

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Yes, so Dan we're going to continue to invest in our growth initiatives because we need the salespeople, engineering people and other team members to realize those. So we'll continue to invest in them that also helps continue to provide great service as far as the metrics go. Brian?

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

And from a OpEx as a percent of revenue seeing where we are from a revenue perspective today, the guide that we have increased slightly, for the balance of this year would indicate a run-rate a little bit higher than where we were this time last year or for the balance of the year. And then going forward, we're in a scenario where, again, all things being equal, relatively flattish from a percent of revenue perspective.

Daniel Moore

Analyst

Understood. Last one for me, and I'll jump out. Just getting a sense of the cadence going into Q3. North America volume is up a little over 2% for the quarter. How has that trended thus far in Q3 from what we've seen quarter-to-date?

Michael Olosky

Analyst

So as we're looking at July and just as a reminder, July last year was somewhat soft. And we're around that, again, so far in the first few weeks of the month. A couple of the interesting things there with July with the holiday falling on July 4 holiday falling on a Tuesday. We think we've got -- not we think, we've got one less selling day in July. And then also that activity, that first week, a little softer than normal due to, I think, a lot of people in the industry taking that whole week off. Again, due to the timing of the July 4 holiday here.

Daniel Moore

Analyst

Understood. I'll jump back for any follow-ups. Thank you.

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Thanks, Dan.

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

Thanks, Dan.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Tim Wojs with Baird. Please proceed with your question.

Timothy Wojs

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon guys, nice job.

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Hey, Tim.

Timothy Wojs

Analyst

Maybe just to start off on the revenue line. I know that you may be expecting starts activity to be less bad than maybe you thought six months ago or than three months ago. I guess as you kind of think about the overall kind of revenue number for 2023? I mean even with the starts seemingly kind of down in the second quarter for you guys, you still posted revenue growth. So I guess my question is, even if starts are less bad than they were before, I mean, is it possible you can grow the top line organically in '23?

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Well, from a -- just to remember to level set, '23 has got the full four quarters of ETANCO versus '22 only having the three quarters company-wise, company-wide. And then -- but taking that out of the equation. Let's see, let me pull that up. Going to be relatively flat on a like-for-like basis when we take the ETANCO extra quarter into consideration, which would be up compared to where we were entering the year.

Timothy Wojs

Analyst

Yeah, okay. And is there a difference there like retail and some of the growth drivers? I think that would be, I guess, more positive than I think I would have expected just given more starts or kind of that even year-to-date.

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Yeah, Tim, let me go back to the market. So when we were budgeting for this year, we were thinking the residential starts would be definitely more than 10% down. Now we're thinking based on everything we've heard from our customers, it's going to be 10-ish may be right around that 10% down. So again, less bad. On the national retail home center story, we were also expecting that to be a negative market. But with the lower lumber costs, a lot of projects that have been sitting on the side are coming in. So we actually expect that market to be market again positive. And then the strategies we have to drive growth in the National Retail segment we're pretty excited about and we think that's helping us drive above-market growth in that area. And then if you look at the other market segments that we're in, OEM, albeit still small, we're still driving a big growth in that segment, volume and revenue perspective. And on the commercial side, we still think we're in good shape on that area as well. So add it all up, the market is getting better than we had budgeted. And we think the strategies that we have in place are delivering.

Timothy Wojs

Analyst

Yes. Understood. And then maybe just on the margin line. I think last quarter, Brian, you talked about kind of EBIT margins being kind of flat year-over-year in Q2 and Q3 and then maybe being down a little bit in the fourth quarter. I guess, how are you thinking about the back half margins now? Because I think if I kind of assume they're flattish in Q3 and Q4 for the rest of the year, I'm kind of at or maybe even above the updated EBIT guidance.

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

Yes. So from an operating income perspective, Q3 pretty comparable to prior year. And then I would think Q4, let's see, again fairly comparable.

Timothy Wojs

Analyst

Okay. Okay, good. And then just the last one on the Gallatin or the Tennessee facility. Could you just kind of step back and kind of give us some kind of color on why you're kind of replacing that facility and what kind of the benefits that Simpson would be? And then also maybe just kind of the total capital outlay for that?

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Yes. So they are fasteners business, Tim, has been a big growth driver for us. We continue to expand the top line and the margins in an area. We think we've got a differentiated product offering. And right now we make some of our products in our Gallatin facility today and we import from our products for that area as well. So the focus here is we want to localize more of our fastener production. We also want to vertically integrate more of our fastener production. We think that will better help us serve and support our customers. And then if you go back to some of our growth initiatives like mass timber, those tend to be projects you either get it or you don't. And if you get it, you need to be able to respond quickly. So having production in the US, we believe will help us better respond to our customers in those areas as well.

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

So, yes, and the total project cost or fine-tuning numbers and depends on land development, how far along a piece of property may be versus how quickly it can be developed on. About $100 million net of selling our existing facility. We're a bit landlocked in our current site there. And to Mike's point, being able to in-source more of the activities around getting raw wire into finished good. We're going to be able to have on-site there. So $100 million and the outlay would be mostly '24 and forward, '24, '25, a little bit this year. We would presume that we're finding land, maybe starting to get that ready to build on. But the bulk of the spend would be in the next couple of years.

Timothy Wojs

Analyst

Okay. Got you. And where is Columbus at?

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

Columbus is still pretty early from an improvement perspective. We acquired adjacent land there that needed to be graded and we're continuing to work that. So we've not spent a lot of money on that one yet. Still has been going through a lot of the permitting process, approval process. The land is getting ready to be able to get foundations in and get walls up and the like. So still pretty early in that process as well although we would expect through the balance of this year to be able to see some pretty good improvement in the project phases for that facility.

Timothy Wojs

Analyst

Okay, good. Thanks for the time guys. Good luck on the rest of year.

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Thanks, Tim.

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

Thanks Tim.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Kurt Yinger with D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Kurt Yinger

Analyst

Great. Thanks and good afternoon, Mike and Brian.

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Hey, Kurt.

Kurt Yinger

Analyst

Just two quick ones for me. I guess, first, I would just love to hear kind of your latest thinking on pricing environment and pricing risk. Are there any areas where you're getting more pushback from customers or the competitive environment is getting to a point where you're having to make any concessions or not so much?

Michael Olosky

Analyst

So Kurt, we are actively managing and monitoring our pricing on a regular basis. But really, the emphasis on us is more in our business model, and that's making sure that we're investing in products that deliver value for our customers, driving innovation, providing exceptional service. Doing the training and all the things associated with that business model. We believe that, that business model helps us have a modest premium, key word here, again, modest, and we're actively monitoring that pricing as we speak.

Kurt Yinger

Analyst

Got it. Okay. Thanks for that. And then second, can you just talk a little bit more about the component manufacturer wins? I mean, presumably, that's a tailwind to the trust plate business. And I'd just love to hear what's kind of changed from a software perspective that's maybe helped catalyze that?

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Yes. So we're talking specifically about the trust market. And here, we've been spending a lot of time and effort over the last three years to really develop our software into one fully integrated program that's easy to use and hits our customers' needs. We've made a lot of progress. Currently, we think there's still some room for improvement. And we're now coupling that development efforts in the software with everything else we do from a business model perspective, meaning making sure we're providing great service and support to our customers. And so we have been picking up trust customers over the last couple of years, in part because we believe one of our competitors had some significant delivery problems. They ended up putting customer on allocations and they did that in a growing market. That obviously had an impact. And I think we've had several customers approach as a result of that. And so now we're taking a very measured and conscious approach with how we onboard a new customer. We want to make sure that goes very well going forward with them. So we think that's also going to be a nice growth driver for us. And everything that we've been doing in that area in the last couple of years has been working out very well according to how we planned it.

Kurt Yinger

Analyst

Got it. Thanks for that Mike. And then just quickly, I mean, is the software piece of it now I guess, capable of fully supporting the full suite of products like wall panels and things like that. If I'm remembering correctly, at least that was kind of a hindrance in the past. Is that still the case or no?

Michael Olosky

Analyst

So we do have a couple of gaps, and there are some areas we're working on it. So the customers that we're working with we're doing basically set of analysis with them, trying to make sure we understand what they need and what we're capable of doing. And we're customizing and develop the software to make sure we have the need. We aren't exactly where we want to be to date. But we do have, I believe, very good plans to get done.

Kurt Yinger

Analyst

Got it. Well thanks for that. Appreciate all the details and good luck here in the second half, guys.

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Thanks, Kurt.

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

Thanks, Kurt.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from Julio Romero with Sidoti & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Julio Romero

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon, Mike and Brian.

Michael Olosky

Analyst

Hello, Julio. Good afternoon.

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

Hey, Julio.

Julio Romero

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon. Could you talk about the trend on North American volumes throughout April, May and June? And was it a gradual improvement throughout the quarter or more of a sharper step up in June?

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

So June was a real nice month for us. I mean, each month got better in the second quarter.

Julio Romero

Analyst

Got you. And has the magnitude of the improvement in June, maybe changed any behaviors either from your customers or competitors at all?

Michael Olosky

Analyst

No. I mean we continue to think again that the market is improving, and we're hearing from a lot of our customers that their business is getting better. And at the same time, Julio, we continue to pick up new applications and new customers. And I think the combination of that is reason why you see the numbers develop the way they've developed versus the market.

Julio Romero

Analyst

Got it. If we could talk about maybe steel for a second, I think steel prices have kind of inflected downward since your last call in April. If you could just maybe talk about the impact of that on your cost of sales expectations for the back half of the year?

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

Julio, it's Brian. So part of our operating margin guidance for the year incorporates where we see material is a large component of cost of sales and as consistent, we don't disclose how much material or steel is as a percent of cost of sales, but it is the largest component of that. And we feel it's -- it should be pretty consistent on a go-forward basis based on the steel markets where we're purchasing where we are positioned with inventory and the volume assumptions that we have for the back half of the year on how much we're going to consume of that.

Julio Romero

Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And then just last one for me would be just on the CapEx guide. Just talk about the step-up in the guide. And is that related to the Tennessee facility or any other kind of capital projects?

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

Mostly due to the Tennessee facility. So we still have a fair amount of spend for this year that we anticipate for the Ohio expansion. And then some spend for the fastener factory land acquisition and some associated costs for that.

Julio Romero

Analyst

Really helpful. Thanks very much for taking the questions.

Michael Olosky

Analyst

You're welcome.

Brian Magstadt

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We have reached the end of our question-and-answer session. And with that, this concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.